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5 Huge Advantages You Have Over Professional Investors

Summary 5 ways you are better than the Wall Street pros. Why you should ignore what the pros are doing. How to take advantage of your advantages. “Don’t bother. The professionals are better than you and they know something you don’t.” Really? There’s some truth to that, but there’s plenty of lies mixed in that short statement too. And it’s easy to dismiss yourself or come up with excuses for why you can’t do it. Here are five to get things started. 5 Common Excuses That Investors Believe The market definitely knows more than me. I’m not smart enough to invest on my own and build wealth. I always miss out on the best opportunities. I can’t beat the computer trading that the market uses. I don’t know where or how to start. Sure there’s some validity to each excuse above. But investing is unique because anyone can be a good investor. The Uniqueness of the Stock Market Outside of the stock market, it’s a good idea to find a professional to solve a problem instead of trying to do it yourself or asking the average Joe next door. Need a kidney transplant? Find a surgeon. Not Ms. Traci, your old biology teacher. But the investment industry is one of the very few where you don’t need any qualification, practice, skill or even knowledge to be involved in the markets. The entry criteria is zero, which is why so many people lose money, throw their hands in the air and forever condemn the stock market as a rigged gambling machine. But choose your direction wisely from the get-go (value investing for you and me), build a good framework based on good guidance, quality investment books and investing resources, and it’s easy to do well. Ignore all the talking heads using jargon or the people who talk about much money they are raking in. All they want to do is make you feel dumb and gloat about how smart they are. But what if you continue to disbelieve, or you know people who continue to doubt that investing successfully on your own is possible? You don’t need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beats the guy with 130 IQ. – Warren Buffett If you have more than 120 or 130 I.Q. points, you can afford to give the rest away. You don’t need extraordinary intelligence to succeed as an investor. – Warren Buffett Here are 5 advantages small investors hold over professionals that you must take advantage of. 1. As a Small Investor You Are Able to Choose Your Expertise When you are investing as an individual, you are free to choose whatever specialty you like. You can choose whatever stock to invest in. Large. Small. Biotech. Miners. Safety. Whatever. You can even choose to focus and become an expert in a few industries that excite you or take a broader approach. On the other hand, professionals are paid to focus on certain fields or investing strategies. If you get sick of an industry, just move onto your next interest. Professionals don’t have this luxury of choosing their strengths. As a small investor, you are agile and can go to different market caps, sectors, and even buy some odd lots for a quick turnover. 2. You Can Go Against the Grain Professional investors follow the herd. It’s better to be incorrect with the herd and maintain job security instead of sticking your neck out and getting fired if the investment doesn’t work out. You don’t have a boss obsessed with profits breathing down your neck with another younger guy waiting in line to take your job. You’re free to take a contrarian approach like the good ol’ net net strategy or concentrating on Buffett type stocks. The pros will start investing in an “uncertain” stock, sector or country once it starts to rebound – when the best time to invest has already passed. 3. You Are Not Judged Monthly, Quarterly or Yearly Not being obsessed with beating the market is one of the biggest advantages you have. Because the pros have clients and upper management demanding results, the only thing they can do is chase hot stocks, hot trends and buy and sell quickly so as not to “look” left out. Ignoring short term results and focusing on the big picture will put you in a position to succeed. The once bad Golden State Warriors didn’t win the NBA championship by flipping players every time something didn’t work out. They had a long term team building strategy that paid off in the end. Being able to sacrifice short term results to compound long term wealth is a huge advantage. 4. You Can Afford to Be Patient Can’t find a company to invest in? That’s ok because you can hold cash and wait for the right opportunity. Nobody is going to say anything because you hold 30% of your portfolio in cash. You also put yourself in the best position to succeed by buying depressed securities and playing the waiting game. Professionals on the other hand are risk-averse as they can’t afford to lose their client’s money. This leads to following the herd and mediocre returns. 5. It’s Cheaper You don’t need a room full of computers, computerized trading system software or instant access to information. You don’t have to pay people for insider “tips”. With all the high frequency trading going on, the long term value investing approach saves you money on commissions, taxes and other fees. Take Advantage of Your Advantages There’s no reason to play the same game as the professionals. In Malcolm Gladwell’s book David and Goliath , it covers how the “disadvantaged” overcome the expected winners. An important observation was that if David (the small investor) tries to take on Goliath (Wall Street professionals) within the same set of rules, the winner is always Goliath. However, by not playing by the same system and expectations, David is able to defeat Goliath. In other words, as a small investor, do what the big boys can’t to beat them at their own game. In 2008, Buffett bet that a low cost index fund will outperform a fund of hedge funds. Over a ten-year period commencing on January 1, 2008, and ending on December 31, 2017, the S&P 500 will outperform a portfolio of funds of hedge funds, when performance is measured on a basis net of fees, costs and expenses. The result at the start of 2015? The S&P500 up 63.5% and the hedge fund up around 19.6%. The takeaway? It’s only in the stock market where the average Joe can have such a strong advantage over the professionals. Make the most out of your advantages. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

