Tag Archives: alt-investing

3 Small-Cap Growth ETFs To Buy For Q3

Contrary to popular believe, the Fed dove is still to fly far from the border of the U.S. economy. In its latest June meeting, the Fed remained accommodative and hinted at a slower rate hike trail when the step is actually taken. To add to this, the Fed slashed its projection for the benchmark interest rate for 2016 and 2017, though the guidance for the ongoing year was kept unchanged. This indirectly promised investors a few more months of cheap money inflows. On the other hand, the U.S. economy is taking root. Fed officials even went on to say that the rebounding U.S. economy is strong enough to endure one or two rate hikes this year and insisted that the rate hike decision will be solely economic data reliant. The ”soft patch” of Q1 has disappeared with “moderate” economic growth momentum in Q2. The economy wrote a turnaround story with better than expected job growth data along with strong construction spending, automobile sales and housing numbers. Some dampeners of Q1 including a harsh winter and strikes at the Western Coast ports will not be present in Q3, though a relatively stronger greenback (against a basket of currencies) might cause occasional threats to U.S. exports and the large-cap stocks. This economic development set the stage for the small-cap growth ETF’s outperformance. Small cap stocks are broadly leading the market higher this year and are comfortably surpassing their large cap cousins. The ultra-popular small cap ETF iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSEARCA: IWM ) is up 6.9% year to date (as of June 19, 2015) against 2.4% gains in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA: SPY ) . This trend will likely continue in the coming quarter, presuming that a risk-on sentiment will hang on in the marketplace and the focus will stay on the domestically exposed stocks. Investors should note that small-cap stocks are seen as an indicator of the domestic economy. These pint-sized companies deal mainly with the domestic economy. Due to their less global exposure, these stocks remain relatively less ruffled by a strong dollar. So this part of capitalization would be one of the best bets if the Fed takes the rate hike plunge later on the year. Moreover, indecisiveness is prevalent in the global markets due to Greek debt worries, slowdown in China and Japan, rate issues in the U.S. and the consequent movement in the greenback and finally the volatility in oil prices. These happenings might weigh on large-cap stocks leaving small-cap growth stocks and ETFs as intriguing choices. These growth focused small caps have actually outperformed the broad market small cap ETFs lately by a pretty wide margin and have the potential to carry forward the trend. Small-Cap Growth ETFs Upgraded to Buy Rating Below, we highlight three small-cap growth ETFs all with Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or #2 (Buy), any of which could be an excellent play in the third quarter. Investors should note that each of these ETFs went through a Zacks rank upgrade recently. SPDR S&P 600 Small Cap Growth ETF (NYSEARCA: SLYG ) This ETF was upgraded from Zacks ETF Rank #3 (Hold) to Zacks ETF Rank #1. The ETF tracks the S&P SmallCap 600 Growth Index. Holding 351 securities, this fund is also well spread out across each sector and security. Each security accounts for less than 1.27%, while sector wise, Financials, Consumer Discretionary, Healthcare, Information Technology and Industrials take the top five spots each with double-digit exposure, leaving a decent allocation for the utilities and telecom sectors. This $575 million fund trades at a paltry volume of 20,000 shares a day suggesting additional cost beyond the expense ratio of 0.15%. The ETF is up 9.6% year to date (as of June 19, 2015). iShares Morningstar Small-Cap Growth ETF (NYSEARCA: JKK ) The product was upgraded from Zacks ETF Rank #3 to #2. This is an overlooked choice in the small cap space with AUM of $141.5 million and average trading volume of close to 2000 shares a day. The 252-stock fund tracks the Morningstar Small Growth Index. It is well spread out across components as none of these holds more than 1.15% of assets. Sector wise, information technology (28.90%), and healthcare (22%) take the top two spots. The fund charges 30 bps in annual fees from investors and has gained 10.4% so far this year. Guggenheim S&P SmallCap 600 Pure Growth ETF (NYSEARCA: RZG ) This ETF was upgraded from Zacks ETF Rank #3 to #1. The fund targets the small cap U.S. market and follows the S&P SmallCap 600 Pure Growth Index. Holding 132 securities in its basket, it is well spread out across components with each holding less than 2.17%. Financials, Healthcare, Consumer Discretionary, Information Technology, and Industrials are the top five sectors with double-digit allocation each. The fund has amassed $166 million in its asset base and trades in light volume of about 20,000 shares a day on average. Expense ratio comes in at 0.35%. The product has surged 14.5% so far in the year. Original Post

