The V20 Portfolio Week #7: Outperformance

By | November 22, 2015

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Summary The V20 Portfolio appreciated by 5% against S&P 500’s increase of 1%. Don’t celebrate my “win” on MagicJack. Spirit Airlines was pitched by a hedge fund manager. Conn’s boosted overall performance, likely as the result of buybacks. The V20 portfolio is an actively managed portfolio that seeks to achieve annualized return of 20% over the long term. If you are a long-term investor, then this portfolio may be for you. You can read more about how the portfolio works and the associated risks here . Always do your own research before making an investment. Read last week’s update here ! It was another great week for the markets, and an even greater one for the V20 Portfolio. The S&P 500 was up 3%, lagging behind the V20 Portfolio’s performance of 5%. Month to date, the index is up by less than 1% while the V20 Portfolio has appreciated by 5.3%. Portfolio Update MagicJack (NASDAQ: CALL ) continued to underperform this week, falling 6%. There were no news, so it would appear the investors have become bearish again. I was rather fortunate in that I reduced MagicJack’s stake by 50% last week after earnings. Since then, the stock has dropped by almost 20%. Did I foresee this sharp decline? The answer is no. My original rationale for the position reduction was that because the investment thesis has shifted to more of a growth story, the company no longer deserved the exposure that it had. If I had the foresight to realize that the market will again be pessimistic about MagicJack, I would’ve sold the entire stake and rebought at current prices (or whatever prices that I deem to be the “bottom”). The point is that there is no need to celebrate this “win” on MagicJack as you should not let price dictate the validity of your original decision. Had MagicJack shares appreciated significantly after I sold my stake, the mentality would’ve been the same. This reminds of Icahn’s sentiment on his Netflix exit: You’re never going to get the top. Once in a while you get the timing right, but that’s like Vegas. As MagicJack slides further, the odds tip more and more in my favor. Similar to Conn’s, at a certain point, I will add to the position once again. In other news, one of our major positions was brought into the limelight by Whitney Tilson , who coincidentally owns MagicJack as well. Spirit Airlines (NASDAQ: SAVE ) was one of the top performers this week, with its shares rising 7%. If Spirit Airlines was not the top performer, then what was? It is none other than Conn’s (NASDAQ: CONN ). The stock remains controversial for investors, just look at the comment section in my past articles ! With the buyback program in place, there will be more upward pressure in the near-term. This week, the position rose by 12%. I cannot determine how much of this increase can be attributed to higher demand caused by the buyback program (as opposed to market participants), but I do believe that this upward trend will likely continue until the buyback program is halted. Looking Ahead From a risk perspective, I continue to look for a cheap energy company to offset my commodity exposure stemming from Spirit Airlines. As for Dex Media (NASDAQ: DXM ), the forbearance agreement will expire on Monday, so I do expect news regarding the restructuring proceedings soon. Since the position is so small (Scalper1 News

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