Tag Archives: iemg

Millennials: Here’s Your Best 2016 Investment Portfolio

Congratulations! Here you are. A successful millennial. For the sake of argument, we are going to put you in the middle of this group, generally described as being born roughly between 1980 and 2000. We’ll stipulate that you are born in 1990, so graduated college in 2012 and are now four years into your working career. At 26 years of age, you have a long and bright working future ahead of you. You are clever enough to know that you should start investing now. At the same time, you are not all about money. You don’t want to be a slave to your investments, you want your investments to be a slave to you, and give you both the time and freedom to devote to the things that are important to you. Click to enlarge I’ll cut right to the chase. There are a ton of investment strategies from which you can choose. Here is the one I would suggest. First, open a brokerage account at Fidelity Investments. Second, buy these six ETFs, in the weightings shown: 45% – iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF (NYSEARCA: ITOT ) 10% – iShares Core High Dividend ETF (NYSEARCA: HDV ) 30% – iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF (NYSEARCA: IEFA ) 5% – iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (NYSEARCA: IEMG ) 5% – iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: AGG ) 5% – iShares TIPS Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: TIP ) Third, set up a schedule to rebalance regularly back to these weightings. That’s it. We’re done. I told you I would keep this brief. You can simply stop right here and implement the plan that I suggest. I’m guessing, though, that you won’t. You’d like to know a little more. OK, then. Feel free to read as little or much of what comes next as you wish. I’ll share a few basic thoughts, and then provide some links to yet further reading if you so desire. What’s So Great About This Portfolio? Simplicity: Containing only six ETFs, this portfolio will be extremely simple to both maintain and track. However, simple does not mean simplistic. I’ll talk about this a little more in the “diversification” section below. Low Costs: The cost, or overhead, is extremely small. Simply put, the greater the expenses your portfolio incurs, the less that makes it into your pocket. If you follow the links to the ETFs I provided above, you will notice that they sport expense ratios of between .03% and .20%. At the allocations I suggest, I calculate that your overall weighted expense ratio comes out to .0835%. That’s right. About eight hundredths of one percent. The rest? Into your pockets, to compound and grow. Zero Commissions: This is an important one. Likely, you will want to set up a regular investment plan, investing small incremental amounts on a regular basis. While ETFs are a great investment vehicle, if you have to pay $8-10 for every transaction, you lose the benefits very quickly. The ETFs I suggest are included in the 70 iShares ETFs that Fidelity allows you to trade commission-free. Diversification: Within the portfolio, you will gain exposure to both domestic and foreign stocks (including a modest allocation to emerging markets), bonds, and TIPS (Treasury Inflation Protected Securities). The weightings I suggest are relatively aggressive; appropriate for someone in their mid-20s to approximately 30. At the same time, I am including an element of defensiveness in the portfolio by including a small weighting directed at quality, dividend-paying stocks, as well as bonds and TIPS. These selections will both generate a little income that you can reinvest over time as well as offer a measure of protection should the market experience a steep decline; allowing you to rebalance the portfolio. Background and Further Reading Finally, let me share a little background information regarding how I came to this specific recommendation, as well as links to some further reading. Late last year, as part of my work as a contributor for Seeking Alpha, I researched the 2016 investment outlooks of several respected investment houses. Using that research as a guide, I created The ETF Monkey 2016 Model Portfolio . Next, I set up and tracked three iterations of the portfolio: Vanguard , Fidelity , and Charles Schwab . While, as I will explain below, I chose to feature Fidelity, you could follow the basic principles set out in this article and set up your portfolio at either Vanguard or Charles Schwab. The key, of course, would be to select ETFs that you could trade commission-free in each case. When I set up the portfolio, I must admit that my initial bias was in favor of Vanguard. Vanguard is a legendary provider, and offers a large selection of ETFs with some of the most competitive expense ratios in the marketplace. However, as I reported in my Q1 update , the Fidelity implementation was actually the top performer of the three. This slight outperformance has continued as of the date I sat down to write this article. Therefore, I decided to use Fidelity as my provider of choice. Finally, here is a little more detail on some recent changes to the iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF , the largest component of my recommended portfolio, as well as some thoughts on portfolio rebalancing . I hope this brief article has offered a helpful starting point. Feel free to drop your questions and comments below, and I will do my best to answer them. Disclosure: I am not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. Readers are cautioned that the material contained herein should be used solely for informational purposes, and are encouraged to consult with their financial and/or tax advisor respecting the applicability of this information to their personal circumstances. Investing involves risk, including the loss of principal. Readers are solely responsible for their own investment decisions.

