Tag Archives: itot

Millennials: Here’s Your Best 2016 Investment Portfolio

Congratulations! Here you are. A successful millennial. For the sake of argument, we are going to put you in the middle of this group, generally described as being born roughly between 1980 and 2000. We’ll stipulate that you are born in 1990, so graduated college in 2012 and are now four years into your working career. At 26 years of age, you have a long and bright working future ahead of you. You are clever enough to know that you should start investing now. At the same time, you are not all about money. You don’t want to be a slave to your investments, you want your investments to be a slave to you, and give you both the time and freedom to devote to the things that are important to you. Click to enlarge I’ll cut right to the chase. There are a ton of investment strategies from which you can choose. Here is the one I would suggest. First, open a brokerage account at Fidelity Investments. Second, buy these six ETFs, in the weightings shown: 45% – iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF (NYSEARCA: ITOT ) 10% – iShares Core High Dividend ETF (NYSEARCA: HDV ) 30% – iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF (NYSEARCA: IEFA ) 5% – iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (NYSEARCA: IEMG ) 5% – iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: AGG ) 5% – iShares TIPS Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: TIP ) Third, set up a schedule to rebalance regularly back to these weightings. That’s it. We’re done. I told you I would keep this brief. You can simply stop right here and implement the plan that I suggest. I’m guessing, though, that you won’t. You’d like to know a little more. OK, then. Feel free to read as little or much of what comes next as you wish. I’ll share a few basic thoughts, and then provide some links to yet further reading if you so desire. What’s So Great About This Portfolio? Simplicity: Containing only six ETFs, this portfolio will be extremely simple to both maintain and track. However, simple does not mean simplistic. I’ll talk about this a little more in the “diversification” section below. Low Costs: The cost, or overhead, is extremely small. Simply put, the greater the expenses your portfolio incurs, the less that makes it into your pocket. If you follow the links to the ETFs I provided above, you will notice that they sport expense ratios of between .03% and .20%. At the allocations I suggest, I calculate that your overall weighted expense ratio comes out to .0835%. That’s right. About eight hundredths of one percent. The rest? Into your pockets, to compound and grow. Zero Commissions: This is an important one. Likely, you will want to set up a regular investment plan, investing small incremental amounts on a regular basis. While ETFs are a great investment vehicle, if you have to pay $8-10 for every transaction, you lose the benefits very quickly. The ETFs I suggest are included in the 70 iShares ETFs that Fidelity allows you to trade commission-free. Diversification: Within the portfolio, you will gain exposure to both domestic and foreign stocks (including a modest allocation to emerging markets), bonds, and TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Securities). The weightings I suggest are relatively aggressive; appropriate for someone in their mid-20s to approximately 30. At the same time, I am including an element of defensiveness in the portfolio by including a small weighting directed at quality, dividend-paying stocks, as well as bonds and TIPS. These selections will both generate a little income that you can reinvest over time as well as offer a measure of protection should the market experience a steep decline; allowing you to rebalance the portfolio. Background and Further Reading Finally, let me share a little background information regarding how I came to this specific recommendation, as well as links to some further reading. Late last year, as part of my work as a contributor for Seeking Alpha, I researched the 2016 investment outlooks of several respected investment houses. Using that research as a guide, I created The ETF Monkey 2016 Model Portfolio . Next, I set up and tracked three iterations of the portfolio: Vanguard , Fidelity , and Charles Schwab . While, as I will explain below, I chose to feature Fidelity, you could follow the basic principles set out in this article and set up your portfolio at either Vanguard or Charles Schwab. The key, of course, would be to select ETFs that you could trade commission-free in each case. When I set up the portfolio, I must admit that my initial bias was in favor of Vanguard. Vanguard is a legendary provider, and offers a large selection of ETFs with some of the most competitive expense ratios in the marketplace. However, as I reported in my Q1 update , the Fidelity implementation was actually the top performer of the three. This slight outperformance has continued as of the date I sat down to write this article. Therefore, I decided to use Fidelity as my provider of choice. Finally, here is a little more detail on some recent changes to the iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF , the largest component of my recommended portfolio, as well as some thoughts on portfolio rebalancing . I hope this brief article has offered a helpful starting point. Feel free to drop your questions and comments below, and I will do my best to answer them. Disclosure: I am not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. Readers are cautioned that the material contained herein should be used solely for informational purposes, and are encouraged to consult with their financial and/or tax advisor respecting the applicability of this information to their personal circumstances. Investing involves risk, including the loss of principal. Readers are solely responsible for their own investment decisions.

