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CPFL Energia’s (CPL) CEO Wilson Ferreira Jr on Q1 2016 Results – Earnings Call Transcript

CPFL Energia S.A. (NYSE: CPL ) Q1 2016 Results Earnings Conference Call May 12, 2016, 10:00 am ET Executives Wilson Ferreira Jr – Chief Executive Officer and Member of the Executive Board Leandro Cappa – ‎Investor Relations Director Gustavo Estrella – Vice President of Finance, Member of the Executive Board, Investor Relations Officer Luiza Mariko – Market Planning Analysts Kaique Vasconcellos – Citigroup Vinicius Canheu – Credit Suisse Miguel Rodrigues – Morgan Stanley Marcelo Sa – UBS Sergio Tamashiro – Haitong Carolina Carneiro – Santander Operator Good morning and thank you for waiting. Welcome to CPFL Energia’s First Q16 earnings results conference call. Today, we have here with us Executive Mr. Wilson Ferreira Jr, CEO of CPFL Energia as well as other officers of the company. This call is being broadcast simultaneously via Internet on the website www.cpfl.com.br/ir, where you will find the respective presentation for download. We inform that all participants will be in listen-only mode during the company’s presentation. After that, there will be a Q&A session when further instructions will be given. [Operator Instructions]. I would like to mention that this conference call is being recorded. Before proceeding, we would like to mention that forward-looking statements are being made under the Safe Harbor of the Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1996. Forward-looking statements are based on the beliefs and assumptions of CPFL Energia’s management and on information currently available to the company. Forward looking statements are not guarantees of performance. They involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions as they relate to the future events and therefore depend on circumstances that may or may not occur. Investors should understand that general economic conditions, industry conditions and other operating factors could also affect the future results of CPFL Energia and could cause results to differ materially from those expressed in such forward-looking statements. Now I will turn the floor to Mr. Wilson Ferreira Jr. Please, Mr. Wilson, the floor is yours. Wilson Ferreira Jr Good morning everyone. Good morning investors and analysts that are here with us for the earnings call for the first quarter of 2016. Let’s start on page three or the highlights of the quarter. Here we have a negative highlight. Unfortunately sales dropped in the concession area. Now segment we are going to into details. On the other hand, in the industrial area, the contracted demand is still positive. On the other hand, we excellent yields, which was the reduction on the CVA balance. As you know, we had at the end of last year BRL1.7 billion rows received and we were able to reduce that to BRL0.7 billion. So we have much more positive position here. The problem had been solved. After that we have processes for tariff adjustments where our difficult and we will talk more about that during the presentation. Another good news is that Mata Velha is started early start-up. We had initial operations of wind farms for the free market. We will talk more about that as well. We have the renegotiation also of the hydrological risk of Baesa. This was one of the only major plant where we needed to do the renegotiation. It is completed now. You will see also a drop in our GSF expenses. We will talk about my succession as well. There was also an approval of capital increase through stock dividend that was approved in our shareholders assembly and new shares will be distributed to shareholders from May 5 on an investment of BRL0.5 billion in this quarter and also we disclosed our annual reports on March 31. It electronically available in our homepage. So now turn to page four. We have a breakdown of energy sales. You can see that in the first quarter in fact we had an important drop in energy sales of 6.4%. Here we have 5.2% in the captive market and the free market of almost 10%. And the breakdown for consumption segment shows that we had no segments important drop vis-à-vis the first quarter of last year. So the economic downturn is strong both in residential as well as commercial segment of around 5%, industrial segment of over 10%. That does not change our market profile. And in the bottom part of the slide you can see two important observations. We are in a leap year. So that comparison of drop is a little different too. We will go into details, both on bill volume as well as energy loss. But when we analyze the load in the concession area which gives us a wide view of what is happening, we see that we have numbers a little bit lower. Therefore we believe in the next quarters, we should bring those figures up. As I had said, the contracted demand is still positive, so we see a movement of a positive expectation of entrepreneurs and the industry. And obviously we see new companies coming in the concession area. That’s why we have lowered values to contracted demand, both for peak and off-peak as positive areas. As I said, we have the recovery of traffic in the renewable area. Therefore, our installed capacity now is reaching 3,128 conventional installed megawatts and that happens specifically in Renovaveis. On page 5, we have our outlook. We have reported a drop in the residential segment and what we try to show you with this chart and we possibly have reached the drop in 5%. It has been stable for a few months and obviously that is because of several situations and circumstances that caused it to become stable. First, last year there was an adjustment in the tariff that was unprecedented over 50% in the electric segment and now we also have negative tariff adjustment in the second half of the year. So we had to reduce both tariff side since the beginning of the year. So that pressure on the economy in fact has dropped. It is important to say that probably people and there is a great increase and they reacted and so we can see in our sales of LED lamp sales in 2014, the amount was 27 million and last year it amounted 81 million, tripled in number. So I would say that the consumption reduction is largely due to rationalization and exchange of equipment such as LED lamp ales that propose more advantages than conventional lamp. So considering future outlook, there is drop in inflation and because of that negative adjustments, we probably won’t have higher drops in the residential area, so that consumption per client should be stable along the year. And now that we the income of new consumers, we will believe that we will have a stable volume for the second, third and fourth quarters of this year. What is of our concern here is on page six and it is also a concern of the analysts, is delinquency. Arguably, we also are comparing ourselves to other companies and now our figures have been lower PDA or the ADA gross revenue is still lower event though Renovaveis have increased, we have an increase in tariffs compared to quarters that is higher than 50%, but we have here on the fourth quarter to the first quarter also an increase from 0.5% to 0.7%, 40% higher volume in terms of our allowance for doubtful accounts. This is something we pay attention to. There is a set of questions that we have listed in the bottom right part of the slide. So the company is working on it. We have been working on conventional energy cuts over 150%. This is the most effective measure right now. You are following delinquency in the different segments in the different industries, especially in the finance sector. So that’s why we also have the blacklisting and we have lower efficacy but we are also using the electronic protest and tele collection. We have tripled e-mails. We have the collection agencies almost 44% of electronic protest actually, the new initiative and it is important to highlight that this peak has in the background our economic scenario and this is something that we needed to acknowledge in the agency itself because the agency’s barriers are lower and in general all segments of the economy are going by this problem. Now on page seven. I will go back to one of our highlights. The total losses that have an increase in our area in March, but if we analyze the moving average of 12 months, it’s not different from the figures that we have seen since March of last year. But in March, especially or in the first quarter, we have that higher figure 8.63% first that reflects the higher unbilled invoices because here we have a leap year that has an extra day and the load which is not reflected in the billing schedule. And that is the main reason why we have that difference in the billed invoices and the drop in the load. So this should reflect in our billing schedule later on. And also we have higher temperatures in this last quarter that also impacts the figures for the unbilled voices. We expect impact the slight increase shall be offset in the following quarters. So there is nothing structurally that is responsible for this increase in losses except those two topics I mentioned that are related to the billing schedule. Now turning to page eight, we have the results of the first quarter. On the first line, we have the IFRS results and on the second line, it’s what we call the adjusted base. So you can have a more perennial outlook of our company. We can see that growth for net revenues, the drops of 20% and 19% in the two different bases. They are due to the integration of regulatory assets and tariffs, but explained that major drop that we had in our PDA obviously that also is related to the market. I will talk about that in the distribution area, they are lower and also we had the tariff lags that changed and the important news is that EBITDA has an IFRS result of BRL25 million negative and also we have BRL232 million in the net income that is positive. In the recurring base, we have 5.3% negative or BRL53 million, most of that refers to wins in the renewable area. There is less wind in this quarter and as it was said yesterday by the President of the company, that has been recovered in April. So this is an important significant effect now in the first quarter, but there is a recovery of half of that difference in April in our renewable activities. And because of that and the adjusted page, we have an increase of 6.7% or BRL70 million reaching to BRL167 million in the first quarter. The amount that determine these variations are in the bottom part of the slide, the proportionate consolidation of generation also Itaipu foreign currency variation that by fact as a new accounting that go into the EBITDA amount on the net income. So it’s important to have a recurring comparison of this reconciliations and also we have the nonrecurring effects, the extraordinary ones last year we had GSF and the Energy Purchase in two generation operations, generations and renewable, the adjustment of this emphasis and track record also have a specific adjustments is now on this year and also on typically Renovaveis has now adopted the hydrological agreement and we won’t have that impact anymore. So for recurring effect comparison we think it’s important to separate it. Therefore, I believe we have an EBITDA that has a stable impact as I have mentioned by this effect we will go into details and our net income is positive. On page nine, we that assessment of the company’s EBITDA. So to the outside we have the IFRS base and in the inside area that we are going to go into details, we help a drop of 5.3%. Basically, we can see that there is a drop in the distribution area, renewable generation as well. And distribution, we have a drop BRL37 million or 6.9% and it is related to the increase in manageable PMSO lower than the IGPM of the period. We have legal and judicial expenses BRL28 million. The allowance for doubtful accounts of BRL26 million and a drop of 6.4% in sales in the concession area BRL24 million. This way we have here a negative effect in distribution. So we did have gains, both in and the reviews and tariff adjustment that added BRL66 million and our company offer different groups and also that specific treatment of the PIS and COFINS as I have mentioned. So renewable generation, there is a drop of BRL26 million or 23.3% and basically half of that is explained by less wind in windfarms and that corresponds to BRL13 million. So we have SHPPs seasonality BRL10 million. We have that last year and this year as well. So we will recover that amount in the future structures and we have a PMSO of BRL6 million and also the renegotiation premium. On the other hand, we have conventional generations with a gain of BRL9 million with positive better performance of our thermal operations and others of BRL12 million in expenses with the GSF and commercialization services and holding is rather stable with a gain of BRL1 million. So the results are negatively driven because of the renewable impact, especially wind and also a drop in volumes in addition to the allowance for doubtful account and distribution. Now on page 10, just to give you an idea for the future. Somehow we started working with ZBB methodology, BRL320 million we reached BRL369 million. You have the chart showing it and obviously our future challenge is related to the subject which is productivity here. The company is deploying two important projects, one related to using technology to increase productivity in the distribution segment. We have a whole set of indicators developed by the company, the analysis of teams and unavailability and management of our workforce. So today we have more tools to monitor and obviously to integrate technology and automation and to increase productivity. This is something with a great potential and in the near future we will be sharing with you what this work is like. And we are also working with consulting services in a news stage for corporate companies. We started doing that now and we believe that in the near future we will be able to share with you and let you know what we are doing in these two areas. So this is something we have to do to add productivity to our group. Now turning to page 11, we come to net income. In the recurring reduction, it was almost 7% and in the IFRS base it’s 63%. Here as a negative aspect, we have a drop in EBITDA of 5%, we already