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Diving Into The Deep End With Water Utilities

Only 11 investor-owned water utilities remain in the United States. Water utilities offer a steady income but increases in revenue often must be negotiated with regulatory bodies. CTWS and others have used acquisitions as a means to ensure growth amidst a regulated pricing environment. Descriptions ARTNA AWR CTWS CWCO CWT Yearly Forward Dividend 0.89 0.90 1.07 0.30 0.67 Yield 3.43% 2.16% 2.9% 2.57% 2.99% Payout Ratio 68.55% 52.46% 50.76% 63.31% 55.94% 5 year Div Annual Growth 3.3% 10.50% 2.33% 1.39% 2.02% Over the past five years AWR has seen impressive dividend growth, allowing it to beat the S&P 500. The rest have fallen short but in the process have offered nice yields that have continued to rise, albeit at a modest clip. SPY data by YCharts Artesian Resources (NASDAQ: ARTNA ) is the largest investor owned water utility on the Delmarva Peninsula and eighth largest in the US. It serves 301,000 people with 82,900 metered customers, producing 7.6 billion gallons per year. There is 1,201 miles of main, 5,827 fire hydrants and 69 treatment facilitates. The average residential water service cost for customers is $1.57 per day. Source: ARTNA Investor Relations Website Artesian invested $23.7 million in infrastructure improvements in 2014. American States Water Company (NYSE: AWR ) is a public utility holding company that owns 100% of its subsidiaries, Golden State Water Company and American States Utility Services, Inc. GSWC is a regulated water utility servicing 258,000 customers in California and electricity for 24,000, also in California. 75 cities are served with 38 water stations. ASUS offers contracted water and waste water services. Presently nine military bases water needs are being provided by ASUS with more active bids taking place and have the potential to be awarded in the next 5 years. Many of these contracts with military bases are 50 year contracts. 60% of AWR’s water supply comes from groundwater and 35% from Metropolitan Water Districts and its member agencies (mostly from the Colorado River). Source: AWR Investor Relations Website For the last two years AWR has instituted stock share repurchases each amounting of up to 3.2% of total outstanding shares. Connecticut Water Service Inc. (NASDAQ: CTWS ) is a regionally focused, regulated water utility. In addition to coverage in Connecticut, CTWS also owns the Main Water Company that covers small regions of Maine. There are 123,000 utility customers, 2,100 miles of pipe, 239 wells, 25 surface water supplies providing 176 million gallons per day. Source: CTWS Investor Relations Website CTWS’s strategy for growth is conservative acquisitions, such as two Maine water companies in 2012. Consolidated Water Co. Ltd. ( CWCO ) is a company focused on the business of seawater reverse osmosis desalination plans and water distributions in the Caribbean across 14 plants with a production capacity of 26.4 million gallons per day. Source: CWCO Investor Relations Website As of last quarter, CWCO plans on beginning the process of assisting in building another plant costing $600 million, this time in the continental United States. CWCO will take a minority position in the plant and will assist in operating it. This plant will be in Rosarito, Mexico and will serve Tijuana, Mexico’s 1.8 million people and San Diego, California’s 3.1 million. California Water Service Group ( CWT ) is the third largest investor-owned water utility in the US and provides water utility services for customers in California, Washington, New Mexico, and Hawaii. In these states CWT serves more than 2 million people through just shy of 500,000 customer connections, 95% of which are in California. Source: CWT Investor Relations Website In 2014 CWT invested $132 million in capital improvements and received authorization from regional governments to increase their rates, yielding $45 million in new revenue.

