Tag Archives: utilities

IFRS Vs. U.S. GAAP In Utility Analysis And The UIL Merger

Summary Iberdrola USA filed an S-4 with the SEC related to its acquisition of UIL. Previously, IUSA financials were based on IFRS, but the S-4 used US GAAP. This creates a unique opportunity to examine how accounting standards impact utility results. Accounting issues appear to make a noticeable difference when comparing US and international utility companies. IUSA’s income under US GAAP was $20M lower than under IFRS; don’t be surprised if guidance for the combined company is eventually lowered. Iberdrola USA’s ( IUSA ) purchase of UIL Holdings (NYSE: UIL ) was announced back in February. The parties have been progressing through the various requirements to complete the merger, and they are still on track to complete it by the end of the year. IUSA’s financials were previously done under IFRS , because it was a fully-owned subsidiary of Spanish utility Iberdrola S.A. ( OTCPK:IBDSF ). After the completion of the merger, the combined company will be publicly traded on the NYSE, and will be required to provide financials under US GAAP. In the recently filed S-4, IUSA restated its 2014 financials using US GAAP , providing a unique opportunity for investors to see how accounting standards impact utility results. This article provides a side-to-side comparison of the two financial statements under the two standards. This information should be particularly useful when comparing American utilities to those elsewhere in the world. These issues should also be in investors’ minds when comparing utility ETFs like the Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA: XLU ) that are US focused to ones with a bigger international component, like the iShares Global Utilities ETF (NYSEARCA: JXI ). Balance Sheet Assets The first thing that jumps out when reviewing IUSA’s assets on the balance sheet is that the two methods come up with different values for cash. Now, you would think cash is cash, but somehow the accountants have come up with a way to make it different, with US GAAP showing $18M more in cash than IFRS. Another noticeable difference between the two methods is that no deferred tax assets show up in the US GAAP books. These assets have not disappeared, but they have just been netted against the deferred tax liabilities on the other side of the balance sheet. The US GAAP books show almost $900M more in total assets than the IFRS books, but since the deferred tax assets have just been moved to offset the liabilities, the “real” difference between the two methods is closer to $3.3B. The biggest driver of this difference is regulatory assets. IFRS actually does not allow companies to put regulatory assets or liabilities on the balance sheet, but US GAAP does. This is really a big deal for utilities, which have constant dealings with regulatory authorities. While regulators do sometimes change their minds, if a state public service commission says that a utility can collect $100M from customers to cover certain costs, it is very likely the utility can expect to get that money. IUSA has almost $2.5B in current and non-current regulatory assets. These represent promises from regulators that IUSA should expect to receive. These promises will be an asset that helps support the business going forward, and should be recognized on the balance sheet. Balance Sheet Equity and Liabilities (click to enlarge) IUSA’s equity under US GAAP was $1.9B higher than under IFRS. A big reason for higher equity was from regulatory assets and liabilities. There are almost $1.4B of current and non-current regulatory liabilities which partially offset the $2.5B of regulatory assets discussed earlier. Another driver for the increased equity is a decrease in environmental remediation costs and in asset retirement obligations. These items were included in the “other provisions” line under IFRS. Note 18 of the IFRS books shows an $845M liability between these two items while it is only $518M in US GAAP. IFRS requires the use of the midpoint of a range of estimates if no best estimate is available. US GAAP uses the low end of the range. So it seems likely that IUSA is at risk to higher environmental costs than are shown in the latest balance sheet. Deferred income also contributed to the change in equity, with US GAAP showing a $300M smaller liability than IFRS. Another area that is important to understand with IUSA is the special financing it has used for its wind projects. Under IFRS, these are “Capital Instruments with Debt-Like Characteristics” and have a balance of $344M. US GAAP calls them “tax equity financing arrangements”, and has a current balance of $124M, and a non-current balance of $277M. These are very complicated instruments where investors contribute money to IUSA’s wind projects, and are paid back with cash and tax benefits. At first, these investors may receive the majority of a project’s returns, but over time the majority shifts back to IUSA. There is also an interest component to these payments, but how much of the payment should be allocated to interest vs. repayment of principal, or another category, is difficult to determine. This