mentioned it. We had an improvement of the negative net financial results. It is thanks to that adjustment of sectoral financial assets and liabilities, also a variation of discos’ concession financial assets, additions and late payments fines and installments debt. We will also have here BRL30 million for that and the mark-to-market effect, the operations 4,131, these are non-cash operations and also we have the PIS/COFINS over financial revenues effect because of new taxes and that is BRL21 million net and also we had a reduction of 3.3% in depreciation and amortization with the driver coming from the reduction in the amortization of the concessions intangible assets. And here we have an increase in depreciation and amortization also an increase in income tax related to financial operations of the company. So I would say that here we have a positive outlook because we have our stable EBITDA and we are working in that environment that we mentioned. Now turning to page 12. These are the tariff events. There were several ones in this quarter, starting in what we call the tariff reviews of our five concessions that have been renewed. So we have reported here the increases in Parcel A and Parcel B, looked at industry view they already integrated the increase in the net base, increase in the CACC and the remuneration of the regulatory assets base and also the addition of special obligations remuneration, we have a parcel B in a positive variation. The effect of these gains are up around BRL15 million and we have a pass through of BRL80 million. We have also the annual tariff adjustment for CPFL Paulista increasing in little over 10% parcel B and the average effect for consumers 7.55%, lower than inflation and we have the transfer off BRL951 million financial component. As we have said, we had an important drop of our CVA in the quarter of almost BRL1 billion and now with this last adjustment Paulista then, at the end of this semester will be very close to turning this key now to the positive side for the concession. In terms of cash of the company that will fall definitely because of these adjustment, especially for Paulista. Now on page 13, we have our indebtedness. And here we have adjusted net debt over adjusted EBITDA of BRL12 million and we 3.42 and remember that with the CVA coming in, we will be running at 3.22 and be adjusted by CVA cash in balance in here. We will be able to have the benefit of the leverage in creating value for the company. This is the good news and the bad news is the increase of the nominal cost of our debt, amounting 13.7%. Obviously, that is driven by the increase of the CDI. 70% of the gross that of the company is indexed by the CDI. So obviously we reach 13.7% and inflation is at 4% of real cost of that debt. Turning to page 14. We can see that we are at a comfortable situation in terms of cash coverage. Over BRL4 billion, over two times the cover the short-term amortizations. The debt has a net average term of 3.5 years and in the short-term only 11% of it. So this is a , comfortable situation in terms of management of our debt. On page 15, another subject that concerns which is that over contracted position and the good news here is that with this PH 04, the exposure that we had that exposure was eliminated. We had 180 average megawatts before PH 04 and six of our age concessions and the public hearing of ANEEL solving on 100% of the problems. We have some residual in one of the companies and here we are talking about very little figure, maybe less than 10% of those 180. So we are telling you that obviously PH 04 mitigated 4% and we have our distributors totally aligned for 2016. It is very important because considering the macroeconomic scenario for the future, we should do some reinforcement there. So here we have also the approval in April of PH 012 that simplifies the process for postponement of new energy contracts. Here is the potential of our variation, which is 2.5% that has to be dealt with. There is some potential for mitigation, but I believe this is more important especially for future perspectives and we have to work on that. And now so it is under discussion right now the impact of what is called the customers migration to the free market. And this is a huge debate here between the agents and ANEEL. And let me remind you that what I have mentioned about exposure of 180 average megawatts, that residual very amount is after that 1.8% going out. So it will be almost 100% if we do not have such an important migration of consumers 1.8% is a high figure. So now just to report some new points here. The Mata Velha, one-and-a-half years before the contracted period, a very important part CPFL Renovaveis, 13 average megawatts and the auction is May 16, 2016 and value was BRL155 per megawatt hour and we, in these last few months, already have a sale on the free market viable and things have already been released. On page 17, just to talk about plans still in the free market. The Campo des Ventos and Sao Benedito Wind Farms will come in this year, but also with this new regulation of the agency, we have allowed to have the commercial startup of certain generators. And so we have already had up to the state the entry of four wind turbines. And we have 110 towers which will be added. So we have a reporting scheduled for the coming into operation over the next few months of this farm and this is the first financed for the free market approved by the BNDES and we have the prospect of adding revenue to EBITDA of CPFL Renovaveis which is very important to other projects, which are under construction. The Pedra Cheirosa 48.3 megawatts and the Boa Vista also under construction and so what is really important is coming of the capacity at the very short-term, both for the Mata Velha and for these two new wind farms in the Northeast Brazil. And here CPFL Efficiencia and this is very important for us. CPFL coming in here in the solar distribution and generation through CPFL Efficiencia. Here we have the Algar plant in Campinas with all the solar panels. This has involved the change of 15,000 volts using the LED efficiency or bulbs technology and also the air-conditioning has been changed and replaced much of the fluids and the construction of two solar power plants in Campinas, 200 kilowatts at the peak and another 400 in Uderlandia, savings of 27% with energy efficiency during to photovoltaic generation. An initial investments of BRL6 million and this was inaugurated in March. So in Algar, we have savings of 3,500 megawatts a year and also postponement of the construction of a substation and also with this operation we can enter the free market and also CPFL Energia participates in gains with the solar generation for the next 10 years. And we have a BOT agreement for asset remuneration in six years and it is still the supply of free energy for the next 10 years. In fact, it is a win-win operation which is very important for the CPFL Efficiencia it is very significant. I am almost finishing, but on page 19, we have the performance of shares. The share had a better performance than IEE in Bovespa appreciating almost 30%. The same with ADR, 47%. So the exchange rates effect and with the CPFL coming back in January and recovered efficiency rate. This has had its effects on the volume of business. And on the left hand side here, the lower left-hand chart, we can see this and this is very important for the future. I conclude on page 20, showing you some facts about my succession. In April, we have amounts the succession plan. It is part of a planned process the company within the best governance practices I have been here with the group for more than 18 years. So I will finish the second quarter and I will be replaced by Andre Dorf who was the President or CEO of CPFL Renovaveis and has been with us now for about three years in the company and has done outstanding work in the Renovaveis. And he will come with all his youth to manage this new phase of CPFL and we are delighted with this and in this quarter, we have carried out an integration program with the team and Andre has taken part in many activities with us so that he comes in on July 1 playing to win. So ladies and gentlemen, this is what we had to say about our results and my team and I are now at your disposal for questions. Thank you. Question-and-Answer Session Operator [Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from Mr. Kaique Vasconcellos from the Citigroup. Kaique Vasconcellos Good morning. I have two questions. First regarding demand. You said that you will have more stable demand and have had a shrinkage. So up to May, what have things been like? And what are the prospects for the second quarter? And second question is about amortization. So you have cash to cover the short-term amortization. So what are you going to do? Wait for better debt situation in the market or take CDI or any special spread that you are waiting for? Thank you. Wilson Ferreira Jr I will ask Leandro to answer the first question and Gustavo the second. Leandro Cappa Hello. Thank you. The April market has not yet presented the recovery that we expected because it has resolved. We have seen the load improve at the end of March and now in April. But the unbilled that Wilson mentioned has not yet come in load because of the mismatch that we have of reading days, the meter reading. So April was a hot month. So this impacted and helped with the recovery of residential factors. But the billed market, we will only see this during the second quarter. well, in fact, we are seeing that we do in fact have an expectation that this year we will be able to work with almost flat volume. Today we are working with the prospect that it won’t be flat. It will be between 1% more in terms of volume of negative, I am sorry. Gustavo Estrella Regarding liquidity and rollover, I think that the market has confirmed our expectation of credit restrictions allied to an increase of cost. And I think this has been a market trend in general. What we have done was basically bring forward a rollover. Basically last year we have few needs to rollover our debt. Today, in the company, Wilson has shown that cash of BRL4 billion, we have already covered everything that we need for 2016 and 2017. So our focus today for rollover will be only for 2018 which gives us a very much more comfortable situation so that we will be able to fetch extra situations of rollover when they are needed. And we can work from the management of the debt, we are already thinking ahead 2018 and we have plenty of time to find the best moment of the market. More important is that those discussions regarding infrastructure for the distribution sector, this discussion goes on, both the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Energy, we have here positive outlook to access the market for distribution and we can rollover lesser cost and greater terms, longer terms. But we don’t have anything now which obliges us to look for money to rollover the short-term debt. We are in a comfortable position for the company at the moment. Kaique Vasconcellos Thank you very much. Operator Our next question comes from Mr. Vinicius Canheu from Credit Suisse. Vinicius Canheu Good morning. I have two questions. One, I want to know if you could breakdown what was the loss with the over-contracting? And second, something which I did not understand, when you see slide nine regarding distribution, you show the gains with the pass through of Parcel A. I would like to know why did this impact the results? Because generally these movements of Parcel A are in the asset and liabilities, regulatory abilities. So why did this come into the result? Thank you. Leandro Cappa Hello Vinicius. This is Leandro. At the moment, when we have the tariff adjustments, we have some gains, because we have been very conservative during the year in our accounting and when we do the adjustments as happened here with the Paulista, we had a gain with Parcel A at the time of the tariff adjustment of this amount to BRL66 million. About half of that is just simple because of the mismatch and also because of the unbilled amount which is later, it does not have an effect. So we have a temporary effect. And during the second quarter, we will normalize this. So of these BRL66 million, half is temporary. So this will come back during the year and half is because we were conservative during the year and we have some gain at the moment of the annual adjustments. Vinicius Canheu Okay. Now could you talk about the over contracting please? Leandro Cappa This had zero impact of the first quarter and none at the distribution company. Operator Our next question comes from Miguel Rodrigues, Morgan Stanley. Miguel Rodrigues Good Morning. I have two questions. First, recently we had the regulation of ANEEL for the group of concessions. Could you talk a little bit about the possibly gains and risks of CPFL, if they managed to group together the five smaller concessions? And secondly, could you comment a little on the change of the methodology of the PLD, calculation of PLD and what about your risk aversion? And is this the best way to adjust the model or do you think that the model should be reviewed more thoroughly? I would like you to elaborate on that please. Wilson Ferreira Jr So starting by the grouping of concessions. Miguel, at this moment, we are evaluating this alternative. We will bring to the Board probably next month. We will bring this up to the Board. The grouping brings marginal gains to the company, but there is something that we don’t know. There are five reports of balance sheet against one balance sheet. So there will be a gain. There are five processes of adjustment and review against one. I have no doubt that some marginal gain will be possible. Our evaluation here is more of a rationalization because this is inside the company also determines for every adjustment processed, the man-hours that you must account for. So there is a gain. It’s not significant, but it does rationalize both our work team and particularly ourselves. We think the gain is more of process rationalization which makes more sense. But for the point of view of consumers, it might have the advantage of a larger area with the same tariff. It’s very difficult for us to face different tariffs from one municipality to another. This