Tag Archives: management

October ETF Asset-Flow Roundup

After a tumultuous Q3, it might be wise to look at how the $2.1 billion ETF industry performed in the first month of fourth-quarter 2015. Overall, the month came as a breather after a throttling third quarter. The major U.S. indexes finished October on a positive note on a stabilizing global economy, the promise of further monetary stimuli from the global superpowers and a dovish Fed. Let’s take a look at the corners that were the hot favorites of investors and those that were casted out. Our study concludes that income and international ETFs were the star performers in terms of asset gathering as these saw maximum inflows while the broader U.S. market was the laggard. Gainers High-Yield Bonds – SPDR Barclays High Yield Bond (NYSEARCA: JNK ) Hopes of a delayed Fed rate hike pushed bond yields down in October and investors piled up cash in high-yield bond ETFs, both for income and growth. Moreover, junk bonds are well attached with the energy sector. As energy securities cover about 16% of the high-yield bond market, a recovery in oil prices bode well for high-yield ETFs in the month. Thanks to this trend, JNK, a popular junk bond ETF, was at the helm, having added over $2.6 billion in assets in the month. This propelled its AUM to $11.9 billion. Two other junk-bond ETFs, iShares iBoxx $ Investment Grade Corporate Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: LQD ) and iShares iBoxx $ High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: HYG ) also added about $2.52 billion and $2.23 billion, respectively, to their asset base and took the second and third spots. LQD and HYG ended the month with about $24.7 billion and $15.4 billion, respectively. Nasdaq – PowerShares QQQ (NASDAQ: QQQ ) Technology earnings have turned out pretty well this season with the numbers not only bettering pre-season expectations, but also outperforming the sector’s performance in other recent quarters. This boosted investors’ lure for the tech-heavy Nasdaq ETF QQQ which took the fourth rank. QQQ hauled in about $1.73 billion to exit the month with $37 billion in assets. Europe – iShares MSCI EMU ETF (NYSEARCA: EZU ) The European markets roared back in the month on the European Central Bank (ECB) president Mario Draghi’s reassurance of a more intensified and protracted QE measure, if need be. Sensing further easing potential, STOXX 600 added about 8% in October underscoring the largest monthly rally in six years. Investors also poured in $1.56 billion, the fifth largest in the list, to be part of this rally. EZU has now amassed over $13 billion. Losers U.S. – SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSEARCA: SPY ) Despite the Fed-induced bounce, U.S. stocks – small and large – could not rope in investors’ attention. While global growth fears weighed on the S&P 500-based large-cap ETF SPY, a volley of weak U.S. economic data came in the way of Russell 2000-based small-cap ETF iShares Russell 2000 (NYSEARCA: IWM ). After all, U.S. economic growth tallied 1.5 % in Q3, falling short of expectation of 1.6%. The products, SPY and IWM, witnessed an outflow of about $827 million and $632 million, respectively. Short-Term U.S. Bonds – iShares 3-7 Year Treasury Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: IEI ) Though the bet over a faster rate hike eased in October, the investing world has started to prepare for a Fed lift-off by this year-end or early next year. Since short-term bonds are expected to underperform the most on an expected rise in benchmark interest rates, short-term bond ETFs fell out of investors’ favor. Moreover, short-term bond ETFs sport meager yields – another reason for the disfavor to yield-starved investors. Hence, IEI had to sacrifice about $511 million in net assets while iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: SHV ) surrendered about $507 million. Biotechnology – iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology (NASDAQ: IBB ) Nagging concerns over the biotech space regarding the over pricing of life-saving drugs shifted this hot and soaring sector from its lofty position a bit. Though the downing trend is reversing lately, October was an off month for the biotech sector. The biotech fund IBB saw a net exodus of about $497 million in assets. Original Post

Best-Performing Vanguard Mutual Funds In Q3 Of 2015