Left Smarting – Smart Beta Products May Not Make Bad Decisions But They Do Facilitate Them

By Kevin Murphy ‘But guns don’t kill people, people do’ is a line less likely to settle an argument than provoke further discussion and yet it is not impossible to imagine an advocate of so-called ‘smart beta’ investments – strategies that try to build on simple index-tracking products by focusing in on a specific factor, such as growth, momentum or value – using a similar refrain. “But smart beta products don’t make bad investment decisions, investors do,” they might tell a doubter. To which we would reply – as we would to anyone trying the gun line – “OK, but they do make the job a lot easier.” We touched on this idea of smart beta products exacerbating investors’ well-documented inability to judge when to buy into and sell out of markets in, among other articles, Smart thinking . That piece was inspired by some fascinating work by our friends at Empirical Research Partners and, since they have recently returned to the subject, we shall too. What Empirical has done is to look at two relationships – first, between past performance and where investors put their money and, second, between where investors put their money and subsequent performance. As you can see from the chart below, for eight out of the 11 categories of smart beta strategies analysed, there is a very strong positive correlation between past performance and future fund flows, with those directing money towards yield-type exchange traded funds (ETFs) apparently the most prone to invest with at least one eye on the rear view mirror. Source: Strategic Insight Simfund, Empirical Research Partners Analysis, June 2015 Here on The Value Perspective, we have no major philosophical issue with investors putting money into areas that have performed well, if – and it is a big if – they continue to perform well. So did Empirical identify any sort of positive relationship between performance in consecutive quarters? Did funds that performed well continue to do so? The answer, as you can see from the following chart, is ‘not really’. Source: Strategic Insight Simfund, Empirical Research Partners Analysis, June 2015 Indeed, returns to yield ETFs are so mean-reverting that, as Empirical observes: “If anything, investors should be buying them after down-quarters rather than up-quarters.” As value investors, we also cannot resist pointing out how momentum ETFs have a negative correlation here too – after all, the one quality investors might think they could count on from such a strategy would be, well, momentum. One final aspect of Empirical’s research we would highlight is the finding that, on average, smart beta strategies turn over about a third of their total capitalisation every month. This would of course imply the average holding period for a smart beta investor is three months – in other words, the average holding period mirrors the time frames of fund flows and performance discussed above. The picture being painted here is of a dispiriting and, to our minds, frankly nonsensical investment routine, where your average smart beta investor sees good performance, buys it, sells up after a quarter of likely disappointing performance, buys something else that has performed well, sells up after a quarter of likely disappointing performance and on and on until, presumably, they have no money left. No doubt, the groups that run smart beta strategies would argue they are intended to allow investors to tilt their exposure to factors they believe will deliver strong performance over the longer term. The reality seems to be, however, that that is not how many people use them – choosing instead to churn smart beta ETFs in the hope of squeezing the best possible performance from quarter to quarter. As we never tire of pointing out here on The Value Perspective, nothing in life is certain but, if anything came close, it would be that such a hope is destined to end in disappointment. Ultimately, one of the supposed selling points of smart beta ETFs – the ease with which investors can pick out and trade a particular strategy – is working against them. Instead of tangible companies, complete with management teams, business models and financial statements, ETF investors are buying into ethereal concepts that are based on other people’s definitions of value or momentum, say – and, if one does not work, it is significantly easier to give up and buy an alternative. That of course is the antithesis of what value investors look to do, preferring instead to play the patient, long-term game, with an average holding period of three or five years.

Fireside Markets Episode 08: A Wealth Of Common Sense With Ben Carlson

Portfolio strategy, long/short equity “}); $$(‘#article_top_info .info_content div’)[0].insert({bottom: $(‘mover’)}); } $(‘article_top_info’).addClassName(test_version); } SeekingAlpha.Initializer.onDOMLoad(function(){ setEvents();}); In this episode of Fireside Markets, host James Osborne chats with respected blogger Ben Carlson , the voice behind A Wealth Of Common Sense . Ben has a new book about to be released, aptly titled “A Wealth of Common Sense: Why Simplicity Trumps Complexity in Any Investment Plan.” We discussed some highlights from the book, including developing a personal investment philosophy, avoiding performance-chasing behaviors, defining investment success and benchmarking your portfolio performance. Share this article with a colleague