REM Compared To Equal Weighted mREIT Portfolios

Summary REM holds up better than I would have expected. Market capitalization weighting is easy, but may be less than ideal for reducing risk. REM is compared over a two-year period and a one-year period against hypothetical mREIT portfolios built at equal weights. When I was taking a look at the iShares Mortgage Real Estate Capped ETF (NYSEARCA: REM ), one of my thoughts was that the portfolio would be more attractive with a different weighting scheme. My views on that have changed some since Annaly Capital Management (NYSE: NLY ) reported an excellent second quarter and its new strategy sounds much better . However, I still wondered from a risk-adjusted viewpoint how different an ETF might look if it held the same holdings, but applied an equal weight methodology rather than using market cap weights. The Benefits of Market Capitalization Weighting The biggest advantage to using market capitalization is that it is remarkably easy. The fund establishes the volume of assets and the total market cap of each company. They spend on the shares accordingly, and if they were not trying to grow assets in the ETF (to generate more fees), they would simply leave that same structure in place. The only modifications to be made would be to adjust for the new shares issued and old shares repurchased. In general, this is a very simple kind of ETF to run. The Problem When using market cap weighting, if a company becomes relatively overvalued, it is also likely to have a higher weight in the portfolio. Unless the overvalued status is coinciding with repurchasing shares to shrink the market cap, the weighting will grow. That is unfortunate. It also means a portfolio may have substantially less diversification if some holdings grow large enough to dominate a large chunk of the portfolio. Equal Weighting My theory was that even though smaller companies will on average be more volatile (as demonstrated in the charts I will provide), the benefit of better diversification could cancel out those effects. Equal weighting is rarely going to be the ideal method, but it provides a simple alternative to market capitalization. Findings I originally built a spreadsheet to run an analysis of correlations and simulate different portfolios, but I find the tools at InvestSpy.com were faster than running it through my spreadsheets. Therefore, I simulated the portfolios using its website. REM has a total of 39 holdings, but I ran my first comparison using only 20 mREITs. The names included several of the largest from the REM portfolio and some that I cover that are not given material weights in the portfolio. The analysis was based on comparing the last 2 years of returns. REM 2 Years (click to enlarge) The primary factor that I’m looking at here is that the annualized volatility of the portfolio is 12% and the beta is .42. I’m focused on testing for risk rather than testing for historical returns since using historical returns would create an enormous bias into the test, as I could simply avoid selecting mREITs that have cratered when designing my comparable 20 mREIT portfolio. Equal Weighted 20 The next table is going to be dramatically larger because it is showing the numbers for each individual mREIT. (click to enlarge) This portfolio made of 20 mREITs with equal weights shows a lower annualized volatility at 11.2%; however, it also shows a beta that is slightly higher at .43. I would say that given the sample size (only 2 years), the beta comparison is within the margin of error. Some other factors jump out when we look at this as well. The stock that generated the highest risk contribution was CYS Investments (NYSE: CYS ). It was not the highest volatility, it was not the highest beta, and yet it contributed the most to the portfolio. It also had one of the best return percentages. On the other hand, Blackstone Mortgage Trust (NYSE: BXMT ) delivered in every way. The risk contribution was low and the annualized volatility was the lowest within the group. Despite that, it had a total return of 31.2%, which should remind readers that not all risk and return tradeoffs are created equally. Both the highest-risk contributor and the lowest-risk contributor were near the top of the chart in their total return over the last 2 years. One-Year Comparisons The following chart has REM’s performance over the last year: (click to enlarge) For comparison, this time I wanted to replicate a larger portfolio, so I am only excluding one security from the portfolio. That security has a very short history and thus is not viable for the statistics. It should be noted that I have cropped the following image to make it substantially shorter since the site struggles with displaying longer charts. (click to enlarge) In this second comparison, there are about 37 mREITs all under equal weighting, but the annualized volatility for the portfolio is within a margin of error. In the context of a year, .1% is not reliable. Interesting Notes When I shifted to using 37 mREITs for the one-year measure, I was expecting it to result in a larger reduction in volatility, but it did not. It would seem the volatility of those smaller mREITs was enough to outweigh the benefits of more diversification. Investing in ETFs is generally relying on diversification within moderately efficient markets to be worth the costs. For the mREIT investor that has the best information, I don’t think the diversification is adding any advantages. However, for the mREIT investor who just wants to set it and forget it, the REM portfolio has done remarkably well. Comparison of Holdings The following chart shows the top 10 holdings of REM: (click to enlarge) As you can see Annaly Capital Management and American Capital Agency Corp. (NASDAQ: AGNC ) dominate the portfolio and combine to be over 26% of the portfolio value. Conclusion The way REM designs the portfolio is not perfect in my opinion; however, it is still done well enough to offer investors some fairly substantial reduction in risk. The expense ratio is high for my tastes at .48%, but at least investors are receiving a fairly substantial reduction in volatility, and when compared to other weighting methods, such as going equal weight, REM has done fairly well. If you are curious about the risk factors for REM, you’ll want to see my last piece on the ETF . Next time I cover REM I’m going to establish comparisons to the portfolio I would create if I were aiming to produce an ETF full of mREITs. Scroll up to the top of the article and hit the follow button so you don’t miss it. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Additional disclosure: Information in this article represents the opinion of the analyst. All statements are represented as opinions, rather than facts, and should not be construed as advice to buy or sell a security. Ratings of “outperform” and “underperform” reflect the analyst’s estimation of a divergence between the market value for a security and the price that would be appropriate given the potential for risks and returns relative to other securities. The analyst does not know your particular objectives for returns or constraints upon investing. All investors are encouraged to do their own research before making any investment decision. Information is regularly obtained from Yahoo Finance, Google Finance, and SEC Database. If Yahoo, Google, or the SEC database contained faulty or old information it could be incorporated into my analysis.

Media Stocks Steady; Report Dissects Pay-TV Losses

The meltdown in media stocks took a breather on Monday though yet another report showed big Q2 subscriber losses for pay-TV companies, especially satellite broadcasters DirecTV Group and Dish Network (DISH). Media stocks were pummeled after companies reported disappointing Q2 earnings amid investor anxiety over a frayed pay-TV ecosystem and continued “cord-cutting” by young adults. But in early afternoon trading in the stock market today, shares