Calling the third quarter a bloodbath will not be far from the truth. In this quarter, the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq declined 7.6%, 7% and 7.4%, respectively. In the third quarter, just 17% of mutual funds managed to finish in the green. China-led global growth fears, uncertainty about the Fed rate hike followed by the no lift-off decision, the sell-off in biotech stocks and tumbling commodity prices, among other factors, resulted in the worst quarter in four years. In a quarter ravaged by such headwinds, mutual funds from the Vanguard Group gave a decent performance. Its best gain hit 8.4%, achieved by Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury Index Fund Institutional (MUTF: VEDTX ). This fund, which requires a minimum initial investment of $5,000,000, was in fact the top performer among the Long Government Bond Funds. The commendable gain came not only when the markets suffered a rout, but at a time when the U.S. Fed was preparing for a possible rate hike at the end of this year. As for the worst performer, Vanguard Precious Metals & Mining Fund Investment (MUTF: VGPMX ) slumped to a loss of 21.9%. This was in line with the performance of the fund category. Morningstar data showed that the Equity Precious Metals category had lost 19.4% in the third quarter. Vanguard’s Q3 Performance vs. Q2 Popular for offering the no-load mutual funds, the top-performing Vanguard funds gave a better performance than those in the second quarter. As mentioned earlier, VEDTX gained 8.4%. In the second quarter, Vanguard’s top performer was the Vanguard Health Care Fund (MUTF: VGHAX ), which had gained just 3.8%. However, the magnitude of losses increased significantly in the quarter. Of the 258 funds under our study, 79 funds ended in the positive territory in the third quarter. The average gain for these 79 funds was 1.9%. This was an improvement from the average 0.8% gain scored by 101 Vanguard funds that had finished in the green in the second quarter. However, in the third quarter, the remaining 179 funds finished with losses averaging -8%. In the second quarter, of the 257 funds under our study, 156 funds had ended in the negative territory, with an average loss of 1.8%. Among the 79 gainers in the third quarter, only 8 funds posted above 5% return. On the other hand, 58 funds posted returns lower than 2%. Out of the 179 funds that finished in the red this time, only 30 funds had a sub-5% loss. Meanwhile, 45 funds lost by at least 10%. (Note: These numbers include same funds with varied asset classes.) Vanguard’s performance in the third quarter was also relatively better than that of many of its key peers. For instance, its top gaining fund had higher returns than the best gainers from Fidelity, BlackRock (NYSE: BLK ), Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC ) and American Funds. In the second quarter, Vanguard had failed to beat any of these fund families. However, this time, it failed to beat the third-quarter performance of T. Rowe Price (NASDAQ: TROW ). Top-Performing Vanguard Mutual Funds Fund Name Objective Description Q3 Total Return Q3 % Rank vs. Obj. YTD Total Return % Yield Expense Ratio Beta vs. S&P 500 Vanguard Long-Term Treasury Inv Government 5.44 2 0.08 2.63 0.2 -0.04 Vanguard Long-Term Inv-Gr Inc Inv Corp.-Inv. 2.63 1 -2.29 4.18 0.22 0.03 Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Inv Dvsfd Bond 2.32 1 -2.49 3.97 0.18 -0.01 Vanguard CA Long-Term T-E Inv Muni CA 2.08 8 1.88 3.12 0.19 -0.05 Vanguard MA Tax-Exempt Fd Muni State 2.01 2 1.79 2.68 0.15 -0.04 Vanguard Interm-Term Treasury Inv Government 2 5 2.77 1.58 0.2 -0.02 Vanguard OH Long-Term Tax-Exmpt Fd Muni State 2 2 1.95 2.96 0.15 -0.03 Vanguard REIT Index Inv Real Est 1.95 35 -4.49 3.77 0.26 0.55 Vanguard NY Long-Term T/E Inv Muni NY 1.88 7 1.8 2.91 0.19 -0.01 Vanguard PA Long-Term Tax-Exmpt Inv Muni State 1.88 4 1.81 3.17 0.19 -0.02 Vanguard Long-Term Tax-Exempt Inv Muni Natl 1.81 9 1.51 3.23 0.19 -0.02 Vanguard High-Yield Tax-Exempt Inv Muni Natl 1.77 10 1.58 3.24 0.19 0.01 Vanguard CA Interm-Term T-E Inv Muni CA 1.74 31 1.53 2.46 0.19 -0.03 Vanguard Interm-Term Bd Index Inv Corp.-Inv. 1.73 1 1.93 2.27 0.18 -0.01 Vanguard Interm-Term Tax-Exempt Inv Muni Natl 1.58 19 1.23 2.56 0.19 -0.01 Note: The list excludes the same funds with different classes, and institutional funds have been excluded. Funds having minimum initial investment above $5000 have been excluded. Q3 % Rank vs. Objective* equals the percentage the fund falls among its peers. Here, 1 being the best and 99 being the worst. The list of top 15 Vanguard fund performers is dominated by funds belonging to the Municipal bond funds category. Nine of the 15 funds belong to this category. This was expected as many sub-Municipal fund categories, such as Muni California Long, Muni Pennsylvania and Muni New York Long, featured in the top performers list for the third quarter, according to Morningstar data. However, the gains were modest, with Muni California Long performing the best, notching up a 1.7% gain in the quarter. Among the best-performing Vanguard Municipal Bond funds, Vanguard California Long-Term Tax Exempt Fund Investment (MUTF: VCITX ) gained 2.1% and was the best performer. The