ITOT: A Solid Core Holding For Building An Efficient Portfolio

Summary This ETF has a low expense ratio and looks like a solid option for a core position. As a total market ETF there is very little opportunity to modify exposures. Due to the sector allocations I believe the fund is best utilized when combining it with a small position in more specialized ETFs to tailor the sector allocations. Investors should be seeking to improve their risk adjusted returns. I’m a big fan of using ETFs to achieve the risk adjusted returns relative to the portfolios that a normal investor can generate for themselves after trading costs. One of the funds that I’m researching is the iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF (NYSEARCA: ITOT ). I’ll be performing a substantial portion of my analysis along the lines of modern portfolio theory, so my goal is to find ways to minimize costs while achieving diversification to reduce my risk level. Expense Ratio The expense ratio for ITOT is only .07%. I tend to be very frugal with my expense ratios, so I like to see those low levels. There are a couple lower expense ratio ETFs in the categories of broad or total market, but .07% is still pretty good. Depending on where an investor does their brokerage, they may have incentives to use different ETFs to mitigate trading fees. Largest Holdings The following chart shows the largest holdings for the fund: These shouldn’t be a surprise since this is a total market ETF. The holdings across most total market ETFs will be very similar which gives investors a good reason to watch for high expense ratios, bid-ask spreads, and trading commissions to determine their long term costs. These allocations are subject to change, but I wouldn’t expect much in the way of change. Given the presence of such strong dividend champions at the top of the chart, investors might expect a strong dividend yield. Instead, they’ll find the yield is only around 2%. That’s no problem for most investors that would just reinvest their dividends anyway, but it may be less than optimal for investors in retirement seeking stronger yields to provide income without selling shares. Sectors The following chart breaks down the allocation by sector: The only sector I’ve been generally opposed to over the last several months has been telecommunications due to the aggressive price wars being waged. In this case the telecommunications allocation is just over 2.14%. In my view, that is a positive factor because 2.14% is a fairly low allocation for telecommunications among domestic equity ETFs. Using the holdings chart above, we can also determine that AT&T (NYSE: T ) and Verizon (NYSE: VZ ) combined to be about 1.92% of the portfolio, so most of the telecommunications allocation is right there. Energy Energy can be a fairly tricky sector because it can be referring to established champions like Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM ) or it can be referring to massively more aggressive plays such as off shore oil drilling. I like the fundamental premise of owning enormous producers of oil. If oil ever becomes irrelevant, it would be a very bullish sign for the rest of the economy pointing towards very low cost transportation and more capital available for spending on other goods and services. In order to hedge that risk, I want to see some of the established oil companies in the ETFs I use in my personal portfolios. I really wouldn’t mind seeing a higher allocation here so long as it was those established champions. They don’t have anywhere near as much upside as buying those drilling operations, but I am happy to sacrifice the upside to have dramatically reduced downside. Information Technology I know this is a growing part of our economy and it may continue to grow dramatically because information technology firms will generally have access to great economies of scale. I want some exposure to this part of the economy, but I wouldn’t mind seeing a slightly lower allocation because with great economies of scale comes the opportunity for earnings to get punished by a large drawdown in the economy or a black swan event. By definition, we won’t be able to predict black swans. However, I do believe we can estimate which industries have more exposure to those events. One Other Note There are 1509 holdings in this fund and it tracks the S&P Composite 1500 index. In my opinion a fund holding 1500 individual securities and tracking an index of 1500 securities is a broad market ETF, not a total market ETF. In my view any domestic ETF with fewer than 2000 holdings looks more like a broad market ETF than a total market ETF. Conclusion Overall this looks like a fairly good ETF. Since the ETF is going for a very low expense ratio and a passive style, there is not much to be done about adjusting the allocations. My preferred way to use an ETF like this would be to combine it with another more specialized ETF that placed a very high emphasis on my preferred sectors. When the investor combines the iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF with another domestic equity fund they can look at the weighted average of the sector allocations which would be nice for building a very efficient portfolio.