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At the rate Workday ( WDAY ) is growing its core human capital management (HCM) software, combined with its new financial management products, analysts Ross MacMillan and Matthew Hedberg can see Workday’s path to $5 billion in yearly sales by 2021. The company just hit it first billion-dollar year, closing its fiscal year ended Jan. 31 with sales of $1.16 billion. The pair of RBC Capital Markets analysts on Sunday raised their price target on Workday stock to 92 from 72 and affirmed their outperform rating. Workday stock rose a fraction Monday to a 2016 high, making its seventh consecutive up-day, closing at 78.92. Last week, Workday stock broke out of a cup-with-handle at a 75.60 buy point. Workday wasn’t alone Monday. Rival ServiceNow ( NOW ) rose 3.6% to 64.28 on a bullish report from William Blair on its long-term fundamentals. Bigger enterprise software rivals Salesforce ( CRM ), Oracle ( ORCL ) and SAP ( SAP ) all slipped a fraction. RBC’s MacMillan and Hedberg drew confidence by comparing Workday to PeopleSoft in 2001, four years before its HCM and financial management (FM) software businesses were acquired by Oracle for $10.4 billion. PeopleSoft co-founder David Duffield, who fought the Oracle takeover, went on to co-found Workday. “A look back at PeopleSoft is striking,” they said. “Workday today has (less than) 25% of PeopleSoft’s customer count in 2001, yet Workday has (more than) 50% of PeopleSoft’s revenue at that time. This is particularly interesting, given Workday has yet to generate any meaningful financial management revenue today and which (according to management) was (more than) 50% of PeopleSoft’s revenue at the time of acquisition by Oracle.” In other words, the RBC analysts say, Workday has plenty of room to grow. “Success in financials would support a path to $5 billion,” they wrote. “While financials (are) not the focus in this note, we think the path to $5 billion revenue remains underpinned (split less than 50% HCM, more than 50% FM) which we think can be realized in the next 5-plus years.” For its fiscal 2016 ended Jan. 31, Workday revenue rose 48% to $1.16 billion. It lost 1 cent per share minus items, a huge improvement from a 33-cent loss in fiscal 2015. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect a Q1 per-share loss minus items of 2 cents, on revenue up 35% to $339 million. They expect adjusted profit to break into the black in Q3. Scalper1 News
Scalper1 News