other funds from this category were Vanguard Massachusetts Tax-Exempt Fund Investment (MUTF: VMATX ), Vanguard Ohio Long Term Tax Exmpt Fund Investment (MUTF: VOHIX ), Vanguard New York Long Term Tax Exempt Fund Invesment (MUTF: VNYTX ), Vanguard Pennsylvania Long Term Tax Exmpt Fund Investment (MUTF: VPAIX ), Vanguard Long Term Tax Exempt Fund Investment (MUTF: VWLTX ), Vanguard High Yield Tax Exempt Fund Investment (MUTF: VWAHX ) and Vanguard California Intermediate Term Tax Exempt Fund Investment (MUTF: VCAIX ). Moreover, all these funds carry a favorable Zacks Mutual Rank. VCITX, VMATX, VOHIX, VNYTX, VPAIX, VWLTX, VWAHX carry Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1 (Strong Buy) , while VWITX holds a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #2 (Buy) . However, the best gainer from this list was a Government Bond Fund – Long, Vanguard Long Term Treasury Fund Investment (MUTF: VUSTX ), which added 5.4% in the quarter. Another fund from the category, Vanguard Intermediate Term Treasury Fund Investment (MUTF: VFITX ), was up 2% and was the sixth best gainer. Both VUSTX and VFITX carry a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1. Vanguard Long Term Investment Grade Fund Investment (MUTF: VWESX ), also carrying a Strong Buy rank, from the Investment Grade Bond Category, gained 2.6% and was the second best performer. While none of the funds carried an unfavorable Zacks Mutual Fund Rank, Vanguard Long-Term Bond Index Inv (MUTF: VBLTX ), Vanguard REIT Index Inv (MUTF: VGSIX ) and Vanguard Interm-Term Bd Index Inv (MUTF: VBIIX ) currently carry a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #3 (Hold) . Original Post

The Alerian MLP ETF Could Be Appealing To Income-Seeking Investors

MLPs remain one of the few assets suitable for generating income in the zero interest rate environment. The Alerian MLP ETF offers a way to gain access to a diversified MLP portfolio without the credit risk of an ETN. Most of the ETF’s assets are pipeline companies, which have proven quite resistant to the decline in oil prices. The future outlook of pipeline companies is quite bright. The Alerian MLP ETF does not pass through the usual tax benefits of these assets, but retirement investors will not get them anyway. Historically, one of the best sources of income for retirees has been master limited partnerships, which are business structures that have some similarities to real estate investment trusts or business development companies but which operate primarily in the energy space. As a result of being primarily energy companies, the recent declines in both oil and natural gas prices have caused investors to largely flee from these assets. However, many master limited partnerships have not been significantly affected by the decline in energy prices and this could be creating an opportunity for income-focused investors to generate outsized profits. One of the best ways that an individual investor can take advantage of this opportunity is by purchasing units of the Alerian MLP ETF (NYSEARCA: AMLP ). Master limited partnerships are business entities designed to combine the taxation benefits of a limited partnership with the liquidity of a publicly-traded security. The most significantly of these taxation benefits is that a master limited partnership is considered to be a “pass-through” entity, which means that not only is an investor’s proportionate share of the company’s earnings taxed at the investor’s ordinary income tax rate (and not taxed at all at the company level), but also that the investor’s proportionate share of the company’s depreciation and amortization can also be deducted against this, reducing an investor’s tax liability. In order to obtain these tax benefits, there are only a few industries that a master limited partnership is permitted to operate in, per IRS rules. These industries are the production, processing, and transportation of crude oil, coal, or natural gas. Unfortunately, there are two caveats here. The first is that investors that hold units of a master limited partnership in a tax-advantaged account, such as an IRA, lose the ability to deduct their proportionate share of the firm’s depreciation and amortization expenses. The second is that investors that hold their partnership interests in a unit investment trust, fund, or ETF also lose this ability. Therefore, investors in the Alerian MLP ETF lose some of the tax benefits of investing in master limited partnerships directly. However, as we will shortly see, that may not be a significant concern. As the price of oil and, to a lesser extent, natural gas declined over the past sixteen months, the unit prices of many master limited partnerships have been under pressure. However, what the market has not considered is that many of the largest master limited