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Precious Metal Mining ETFs Head To Head: GDX Vs. SIL

Precious metals such as gold and silver are enjoying a reprieve these days, thanks to the weak September U.S. job data that has dented the possibility of an interest rate hike later this month or may be this year, which could have been the first in nearly a decade. Both the yellow and white metals were out of investors’ radar for most of the time this year. The blame goes largely to the prospect of an interest rate hike this year, a strengthening dollar, muted inflation across most developed nations and slowdown in key consuming countries like China. At London Gold Fixing , both gold and silver were down 9.2% and 12.4%, respectively, in the year-to-date time frame. However, the below par jobs’ report has raised questions over the health of the U.S. economy and the fate of the looming Fed policy tightening. Headline job gains for September came in at 142,000 versus estimates of 200,000 and the prior month’s tally of 136,000. The weak U.S. data has also disturbed the case of a stronger dollar. The Wall Street Journal Dollar Index , which measures the greenback against a group of 16 widely traded currencies, fell 0.6% to its two-week low of 87.96 yesterday. These factors are compelling investors to turn their focus on precious metals as a store of wealth and a hedge against market turmoil. Both the metals are regaining its luster lately. Yesterday, spot gold reached its highest level of $1,151.20 per ounce in nearly two weeks (since September 24), while silver touched its highest level of $16.08 per ounce in more than three months. However, if both the metals are compared head to head, the outlook for gold is stronger than silver. This is because gold has greater storage value than silver and a lift-up in Fed rates that seemed imminent before the jobs report seems unlikely in the near future. According to CME Group’s FedWatch program , traders are playing on a 31% chance of a rate hike this December, down from 44% before the release of the weak jobs data. Therefore, the yellow metal definitely has a stronger case given the prevailing near-zero interest rates, lowering the opportunity cost of holding the metal, and weakening dollar, which is the key to gold’s movement. On the other hand, silver is used in a number of key industrial applications. But the demand for silver as an industrial metal doesn’t look that good given global growth worries and decline in manufacturing activity across the world driven by the persistent decline in oil prices, slowdown in China, and continued weakness in Euro zone and Japan. In this scenario, it would be intriguing to look at two top performing gold and silver ETFs and their key differences. Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA: GDX ) This ETF tracks the price and yield performance of the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index, which provides exposure to publicly-traded companies worldwide involved primarily in gold mining. The fund holds 36 stocks in its basket. Goldcorp Inc. (NYSE: GG ), Newmont Mining Corporation (NYSE: NEM ) and Newcrest Mining Limited ( OTCPK:NCMGY ) occupy the top three positions in the basket with shares of 7.5%, 6.1% and 5.6%, respectively. Canadian firms dominate the fund’s portfolio with a 52% share, followed by U.S. (15.5%) and Australia (10%). The product has amassed over $5 billion in its asset base and trades in solid volume of around 48 million shares a day. It charges investors 53 bps in fees per year. The fund shed around 14.7% so far this year but was up 15.6% in the past one month (as of Oct 6, 2015). Global X Silver Miners ETF (NYSEARCA: SIL ) This ETF follows the price and yield performance of the Solactive Global Silver Miners Index, measuring the performance of the silver mining industry. The fund holds 24 stocks in its basket. Industrias Penoles Cp, Silver Wheaton Corp. (NYSE: SLW ) and Silver Standard Resources Inc. (NASDAQ: SSRI ) are the top three holdings in the fund with allocations of 11%, 10.6% and 7.9%, respectively. The ETF is also highly focused on Canadian firms with a 58% share, followed by U.S. (12.3%) and Mexico (11.1%). SIL has gathered $146 million in assets and charges 65 bps in fees. It trades in an average volume of more than 231,000 shares. The product was down 20.1% in the year-to-date period but was up 13.7% over the last one month. Both GDX and SIL look like a pure play on the precious metal market. However, GDX is notably cheaper and has much higher liquidity than SIL. Further, GDX focuses on top mining companies and fared well in terms of price performance compared to SIL. Finally, GDX seems a better option to ride on the comparatively bullish outlook of gold vis-à-vis silver. Original Post