occurred in the five distributors. We would try and avoid this. We understand that the regulation was established, it’s good and we, in the next few months, will propose this to the agency. Regarding the PLD, the spot price. Regarding the review of the pricing methodology, there are some points, highlights here. The concern of minimizing, the model must reflect as well as possible the operation cost of the system. Another important point is that in case of an alteration of the methodology of the pricing that this not be done in a raw way because this will cause impact on the market negotiations in the pricing method of the agency. So you must have time to apply this change and it does not cause negative impact for the agents and a negative impression. And if you have to change things, this is under study and the CPFL Group is still studying whether this is the best way to adjust the model to improve this outside the merit. There is no way to. This is under study. We have not decided. Miguel Rodrigues Thank you. Operator Our next question comes from Marcelo Sa with UBS. Marcelo Sa Hello. To continue, it seems that there has been an increase regarding the long-term price that the collective bargaining is discussing BRL120 to BRL122. Is this because of the change of PLD? Or was it for any other reason? Is the hydrological scenario, would it be more difficult next year? And could you give us more data regarding the privatization of the Sul, do you have a new schedule or new price review with the new government, will things change? Wilson Ferreira Jr Regarding your first question, naturally the evaluation of the price curve involves many elements. The discussion regarding the formatting of the price is one of them but you have elements like the delay of Belo Monte line, which affects the price. Hydrology, well, there is a difference of expectation regarding the former one and there are several elements reflected here. It’s not a significant variation of the price, just adjustment of different variables. But nothing stands out regarding the price variation. The second question. We have not been officially informed regarding the process and we now have a new government and this would be important to review as quickly as possible. Obviously the price, there is an error, just comparing comparables of multiples regarding the bases and you will see that we have here a mistake. The sector now has, because of the regulatory movement, we are made important progress regarding the rules of distribution and we see the different states and Electrobras needing cash for the question of privatization, which could bring many benefits to those who want the concessions and for consumers, as I see it personally, should be stepped up considerably in the next few months. Especially, we don’t want to increase taxes. So one way of capitalizing companies and governments is to do this where everybody can gain. So two-thirds of the concessions are private. In all governments, there has been with a greater gain of tax because of the better efficiency of these, better quality and obviously the use of that resource for the rebalancing of public accounts and whoever is doing the selling, I believe, the shares that all the analysts have said that all those interested have already manifested their interest and I would think within the next days or months, we will have the review of this amount. Marcelo Sa Thank you. Operator Our next question comes from Ms. Sergio Tamashiro from Haitong. Sergio Tamashiro Thank you. And Wilson, I wish you all the best in your new activities and Alberto as well. Second continuing regarding the new government now with the entry of Fernando Bezerra, we know that this future government has a quick need to attract new investment to try and reverse this trend towards economic shrinkage. So in your sector, what steps do you think might be taken? You mentioned the process of privatization in the distribution sector. But what other steps could be taken and do you think could be implemented? A greater flexibility in the — what can you imagine? The second question regarding the level of debt, you had said that there was no problem here. There was no short-term cash problem and quickly you are coming into a fast leverage situation. You will have a lot of cash and then you will be thinking, well, among these new projects and you are seeing capacity of generation and new projects for distribution. So what are you seeing? Will you be interested in these other projects? Expansion into other countries? So what would be alternatives? And finally, I would just like you to elaborate regarding the level of losses. It’s a very simple thing. You have the numerator equal losses and then under that the low voltage and these two indicators seem, even in leap year, they are equally intense. So I don’t understand why only the numerator feels the effects of the leap year. Wilson Ferreira Jr Thank you Sergio for your questions and also thank you for your good wishes. One of the things besides being team tried to CPFL, I will continue here being the Chairman of the Board of ABRADEE. We have had a chance to talk to some of the members who will be involved in this process. And with an overview, I can say that the government has already taken the first step with the talking about the partnerships for investments, I feel that there is total clarity [indiscernible] with the attraction of an investment is the most important thing to [indiscernible] invest in capital and infrastructure. So there are two points here. First of all, [indiscernible] in many of the projects we have projects that are up for bidding but have not yet been put into practice also for environmental projects. And on the other hand, we have an important agenda to show legal security and regulatory stability. I think the discussions will come along regarding improvement of the regulations for the agency, improvement of the auction conditions. I want to be very frank with you regarding the electric sector. I think we have made great progress last year and this year, because most of the election, except the last one for distribution had participants and all the lots were sold. In a specific one, the last transmission auction we had the entry of new agents and we did not have the presence of some important private agents or even public that have always been part of it and the main reason was because the fact of the nonpayment of the RBS, was harming these agents, something which was done on the last day of the management of Eduardo Braga. The electric power sector today where the ceiling prices have gone up and because of competition and this is the right way to establish price and this implies in each one of these themes a higher remuneration on your own capital and also as Gustavo has said, the increase of financing or the increase of this ceiling. So the environment expropriation themes will be addressed by the next 12 months. It’s very important that infrastructure if it is useful to country and we can go from 2% to 4% of GDP in investments very quickly. This must be followed by the recognition of this importance. It means that we will have people with us and entrepreneurs trying to make things easier with the government and not complicate it. Everybody wins with this. Things become simplified. The work is delivered more quickly to the population and work is distributed more quickly. As it gets the explicit show that the theme of the investment in infrastructure and the poetry is something very smart. And this committee that is going to manage this is doing right. So they are going the right way. And the electric sector has already done a lot of this improvement. But generally speaking, so that the environment be generalized and not only for the electric power sector, many elements, be it in the agencies or the laws that support the expert preparation which comes from 1941 and all the other periods of loss, the things lost, all have to be reviewed. And I am very positive about that. Now one last point, I think, was the losses. I will call upon someone on my team. Luiza Mariko Hello. This is Luiza Mariko from market planning. As you said, the calculation is simple. What is the difference? We are performing a loss in May where the average is 8.1%, it’s higher. You have more load than market at the moment because you have the effect of temperature on the lead. When you do the reading in the month and it’s a question of date of the month. One is right at the beginning and one is right at the end. So this amount of energy which is not billed from March 15 until the March 31 had a strong temperature effect and as you have said, the load of the year has one day more, 366 days. For the reading, it’s still 365 days but there were more then 100 gigawatts accumulated and I am talking about the residential and commercial areas. Well, looking at this question of losses and as is indicated, as this will effect other quarters, this losses will probably drop. The temperature will give us back its effect in the calendar as well. At the middle of the year, we have three 365 days and so those effects of the calendar and the temperature will give us back the losses stabilizing this expectation. Sergio Tamashiro Now going back to this question of new investments, Wilson, I think the government will be attracting new investments as a priority. Now specifically the electric power, especially the great generators, there was a strong participation of the construction companies. Do you see any structural changes for the fact that this company is no longer here and there is not a participation of Electrobras and they are only private companies? Wilson Ferreira Jr Yes Sergio. I think you have had that. For example, if you take in transmission, the last auction, the great largest lot was sold to a front of infrastructure investment. So these agents that are coming in and if they are skilled, there are many resources in the world looking for investments to have these prospects that we have in Brazil. I would say that it is sure that we will have new agents here. But the CPFL, well, in the specific case of public companies, just look at the balance sheet. It is a difficult situation and I think it’s already difficult to incorporate what has been signed. So you need financial discipline to manage these companies and we participate in these investments. But with the improvement of the economic and regulatory environment and the legal environment and the business environment that this new government is bringing us, we will certainly be capable of attracting investments from other places in the world here because of the demand that you will be offering each one of them. This is the only reason, the only good point of not having invested very much in the last few years, is that there is a lot of repressed demand that can be met. And in fact, as I had said at the beginning of the year, we overcame this small acute moment of the crisis. And CPFL, just look at the indicators of solvency of liquidity and of indebtedness, the company’s situation allows it and I think that this is the main point of this new phase will come in to a new cycle of growth. The company has a very good structure to evaluate these alternatives and fortuitously we have here, if you take the breakdown of the company’s EBITDA, it has a 45% distribution, 45% generation and 10% in commercialization and services and it’s very well balanced. If we could keep this, then certainly we will do so because I think this balance is very good. The opportunities appear and we are looking at most of them according to our strategy which is to follow in the three businesses that we have said. Very focused on the electric power session and distribution and expansion or through M&A or greenfield in generation. We have experience in both and in the strengthening of this activity of services which has been an important arm for the company to make consumers more loyal or to capture new clients. So this structure is possible. But you can’t choose, if it’s a consolidation and this big steps to us to create value, this is very important. We don’t want market share, we want prospects to increase our value and improve our corporate structure. So this is what we want. The company is very aware of this and the group of opportunities is there and we are evaluating them. And we will present the best options which will bring about better value creation for our shareholders. This is our value, to create this and share with the others. Sergio Tamashiro Okay. If you will allow me a quick follow-up, although you have a positive entry on the Itaipu [ph] and also we see other companies came in the electric energy sector and I don’t know, maybe in my point of view, that could be somewhat risky. We have seen in other auctions of energy generation that the new players later on had difficulties in going forward Genpower, Bolognesi. I am not talking about Bengo, but you see that future-ly these assets being that are developed by them so that they would come in the secondary market. What is your point of view? Wilson Ferreira Jr Yes. You are right on your comment. I believe that in the development of the regulation in the auction processes, we will have two things. First, a more correct evaluation in the financial services of the bidders, actually. So some of them maybe would not be approved by the bank. So there was an improvement in the bidder’s qualification. And on the other side, we have a faster pace in the assessment of the delay. There are projects that today are at the base, also of the distributors and we already know that those will not happen. So here we should have a faster pace to make the decision and say cancel the project. That will generate the needed demand for the future because so far, well, when the project is seen as a potential to be connected in addition to the delay it might cause and sometimes this is a serious delay and that could cause a fluctuation in the market price, you then want to do investment that would be needed there. So here we do have adjustments and improvements to be made into the process and I believe that in the system of partnership and investment that has been announced yesterday probably will address the issue. But yes, we do have homework to do, both in qualification as well as in following up the process and in a possible cancellation of that participation considering all the consequences that could be attributed to the bidders. Sergio Tamashiro Thank you very much. Operator Our next question is from Ms. Carolina Carneiro, Santander. Carolina Carneiro Good afternoon everyone. My question is about the next reserve energy auction. The company has any projects that would be interested to participate on that? And a second question, in the prior call, you talked about a flat demand this year and you see a small growth and I would like to know if the economic data and billing data that you have seen in the first quarter, if that estimate is still there? Thank you. Wilson Ferreira Jr Carolina, starting on your second question. I mentioned in the call, yes, with the results of this first quarter we reviewed our projections and we estimate that it’s not going to be flat, zero. It’s going to be slightly negative, maybe one, we could be reaching two. About the reserve energy auction, especially in renewable that has been said yesterday, yes, we do have a set of assets and we will assess timely our interest in taking part on it. But yes, we do have potential assets to take part in this bid or on this auction actually and we will have a saying on that briefly. Operator The conference call of CPFL Energia is concluded. We thank you all for your participation. Have a nice day. Thank you. Copyright policy: All transcripts on this site are the copyright of Seeking Alpha. However, we view them as an important resource for bloggers and journalists, and are excited to contribute to the democratization of financial information on the Internet. 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Pattern Energy Group’s (PEGI) CEO Michael Garland on Q1 2016 Results – Earnings Call Transcript