difficulty is likely part of the reason there is a current liability for this category under US GAAP, but there is only a noncurrent liability under IFRS. It is interesting to see that US GAAP seems to think that it is a bigger liability than IFRS, though both methods say they should not be considered “true” debt. However, while it may not be “true” debt under either method, it is still similar and it is significant. When thinking about IUSA’s debt and interest ratios, these values should be considered in the calculation, but most people likely ignore. Statement of Cash Flows (click to enlarge) The statement of cash flows shows the total change in cash during the year to be the same under both methods. However, some of the cash was categorized differently. As many people know, followers of IFRS have the option to run interest expense through the financing instead of operations, but that was not one of the differences in this instance. One of the big items to stand out is capital expenditures. These are $155M lower under US GAAP, which makes up the majority of the difference under investing activities. It is likely that some of this is differences in how major maintenance spending is capitalized. IUSA also has some investments that were proportionally consolidated on a 50% basis under IFRS, while it received equity method treatment under US GAAP. It is possible CAPEX at the proportionally consolidated subsidiary disappeared using the equity method in US GAAP. Under operations, depreciation and amortization was almost $100M higher under IFRS. This would likely be consistent with the CAPEX numbers discussed in the investments section. If more expenses were capitalized, it would make the IFRS PP&E higher (and it was $300M higher on the balance sheet), and therefore depreciation would be higher as well. Regulatory assets and liabilities also played a big role in cash flow from operations. Under financing, the “Changes in borrowings from affiliates” line item disappears under US GAAP. It seems likely that some of this was netted against “repayment of long-term debt and related interest” under US GAAP, but this would seem to be important information that investors would want to know about. Another item of note is that the Aeolus debt and the tax equity financing are basically the same thing, but there is a slight difference in the value recorded. This slight difference is probably reasonable considering the difference discussed earlier on the balance sheet. Income Statement (click to enlarge) IUSA’s net income was $22M lower in 2014 under US GAAP than under IFRS. This seems consistent with what we’ve seen on the other financial statements. Moving spending from capital to expenses would lower income. Including regulatory assets in the financials would lower income as well. Under IFRS, the cash recovery of these regulatory assets would likely go to income while under US GAAP the incoming cash would match up against a decrease in the regulatory asset account. Implications for UIL/IUSA Merger Assuming the merger is completed, this analysis implies that there is a risk that the new company will reduce its combined guidance. According to last month’s S-4 filing, the IUSA forecast used in evaluating the merger was based on the IFRS $446M of net income in 2014. With the biases discussed in this article, it seems like IUSA’s starting point was actually too high, and it makes sense that these biases would have continued in its forecasts. It might be appropriate to reduce the combined 2016 forecast of $700-730M to $680-710M based on these factors. When analyzing the new entity with other metrics, like EBITDA, this accounting review shows that there are a lot of uncertainties created by its tax equity financing arrangements. How much of the payments to these other entities should count as interest and how much as a reduction of the outstanding balance? Should these be considered debt? If the accounting standards cannot agree on how this should be handled, how can investors be consistent when they are comparing different companies on these metrics? While there are no clear answers to these questions, investors cannot forget these issues when analyzing the company. Implications of Analysis of International Utilities This article also shows that the different accounting methods can create significantly different results, with IUSA having a 5% reduction in earnings under US GAAP. Investors should think about this when comparing US utilities to those elsewhere around the world. The different treatment of CAPEX, and especially regulatory assets, would seem to create a bias that would increase international utilities’ earnings vs. the US’s. Obviously each case is different, and there are potential factors that could move results the other direction, but this example should be a wake-up call to US investors considering international utilities. Editor’s Note: This article discusses one or more securities that do not trade on a major U.S. exchange. Please be aware of the risks associated with these stocks. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Recent Buy – Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P.