5 ETFs Up At Least 10% This Year

Volatility has been calling shots in the investing world this year as hard landing fears in China, return of deflationary worries in the Euro zone despite easy policy measures, vulnerable emerging markets, slumping commodities and the nagging hearsay about the timeline of Fed lift-off dampened the risk-on trade sentiments on several occasions. Though the most part of the year saw decent trading, the global market went ballistic in Q3 on the Chinese market crash. Sudden currency devaluation, multi-year low manufacturing data and some failed but desperate policy measures to rein in the slide led the Chinese stocks to hit the dirt in Q3 and see the worst quarter since 2008. Needless to say, such a massacre in the world’s second-largest economy did not spare other risky asset classes. The most key global indices also endured the worst quarter in four years and the leading U.S. indices tasted correction in August. Also, emerging market fund flows are now likely to turn negative this year for the first time since 1988 (read: ETFs to Watch as Emerging Market Asset Outflow Doubles ). Agreed, a dovish September Fed meeting and a soft job report for that month finally pushed back the speculative timeline for the U.S. policy tightening to early next year. This also brought the risk-on sentiment back on the table. Yet it definitely does not ensure seamless trading till the end of the year. These may give enough reasons for investors to panic and look for equity survivors this year. For them, we highlight five ETFs that have gained over 15% so far this year. China – Market Vectors ChinaAMC SME-ChiNext ETF (NYSEARCA: CNXT ) After a lot of tantrums, the China stocks and ETFs finally seem back on track. Compelling valuation after a bloodbath, some decent factory data in September, continued momentum in China’s service sector, persistent rollout of accommodative government measures (though at a petite dose) and an accommodative Fed led this China A-Shares ETF to build up gains in the year-to-date frame. The Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) fund is up over 25% so far this year (as of October 5, 2015) and also added close to 20% in the last one month. However, the point to be noted here is that China investing stands at a critical juncture this year and the economy is far from being steady. So, A-Shares investing needs a strong stomach for risks (read: Correction Seems Over: Time for China ETFs? ). Long/Short – QuantShares U.S. Market Neutral Momentum Fund (NYSEARCA: MOM ) Since volatility has been at its height so far this year, this long/short ETF had to emerge as the winner. The underlying index of the fund is equal weighted, dollar neutral and sector neutral. The index takes the highest momentum stocks into account as long positions and the lowest momentum stocks as short positions. MOM is up 20.8% this year and gained 3.3% in the last one-month period. With volatility refusing to backtrack even in Q4 on global growth issues, MOM is likely to prevail ahead (read: 3 Hit and Flop Zones of Q3 and Their ETFs ). Japan – WisdomTree Japan Hedged Health Care ETF (NYSEARCA: DXJH ) Since the Japanese economy shrank 0.3% in the second quarter of 2015, marking the first contraction since the third quarter of 2014, and the third quarter output is also seemingly flat; hopes for further policy easing are doing rounds. The Japanese economy is already undergoing a gigantic stimulus measure. Thus, hopes for further easing amid a slowing economy gave the justified boost to this currency-hedged ETF. DXJH is up about 21% so far this year (as of October 5, 2015). However, the product was flat in the last one-month period. The fund has a Zacks ETF Rank #1 (Strong Buy). Denmark – i Shares MSCI Denmark Capped Investable Market Index ETF (BATS: EDEN ) The Danish economy expanded 0.2% in Q2 and carried on the longest stretch of incessant growth in 25 years. Moreover, the economy wiped out fears of a lull in Q2. All these stirred optimism around the nation. This Zacks ETF Rank #3 fund has added over 17% in the year-to-date frame and gained about 2% in the last one month. Internet – First Trust Dow Jones Internet ETF (NYSEARCA: FDN ) This branch of the U.S. technology sector has been a smart survivor in the recent global market sell-off. The usage of Internet has been gaining popularity. While its surge has saturated in the developed economies, scope for growth is huge in the emerging markets. Investors should also note that tech stocks normally perform better in the final quarter of the year. Thanks to this burgeoning trend, this Internet ETF has advanced 13.7% this year and added 4.7% in the last one month. The fund has a Zacks ETF Rank #2 (Buy). Link to the original post on Zacks.com