Pattern Energy Group Inc. (NASDAQ: PEGI ) Q1 2016 Earnings Conference Call May 9, 2016 10:30 AM ET Executives Mike Garland – President and CEO Mike Lyon – CFO Analysts Nelson Ng – RBC Capital Markets Stephen Byrd – Morgan Stanley Chris Turner – JPMorgan Ben Pham – BMO Capital Markets Frederic Bastien – Raymond James Matt Tucker – KeyBanc Capital Sophie Karp – Guggenheim Securities Michael Morosi – Avondale Partners Rupert Merer – National Bank Jeremy Rosenfield – Industrial Alliance Operator Good morning ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to Pattern Energy Group’s 2016 First Quarter Results Conference Call. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. Instructions will be provided at that time for you to queue up for questions. [Operator Instructions]. I would like to remind everyone that today’s discussion may contain forward-looking statements that reflect current views with respect to future events. Any such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected in the forward-looking statements. For more information on Pattern’s risks and uncertainties related to these forward-looking statements, please refer to the company’s 10-Q which was filed May 9, 2016 and available on EDGAR and SEDAR. Now, I’d like to turn the call over to Mike Garland, President and Chief Executive Officer of Pattern Energy Group Inc. Mike Garland Thank you, operator. Good morning and thank you all for joining us today. Earlier this morning, we released our 2016 first quarter results, which you can find on our web site at patternenergy.com. We are very pleased with our first quarter results. Our primary financial metric, cash available for distribution was up 340% year-over-year to $41 million. This result puts us on track through the first quarter to achieve a full year 2016 cash available for distribution guidance of $125 million to $145 million. Our full year guidance represents built in cash available for distribution growth of 46% over our 2015 cash available for distribution, at the midpoint of the range; and we can achieve that target entirely based on the existing ownership levels at our 16 operating projects, meaning no new equity capital is required for that growth. As we anticipated and discussed during our fourth quarter call, the El Niño conditions continued into 2016 resulting in approximately 10% lower production in the period compared to our long term forecast. This was in line with our expectations. As we discussed on our call in March, the El Niño conditions will continue to impact production during the second quarter. Our 2016 CAFD, cash available for distribution guidance, takes the Q1 and Q2 impact into account. Our Met team, our meteorological team and independent parties continue to believe that the El Niño — after the El Niño, a new system referred to as La Niña, could result in higher wind speeds for our fleet in either the second half of 2016 or early 2017. This would potentially result in higher production than the long term average for the later part of the year and into 2017. For our full year guidance, we have assumed wind speeds and production at the long term average during the second half of this year. Ensuring turbine availability conditions is a core component of our approach to operational excellence, I am pleased to say that the fleet is still operating at the top end of the industry. As a result of our operating performance and the high overall quality of our assets, our projects will continue to provide investors with a stable, yet growing, base of cash flows. As such, this morning, we announced an increase to our second quarter dividend of 2.4% to $1.56 per share on an annualized basis; our ninth consecutive quarterly dividend increase. In addition, our outlook for growth remains strong and Pattern Development’s project opportunities have increased. Pattern Development remains the primary means through which we will grow our portfolio, as we strongly believe we get better value for an invested dollar from the project Pattern Development creates. Currently, our identified right of first offer lift with Pattern Development totals 1.3 gigawatts of owned capacity and represents growth of 57% to our existing portfolio. During the last two quarters, Pattern Development commenced operations at three projects, one in Canada and two in Japan, which remain on our identified ROFO list. These projects represent 115 megawatts in owned capacity. Armow, which is located in Ontario, Canada, commenced operations in late 2015, representing 90 megawatts of owned capacity. Pattern Development, together with its Japanese development partner, GPI, has also commenced operations at its first two solar projects in Japan. Futtsu Solar, a 42 megawatt solar facility, representing 15 megawatts of owned capacity on our identified ROFO list, commenced operations in March. And Kanagi Solar, a 14 megawatt solar facility, representing 6 megawatts of owned capacity, commenced operations in April. Additionally, Pattern Development is currently arranging funding for the Broadview projects, which could start construction soon. Broadview is a 324 megawatt gross capacity project and 259 megawatts in owned capacity, located in New Mexico. Once constructed, it will deliver attractively priced power directly into California, under two 20 year contracts. Each of these four projects represents quality opportunities that complement our current portfolio. As to capital raising for these and other opportunities we reiterate, we have $100 million to $150 million of liquidity to acquire projects. We do not have any current commitments, which require us to raise capital, and Pattern Development has expanded its capital resources to allow them to carry projects during periods of weak capital markets. However, we are pleased that the capital markets have improved in the last few weeks within the sector. We are hopeful that these improvements reflect the market, valuing the quality and the stability of our cash flows and our strong outlook for growth, and therefore, we will see continued improvement. However, please read these comments to mean, that at this time, we are not planning on a equity offering. This morning, we filed a prospectus for an ATM that provides us with greater flexibility access modest amounts of equity capital from time-to-time, and as appropriate, given market conditions. We view this ATM as one tool in a broader toolkit and we intend to use it judiciously for future project related investments that are accretive and other corporate purposes. Again to be clear, we do not plan on issuing under the ATM at this time, and at the current stock price. The ATM is only an option for the future. I hope, it is clear that we remain confident in and committed to our strategy. We will continue to increase our cash available for distribution from our 16 operating projects today, and grow our business primarily from drop-downs from Pattern Development. By managing our costs effectively and delivering operational and technical improvements within the current fleet, we believe we can exceed $156 million run rate, cash available for distribution target from the existing assets in the coming years. We can grow our cash available for distribution naturally, and we can be patient acquiring new projects. We will grow the portfolio, when appropriate, and with projects that are accretive to our shareholders. Our strategy is consistent with our patient, but active approach that I discussed on our last call. Patient, in the sense of not having to raise equity, when we do not want to, and also being disciplined about when we drop down assets, and maintaining the strong support of our flexible sponsor, Pattern Development. At the same time, we are active, driving continued operational improvements, managing our cost effectively and consistently looking for alternative and better ways to finance our business. We have structured the business and deployed a strategy to produce stable, sustainable cash available for distribution per share and to grow it. We have also consistently stated that we believe we can increase our long term value by migrating over time in appropriate amounts to a fully integrated independent renewable power company. We have never viewed the public company as a sidecar that funds the development business, quite the opposite. We structure the business, with internal management and no IDRs, because Pattern Energy is the growth entity. With that in mind, and as I mentioned in the March call, we continue to hold discussions with Pattern Development as to the possibility for PEGI to participate in the ownership of the development pipeline. These discussions cover, or will cover a range of items which include timing, structure, value of the fund and the funding of such transaction. It is still very early in the process, and at this stage, there is nothing to report, and there can be no assurances that any transaction will occur. As to the general market, the outlook for the next decade has never been better for renewable energy. U.S. continues to be committed to increasing the use of renewables, with the passage of long term tax production tax credit, increases in state renewable portfolio standards, such as California and Oregon going to a 50% target; 80 of the most influential corporations have pledged to buy 100% renewables for their electrical needs, and wind provided nearly all the new electricity capacity added in the first quarter. Additionally, most utilities in States are implementing coal reductions, despite the legal challenge to the clean power plant at the federal level. In the other countries we and Pattern Development are active in, Canada, Chile, Mexico and Japan; these countries have continued and increased their commitment to renewables and reducing their dependence on imported and fossil fuels. There are new bid processes under way in Mexico, Chile, and Ontario, and we expect Alberta and Saskatchewan to conduct competitive processes, as they retire coal assets. We believe our business strategy allows us to take advantage of the current strong market. Our target is to grow our existing portfolio to 5 gigawatts of owned capacity by the end of 2019, delivering stable, sustainable and growing returns to our shareholders. With that, I’d like to turn it over to Mike Lyon to review the financials in more detail. Mike Lyon Thank you, Mike. Let’s start with electricity sales. We report electricity production on a proportional basis, to reflect our ownership interest in operating projects. Proportional gigawatt hours sold increased 92% to 1,801 gigawatt hours in the first quarter 2016 compared to the corresponding period in 2015. This increase was primarily due to projects which commenced commercial operations since the third quarter, or were acquired since May of 2015. Specifically, the acquisitions of Post Rock and Lost Creek in May, as well as the acquisition of subsequent commencement of commercial operations at K2 in June, Logan’s Gap in September, and Amazon Wind Fowler Ridge in September. As Mike mentioned, the anticipated El Niño conditions continued during the first quarter, causing lower wind speeds which resulted in lower production. We expect El Niño conditions to subside during mid-2016. We expect El Niño to have less impact on wind speeds in the second quarter than we expected and experienced in the first quarter, but there will still be an impact. At present, we anticipate a reversal of El Niño conditions in the second half of 2016 or early 2017, at which point La Niña could potentially positively impact North American wind levels. Adjusted EBITDA increased 67% to $78.1 million in the first quarter of 2016 compared to the same period last year. This was primarily attributable to projects, which commenced commercial operations or were acquired since May 2015. Cash available for distribution increased 340% to $41 million in the first quarter 2016 compared to the same period last year. The $31.7 million increase in cash available for distribution, was due primarily to two items; first, additional revenues of $31.3 million, excluding unrealized loss on energy derivative and amortization of PPAs, primarily from projects which commenced commercial operations or were acquired during 2015. And secondly, an increase of $14.1 million received in cash distributions from our unconsolidated investments, when compared to the same period in the prior year, due to full operation at each of our own consolidated investments in 2016 compared to 2015. These increases