Summary I initiated a position in Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP, a utilities and infrastructure company. The diverse sectors of operations and geography, coupled with regulated and contractual cash flow, makes it a very stable and attractive investment. A starting yield of 5.2% and a 5-year dividend growth rate of 12.6% make it very attractive for income-focused investors. The market jitters continue as the world turns its eyes to the US Fed – will they or wont they raise the interest rates? There are a plethora of dangerous financial situations facing the world which could possibly send the stock and bond markets into a turmoil. I continue to purchase looking for good opportunities trying to tune out the noise as a majority of these occurrences are out of control. Whenever I make a purchase, I like to share my buys to document and illustrate how I am building my income stream over the course of months/years. My main goal is simply to keep investing at regular intervals and build my passive income over the course of time. In staying true to tradition, here’s another purchase in my portfolio, this time adding a new company to my portfolio. I initiated a position in Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP (NYSE: BIP ) (note: it also trades as BIP.UN.TO on TSX, and since I am a Canadian resident, I bought the TSX-listed shares) with 35 shares @ C$53.20. The stock yields 5.18%, adding US$74.20 (~C$96.50) to my forward annual passive income. Brookfield Infrastructure Partners, even though headquartered and based in Canada & trades on the TSX exchange, maintains its financials (and declares dividends) in USD. Company Overview Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. owns and operates utility, transport, and energy businesses. The company’s Utilities segment operates a port facility that exports metallurgical and thermal coal mined in the central Bowen Basin region of Queensland, Australia; approximately 10,800 kilometers of transmission lines in North and South America; and approximately 2.4 million electricity and natural gas connections in the United Kingdom and Colombia. Its Transport segment provides transportation, storage, and handling services for freight, bulk commodities, and passengers through a network of 5,100 kilometers of track in Southwestern Western Australia; approximately 4,800 kilometers of rail in South America; approximately 3,200 kilometers of motorways in Brazil and Chile; and 30 port terminals in North America, the United Kingdom, and Europe. The company’s Energy segment offers energy transportation, distribution, and storage services through 14,800 kilometers of transmission pipelines; and 370 billion cubic feet of natural gas storage in the United States and Canada, as well as serves approximately 40,000 gas distribution customers in the United Kingdom. Brookfield Infrastructure Partners Limited serves as a general partner of Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Toronto, Canada. Corporate Structure The Brookfield companies have a complicated corporate structure, with each entity intricately weaved with other entities to form a set of public and private companies. The companies include Brookfield Asset Management, Brookfield Property Partners, Brookfield Renewable Energy Partners, and Brookfield Infrastructure Partners. The simple view of where Brookfield Infrastructure Partners fits in under the Brookfield Asset Management umbrella is summarized below. (click to enlarge) Recent Buy Decision I sold my Utilities ETF in June 2015 and have been looking into buying individual companies that can give me dividend growth and better equity ownership. In July 2015, I initiated a small position in Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp (AQN.TO) , and earlier this month I initiated a position in Canadian Utilities (CU.TO) . This adds a third company in the utilities sector. While the classification is under the Utilities sector, Brookfield Infrastructure is, as the name suggests, truly a complete infrastructure company. BIP holds interests in Utilities (39% of revenue), Transport (43% of revenue), Energy (10% of revenue) and Communication Infrastructure (8% of revenue). BIP has a great geographical diversification with operations in North America (8% of revenue), South America (27% of revenue), Europe (34% of revenue), and Australia (31% of revenue). The utilities segment operates: Coal terminals (handles 20% of global seaborne metallurgical coal exports from Australia) 10,800 Kms of electricity transmission lines in North & South America; Regulated distribution of electricity & natural gas connections. The transport segment operates: Railroads: ~5,100 km of track, sole freight rail network in Southwestern Western Australia ~4,800 km rail network in South America Toll Roads ~3,300 km of motorways in Brazil and Chile Combination of urban and interurban roads that benefit from traffic growth and inflation Ports 30 terminals in North America, UK and across Europe One of the UK’s largest port services providers The energy segment operates: Energy Transmission, Distribution and Storage 14,800 km of natural gas transmission