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Facebook Enters Several Worlds With Its Virtual Reality Ambitions

While the market for virtual reality goggles and software will rise into the billions, an even larger market could await Facebook ( FB ) in an area it knows best: online advertising. Facebook entered the VR market in 2014 with its $1.9 billion acquisition of Oculus, which began shipping its $599 Rift goggles last month. It launched with 30 games, with another 70 or more coming by year’s end. We’re in a “golden age of video,” declared Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg at the company’s F8 Developer Conference that ended Wednesday, where the company showcased some new projects and gave a 10-year outlook. And among the highlights was more talks of its plans for virtual reality, a market Facebook aims to lead. Virtual reality headsets are seen as the future in gaming and entertainment. But merely entering the gaming field with hopes of knocking it out of the park was not the core reason Facebook acquired Oculus, says Robert Enderle, president of the Enderle Group research firm. Instead, he points out, the 360-degree view that virtual reality provides is an extremely large canvas for the placement of ads, such as branded product ads inserted into the games or virtual billboards with ads of the latest blockbuster movie mixed into the scenery. “(VR) advertising is already being tested,” Enderle said. “Virtual reality lends itself to the advertising model because there’s a lot more real estate.” The Oculus acquisition also was a defensive move by Facebook, he says, letting it play a leadership role in virtual reality if it becomes the next big thing. It puts Facebook in a good position if users of its social networking site take to the idea of engaging in a virtual world through Facebook. 2.5 Million Unit Sales This Year, Or Less Than 1 Million? “If the social media audience moves into VR, Facebook is ready for that pivot,” Enderle said. Estimates vary as to just how large the virtual reality market overall will get. Piper Jaffray analyst Gene Munster expects Oculus will sell about 500,000 Rift headsets this year. Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Youssef Squali puts the number at 600,000 “Facebook is positioning itself at what we believe is the epicenter of a multiyear, multibillion-dollar growth opportunity in virtual reality,” Squali wrote in a recent research note. He says the Oculus platform could account for about 10% of company revenue by 2020, and help sustain Facebook’s overall revenue growth for years. Research firm CCS Insight estimates virtual reality devices, including the related augmented reality field, will exceed $4 billion in sales in three years. CCS projects 2.5 million virtual reality and augmented reality devices will sell this year, jumping to 12 million devices next year, and doubling beyond 24 million in 2018. Tirias Research analyst Jim McGregor is more conservative, estimating total sales for first-generation headsets at well less than 1 million units for 2016. “While the $599 price tag for the Rift is relatively high, it’s not outside the reach of gaming enthusiasts,” McGregor told IBD via email. But, he says, there’s more to the overall cost. The Rift also requires a powerful desktop gaming PC “in a price range above $1,000 to operate,” he said, “pushing the costs even higher for many.” VR competition is lining up to be intense. Taiwan-based HTC began shipping its VR headset, called Vive, on April 5. It will retail for about $800 and feature hardware similar to that of Facebook’s Rift. Sony has a VR offering coming for its PlayStation console, with a $400 price tag. It’s expected to be in stores by Q3 or Q4. Sony will have the benefit of leveraging its installed base of 30 million PlayStation 4 users. There’s also the HoloLens from Microsoft . ( MSFT ). Rather than making it a game system, Microsoft is focusing on the business market for its augmented reality headset. Facebook Can Raise The Bar On VR Content Enderle says that even with the rising competition, Facebook faces no serious business risk with its VR headsets. “Oculus is the most prominent leader, giving (Facebook) the opportunity to define this new entertainment medium,” he said. “Acquiring Oculus and investing in the development of Rift really has no downside for Facebook, even if they sold the headsets at a loss.” Oculus does have the lead in key areas, agrees  Paul Teich, another analyst at Tirias Research. Facebook is in position to set industry standards and fuel enthusiasm for the just-emerging market, he says. “It will spur a lot of manufacturers to make headsets that are Facebook-compatible,” Teich said. Oculus will also be able to raise the bar as to the type of content that Facebook wants to promote. “They’re trying to push industry faster than it might otherwise go,” he said. Besides the direct revenue, virtual reality could be a compelling feature the encourages people to spend more time with friends on Facebook, providing a more engaging social networking site — and boosting ad sales. Instead of looking at a flat picture of someone on the beach, for example, with virtual reality googles a user could have a view as if they were actually there, with a panoramic view. But there’s a lot of work to be done in the VR field. “What you can do with the Rift, at that price, is impressive,” Teich said. “But while it’s good, it’s not yet good enough.” For now, Facebook downplays Oculus as a generator of revenue and profit. “With Rift, it’s early in the evolution of VR,” Facebook CFO David Wehner said on the company’s Q4 earnings conferce call in late January. “It’s early to be talking about large volumes. So, at this point, I don’t think we’re giving a lot of color around supply chain and that sort of thing. It’s not going to be material to our financials this year.” Image provided by Shutterstock .