were partially offset by increased expenses, primarily due to the projects which commenced commercial operations or were acquired during 2015, including increases of $7 million in project expenses, $3.4 million in operating expenses, and $3.1 million in interest expense. The increases in cash available for distribution were also offset by increased distributions through non-controlling interest of $3.2 million. This morning, we are reaffirming our guidance for the full year, 2016 cash available for distribution of $125 million to $145 million. This represents built-in cash available for distribution growth of 46% at the midpoint of the range from the current 16 projects in our portfolio. That is with no new projects and no new equity capital required. Any contributions from new projects prior to the end of 2016, would be incremental to our cash available for distribution guidance. As of March 31, 2016, our available liquidity was $335 million, which consisted of approximately $91 million of unrestricted cash on hand, $27 million of restricted cash, $113 million available under our revolving credit agreement and $104 million available undrawn capacity under certain project to debt facilities. We believe this liquidity provides $100 million to $150 million in drypowder to drop down additional assets from Pattern Development. As Mike mentioned, we have established an aftermarket or ATM program to provide us with another mechanism to access capital. It’s a cost effective manner to raise incremental equity over time, providing greater flexibility than larger discrete equity or debt transactions. We will continue to manage our capital structure in a prudent fashion and dropping down projects when they are accretive, using cash available for distribution per share as our primary growth metric. Thank you. I will now turn the call back over to Mike Garland. Mike Garland Thanks Mike. First quarter was a great start to 2016. We recorded cash available for distribution of $41 million, our highest ever. We are on track for our 2016 cash available for distribution full year guidance. All 16 projects in the portfolio are now operational and they are performing at very high levels. We increased our dividend for the ninth consecutive quarter. Our identified right of first offer list of drop-downs from Pattern Development continues to be possibly advanced, and we anticipate additions this coming year. The outlook for the additional demand in all of our four regions for renewable energy is active and strong, and we believe the equity markets are starting to improve, which could allow for additional growth from accretive transactions. With this good news, we start 2016 in a strong position. Our list of ROFO assets will continue to grow in 2016, in a market with higher demand for renewables and improving technology. We have consistently delivered results based on our discipline and strategy, including our built-in cash available for distribution growth within the portfolio in 2016. We have a clear strategy to provide a growing and stable base of cash flows from a portfolio of high quality renewable assets. I’d like to thank our shareholders. We are very excited about our future. We have a plan for creating long term value for investors, changing the way electricity is made and transferred into developed countries, while respecting the communities and the environment where our projects are located. We’d like to now take your questions. Thank you. Question-and-Answer Session Operator [Operator Instructions]. Your first question comes from Nelson Ng with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is now open. Nelson Ng Great, thanks. Good morning everyone. Mike Garland Hi Nelson. Nelson Ng Quick question on the drop-downs; I think in the MD&A, I am not sure whether I am reading it correctly, but rather than looking at projects that are already operational, are you guys seeing that you are looking to agree to do drop-downs for projects that won’t be complete until next year? Or is that just a potential? Mike Garland I don’t think we are trying to convey, that we are choosing between one or the other. I think we’d look at, whichever we think is the right acquisition at the time and which are accretive and which are ready to be dropped and appropriate for us. So our tendency today, is to be acquiring assets at or around commercial operation date, and we said — Pattern Development has set up financing arrangements and equity commitments, such that they can hold those assets through the construction period. So I don’t think that our MD&A meant to imply that we were planning on dropping down projects in construction over — in preference to assets that are in operation. Nelson Ng Okay. Thanks for the clarification. Then another question is on the timing of debt repayments, I think Q1 was a little bit lower than our expectations and I think in the annual report it indicated about $48 million will be repaid in 2016. Is that still the case, and will there be more or higher debt repayment in probably Q2 and Q4? Mike Lyon The $48 million is still the case for our principal payments during the year, Nelson. All of our projects have sort of sculpted principal payments that depend on the — or that are shaped, based on the expected shape of the project cash flows during the year. So some of them have higher principal payments in the first quarter, some have higher in the second quarter, etcetera. So they just vary from one project to the next. Nelson Ng Okay. And then, just one last question before I get back in the queue; in terms of the actual generation for the quarter, I guess, roughly, what percentage below the long term average, was it? Mike Lyon It was close to 10%. Nelson Ng Okay. Thanks. I will jump back in the queue. Thanks. Operator Your next question comes from Stephen Byrd with Morgan Stanley. Your line is now open. Stephen Byrd Hi. Good morning. Mike Garland Hi Stephen. Stephen Byrd Wanted to touch on the IRS rule changes with respect to wind development. I know you are not primarily in the development business. But I was just curious in terms of your reaction to the importance of the rule changes, and if there are any nuances in the rule changes that we should be thinking about. But just overall, in terms of the impact to wind economics, and sort of the run-rate for growth in wind? Mike Garland It was a great result and we were actively involved in it. There is really three elements that are very good for us; one is, they have taken the Safe Harbor from two years to four years, which means, that if you — for example, put your 5% or you buy turbines that — this year, you have four years to complete the projects rather than two; and so that extends out the period of time that we can do projects, make down payments, for examples on turbines and qualify them to allow projects, so we go into service in four years and still get 100% PTCs. Secondly, allows for bigger projects, because sometimes, those take longer than a year to two years to build. And third, they clarified exceptions, so if for example, you were building a project and the transmission line wasn’t fully operational, but the project was. We think we now have stronger support from the IRS that should still qualify, even if you — we are fully placed in operation in more than four years. So we thought it was really a — pretty outstanding result and it was one that we worked hard to try to support and give the evidence to the IRS and treasuries to allow them to make that conclusion. Stephen Byrd Great. And then shifting to the drypowder commentary that you laid out; I guess, you are in a good position, in the sense that you don’t have a near term need to do anything. You have good full year cash flows from your projects. But can you help us, in terms of thinking about the timing for when you might want to use that drypowder? Are there pros and cons you’re weighting. How should we sort of think about that decision-making process? Mike Garland Yeah, I guess, my reaction and I’d like Mike to add is, is what we do is, is we look at both the quality and the accretiveness of opportunities to acquire in using that money, and then secondly, just looking ahead at what kind of commitments we might make and might come up, such that we are doing just single-off planning that we are looking at how to grow our business in the coming years. And so, it’s really a combination to that. We don’t — obviously, it makes a difference where our stock price, to make sure its accretive. And so that’s the third element that we look at. Mike? Mike Lyon Yeah. One other factor that sometimes comes into play, Stephen, is that for project investments in the United States in particular, because we rely on the production tax credit, is an important part of the project economics. And because we therefore enter into transactions with investors who want to use the tax attributes of the project. Some of those tax equity oriented investors want to know when construction financing is closing, that Pattern Energy will be a long term owner of the interest in the project, as opposed to Pattern Development. And so, sometimes we will — and I would hasten to say, not all of such investors have that view, but some do. And so, sometimes, we will make forward commitments to acquire a project at the time of the beginning of construction. So that can be a factor in how we think about allocating our capital resources. Did that make sense, Stephen? Stephen Byrd That does make sense. I think just lastly, and I will get back in queue. Could you give us an update in terms of your approach to hedging Canadian dollar exposure just sort of current [ph] on where you stand on the hedge perspective? Mike Lyon Sure. We continue to use 18 to 21 months rolling program, where we forward purchase Canadian dollars. We entered into those Canadian dollar purchases, at the P75 level, at the front end, and then it tapers off towards the back end. And so what that means, is that over the course of the next 12 months, we have locked in a substantial portion of the FX impact that we could have for the next 12 months, and then it tapers off at the back end. And we just continually add on a new quarter, as we roll through the quarters. Stephen Byrd Understood. Slow and steady there, that makes sense. Thank you very much. Mike Garland Thank you, Steve. Operator Your next question comes from Chris Turner with JPMorgan. Your line is now open. Chris Turner Good morning guys. I wanted to get a little bit more of a sense, quarter-to-quarter this year with your CAFD results and how they compare to your full year guidance, and also kind of the same question on the adjusted EBITDA level, given the relative strength of the first quarter. So as we see kind of wind reverting back up to normal, as it is in your plan, and then kind of any partial recognition of projects coming online over the course of the first quarter, being at a full run rate in the second quarter and beyond. How can we think about that? You already kind of addressed some of the CAFD items in terms of debt prepayments and debt paydowns, but when we think about maybe adjusted EBITDA and that level, how does that look going forward? Mike Lyon So our portfolio at current, tends to have relatively similar quarters, Q1, Q2, and Q4, with Q3 being typically the weaker quarter, in terms of seasonality during the year. And that’s why you will see the — the $41 million that we reported today for first quarter, puts us on track for the full year guidance that we gave. As to adjusted EBITDA, it follows a similar kind of track. I think if you were asking about the — were you asking about the first quarter adjusted EBITDA, Christopher, or really just wanting to know how to think about it going forward? Chris Turner I guess, a little bit of both. How can we think about the first quarter in the context of the back kind of three quarters of the year? Mike Lyon Yeah. So the first — as they say, the seasonality tends to favor Qs one, two and four over Q3. We, as you noted, had a — or some might have noted, had a bit of a shortfall in Q1 adjusted EBITDA, relative to consensus, while we outperformed on cash available for distribution. And I think, that that’s a little bit of a reflection on the seasonality impacts, but also, that there is a little bit of a timing shift, when we received cash available for distribution from our unconsolidated investments, that could be really with respect to cash flows earned, if you will, at the project level in the prior quarter to some extent. And as you may recall, we finished Q4 pretty strong in terms of production at our Ontario projects, and helps drive the distributions from unconsolidated investments to a little bit higher level in Q1. Chris Turner Okay, got you. Mike Lyon I might have missed one of your questions there, but — Chris Turner No, that answered it. I also wanted to circle back on the El Niño kind of transition, potentially into La Niña and how you are thinking about that right now. You addressed it already and said that you continue to think that there is a chance of outperforming the average of [indiscernible] resource in the back half of the year, and you also kind of mentioned that it might spill into the first part of next year. But has anything changed over the last three months there, in terms of your expectations? Have they gotten stronger or are they basically the same? Mike Lyon No. I don’t think so our expectations have changed in the last few months. We still perceive the same kind of profile that we did earlier in the year at no — our Met team hasn’t given us any sort of changing guidance about that. Chris Turner Okay. And is there any way we can think about that quantitatively in terms of performance potential versus average? Mike Lyon No. as we said, factored into our own estimates for guidance for the year, and the assumption that we would be at the long term average for the second half of the year. Chris Turner Okay, great. Thanks. Operator This is the operator. We have a number of analysts still in the queue. If you would please limit yourself to two questions and then get back in queue, so management can answer as many questions as possible, that would be much appreciated. Thank you. Your next question comes from Ben Pham with BMO. Your line is now open. Ben Pham Okay, thanks. Good