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Risk Factors Drive Lazard’s Systematic Approach To Core Investing

By DailyAlts Staff Core investments are those that anchor the portfolio. Typically, investors pursue exposure to broad-market benchmarks, such as S&P 500 or MSCI indexes for stocks, and the Barclays Aggregate Index for bonds, as part of their core holdings, with the intent of minimizing the unexpected. But rather than passively investing in index funds, Lazard (NYSE: LAZ ) thinks investors should take a systematic approach to implementing core investing strategies, and that is the subject of the firm’s latest Investment Focus white paper: Core Advantage: The Case for a Systematic Approach to Core Investing . The Non-Systematic Approach Managers pursuing non-systematic approaches to providing core exposure suffer from several pitfalls, first among which is the tendency for them to introduce unwanted risks to a portfolio in pursuit of benchmark-beating returns. This can happen from overweighting stocks according to style, market cap, or geographic region. While it might prove rewarding under certain market environments, it can result in outsized losses when trends unexpectedly reverse, and this is not what most investors are looking for from their core holdings. The image below shows how market favor has vacillated over time, shifting between growth and value stocks; large caps and small; and developed and emerging markets: The Systematic Approach The authors of Lazard’s paper believe the systematic approach is the best for core investing, because it allows managers to maintain stricter parameters relative to their benchmark, by ensuring against concentration according to market cap, sector, or country. Additionally, using a rules-based, data-driven, and systematic approach allows managers to analyze hundreds, even thousands of stocks within a given universe, in real-time using a bottom-up process; and to combine “robust risk management” with stock selection. How does it work? Well, according to Lazard, various risk factors have been rewarded by markets over time, including valuation, sentiment, and quality, as depicted in the image below: Valuation compares a company’s price to its peers and its own historical record, and favors companies that are inexpensive and offer long-term value. It’s a contrarian approach, and investors need to be prepared to endure short-term, unrealized losses. Sentiment is gauged by looking at the stock’s price strength, relative to the other stocks in its sector and broader benchmark, as well as analyst upgrades. In Lazard’s approach, liquidity is also taken into account by looking at volume-weighted momentum, and companies with strengthening momentum are favored while those with weakening momentum are disfavored. Quality is assessed by stability of returns and low earnings-volatility. According to Lazard, quality stocks are often those in the process of “migrating” from the realm of growth stocks to that of value. Systematic Evolution Systematic investing avoids concentrating investments in any one area and seeks to maintain a composition similar to that of its benchmark. This requires what Lazard calls an “evolving approach,” wherein investment professionals are constantly researching and testing potential improvements to the investment process. Lazard’s own approach, as implemented by the Lazard Equity Advantage team, is “uniquely positioned to help clients achieve their investment goals,” according to Lazard. “This has proved to be a solid foundation on which to build equity asset class exposure – especially through core approaches – and long-term investment program success.” For more information, download a pdf copy of the white paper .

MLP Returns In Your IRA Or Tax Protected Account: Number 3 In The Series

Two MLP CEFs that offer yields over 7% at current prices. Using these CEFs allows one to keep them in an IRA or Tax protected account without concern over the $1000.00 UBTI limit. Both of these CEFs is currently selling below NAV. This is the third article to cover various CEFs, ETFs and ETNs that cover high return issues like MLPs and REITs that are useful for an IRA and/or other tax deferred accounts. The first article in the series is here and the second is here . This piece examines several funds that were suggested in the comments section of my first article, NML and CEM . Neuberger Berman MLP Income Fund distributes payments monthly and currently pays $0.105 per share on the last day of the month. At a price of around $16.00 per share, the fund offers nearly an 8% yield. The chart below indicates that the fund is selling at its low for the year. (click to enlarge) Source: Interactive Brokers NML originated on 3/25/2013 as a CEF and the value of the fund has increased just short of 6% over the past 2 years. The fund is selling at about an 8% discount to NAV since the NAV was $18.43 as of 6/18/2015 and sold for about $17.00 per share on the same date. The CEF’s holdings as of 5/31/2015 are displayed below: (click to enlarge) Source: Neuberger Berman Web Site The current list of holdings is showing either a yield that is the same or greater than last year, which should indicate that the current dividend is relatively safe. However, there is no guarantee that there will not be decreases in the monthly payment at some future time if the prices of oil and gas don’t hold up. The managers of the fund are Douglas Rachlin with 29 years of investment experience and Yves Siegel who has 30 years of investment experience. Both managers personally own several thousand shares of the fund, assuring investors they have a vested in interest in the CEF doing well. The portfolio turnover ran at 10% for 2014 and expenses for the fund excluding income tax were 1.77%. Total expenses including income tax ran near 8%. Since the fund pays income tax on MLP earnings, one does not have to deal with a K-1 or have any concern about having this fund in an IRA. The fund uses leverage and recently updated its lending facility. The fund has the ability to finance $500 million of leverage with a $300 million floating rate facility and a $200 million fixed-rate facility. Clearbridge Energy MLP Fund Inc. (NYSE: CEM ) is a MLP closed end fund run by Legg Mason Global Asset Management. Total assets of the fund amount to $3.12 billion with quarterly distributions that have been increasing gradually since the fund was first started in 2010. Distributions started at $0.35 per share in 2010 with the latest distribution at $0.42 per share. This fund like the others covered in the series sends a 1099 at the end of year so an investor does not need to be concerned about K-1s. Michael Clarfeld, a CFA with 15 years of investment experience, Chris Eades with 23 years of investment experience and Peter Vanderlee, a CFA with 16 years of investment experience are the directors of the fund . The investment objective of the fund is to provide a high level of total return with an emphasis on cash distributions. The fund has grown both the dividend and the NAV since inception, see below: (click to enlarge) Source: Clearbridge Web Site The top 10 holdings of the fund are listed below: Source: Clearbridge Web Site One can see from the fund’s asset allocation below that it is not dependent upon drilling for oil and gas the dividend: Source: Clearbridge Web Site CEM recently completed a private placement of preferred stock and notes totaling $258 million to make new investments. So it is certain that the managers of the fund are planning to exercise leverage in the portfolio. The current expense ratio for this CEF is 2.19%. The current price of CEM is around $23.00 per share with a quarterly distribution of $0.42 per share so that the current yield of the fund is around 7.3%. The fund is selling about 7.5% below NAV just as NML is, so one can buy either of these funds at a discount to the actual worth of their holdings. The holdings of these 2 funds are somewhat different, so an investor desiring greater diversification with one’s MLP holdings could consider buying some of both funds. Conclusion: Both of these CEFs offers a yield over 7% at current market prices and is selling considerably below NAV. Although both have relatively high expense ratios, the leverage these CEFs uses helps cover these costs so that yields remain high. CEM has been in existence longer and has shown greater appreciation and growth in yield than NML and could be the better CEF. However, buying a bit of both gives one greater diversification in the MLP industry without having to deal with K-1s. Using these CEFs as well as others I have covered in the past allow one to have MLPs in a tax-protected account without the concern over the $1000.00 limit imposed by the IRS on UBTI. In addition, they also offer greater diversification and no concern about K-1s if one desires to use them in a regular account. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Duke Energy Should Be On An Income Investor’s List