pipelines, located primarily in the U.S. Over 40,000 gas distribution customers in the UK 370 billion cubic feet of natural gas storage in the U.S. and Canada District Energy Delivers heating and cooling to customers from centralized systems including heating plants capable of delivering ~2.8 million pounds per hour of steam heating capacity and 251,000 tons of cooling capacity and distributed water and sewage services The communication infrastructure operates: Telecommunications Infrastructure ~7,000 multi-purpose towers and active rooftop sites 5,000 km of fibre backbone located in France Generate stable, inflation-linked cash flows underpinned by long-term contracts with large, prominent customers The diverse sectors of operations and geography, coupled with regulated and contractual cash flow makes it a very stable and attractive investment. A wide economic moat Funds from operations (FFO) have risen at 23% CAGR and distribution has risen 12% CAGR since 2009. BIP is a Dividend Challenger having raised dividends for 7 consecutive years. The current yield is 5.18% and has 1-, 3-, and 5-year dividend growth rates of 11.6%, 13.3%, and 12.6%. BIP has a BBB+ (stable) S&P credit rating and the debt/equity 1.86, and the company holds enough cash to service the debt. Debt repayment schedule has a well laddered maturity profile. BIP just announced earlier this week that it will acquire Australian port operator Asciano for US$6.6B – which will expand the company’s footprint in Australia and help better compete in the space giving BIP better recognition and visibility. The management has made it clear that this is only the beginning this transaction is a ‘stepping stone’ for more expansions in the future. While some share dilution is occurring as part of the deal, AFFO from the deal is expected to increase 7% immediately. Brookfield Infrastructure Partners LP Diversification (click to enlarge) (click to enlarge) Risks As with any investment, there are risks involved. Being in the utilities sector, the risks in the regulated industry is slightly lower. But the non-regulated industry, where most of the growth comes from – can see possible new regulations that could put future growth prospects in doubt. Rise in interest rates can cause the stock prices to tumble in the utilities sector. With international operations, currency fluctuations can cause an unknown movement in revenue, especially since the financials are reported in US$, the international earnings can seem depressed. Further Reading Disclosure: I am long AQN.TO, BIP.UN.TO, and CU.TO. My full list of holdings is available here . Disclosure: I am/we are long BIP, AQUNF, CDUAF. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Long-Term Potential Not Enough To Change Hold Rating On Southern Company, For Now

Summary Company’s strategy of making hefty growth investments in renewable energy generation projects means it is well placed in capital intensive U.S. utility industry. Analysts anticipating a healthy sales growth rate of 2.10%for SO, above the industry median. Strong growth prospects of the company will grow its cash flow base. I reiterate my hold rating on Southern Company (NYSE: SO ) due to the prevailing construction-related challenges at two important power projects of SO. As a matter of fact, the Kemper and Vogtle project delays have restricted its near-term growth potentials, but in the long run, these projects along with SO’s ongoing renewable energy generation related projects will support its top and bottom-line growths. Given the healthy long-term growth potentials of SO, I believe its cash flows will remain reasonably strong in the years ahead, which will help it improve stock price performance by making increasingly healthy dividend payments to shareholders; SO offers a dividend yield of 4.7%. Near Term Concerns But Healthy Long-Term Waits for SO Over the past few years, the U.S. utility industry has gone through a transformational phase due to aggressive spending by utility companies in several infrastructural growth related projects. I believe the industry transformation is not over yet, because companies like SO, American Electric Power (NYSE: AEP ), Exelon (NYSE: EXC ) and Dominion (NYSE: D ) are still making hefty investments to develop and enhance power generation units. The following map shows the capacity and location of new power projects planned for 2015. (click to enlarge) Source: Minnpost.com SO has also been making capital expenditures to strengthen its power generation assets. In fact, SO has made all-time high growth investments in two major energy generation projects named Kemper and Vogtle, but both projects have been facing construction delays, which have increased construction costs for the company. As far as the 582MW Kemper project is concerned, the project was started with the intent to boost the company’s future growth potentials, but the constant delays and cost overruns at the Kemper construction site are weighing on SO’s profits. The company took the additional charge of $14 million (after-tax) during 2Q’15 due to an increase in the construction cost of the Kemper gasification-combined cycle project. In