morning. I was wondering what the assessment is with respect to third party acquisitions and possibly, the drop down portfolio. What’s your assessment on the competition? I think you had a good track record, taking some assets up on the cheap from some bankrupt companies in your past, and just [indiscernible] some assets like that, you can shake loose right now and how do you think about that, relative to your balance sheet and maybe how you look at your ROFO drop-downs, would you drop down assets for good returns or look towards through the third party assets for abnormally attractive returns? Mike Lyon I think — just to take off your last comment, I think if we could find some really great acquisitions that are very accretive, because of unusual circumstances such as there is an urgency of a sale process or something, we would go out for that, before drop-down. But we have been paying attention to what’s out in the market. The market isn’t quite as robust. I think people are starting — wanting to still wait a little bit and see how it’s going. There has only been a few transactions. The first — Edison for example, is going through some liquidation of assets, selling of assets, I should say. And we are involved in looking at those. We will see what the pricing looks like, as time goes on. We are hopeful, we will be able to find a few above market, if you will, returning projects. But there is still a lot of competition, as you know out there, to acquire projects, especially operating projects. So it’s not like the market has fallen through the bottom. I think, where you get above market returns is when you — there is something unusual, like you may need a very fast turnaround, they may need — the seller may need a fast turnaround time. Those are the sorts of things that put us in a really good position, because we generally can move more quickly than a lot of people, or if it’s a little more complex, that we have all the skillsets in-house to be able to analyze projects and don’t have to rely on outside parties, experts to advise us. So we will be looking at the market as we go forward, but there is nothing currently active that we have, at Pattern Development or at PEGI. They are more of development assets on the market than operating assets sit currently and Pattern Development is very active looking at those opportunities and intends to expands on its backlog, both through Greenfield development, as well as acquisitions. Ben Pham Okay, thanks for that. And my second question is on your contract length you guys have, and I am just wondering. When you say strategy and you think about your business longer term. That contract length has come down quite a bit since the IPO and part of it is just time. But how do you guys think about that? Do you look at your PPA asset life and then you add — do you think about your — Mike Garland I think what we saw, was a little unusual; because we ended up doing a number of three, I think deals, that had hedges, which are shorter term transactions like Amazon and so on. But look at the identified ROFO list, they are all long terms. And if you get a combined existing portfolio plus the ROFO list, I think you’d find that the term length of the PPAs goes up substantially. So you might take a look at that, Ben. Ben Pham Okay. So it’s going to go up over time. Okay. Thanks everybody. Mike Garland Good luck. Operator Your next question comes from Frederic Bastien with Raymond James. Your line is now open. Frederic Bastien Good morning. I was wondering, if you could provide any updates on your partnership with Cemex in Mexico? Mike Garland Sure. Its going extremely well. We are actually seeing more progress than we had though, when we originally entered into it. And you probably know, that they did the first round of bids, and some of them were pretty aggressive. But candidly, our project wasn’t as far along as we’d like it to be. We were not shortlisted, but that wasn’t that problematic to us. Half of the reason was, because of the way the initial offering was offered, where there were some benefits and penalties depending on where you were located. The second round of bids that will be coming up this year, are more favorable to us than the first round and our project will be further along. So we think we can be quite competitive, and Cemex has been a great partner. They have been decisive, they have provided resources. They have good insight into the business and what’s going on locally and helping with landowners and other things. And so, we are very excited with the relationship right now. Frederic Bastien Okay, thanks. And if we move further down south to Chile, where you already have an offering asset and you have got the solar, Conejo Solar that is being developed. How is it competitive to the environment there? Any different? And whether you see some good opportunities for the development longer term? Mike Garland Yeah, it is. It’s clearly competitive in Chile. We think that there may be — I think the question in Chile is going to be more is, how robust is the distribution company, RFP processes that are coming up, because that’s where the best next resource for PPAs is going to come from. As you know, the copper market has slumped in the last several months or last year and so the mining companies are still actively looking for some more power, renewable power in particular. But they are not as active as they had started to be, a year or so ago. So we are looking at a combination of things. The RFP from the distribution companies, and one-off transactions from some of the mining companies is where we will get our growth there. Still a very interesting market, and that there is a high level of commitment to renewables and the price has come down enough to where it’s pretty hard to compete renewables — with renewables in Chile, and there are somewhat fewer competitors than say, in a place like Mexico. Frederic Bastien All right. That’s helpful. Thank you. Thanks Mike. Mike Garland You bet. Operator Your next question comes from Matt Tucker with KeyBanc Capital. Your line is now open. Matt Tucker Hi, good morning. Mike Garland Hi Matt. Matt Tucker So just wanted to clarify, the $100 million to $150 million you cited is not your total liquidity, but it’s the portion of your current liquidity that you’d be comfortable, using to make acquisitions right now. And would that be enough to do a larger drop-down, like Armow this year, where’d you need your share price to be at a level, where you could also — you’d also be comfortable issuing some equity to finance that? Mike Lyon It’s enough to do a large transaction, Matt. We could — depending on the size of the transactions, we could potentially do more than one. But it would be enough for a large-ish transaction. Certainly on the scale of those that we drop-down in the past. Matt Tucker Got it. And the $100 million to $150 million, that’s just the portion of your liquidity that you think is drypowder? Mike Lyon That’s correct. There are portions of that liquidity that are at project level. So we don’t think of that as being available for corporate acquisitions. We really look to the availability under our revolving credit facility, and the portion of our unrestricted cash that we’d be comfortable to begin to — for acquisitions. Matt Tucker Got it. Thanks. And then I just wanted to ask about your comments on PEGI potentially taking a stake in the development pipeline. Is there something that you continue to remind us about, I think, just about every quarter? But still seems like, it’s in its preliminary stages in terms of that decision. Is there anything that’s changed since last quarter? Or just anything new, we should be taking away from your comments today? Mike Garland No. I think you stated it fairly, that we keep kind of saying the same thing for the last couple of quarters. We don’t feel a rush to execute on the plan, and so, it has not been the priority. Our priority is our operating assets, and our internal organization, given the situation we are in with the market. And so we are taking it slowly, probably slower than we normally would. I think we are typically known as people, who move quickly and efficiently on this, when we just feel there is no reason to rush into it. And so, we are not trying to send any market messages with our comments, only to remind people, as you say, that we are still having those discussions, because people would ask otherwise. So as things develop and become more solidified with the option of what we might do, we will let you know. But right now, it’s still in the early stage discussion level. Matt Tucker Okay, great. Thanks guys. Operator Our next question comes from Sophie Karp with Guggenheim Securities. Your line is now open. Sophie Karp Thank you for taking my question. I was wondering if you could comment a little bit on the state of the tax equity market and you have done some deals there in the past, and what are you seeing now, with certainly, in current opportunities for you right there? Thank you. Mike Garland Yeah. I think it has changed a whole lot. I think the new guidance has actually been helpful to it. Maybe it’s a perspective some people wouldn’t share. But my personal belief is, is it — with the extension, IRS extension, what it will do is somewhat levelize the construction and demand for tax equity. And what I mean by that is, rather than rush everything to get done within the two year window, we can loose out the demand over the next four years and longer, as it steps down — the PTC stepdown, which I think helps; because the market has expanded a little bit in the tax equity, but not substantively, it’s about the same as it was last year. It’s still very strong. As I remember right, I think $13 billion of tax equity last year. Just a tinge over half of that was in wind. I can check on those numbers, but it’s a handful 10-12 investors who are the dominant players, and so, we’d like to see that market expand at some. But it’s still adequate for the demands at the tax equity markets today. Sophie Karp Thank you. And then on the funding strategy, I guess, when you talk about corporate revolver availability for acquisitions, what would be for you in that — the next step in that process? Would you seek to term it out in the next 12 months or so or how do you view that? Mike Lyon I think we would look at that, Sophie, more as part of our long term capital planning. We said at our Investor Day last summer, that we felt going forward, the significant amounts of capital that we expected to utilize over the next several years. We thought it would be very roughly, two-thirds common equity and one third debt. And so that would be a potential replacement of the revolver, over some period of time. I think we are very comfortable at carrying the revolver balance at this time. So we don’t have an immediate plan to do any sort of term out of that revolver. But in the long term, that’s pretty clearly, the right thing to do. Sophie Karp Thank you. Operator Your next question comes from Michael Morosi with Avondale Partners. Your line is now open. Michael Morosi Hi guys. Thanks for taking the question. First off, if we looked just on a — just a purely calculated basis, it looks like the dollar per kilowatt hour is declining as the portfolio grows, and I just wondered if you could talk a little bit about, the levels at which we should expect new assets to enter the portfolio? Mike Garland I think our average cost per kilowatt hour is really — like I mentioned earlier, about the term in the last year to — or last year. We tended to do the merchant deals in the high wind markets, where pricing has come down. But if you look at the next set of projects that we could drop, like Armow in Canada, has a very high PPA price. And so, it varies from year-to-year, month-to-month, quarter-to-quarter, depending on what’s dropped down, and where the projects are located. I think you will, and you should expect, a trending down of the price each year going forward, because the industry is just getting better and better. The cost of production per kilowatt hour, what it cost us to buy equipment and install it has come down so much, more than 65% over the last five years and so you are going to continue to see that trend, where we are trying to drive down costs, so we can be more and more competitive. So I think you will see the PPA prices going forward, continuing to drop. Even Ontario, for example, where Armow may have — I think with the base PPA of the old transactions, contracts in Ontario were $135, if you didn’t have — for example, the Aboriginal add [ph] and so on. But the new contracts are substantially below that or lower than that. So we think it’s a natural maturing of the industry that we can get — we can produce our power cheaper than we could last year, and therefore the new PPAs that benefit, will in large part, be passed on to the buyers of the power. Michael Morosi Very good. Thanks for that. And then, with respect to the 5 gigawatt by 2019, I wondered if you could just provide little more details around the expected geographic breakdown or the mix between wind and solar, and whether you anticipate that to substantially come from Pattern Development’s pipeline or elsewhere? Mike Garland Yeah. If you look at our current number of assets and our iROFO list we had in our last presentation, a graphic that showed the difference. And I think, we were short about, what was it, 1,500 megawatts? And so, the first half we just look at our iROFO list, and you will see its dominated by North America and Japan to some extent. And so that is pretty indicative of where it comes from or where we anticipate things locationally. We think the new projects too will come similarly in North America and some Japan, some from Chile, but the predominant amount of growth will come from North America. It will be dominated by wind. We will continue to push our efforts in solar, both abroad and domestically in the United States. But it’s going to be dependent on whether we can get good accretive solar transactions, that portion — to see if we can grow our U.S. portion of solar, relative to wind. So I guess what I would say is, North America will dominate — wind will dominate, and drop-downs will dominate as well. So majority of our portfolio will grow just as it is today, with