No Imminent Lift Off? Time For These Dividend ETFs

Dividend investing has seen a lukewarm year so far in the U.S. as the markets speculated a faster-than-expected Fed lift-off prompted by steady growth in the domestic economy. As a result, most dividend ETFs are trading in red in the year-to-date frame. However, a volatile start to Q4 has once again put the spotlight on income-focused investing. Moreover, a still-patient Fed and the likelihood of more cheap money inflows cheered up dividend investing all over again. Be it bonds, high dividend equities, or pass-through securities, picks that target higher yielding securities have fared well since the dovish September Fed meet. The allure rose further after the U.S. economy reported sub-par job data for the month of September last week. The soft jobs’ report has raised questions over the health of the U.S. economy and the fate of Fed’s policy tightening. Headline job gains for September came in at 142K versus the estimated 200K and the prior month’s tally of 136K (read: ETFs that Gained & Lost Post Dismal Job Data ). The originally reported July tally was also revised lower to 223K from 245K originally. The year-to-date monthly pace of job gains now averages 198K, though the pace for the last three months was way lower at 167K. This goes against the monthly average of 260K for 2014. While a subdued inflation data and global growth worries were already obstacles on the course of the Fed policy, the job data made the case worse and Fed’s policy tightening seems some way off. Investors who were earlier overconfident about a December rate hike in the U.S., have now started to push back the timeline to early next year, presuming a sluggish U.S. economic rebound. While it is a decent setting for capital gains, Treasury bond yields slumped and are at 2.07% at the time of writing, leading some to believe that a new bull market may be at hand. In this type of an environment, investors can count on income picks for Q4. While individual stock pick is always an option, ETFs give options to fairly diversify one’s portfolio. 4 Dividend ETF Picks for Q4 SPDR S&P International Dividend ETF (NYSEARCA: DWX ) If you want to stay global, DWX could be your ticket as this fund focuses only on high yielding stocks from around the globe. After all, most developed economies are supposed to carry on their accommodative stance next year unlike the U.S. This is done by tracking the S&P International Dividend Opportunities Index, a benchmark that holds about 100 securities in its basket. Currently, the $1 billion-fund is a bit heavy on traditional high yield sectors like financials (24.8%), utilities (22.8%), telecom (15.9%), and energy (14.2%), though no single company accounts for more than 3.4% of the total assets. In terms of yields, this pays a solid 5.91%, while it charges investors a reasonable 45 basis points a year in fees for the service. The fund was up over 6.9% in the last five days (as of October 5, 2015). Vanguard High Dividend Yield ETF (NYSEARCA: VYM ) This large cap centric fund provides exposure to the high yielding U.S. dividend stocks by tracking the FTSE High Dividend Yield Index and could thus be a lucrative option for those seeking higher current income. The ETF is one of the largest and popular choices in the dividend ETF space with AUM of over $10.3 billion. Expense ratio comes in at 10 bps (read: 3 Excellent Dividend ETFs for Growth and Income ). In terms of sector, the fund is widely spread out with financials, consumer goods, technology, industrials, health care, and oil & gas taking double-digit exposure in the basket. The fund yields 3.33% as of October 5 and was up over 5.6% in the last five trading sessions. The ETF has a Zacks ETF Rank #3 (Hold) with a Medium risk outlook (read: 3 Cheap Value ETFs with Strong Dividend ). Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (NYSEARCA: SCHD ) This fund tracks the Dow Jones U.S. Dividend 100 Index, which measures the performance of high dividend yielding U.S. stocks that have a record of consistently paying dividends. Notably, companies, that raise dividends regularly, appear steadier than those which offer higher yields. In a market crash, these dividend aristocrats stand out pretty strong and navigate through volatility. The product has already amassed roughly $2.51 billion in assets and has a dividend yield of 3.15%. The fund charges a meager 7 bps in fees and trades in solid volume of more than 500,000 shares per day. Consumer Staples is the fund’s focus sector with about one-fourth exposure followed by IT (19.74%) and Industrials (13.85%). It currently has a Zacks Rank #3 and added about 5.3% in the last five trading sessions (as of October 5, 2015). SPDR Dividend ETF (NYSEARCA: SDY ) This fund provides exposure to the 102 U.S. stocks that have been consistently increasing their dividend every year for at least 25 years. It follows the S&P High Yield Dividend Aristocrats Index and has amassed $12 billion in AUM. Volume is solid, exchanging more than 765,000 shares in hand, while expense ratio comes in at 0.35%. The product is widely diversified across components as each security accounts for less than 2.81% of total assets. Financials is the top sector taking up one-fourth of the portfolio while consumer staples (15.1%), industrials (13.4%) and utilities (11.8%) round off the next three spots. The fund was up nearly 5% in the last five days and has a Zacks ETF Rank of 3. Link to the original post on Zacks.com