Scalper1 News
Cash draining out from the pocket is always hard to accept. On that note, spare a thought for the U.S. stock and taxable-bond mutual funds that have witnessed outflows for four consecutive weeks. For the week ended Dec 2, U.S. stock and taxable-bond mutual funds saw outflows of $6.6 billion, according to Lipper data. Amid this, the 1-month category return of funds is equally dismal. While the U.S. stock and taxable-bond mutual funds are witnessing continuous outflows, stock ETFs attracted $3.8 billion in the week ended Dec 2. Some may believe that this sector might be in for a Santa Claus rally. However, mutual fund investors need not lose heart. Some low-cost mutual funds, each carrying a favorable Zacks Mutual Fund Rank, have emerged out of the weakness over the past four weeks, and are expected to continue their uptrend. Before we pick these funds, let’s look at the recent fund flows and key events. What’s Taking the Cash Out? The outflows from the U.S. stock and taxable-bond mutual funds started from the week ending Nov 11. For that week itself, taxable bond funds in the U.S. saw outflows of $3.7 billion. This was the worst outflow of taxable bond funds from the week ended Sep 30. U.S. stock funds recorded $1 billion of outflows in the week ended Nov 11, reversing the five-week run of inflows. Since then, the rate hike expectations primarily caused investors to pull money out of these mutual funds. To add to the confusion about the direction of the Fed’s policy, geopolitical concerns and mixed economic data further kept the cash from flowing in. Investors hunted for clues on the Fed’s policy move throughout November. The markets remained hopeful that the U.S. central bank may finally embark on a rate hike in December. Backing this belief were multiple comments from key Fed officials and the FOMC minutes. Last Friday, a strong U.S. jobs report affirmed chances of the Fed raising rates in two weeks. Markets were also exposed to certain geopolitical concerns. Multiple terrorist attacks in Paris, heightened violence in the Middle East, news of the shooting down of a Russian fighter jet near the border of Syria and concerns about China’s economic situation dampened investor sentiment. The 1-Month Performance The broader markets struggled over the past one month. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 1.9% over the last 4 weeks, while the Standard & Poor’s 500 (.INX) and Nasdaq Composite Index are down 1.7% and 1%, respectively. Among the 12 S&P industry groups, only three have positive one-month return. While Consumer Staples (NYSEARCA: XLP ) leads with a one-month gain of 2.58%, Real Estate (NYSEARCA: XLRE ) is up 2.57%. Utilities (NYSEARCA: XLU ) scored a 0.8% gain. In comparison, the one-month losses are significantly higher. Energy (NYSEARCA: XLE ) slumped 10.8%, followed by a 2.5% loss in Financial Services (NYSEARCA: XLFS ). Coming to the mutual funds category performances, Equity Precious Metals currently leads the one-month gains and is up 3.1%. All the other sectors in the green have sub 2% gain. Here too, the one-month losses are sufficiently higher. Energy Limited Partnership and Equity Energy categories have lost 19.8% and 9.8%, respectively. Below we present the best and worst performing mutual fund categories over the past one month: 1-Month Fund Category Performance (as of Dec 8) Best Gainers 1-M Total Return Worst Performers 1-M Total Return Equity Precious Metals 3.11 Energy Limited Partnership -19.78 Long Government 1.81 Equity Energy -9.75 Foreign Small/Mid Growth 1.64 Natural Resources -6.96 Bear Market 1.64 Commodities Broad Basket -5.11 Japan Stock 1.56 Latin America Stock -4.56 Source: Morningstar 3 Funds Beating the 4-week Gloom Remember it is always not true that fund inflows or outflows will decide the performance of the funds. In certain cases, there is more arts than science. Fund flows may be just a fraction of a factor to help a fund’s uptrend. Inflows may not translate into gains for mutual funds. Investors do not necessarily have to buy funds that are seeing strong inflows and vice versa. However, amid the declining trend in broader markets, it is often tough for individual funds to outperform. So those managing gains even in a tough environment are worth the appreciation. Below we highlight 3 funds that have thrived, each from the best three performing fund categories, over the trailing 4 weeks. These funds carry either a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #2 (Buy). Remember, the goal of the Zacks Mutual Fund Rank is to guide investors to identify potential winners and losers. Unlike most of the fund-rating systems, the Zacks Mutual Fund Rank is not just focused on past performance, but also on its likely future success. Equity Precious Metals American Century Quantitative Equity Funds Global Gold Fund A (MUTF: ACGGX ) seeks total return that is consistent with investments in companies related to mining, processing, fabricating or distributing gold or other precious metals across the world. ACGGX has gained 5.8% over the past 4 weeks. ACGGX carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #2. However, ACGGX has lost 21.2% and 22.6% over year to date and the last 1 year, respectively. Annual expense ratio of 0.92% is lower than the category average of 1.43%. Long Government Vanguard Long-Term Treasury Fund Inv (MUTF: VUSTX ) invests a major portion of its assets in long-term bonds whose interest and principal payments are backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government. At least 65% of VUSTX’s assets will always be invested in U.S. Treasury securities. VUSTX has gained 2.3% over the past 4 weeks. VUSTX carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1. However, VUSTX has lost 0.8% year to date and gained just 2.9% over the last 1 year, respectively. Annual expense ratio of 0.20% is lower than the category average of 0.62%. Foreign Small/Mid Growth Oberweis International Opportunities Fund (MUTF: OBIOX ) seeks to maximize capital gains over the long term. Most of its assets are invested in companies located outside the U.S. OBIOX has gained 2.9% over the past 4 weeks. OBIOX carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1. OBIOX has jumped 14.7% year to date and gained 13.8% over the last 1-year period. The 3- and 5-year annualized returns are respectively 20.1% and 14.7%. Annual expense ratio of 1.60% is higher than the category average of 1.53%. Original Post Scalper1 News
Scalper1 News