a majority in the U.S., with wind. I used to say, 80-20, I still hope that we could do 80% wind, 20% solar over the next three to five years, but it could be less than that, if the markets stay really tight on solar. And I’d say the same thing about drop-downs, so probably about 80% drops. Michael Morosi Thank you. Operator Your next question comes from Rupert Merer with National Bank. Your line is now open. Rupert Merer Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. A quick follow-up FX question; with much of your ROFO now is in Japan, Canada and Chile, you could see increasing cash flows from outside the U.S. in the next few years. Would you consider, longer term, hedges on new projects to lock-in or returns in the drop-downs when you invest the capital? Mike Lyon Yes we would Rupert. I think in certain markets, we might well do that. Some of those markets that you mentioned, we are happy to observe that the power pricing can be U.S. dollar denominated. That certainly is the case in Chile. The Mexican solicitation also has been — had a U.S. dollar denominated attribute to it. Japan will clearly be Yen-based and we will look at a longer FX solution in Japan, as part of any investments we make there. Rupert Merer Okay, great. Thanks. And then secondly, so beyond accessing available liquidity for drop-downs; in your view, is the share price where it needs to be now at $20 for drop-downs to be accretive with the issuance of new equity? Of course, a lot of moving parts there, but if you take the difficult deal price today, do you think the transactions could be accretive? Mike Lyon Yes, I think they can be accretive. I think we prefer that they be more accretive. The spread between investment and the cost of the capital is, what we have our eye on. And so, as Mike said, we are not looking to issue shares at prices we have seen in our recent past. We think the trend, is in a good direction, and we put the ATM program in place, because it gives us the flexibility to take advantage of markets, when we think it’s appropriate to do so. Rupert Merer Okay, great. Thanks very much. Operator And your next question comes from Jeremy Rosenfield with Industrial Alliance. Your line is now open. Jeremy Rosenfield Yeah, great. Just a couple of questions here. So I just want to be sure that I am understanding completely, given the dry-powder that you are talking about, but the share price. So it seems like you have everything in place to make the next acquisition, and you are basically just, in the sort of a holding pattern right now. And I just want to make sure, that that’s exactly what you’re saying here? Mike Garland Yeah. I think that’s a fair way to describe it. Jeremy, we have talked in the past about the market as being pretty sensitive, or at least, it’s not as stable as we’d like to see. So you can make an argument that we could drop something today. But we have had the sense, and I think, we even in the last earnings call, talked about how there is a quality to the market, where it’s almost — the market doesn’t want to hear much new news at all. And so, what we are waiting for, is the market to stabilize a little better, so that people look at whatever we do very positively, because we want, obviously for our investors to see a positive outcome and a growth of that positive reaction to the marketplace. And sometimes announcing anything is perceived as not that good. People may not see it as accretive as it should be or timing isn’t right or raising any equity creates issues. And so, we are being patient and believe that the right approach ought to be just waiting till the market settles and feels a little more solidified than it has been, in order to make an acquisition. Jeremy Rosenfield Okay. And then, if you think about, let’s say the level of accretion that you would need in a transaction, I obviously understand different transactions, some could be more accretive some could be less. But do you have a target that you are thinking of, that you would like to get to, in terms of accretion for — in order to be able to move forward with the next transaction? Mike Lyon No I don’t think we have a specific, and we certainly don’t think it’s appropriate to talk specifics about an accretion target. It really depends on the size of the transaction, and how you are determining accretion, whether it’s the total accretion on all the shares or is it relative share of accretion. I think, most people look at it and say how much does it move the whole stock in terms of the accretion value, and that would say, you can’t do small transactions, that may be highly accretive on their own. So I just don’t think it’s useful to try to talk about accretive — less than accretive target. Jeremy Rosenfield Let me maybe just follow-up and just back differently; in terms of multiples that you are contemplating when you look at transactions, has that changed substantially sort of today from previous transactions that you have looked at? Mike Garland I wouldn’t say substantially. We are trying to be a little more aggressive and get better multiples. But I don’t think the market has changed substantially. At least, we haven’t seen enough transactions to say that it has changed. We have seen some that have been pretty high multiples, which is not where we want to go. We want to see the market come down and do a little lower pricing on acquisitions. And so, right now we think that our past is in far from what we think the low end of the market currently is, and we still hope we can do better than market. Jeremy Rosenfield Okay. Great. Thanks. Operator [Operator Instructions]. Your next question comes from Nelson Ng with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is now open. Nelson Ng Great. Thanks. Quick question on Puerto Rico; I know I have asked in the past about it, but given the kind of more recent developments, I thought I’d ask again, whether you guys are being paid on time, and whether the counterparty have asked to, I guess, renegotiate or open up the contracts in terms of Saint Isabel? Mike Lyon We are being still paid on time, and they have not asked us to reopen the contracts. Our constitutional and contractual position remains the same as it has been since that project was conceived. Nelson Ng Okay, great. And then, one other thing, I noticed in the cash flow statement that Pattern received $61 million of cash collateral that you kind of set aside. Was that in relation to Gulf Wind or was it another project, and can you give any more color on that, other than the counterparty was downgraded, and I presume, that’s why they had to give you a cash collateral? Mike Lyon That’s exactly right Nelson. And it’s just the arrangement that was set out in the contract. The counterparty is still an investment grade counterparty, but there is a threshold in the contract that required that if they fell below that, they would post cash collateral. It’s held in a segregated account. It is not available to us for our general uses; and it will move around, as the market value of that hedge moves around. So we may send some of it back to them on a given week, and they may post additional collateral. So it just gets held in this segregated account, where it’s not comingled with our general cash balances. Nelson Ng Okay. And was it related to Gulf Wind or a different project? Mike Lyon Yes it was. It was Gulf Wind. Nelson Ng Okay, got it. Great. Thanks. That’s all I have for now. Thanks. Operator There are no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the call back over to Mr. Mike Garland. Well thank you everyone for joining us today. Again, we thought it was a great quarter and the outlook for our business still is very robust, and we appreciate your interest in the company and your questions. Call us anytime. Thank you. Operator This concludes today’s conference call. You may now disconnect. Copyright policy: All transcripts on this site are the copyright of Seeking Alpha. 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Alliant Energy’s (LNT) CEO Pat Kampling on Q1 2016 Results – Earnings Call Transcript

Alliant Energy Corporation (NYSE: LNT ) Q1 2016 Earnings Conference Call May 5, 2016 10:00 ET Executives Susan Gille – IR Pat Kampling – Chairman, President & CEO Tom Hanson – SVP & CFO Analysts Andrew Levi – Avon Capital Brian Russo – Ladenburg Thalmann Andrew Weisel – Macquarie Research Operator Thank you for holding, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Alliant Energy’s First Quarter 2016 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all lines are in a listen-only mode and today’s conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to your host, Susan Gille, Manager of Investor Relations at Alliant Energy. Susan Gille Good morning. I would like to thank all of you on the call and the webcast for joining us today. We appreciate your participation. With me here today are Pat Kampling, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer; Tom Hanson, Senior Vice President and CFO; and Robert Durian, Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer and Controller; as well as other members of the Senior Management Team. Following prepared remarks by Pat and Tom, we will have time to take questions from the investment community. We issued a news release last night announcing Alliant Energy’s first quarter 2016 earnings, re-affirmed 2016 earnings guidance. This release, as well as supplemental slides that will be referenced during today’s call, are available on the investor page of our website at alliantenergy.com. Before we begin, I need to remind you the remarks we make on this call and our answers to your questions include forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks that could cause actual results to be materially different. Those risks include, among others, matters discussed in Alliant Energy’s press release issued last night and in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. We disclaim any obligation to update these forward-looking statements. In addition, this presentation contains non-GAAP financial measures. The reconciliation between non-GAAP and GAAP measures are provided in the earnings release, which are available on our website at alliantenergy.com. At this point I’ll turn the call over to Pat. Pat Kampling Thank you, Su. Good morning and thank you for joining us on the first quarter 2016 earnings call. I will begin with an overview of our first quarter performance. I will now review the progress made and transforming our generation fleet creating a smarter energy infrastructure and expanding our natural gas system. I will then turn the call over to Tom to provide details on our first quarter results as well review our regulatory calendar. Like the utilities in the region mild with the temperatures reduced first quarter results, ours by $0.05 per share. This is quite the opposite from first quarter 2015 where we experienced a positive temperature impact to earnings therefore temperature swings led to a significant quarter-over-quarter variance of $0.09 per share. During the past few years we have been executing on our plan for the orderly transition of our generating fleet and economic manner to serve our customers. We made progress in building a generation portfolio that has lower emissions, greater fuel diversity, is more cost efficient. The transition includes increasing levels of natural gas fired and renewable energy generation, lower levels of coal generation through coal unit retirements and installing emission controls on performance upgrades on largest coal fired facilities. We have also started water and ash program at our facilities to meet current and expected future environmental requirements. Now let me brief you on our construction activities. 2016 is another very active construction year with 4 investments of over $1.1 billion. Our investments are projected to include approximately $300 million for our elective distribution systems. These investments are driven by customer expectations to make our systems more robust, reliable and resilient. This year’s plan also includes $200 million for improvements in expansion of our natural gas distribution business almost double our year spending. The electric and gas distribution business will continue to be a focus for future investments as we create a smarter energy infrastructure. Now I will provide an over view of our drilling, investments and gas power generation. As you are aware the Public Sewage Commission of Wisconsin approved the certificate of public convenience and necessity for the river side expansion. And we expect to receive the written order today. We have already received the air permits and are awaiting approval for the water permits. We expect the asset from the new river side units to be approximately 700 MW and the total anticipated capital expenditure for river side remains at approximately $700 million excluding AFUDC and transmission. The targeted in service state is by early 2020. Later this month we plan to announce the engineering procurement and construction firms selected for this project. In Iowa the Marshalltown natural gas fired generating facility is progressing well and is now approximately 73% complete. Total CapEx is anticipated to be approximately $700 million excluding AFUDC and transmission. Marshalltown is on time and on budget and is expected to go in service in spring 2017. Riverside and Emery are two primary existing gas generating facilities, had another quarter of significant increase in dispatch when compared to prior years. During the first quarter of 2016 Riverside’s and Emery’s were more than double their five year averages. The ability to lean on our gas generation during periods of low gas prices results in fuel savings of our customers and shows the importance of a balanced energy mix. Moving on to our existing coal field, we are getting towards the end of our successful construction program to reduce emissions at our largest facility. At Edgewater Unified, we continue on the installation of backhouse. This project is approximately 97% complete and is on time and below budget and should be in service later this year. Total CapEx for these projects are anticipated to be $270 million. And last month construction of the Columbia Unit II SCR began. EPL’s total CapEx anticipated to be approximately $50 million and is expected to go in service in 2018. There are several new order and ash regulations being developed by the environmental protection agency which we anticipate will impact 9 of our generating facilities both located across Iowa and Wisconsin. Our water and ash program was designed according to EPA and DNR rules and regulations. We have ash plant closers and bottom ash conversions underway in Iowa as IPLs filed commission plan and budget. In Wisconsin we filed an application for the certificate of authority for bottom ash conversion for Edgewater. The total expenditures for our water and ash programs are anticipated to be over $200 million over the next 7 years. The estimates provided in our investor release presentation include the near term expenditures for this program. As we plan for future generation needs we aim to minimize impacts while providing safe, reliable and affordable energy for our customers. We believe that our current emissions will continue to decrease due to the transition of our generating fleet, the availability of lower natural gas prices and increase of renewable energy. We have continued to invest in and purchase renewable energy. We currently own 568MW of wind generation and purchased approximately 470MW of energy from renewable sources. Our 10 year capital plan includes additional investments to meet customer energy needs. Also we have several solar projects from which we anticipate gathering valuable experience on our best to integrate solar in a cost effective manner into our electric system. At our headquarters over 1300 solar panels have been installed and they are now generating power for the building. Construction has also started on Wisconsin largest solar farm on our Rock River landfill which is adjacent to riverside. In Iowa construction has started on the Indian Creek Nature Center in Cedar Rapids. We will own and operate the solar panels there. We also anticipate collecting additional solar investment opportunities in the near future. Listen to our customers and understand their evolving needs is shaping the path for the future. We have replaced our decade old customer information and billing system which is now providing customers of now many more online self service offerings and robust customer communication options. And we have plans to ramp up additional offerings with this new platform. We are managed our company well and have made great strides growing for our company on behalf of our investors, customers and employees. In fact, our stock price doubled between yearend 2010 and into the first quarter of this year. As recognition of this progress and the growth prospects going forward the Board of Director’s announced a two form stock split last month. Each share on record on the close of business on May 4 will receive one additional share for every outstanding common share held on that date. The additional shares will be distributed on May 19 and May 20 shares will be sold at the post-split price. This is a significant milestone that our company and investors should be proud of. Let me summarize today, we will work to deliver 2016 operating objectives. Our plan continues to provide for 5% to 7% earnings growth and a 60% to 70% common dividend payout target. Our target 2016 dividend increased by 7% over the 2015 dividend. Successful execution of our major construction projects include completing projects on time and at a below budget in a very safe manner, working with the regulators and customers and utilities in a collaborative manner, reshaping the organization to be leaner and faster while keeping our focus on our customers and being good partners in the community. We will continue to manage the company to strike a balance between capital investments, operational and financial discipline and impacts to customers. You are invited to join us at our annual meeting next week which will be held on May 13 in Wisconsin. Thank you for your interest in Alliant Energy and I will now turn the call over to Tom. Tom Hanson Good morning everyone, we released first quarter 2016 earnings last evening with our earnings from continuing operations of $0.86 per share which was $0.01 per share lower than 2015 earnings. a summary of the quarter over quarter earning’s drivers may be found on Slide 3. Consistent with our growth assumed in our 2016 earning’s guidance retail electric and temperature normalized sales for Iowa, Wisconsin increased to approximately 1% between first quarter 2015 and 2016. The commercial and industrial sectors continued to be the largest hales growth drivers quarter-over-quarter. Now let’s briefly review our 2016 guidance. In November we issued our consolidated 2016 earnings guidance range of $3.60 – $3.90 on a pre-stock split basis. The key drivers for the 5% growth in earnings led to infrastructure investments such as the Edgewater and the Lansing emission control equipment. And hire AFUDC related to the Marshalltown generating station. The earing’s guidance is based upon the impacts of IPLs and WPLs previously announced retail based rate settlement. In 2016 IPL expects to credit customer builds by approximately $10 million. By comparison the building credits in 2015 were $24 million. IPL expects to provide tax driver billing credits to electric and gas customers of approximately $62 million compared to $72 million in 2015. Over the years the tax benefit riders may have a timing impact but are not anticipated to impact full year results. The WPL settlement reflected electric growth for the Edgewater house projected to be place in service this year. The increase in requirements in 2016 for this and other base additions completely offset by lower energy efficiency recovery amortization. Slide 4 has been provided to assist you in modeling the assisted tax rates in IPL and WPL and AEC. Turning to our forecasted capital expenditures. In March, the pipeline and hazardous materials safety administration announced proposed regulations to update the safer requirements for gas pipeline. We currently anticipate final regulations will be issued in 2017. The forecasted capital expenditures provided during our year-end call include estimated amounts for this expected regulations. Now turning to our financing plans. Our current forecast incorporates the extension bonus depreciation deduction through 2019. As a result of the 5 year bonus depreciation Alliant Energy does not expect to make any significant federal income tax payments through 2021. This forecast is based on current federal net operating losses and credit carry forward positions as well as future mounted bonus depreciation expected to be taken under federal income tax returns over the next 5 years. Cash flows from operations are expected to be strong. Given their earnings generated by business. We believe that with strong cash flows and financing plan we will maintain our target liquidity and capitalization ratios as well as high quality credit rating. 2016 financing plans will soon be issued in approximately $25 million of our new common equity through our share to direct plan. The 2016 financing plan also anticipates issuing the long term debt of up to $300 million of IPL and approximately $400 million of parent Alliant Energy resources. We added $10 million to the proceeds at the energy resources are expected to be used to refinance the maturity of term loans. As we look beyond 2016 our equity needs will be driven by riverside expansion project, our forecast assumes that Capital expenditures for 2017 would be financed primarily by a combination of debt and new common equity. Our 2017 financing plan currently assumes issuing up to $150 million of common activity. We may adjust our financing plans as deemed prudent if market conditions warrant and our debt needs continue to be reassessed. We have several current and planned regulatory redactors of note of 2016 and 2017 which we have summarized in Slide 5. During the second quarter this year we anticipate filing a WPL retail electric and gas case for the 2017 and 2018 rates. For IPL we expect decision regarding permit application for approximately $60 million in natural gas pipeline. Iowa and retail electric and gas based cases are expected to be filed in the first half of 2017. We very much appreciate the continued support of your company. At this time I will turn the call back over to the operator to facilitate the question-and-answer session. Question-and-Answer Session Operator Thank you, Mr. Hanson. At this time the company will open the call for question for members of the investment community. Alliant Energy’s management team will take as many questions as they can within the one hour timeframe for this morning’s call. [Operator Instructions] We will go first to Andrew Levi at Avon Capital. Andrew Levi Hi, first question. Susan Gille Good morning Andy, congratulations. Andrew Levi Thank you. What do I get for anything or? Pat Thompson Nothing. Andrew Levi Just a quick question. Just on the non-reg, where was the breakdown on the earnings on the non-reg on the quarter? Pat Thompson Yes, the railroad and train facility. Tom Hanson I think the transportation $0.01 and our non-reg generation was another $0.01. Franklin County was a drag of about $0.01 and then we had activity of about another penny. Last time it was a positive in terms of the other benefits of the parent. Andrew Levi Okay and how did the Franklin, the non-reg generation and the railroad, how did that compare to last year? Tom Hanson I would say it’s fairly consistent. Andrew Levi Okay and then just in general on Franklin and the railroads. What’s kind of the thinking of the outlook this year relative to last year? Tom Hanson I think with Franklin last November when we gave guidance we said it would probably be a drag on earnings of about $0.04 to $0.05. And that is still reasonable, yes. Andrew Levi And on the railroad? Tom Hanson And assume $0.07 was our current outlook, current forecast we are assuming the same expectations for 2016. Andrew Levi $0.07 to the railroad. Is that what the railroad earned in 2015 or was it higher or lower? Tom Hanson No it was $0.07 last year as well. Andrew Levi Got it, that’s all I needed. Thank you very much. Operator We move next to Brian Russo with Ladenburg Thalmann. Brian Russo Hi, good morning. You reaffirmed your 5% to 7%, does that run through a particular year or through a particular planning periods? Maybe you could just talk about that just a little bit. Pat Thompson Yes, Brian we actually based it on last year’s weather normalized sales and it goes on for 5 years so till 2019. Brian Russo Okay and what was last year’s weather normalized sales? Pat Thompson $3.57 Brian Russo Okay. And just remind us the Riverside settlement and options from communities to grow up and energy, just remind us of the timing of that? Susan Gille Yes, Brian we updated our Investor Deck so if you got to Slide 9 on the Deck, basically the Wisconsin public service has the option for up to 200 MW in the 2024 timeframe. MG&E has up to 50 MW from the 2020 to 2025 timeframe and the co-op have up to 60 MW and they will determine that in the quarter this year. Brian Russo And how is that priced? Susan Gille Current book value at the time. Brian Russo Okay. Thank you. Operator Moving next to Andrew Weisel with Macquarie Capital. Andrew Weisel Good morning, appreciate the commentary on potential equity meets for next year. Just want to understand is that sort of a run rate we should assume for all years in 2017 and beyond or is it sort of a onetime thing? Obviously there’s other variables that could make the need go up and down but should we think of that as the number for the next several years or 2017 and there could be more 2018? Tom Hanson Assume that as the initial estimate for 2017 and in terms of the outer years. It’s going to be somewhat depended on the some of the parties just made reference to, in terms of the Riverside expansion so if and when MG&E might step into Riverside so for now assume up to $150 million applies to only till 2017. Andrew Weisel Okay. Great and the other one there was some change to the effective tax rate forecast in the Slide Deck, I believe and want to confirm. That’s earning as neutral and that offsets right to revenue line or is that something that could effectively shake out within the guidance range? Tom Hanson There will be some movement with the income statements. What has changed is principally an IPL which will have a less low through benefit. But that could not be impacting earnings. That will be offset someplace else. Andrew Weisel Okay. That cancelled the effect of tax rate so both IPL and corporation, I should think of it as neutral? Tom Hanson No, think of it as lien adjustment tax and something else will be offsetting it so the earnings guidance will remain consistent with previous estimates. Andrew Weisel Okay. So the $0.09 benefit in the full year guidance is still a good number to think about? Tom Hanson A little bit high but it is not going to be significantly high and will be offset by something else so far, guidance for 2016 is unchanged. Pat Thompson We know how carefully you guys track the tax rate so we want to provide the update this quarter. Andrew Weisel Yes, appreciate it was just trying to understand the potential impact of the bottom line. Thank you. Pat Thompson And Tom counts every penny also. Operator Ms. Gille, there are no further questions at this time. Susan Gille With no more questions, this concludes our call. A replay will be available through May 12, 2016 at 888-203-1112 for U.S. & Canada or 719-457-0820 for international. Callers should reference conference ID 8244179. In addition an archive of the conference call and the prepared remarks made on the call will be available on the Investor sections of the company’s website later today. we thank you for your continued support of Alliant Energy and feel free to contact me with any follow-up questions. Operator And that concludes today’s presentation. Thank you for your participation. Copyright policy: All transcripts on this site are the copyright of Seeking Alpha. However, we view them as an important resource for bloggers and journalists, and are excited to contribute to the democratization of financial information on the Internet. 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