Tag Archives: ideas

Follow T. Rowe Price With These Stocks And ETFs

With the Fed turning hawkish, several industry experts predicting 2016 as a down year for stocks, overvaluation concerns looming large and growth worries still brewing abroad, investors must be looking for the right pick in the markets. The broader U.S. market has lost over 1.2% so far this year (as of December 15, 2015) as denoted by Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (NYSEARCA: VTI ) while global stocks are off about 4% as depicted by iShares MSCI ACWI (NASDAQ: ACWI ). At home, only tech stocks held their head high as indicated by tech-laden Nasdaq ETF’s (NASDAQ: QQQ ) 8.8% return. In such a situation, while several experts are coming up with varying views, investors can follow the American publicly owned investment firm T Rowe Price’s tech stock selections for 2016. Investors should note that none of the picks is Buy-rated as per Zacks (at the time of writing); in fact, some of these have a ‘Sell’ rating. So, if you follow T. Rowe Price’s picks, bets could be contrarian in nature. However, investors can go against the crowd via the ETF approach as it covers up one component’s weakness with another component’s strength and runs lesser risk. Below we highlight tech stock selections of T. Rowe Price and the ETFs having considerable exposure to those stocks. JD. Com (NASDAQ: JD ) – WisdomTree China ex-State-Owned Entpr ETF (NASDAQ: CXSE ) Beijing-based e-commerce company reported wider-than-expected loss in Q3 reported in November, but provided a better-than-expected fourth-quarter revenue guidance. The company’s revenues of RMB44.1 billion (US$6.9 billion) also represented a year-over-year jump of 52% in Q3. T. Rowe Price finds its valuation ‘very attractive’. The stock gained 9.6% in the last one month and is up 36.5% so far this year (as of December 15, 2015). However, the stock has a Zacks Rank #4 (Sell) as there were no upward estimate revisions by analysts in the last 7, 30 and 60 days for any of the quarters, at the time of writing. Thus, investors seeking to follow T. Rowe Price but with lower risks might opt for a basket or ETF approach. The stock has a top spot in WisdomTree China ex-State-Owned Enterprises ETF with 9.48% exposure. As the name suggests, the fund does not consider Chinese state-owned entities. Though CSXE also has a Zacks ETF Rank #4, the fund is up 0.6% in the last one month. Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA ) – First Trust NASDAQ Clean Edge Green Energy ETF (NASDAQ: QCLN ) Electric vehicles maker Tesla has always been a hot stock, thanks to its relentless initiatives. Though its headline Q3 numbers were not very enthusiastic, Tesla is steady on deliveries of new automobiles. Also, the unveiling of Tesla’s new, more affordable Model 3 car in March 2016, may lead investors to place big bets on the stock. T. Rowe Price expects the usage of electric car to be common in 2016 and 2017. TSLA has a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and hails from an industry which is in the top 26% of the Zacks universe, at the time of writing. Tesla was up 3.2% in the last one month (as of December 15, 2015) but is off 0.6% year to date. The stock has 7.11% weight in the clean energy ETF QCLN. The fund has a Zacks ETF Rank #3 and was up 5.6% in the last one month but is down 12.4% year to date. In any case, the sailing should be smooth for clean energy ETFs ahead following the Paris climate summit wherein efforts to limit greenhouse emissions were widespread. Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL ) (NASDAQ: GOOG ) – iShares U.S. Technology ETF (NYSEARCA: IYW ) As per T. Rowe Price, Alphabet – the publicly traded firm formerly known as Google – is gaining traction from mobile phones and the demand for YouTube. Solid revenues, stock repurchase plans and “very attractive valuation” makes Alphabet shares lucrative. This Zacks Rank #3 stock has a Growth score of ‘B’ and a Momentum score of ‘C’. GOOGL is up over 43% this year. The stock has 6.2% weight in the Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) ETF IYW. The fund is up over 3.5% so far this year (as of December 15, 2015). Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT ) – Market Vectors Wide Moat Research ETF (NYSEARCA: MOAT ) Applied Materials is one of the world’s largest suppliers of fabrication equipment to semiconductor, LCD and solar PV cell manufacturers. The rise of mobile devices, better utilization of resources and the recently-announced merger with Tokyo Electron are the positives. AMAT was up over 14% in the last three months (as of December 15, 2015). This Zacks Rank #3 has a Value and Growth score of ‘B’. The stock has a 5.66% weight in the fund MOAT which is intended to offer exposure to the 20 most attractively priced companies with continued competitive advantages according to Morningstar’s equity research team. MOAT is up 1.1% in the last three months. NXP Semiconductors (NASDAQ: NXPI ) – Nasdaq CEA Cybersecurity ETF (NASDAQ: CIBR ) As per T. Rowe Price, this semiconductor company benefits big time from industrial and auto end markets. Its acquisition of Freescale Semiconductor also bodes well for the fund. The fund has a Zacks Rank #4 and a Growth score of ‘B’ and Value score of ‘C’. NXPI retreated 7.7% in the last three months. Apart from semiconductor ETFs, the stock has 5.9% weight in the cyber security ETF CIBR. The fund added over 0.1% in the last three months. Original Post