Apple Car Will Look Like Egg On Wheels If Motor Trend Design Right

Apple ( AAPL ) has not revealed whether it is making an electric car, but rumors of the vehicle have imaginations firing. Motor Trend, one of the most respected car magazines, on Thursday published its own speculation about the Apple Car . For its deep dive into what the Apple Car would look like, it consulted auto industry experts and faculty at the ArtCenter College of Design in Pasadena, Calif. It produced illustrations for a possible Apple Car based on the company’s design ethos around simplicity and elegance as well as knowledge of where technology is headed. The artist’s conception of the Apple Car by Motor Trend shows an almost egg-shaped vehicle with a glass ceiling and light gold body lacking traditional features like door handles and rear-view mirrors. It sports double-wide gull wing doors and a Tron-like light bar that wraps around the car to provide turn signals and other indicators. As Motor Trend sees it, the Apple Car would be packed with artificial intelligence for autonomous driving and for accepting voice commands via Siri. It would recognize the driver from their Apple Watch or iPhone or biometrics. No keys would be required to start it. The centerpiece of the interior would be an augmented reality windshield on which important information would be projected, the magazine said. Cameras plus windshield or dashboard screens would replace rear-view mirrors, it said. “An augmented reality ‘windshield’ is among the most persistent Apple Car rumors and thought to be the likeliest part to survive if the rest of Project Titan is canceled,” Motor Trend said. The electric car could be charged from below using wireless induction charging so it wouldn’t need a power cord, the publication said. An estimated 1,000 people are believed to be working on an Apple car at a complex in Sunnyvale, Calif., under the name SixtyEight Research. Apple has been poaching engineers from Telsa Motors ( TSLA ) and other car companies. Apple is targeting a 2019 release for the car, according to media reports. The speculative Motor Trend report and artist’s conception of the Apple Car were widely mocked on social media. Many readers called the science-fiction pod design ugly.

After Hours: Apple App Store Changes, Valeant Mulls Options, BATS IPO

Apple ( AAPL ) has formed a secret team to mull changes to its App Store, including a paid search feature in which app developers would pay to have their apps displayed at the top of results, Bloomberg reported , citing sources. Apple already takes a 30% cut from app purchases bought via App Store. BATS Global Markets ( BATS ) priced its initial public offering of 13.3 million shares, raising $252.7 million. The expected range was 17-19. The stock exchange, which attempted to go public in a 2012 fiasco, will trade as BATS starting Friday. Valeant Pharmaceuticals ( VRX ) has hired investment banks to review its options amid interest from buyout firms and others for some assets, Reuters reported , citing sources. It’s further evidence that Valeant may need to sell significant assets to cover its heavy debt load. Shares rose 2% in late trading. Depomed ( DEPO ) scrapped plans to reincorporate in Delaware after Starboard Value launched a proxy fight to replace its board, in part to stop that move. Delaware gives companies more power to block shareholder activism. The drugmaker’s stock rose 2% late.