partnerships are midstream pipeline operators and not exploration and production companies. For example, here are the largest holdings of the Alerian MLP ETF: (click to enlarge) Source: Morningstar, Yahoo! Finance, Company Web Pages As the table shows, nearly all of the significant holdings of the Alerian MLP ETF are pipeline operators. In addition, for most of them, natural gas transportation is a much larger aspect of their operations than crude oil transportation, although many of these companies do operate several different types of pipeline. Notice however that few of these companies actually produce oil and natural gas themselves. This gives them an advantage in the current market. This is because of the way that the pipeline industry works. Unlike upstream oil and gas producers, pipeline companies have no direct exposure to the prices of the commodities that they transport. Instead, these companies are simply paid a fixed rate, often under a long-term contract, by the oil and gas company that actually produced the commodity to transport it over their network. These prices, aside from generally being contractually set, are also not completely subject to market forces. This is because the rates that pipeline operators charge their customers are regulated by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, which typically sets rates at a level that will allow pipeline operators to enjoy relatively stable margins. Thus, there will not be significant fluctuations in rates regardless of moves in commodity prices. While pipeline operators, such as those that comprise the majority of the holdings of the Alerian MLP ETF, are largely insulated from fluctuations in commodity prices, they are vulnerable to changes in the quantity of oil, gas, and refined products shipped through their pipeline networks. This is because, as already mentioned, their customers pay a relatively fixed rate for each of a given quantity of the commodity shipped through their pipeline network. In some ways, it can be considered analogous to a consumer’s electric bill, in which the consumer pays a fixed rate for each unit of electricity consumed. Therefore, a decline in the quantity of oil, natural gas, or refined products shipped through their respective pipelines would result in a reduction of revenues. Fortunately, it does not appear likely that this scenario will occur. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration, worldwide liquids demand growth is expected to exceed production growth over the next year. While global inventories increased at an average pace of 2.3 million barrels per day in the second quarter of 2015 compared to an average of 1.8 million barrels per day in the first, this is expected to slow to an average of 1.5 million barrels per day in the second half of 2015 and then to 0.8 million barrels per day in 2016. Source: Energy Information Administration It is a similar situation in the United States. According to the Energy Information Administration , the nation’s consumption of petroleum and related products will remain relatively stable until 2040, while consumption of natural gas is expected to increase from today’s levels over the same period. In addition, oil production over the same period is expected to remain relatively stable while natural gas production is expected to rise. This will result in steady to increasing business for the pipeline companies. (click to enlarge) (click to enlarge) Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration As I mentioned earlier in this article, investors using retirement accounts (or other tax-advantaged accounts) cannot take advantage of the tax benefits of investing in a master limited partnership. The same is true of investors in the Alerian MLP ETF. However, there is the potential for tax consequences if a master limited partnership is held in a tax-advantaged account. This is known as the unrelated business income tax and it takes effect if the income generated by a master limited partnership came from a business activity that such companies are normally not permitted to engage in. While it is rare for a master limited partnership to do this, it is theoretically possible and if so, the tax advantages of a retirement account do not apply to that income. An investor in the Alerian MLP ETF will not be subject to this tax, should it occur. Most investors that are seeking retirement income are investing in retirement accounts and so therefore are unable to take advantage of the inherent tax benefits of master limited partnerships anyway. For these investors, the ETF may be an excellent alternative. Its 9.43% dividend yield is practically unheard of in the current market and its stable underlying asset base should provide some security to investors. This fund could be worth a look.