its efforts to cover these cost overruns, SO had previously signed a case for an interim rate hike of 18% for Kemper’s gasification plants in the state; the rate increase request is recently approved by regulators, which will allow the company to partially offset the increase in construction cost. Although SO’s management expects Kemper to be operational in the first half of 2016, if the project continues to be affected by project delays and cost overruns, I believe the recent rate hike will fail to cover the cost overruns in the longer run, thereby disrupting the company’s profitable margins. Moreover, SO’s plan to build two Vogtle nuclear power plants in Georgia is facing similar delays. Although the management has predicted a three-year delay in the Vogtle project, as per the government’s review, the project will be delayed longer than three-years, costing the company around $8.2 billion . Although issues related to Kemper and Vogtle are both key concerns for the company’s profits, with the commencement of their operations, both projects will act as vital sources of generating strong revenues, earnings and cash flows in the years ahead. Moreover, SO is working hard to grow its renewable energy generation portfolio to hedge against fossil fuel risk and to supply low-cost power to customers. In fact, there are many ongoing and upcoming solar energy generation projects by the company, which contain a strong upside for its future earnings and cash flows. As part of its plan to establish a strong renewable energy generation asset base, SO had acquired the Blackwell Solar facility. Although the acquired facility is currently under construction phase, with the completion of construction, the acquired facility will help the company serve around 11,000 homes. In addition, SO’s plan to construct a new 46MW solar energy generation facility at Marine Corps Logistic Base-Albany has been approved by regulators, which is expected to commence operations by the end of 2016. With this approval, the company’s subsidiary Georgia Power has attained 166MW of solar generation capacity on Georgian military bases. Given the fact that all of the abovementioned power generation projects of SO will improve its production capacity and optimize its power generation portfolio, I expect to witness strong revenues, stable cash flows and healthy earnings growth in the longer run. Analysts are also expecting that SO’s earnings will grow at a decent pace in the years ahead, as shown in the chart below. (click to enlarge) Source: Nasdaq.com Furthermore, SO’s management is also working to convert existing coal-based power generation plants to gas plants. The company has announced in a press release that its 120MW Gadsden plant in Alabama will be switched from a combination of natural gas and coal to entirely natural gas. Given the fact that SO has incurred around $3 billion over the last decade to meet regulatory standards regarding limitation of carbon dioxide emission from coal base plants, I believe the conversion of Gadsden plant on natural gas is a good step by the company, as this allows it to comply with regulations and will portend well for its profit margins in the long term. Investors Remain Rewarded at SO The company has been making healthy cash returns to its shareholders through dividends. Year-to-date in 2015, SO has returned around $34 million in the form of dividends to its shareholders. These healthy dividend payments have earned it an attractive dividend yield of 4.70% . Given the strong growth potentials of the company’s growth investments, I believe SO will have strong cash flows to carry on its policy of making hefty dividend payments in the years ahead. Analysts have also projected growth in the company’s book value per share and cash flow per share, as shown in the chart below. (click to enlarge) Source: 4-traders.com Risks Continuous increases in construction costs at Kemper and Vogtle plants will remain an overhang for the company’s profits in future. In addition, any laxness exhibited by the management during the operational stage of ongoing renewable energy generation projects will result in SO’s failure to report financial numbers as per the management’s plans. Furthermore, harsh weather conditions, unforeseen negative economic changes, strict government regulations and taxes to limit carbon dioxide emissions from nuclear units are key risks that might hamper the company’s future stock price performance. Conclusion Despite the current cost overruns and project delays at SO, the company’s strategy of making hefty growth investments in renewable energy generation projects makes me believe that it is well placed in the capital intensive U.S. utility industry. Analysts also view the company’s long-term growth prospects positively, as indicated by their anticipated healthy sales growth rate of 2.10% , which is well above the industry median of 1.80%. Moreover, the strong growth prospects of the company will grow its cash flow base, meaning more upside for its future dividends. Also, analysts have projected a decent next five-years growth rate of 3.55% for SO. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.