The company is streamlining its operations and focus on growth should propel its stock price. Increased revenues and cash flows from growth projects should result in increased dividend growth. Current price represents a good entry point for long term investors. Duke Energy (NYSE: DUK ) has had mixed fortunes over the past five quarters. The revenues and earnings of the company have been fluctuating, which is odd for a large utility like Duke. The trend in the stock price has been consistent with the trend in its revenues and earnings over the last twelve months. It touched $90 in January but could not maintain that level and the stock has been on a declining trend over the last six months. This, I believe, has created a good entry point for income investors. Duke Energy has been repositioning its business by selling its competitive business assets. The company has strategic growth plans that involve getting an extended, renewable energy generation asset base; such plans will benefit the company in the long-run, as the company’s revenue and cash flow growth will improve which will reduce shareholder risk and maintain investors’ confidence in the longer term. The company is seeking an opportunity to invest in Green projects worth $4 billion which will further boost its growth. It has also plans for the accelerated investments in solar, biomass and natural gas. Duke also plans to convert its coal field plants to natural gas ones in order to have larger asset base. However, this is a long-term investment, approximately 4 to 5 years horizon should be kept in mind. It will be a joint venture to service more territories with expanded gas generation. As a result, this huge investment will boost growth that in return will increase revenues and maintain stable cash flow base. This will have a significant positive affect on the DUK’s share price. On the other hand, the recent sale of non-regulated Midwest assets and the subsequent buy back of shares will increase the company’s earnings per share. It will also allow DUK to repay debt and make its financial position stronger. Duke Energy also has plans to access some cash, in the form of unremitted international business earnings, in the next 8 years that will have a positive effect on its performance. This will allow the company to grow its profitable operations and expand its natural gas pipelines in North Carolina, as discussed above, to cater for more demand. Furthermore, the cash from international business segments will finance future growth and create value for its shareholders in the longer term. Duke energy is a good investment for income investors – it yields a return of 4.1%, with dividends paid quarterly. All of the above repositioning strategies will accelerate dividend growth for the shareholders. It will also improve the overall business risk of DUK and make investors more confident as it will also lower the shareholders’ risk. However, the company will remain exposed to the risk of sudden changes in regulatory restrictions. In addition, any carelessness exhibited by company’s management during the execution of its planned investment might hinder its future growth potentials. Furthermore, unforeseen negative economic changes, foreign currency volatility and adverse weather conditions are key risks that might restrict its stock price performance in the years ahead. Duke’s long term prospects look good. However, with the demand growth in the US expected to slow in the coming years, Duke Energy might face some difficulties on the revenues front in the domestic market. As a backup plan, it can still generate growth with its international energy business by focusing on overseas operations. Duke has effectively modified its portfolio with wind and solar power projects lined up for the future. Most importantly, this company also remains committed towards enhancing operational efficiency and cutting down costs to further fuel earnings growth. In conclusion, Duke Energy had a successful 2014, is off to another strong one this year, and if all goes according to the plan, it will pass along another dividend increase to shareholders very soon. The company’s share price is currently following a declining trend, but with revenues and earnings expected to rise due to the growth projects, there is a lot of upside to the share price. For income investors looking for a stable, secure, high-yield investment opportunity, Duke Energy should certainly be considered. Disclosure: I am not a registered investment advisor and the views expressed in this article are my own. These views should not be taken as an investment advice or recommendation to buy or sell the shares. Investors should conduct their own due diligence before making an investment decision. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.