Take Your PIIC – Philippines, Indonesia, India Or China

Summary Consider to invest in Asia. Within Asia I believe the best countries to invest in are the Philippines, Indonesia, India, China and Vietnam. All have high growth driven by domestic consumption. All except China have incredibly low household debt to GDP compared to their Asian peers, which will allow them to easily borrow more and build more. The “Asian Century” has arrived and if you fail to invest in it you are missing an enormous long-term opportunity to grow your wealth. In this article, I discuss what I believe to be the top five Asian destinations for investment and why. But first, why invest in Asia? The answer is simply because it is growing more rapidly than any other continent on the planet. By 2030, Asia Pacific is estimated to contribute a staggering 59% of global consumption , up from 23% in 2009. Some key points from DBS on where Asia is heading in the next 25 years: · Asia adds a Germany (in economic terms) every 3.5 years, and will add three Europe’s in 25 years (by 2040), or if Asian currencies appreciate one to two percent pa (as is the norm for developing economies), Asia will add 5 or 6 Euro zones by 2040. · The Asian middle class is set to triple (to 1.8b) in size between 2015 and 2020, and to have increased 615% (6.15 fold) between 2009 (525m) and 2030 (3,228m). · China (59%) and India (16%) will dominate the Asian middle class. · For every addition to the US population, Asia’s headcount will rise by seven. · China’s growth is moving inland, and also towards Central Asia. · Capital will flow to Asia like never before. Why? Businesses want to be where the growth is. Ever hear one say different? In 2039, when Asia has added three Euro zones, it will be creating a Germany every seven months. That’s a pretty big attraction. Inflows mean currency appreciation. Asian currencies will rise against the dollar, euro and yen. · China’s per-capita energy consumption is one-eighth what it is in the US, India’s is one-twentieth. Rising incomes mean Asia’s energy demand will continue to soar. Asian, not G3 demand, will drive the price of energy. Source The World’s largest economies in 2010 and 2050 Source You can read more about the rising Asian middle class in my previous article here . Why Philippines, Indonesia, India and China? I choose these as my top 4 Asian countries to invest because they have high growth (domestic driven), low household debts (see chart below), and a rising middle class (with jobs and wage growth). The best time to buy is ideally when valuations are good (PEs below 15), or dollar cost averaging. Source No1- Philippines The Philippines’ main advantage is their cheap, young and skilled labour force with excellent English skills. The BPO industry is growing around 20% pa (it grew 18.7% in 2014). The Philippines is currently growing around 5.6% pa (with a long term growth rate estimated at 7.3% pa), with the main growth drivers being overseas foreign worker’s remittances, and the BPO (call centre, back office administration) industry. Tourism, manufacturing (electronics, ship building), mining and farming also contribute. This money is being channeled into the property sector, combined with increased lending (household debt is a mere 6% of GDP). Demographics are excellent with around half the population below 25, and salaries are rising at least 6.5% pa, or higher in the BPO industry where staff are paid sign on bonuses. The property boom can run for many years as pent up demand for housing is huge and prices are still low at just USD 3,156 psqm or less in Manila. The banks are making good net interest margins around 3.02 %, and growing their loan books 20% pa, with non-performing loans at a very low 1.8% and double digit profits. Investors can buy iShares MSCI Philippines ETF (NYSEARCA: EPHE ), currently on a PE of 21.17 as of 30 September 2015. No 2 – Indonesia Indonesia has a huge population with strong demographics, a rising middle class, and improving Government. Indonesia GDP was 5.0% in 2014, however it is expected to average 6.8% pa in the long term (see table below). Along with Philippines and India, it has very low household debt, and rising employment and wages. The new Government seems focused to reduce debt and build infrastructure. In October 2015, they announced a USD 5 billion high speed railway from Jakarta to Bandung in a JV with China Railway Group (00390:xhkg) (PE 10.1). Property prices are low at just USD 2,766 psqm, and rising . Investors can buy iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF (NYSEARCA: EIDO ), currently on a PE of 18.19 as of 30 September 2015. No 3 – China China is off course the booming manufacturing hub of the World, but is changing to be a more consumer led economy. This is causing a slowdown in fixed asset investment, and the so called “China slowdown” and “commodities rout”. Their GDP is currently 7.0% and slowing. Demographics and household debt levels are not so good; however, the rising middle class is still huge. The best way to play China is to buy into the consumer sector via a fund or individual stocks. A suitable fund would be db x-trackers CSI300 Consumer Discretionary 1D ETF. Chinese (Shanghai, Beijing) property is not as expensive as India (Mumbai), and is priced at USD 6,392 psqm. Investors can buy iShares MSCI China ETF (NYSEARCA: MCHI ), currently on a PE of 14.56 as of 30 September 2015. Another good choice is db X-trackers Harvest CSI 300 CHINA A-Sh ETF (NYSEARCA: ASHR ). No 4 – India India has perhaps the best growth potential but is expensive on current valuations (PE around 30), so best to wait for opportunity to buy in or average into the market over time. Current GDP is around 7.3% pa, and the long term average is expected to be around 8.0% pa. Indian labour is cheap with strong English and IT skills. Property is growing but expensive in the major cities such as Mumbai at USD 11,455 psqm, which may be a drag on the short term growth (as in China). By 2050, India is expected to be the World’s largest economy (see earlier table). Investors can buy iShares MSCI India ETF (BATS: INDA ), currently on a PE of 30.75 as of 30 September 2015. No 5 – Vietnam Vietnam is my preferred short-term pick as PEs are around 13, so great value now. Long term its prospects are also good, as it is a cheaper manufacturing hub to China and jobs are booming as a result. Household debt is low at around 20% to GDP. Investors can buy db x-trackers FTSE Vietnam ETF (GR). I would avoid Malaysia (household debt to income of 146% ) and Thailand (debt 121% ), based on high personal debts and economies that are heavily dependent on exports. Many frontier markets will also offer good returns for investors but perhaps at greater risk, so invest accordingly. Other high growth countries (listed below) to consider are Nigeria, Iraq, Bangladesh, Vietnam, Mongolia, Sri Lanka and Egypt. Source : Finally, for those that want something different, then consider to invest in either Pakistan (PE 9.2) via db x-trackers Pakistan (03106:xhkg), or Central Asia and Kazakhstan via Global X Central Asia & Mongolia Index ETF (NYSEARCA: AZIA ) (PE of 16.7), as China is pushing infrastructure and growth in that direction.