5 Best-Ranked Fidelity Mutual Funds To Watch For

With $1.5 trillion (excluding money market assets) of mutual fund assets under management and a wide variety of mutual funds spanning various sectors, Fidelity Investments is one of the largest and oldest mutual fund companies in the world. The company provides investment advice, discount brokerage services, retirement services, wealth management services, securities execution and clearance and life insurance products to its clients. Fidelity provides potential investment avenues worldwide for its investors after extensive and in-depth research by a large group of investment professionals. Fidelity Investments carries out operations in the U.S. through 10 regional offices and over 180 Investor Centers. It also has a presence in eight other countries of North America, Europe, Asia and Australia. Below, we share with you 5 top-ranked Fidelity mutual funds. Each has earned a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1 (Strong Buy), and we expect the funds to outperform their peers in future. To view the Zacks Rank and past performance of all Fidelity mutual funds, click here . Fidelity Select Biotechnology Portfolio No Load (MUTF: FBIOX ) seeks capital appreciation. FBIOX invests a large chunk of its assets in companies primarily involved in research, development, manufacture, and distribution of various biotechnological products. Factors such as financial strength and economic conditions are considered to invest in companies located all over the world. The Fidelity Select Biotechnology Portfolio No Load is a non-diversified fund and has returned 8.8% over the past one year. FBIOX has an expense ratio of 0.74% as compared to a category average of 1.37%. Fidelity Small Cap Growth Fund No Load (MUTF: FCPGX ) invests the majority of its assets in securities of small cap companies that are believed to have impressive growth prospects. FCPGX focuses on acquiring common stocks of both US and non-US firms. The Fidelity Small Cap Growth Fund No Load has returned 5.6% over the past one year. As of July 2015, FCPGX held 176 issues, with 2.40% of its assets invested in 2U Inc. (NASDAQ: TWOU ). Fidelity Select Software & Comp Portfolio No Load (MUTF: FSCSX ) seeks growth of capital. The fund invests a lion’s share of its assets in companies whose primary operations are related to software or information-based services. FSCSX primarily focuses on acquiring common stocks of both domestic and foreign companies. It uses fundamental analysis to select companies for investment purposes. The Fidelity Select Software & Comp Portfolio No Load is a non-diversified fund and has returned 8.6% over the past one year. Ali Khan is the fund manager of FSCSX since 2014. Fidelity Select Construction & Housing Portfolio No Load (MUTF: FSHOX ) invests a major portion of its assets in the common stocks of companies principally engaged in the design and construction of residential, commercial, industrial, and public works facilities, as well as companies engaged in the manufacture, supply, distribution, or sale of products or services to these construction industries. It invests in securities issued through the globe. The Fidelity Select Construction & Housing Portfolio No Load is a non-diversified fund and has returned 7% over the past one year. FSHOX has an expense ratio of 0.82% as compared to a category average of 1.41%. Fidelity Select Consumer Discretionary Portfolio No Load (MUTF: FSCPX ) seeks capital growth. The fund heavily invests in securities of companies mostly involved in the consumer discretionary sector. It primarily invests in common stocks of companies all over the globe. Factors including financial strength and economic conditions are considered before investing in a company. The Fidelity Select Consumer Discretionary Portfolio No Load is a non-diversified fund and has returned 6.8% over the past one year. As of October 2015, FSCPX held 60 issues, with 9.45% of its assets invested in Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN ). Original Post