A Window Of Opportunity For Emerging Market Assets

This week’s chart shows why we are in a sweet spot for emerging market (EM) assets. Three key headwinds for EM assets have abated lately, with a weakening U.S. dollar, a rebound in commodity prices and a recovering Chinese economy. Click to enlarge The Federal Reserve (Fed) has signaled it is set to keep rates on hold for now . This has lowered the near-term risk of EM capital outflows, weakened the U.S. dollar and boosted oversold EM currencies. Also supporting EMs are firming oil prices, fading global recession fears and signs that China’s economy may enjoy a cyclical rebound . This “sweet” economic backdrop helps explain an EM rebound, evident in EM-related exchange traded products (ETPs) attracting nearly $16 billion this year, according to BlackRock research. EM ETPs have recouped 75 percent of 2015 outflows, the “short EM” trade is much less crowded than it was at the start of the year, and EM valuations are no longer unambiguously cheap, our research suggests. Can the sweet spot continue? Fed tightening, a Chinese yuan devaluation or economic slowdown, and a renewed slump in oil prices are all risks to the EM story. We see the Fed remaining dovish through mid-year. Yet, risks could return in the second half as U.S. rates increase and China’s credit-fueled growth improvement slows. Evidence of structural reforms addressing excess debt, industrial overcapacity and low corporate profitability is needed, particularly in China, to spark a sustainable EM bull market. Policies currently supporting Chinese growth are actually increasing structural imbalances. However, while we are in the sweet spot, we do see selected opportunities among EM assets that investors may want to consider, including in EM local currency debt and certain equity markets. Read my full weekly commentary for more details on these opportunities. This post originally appeared on the BlackRock Blog.

ETFs To Watch As Emerging Market Asset Outflow Doubles

Emerging markets have been out of investors’ favor over the past several months piling up heavy losses. Domestic strength in the U.S. raising the possibility of a Fed rate hike, lower commodity prices and economic turmoil in China have resulted in a massive sell-off in emerging market stocks in the past few months. The last week was disastrous for the emerging market ETFs as outflows from these funds more than doubled over the previous week, according to data put together by Bloomberg . Outflows from emerging-market ETFs were $566.1 million last week compared with $262.1 million in the previous week. About 85% of the outflow comprised stock funds and the remaining bond funds. According to Bloomberg, Taiwan witnessed the biggest outflow, all from stock funds. Withdrawal from Taiwan funds reached $93.3 million last week, compared with redemptions of $19.9 million in the previous week. Brazil experienced the second biggest outflow, with more than 90% from stock funds. Investors pulled back $68.7 million from this country ETFs last week in sharp contrast to an inflow of $12.8 million in the previous week. Below, we highlight three popular emerging market ETFs that have experienced significant net asset outflow in the week ended October 2. iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets (NYSEARCA: IEMG ) – $530.9 Million This ETF tracks the MSCI Emerging Markets Investable Market Index, designed to measure large-, mid- and small-cap equity market performance in 21 emerging market countries. The fund has the highest exposure to China (22.2%), followed by South Korea (15.8%) and Taiwan (13%). It has amassed roughly $7 billion in its asset base while it trades in a volume of roughly 3 million shares a day. It charges 18 bps in fees from investors per year and currently has a Zacks ETF Rank #3 (Hold) with a Medium risk outlook. Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (NYSEARCA: VWO ) – $318.8 Million This is the top asset grossing emerging market ETF, which follows the market-cap weighted FTSE Emerging Index that measures the performance of roughly 850 large and mid-cap companies in 22 emerging markets. This fund is also highly focused on China (26.6%), followed by Taiwan (14.1%) and India (12.7%). VWO has garnered nearly $35 billion in assets and trades in a heavy volume of roughly 16 million shares per day. It charges 15 bps in annual fees and carries a Zacks Rank #3 with a Medium risk outlook. iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Mini Vol (NYSEARCA: EEMV ) – $139.5 Million This ETF tracks the MSCI Emerging Markets Minimum Volatility Index, measuring the performance of large- and mid-cap securities in 21 emerging markets that have lower absolute volatility. EEMV is heavily biased toward China (18.7%) as well, while Taiwan and South Korea occupy the next two spots with shares of 17% and 12.3%, respectively. The fund has gathered around $2.5 billion in assets and trades in an average volume of 500,000 shares. It charges 25 bps in fees per year and carries a Zacks Rank #3 with a Medium risk outlook. Original Post