Emerging Market Asset Flow Rebounds: ETFs In Focus

Emerging market equities seem to have gained some traction. The latest data from Bloomberg showed that emerging market ETFs experienced near $1 billion in net asset inflow last week ended October 9, driven mainly by movements in India, Mexico and Russia. This was a sharp rebound from the prior week ended October 2, when outflows from these funds more than doubled from the week-ago level. Inflows into emerging-market ETFs totaled $936 million last week, more than offsetting the $828 million in outflows over the previous two weeks. Stock funds gathered $982.4 million in assets but bond funds exhaled $46.4 million. Notably, the MSCI Emerging Markets Index rose 6.9% last week, the fastest pace since the week ended December 2, 2011. Per Bloomberg, India witnessed the biggest inflow with collections of $150.9 million, compared with an outflow of $25.4 million in the prior week. Stock funds accumulated $151.7 million while bond funds moved out $0.8 million. The huge inflow in Indian ETFs can be attributed to the Reserve Bank of India’s move to cut its key interest rate by 50 basis points (bps) to 6.75% in a bid to boost economic activity as well as the IMF forecast of India retaining the world’s fastest growing economy status. According to IMF, the Indian economy is expected to grow 7.3% in 2015, compared with 6.8% growth in China and 2.6% in the U.S. Mexico experienced the second biggest inflow. Investors added $135.9 million to this country’s ETFs last week, as compared to $35.3 million of redemptions in the previous week. Stock funds gained $141.4 million, while bond funds fell $5.5 million in the week. Latin America’s second biggest economy has been recovering from the oil price crash. Domestic strength, improving U.S. economy, decreasing unemployment rate and subdued inflation bode well for the Mexican economy. Russia recorded the third biggest movement with $133.9 million in inflows. Stock funds added $135.7 million while bond funds saw an outflow of $1.7 million last week. The surge in Russian ETFs can be attributed to the rebound in oil price and stabilization of the ruble, raising hopes that the nation’s economic situation may not deteriorate to the level apprehended. Below we highlight four emerging market ETFs that have experienced significant net asset inflow in the week ended October 9. Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta Emerging Markets ETF (NYSEARCA: GEM ) – $157.26 Million This recently launched smart beta ETF tracks the Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta Emerging Markets Equity Index, designed to generate returns by selecting equities based on four well-established attributes of performance – good value, strong momentum, high quality and low volatility. The fund has the highest exposure to Asia, ex-Japan (68%), followed by Europe, Middle East and Africa (18.3%) and Latin America (13.6%). About a quarter of the assets in its portfolio are tied to financial firms. The ETF has amassed roughly $184 million in its asset base while it trades in a volume of roughly 74,000 shares a day. It charges 45 bps in fees from investors per year. Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (NYSEARCA: VWO ) – $139.29 Million This is the top asset grossing emerging market ETF, which follows the market-cap weighted FTSE Emerging Index that measures the performance of roughly 850 large and mid-cap companies in 22 emerging markets. This fund is highly focused on China (26.6%), followed by Taiwan (14.1%) and India (12.7%). Sector-wise, about a quarter of its total assets are related to financial services firms. VWO has garnered nearly $38 billion in assets and trades in a heavy volume of roughly 16 million shares per day. It charges 15 bps in annual fees and carries a Zacks ETF Rank #3 (Hold) with a Medium risk outlook. Market Vectors Russia ETF (NYSEARCA: RSX ) – $129.56 Million This ETF tracks the Market Vectors Russia Index, providing exposure to publicly-traded companies that are domiciled in Russia. The fund is heavily biased toward energy, followed by materials and financials. It has gathered around $2 billion in assets and trades in a hefty volume of nearly 12 million shares a day. It charges 63 bps in fees per year and carries a Zacks ETF Rank #4 (Sell) with a High risk outlook. iShares MSCI India (BATS: INDA ) – $119.14 Million INDA follows the MSCI India Index, which measures the performance of equity securities of the top 85% of companies in the Indian securities market. The fund gives the highest weight to the information technology sector, followed by financials and healthcare. It has garnered $3.8 billion in assets and trades in a solid volume of 2 million shares per day. It charges 68 bps in investor fees and carries a Zacks ETF Rank #2 (Buy) with a High risk outlook. Original Post