Comparing 3 Small Capitalization ETFs Tracking The Russell 2000 Indexes

Summary The highest dividend yield comes from IWN, but the lowest expense ratio comes from IWM. The sector allocations for IWN and IWO add up to the same allocations as IWM. Between IWN and IWO, I don’t see IWO as being substantially more aggressive despite being based on a growth index. There is a rare situation where an investor could benefit from combining the value and growth funds rather than using the main fund. One of the areas I frequently cover is ETFs. I’ve been a large proponent of investors holding the core of their portfolio in high quality ETFs with very low expense ratios. The same argument can be made for passive mutual funds with very low expense ratios, though there are fewer of those. In this argument I’m doing a quick comparison of several of the ETFs I have covered. Ticker Name Index IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF Russell 2000 Index IWN iShares Russell 2000 Value ETF Russell 2000 Value Index IWO iShares Russell 2000 Growth ETF Russell 2000 Growth Index By covering a few of these ETFs in the same article I hope to provide some clarity on the relative attractiveness of the ETFs. One reason investors may struggle to reconcile positions is that investments must be compared on a relative basis and the market is constantly changing which will increase and decrease the relative attractiveness. Dividend Yields I charted the dividend yields from Yahoo Finance for each portfolio. All else equal, I consider higher dividend yields to be more favorable even if the expectation for total returns is the same. The preference for higher yielding ETFs comes from behavioral finance rather than modern portfolio theory. Under behavioral finance the human elements of investing are considered. A higher yield can encourage investors to stay invested when the market is done and to recognize lower prices as an opportunity to acquire shares that are “on sale” rather than a reason to panic and sell their portfolio at low prices only to repurchase the securities at higher prices. Expense Ratios I want diversification, I want stability, and I don’t want to pay for them. My general guideline for expense ratios is that I want to see the ratios below .15% on domestic equity ETFs and below .30% on international equity ETFs. However, there are times where it is reasonable to make an exception. Funds that must regularly rebalance their portfolio have a better case for having a high expense ratio than funds that simply follow a market capitalization approach. Sector I built a fairly nice table for comparing the sector allocations across each ETF to make it substantially easier to get a quick feel for the risk factors: (click to enlarge) For an investor with an emphasis on certain sectors there could be an incentive to take either the growth or value side. I find the health care sector to be a fairly defensive allocation, but it is heavily over weight in the growth fund and underweighted in the value fund. The other major defensive allocations are consumer defensive, which is similarly weighted, utilities, which is heavier in value, and real estate which is heavier in value. All things considered, I don’t find the growth ETF to be substantially more aggressive than the value ETF despite the growth ETF being characterized by funds with higher expected earnings growth rates and higher price to book ratios. Would You Ever Want to Combine IWO and IWN? IWM represents the entire Russell 2000 index and the weightings for IWM are consistently within a very small rounding error of the weightings for the other two funds because of the way the value and growth indexes are constructed. Because of the way the funds are constructed, I would expect IWM to consistently outperform a position of IWN and IWO since the investor would save on the expense ratios by paying .20% on their position rather than paying .25% on each of the other funds. On the other hand, theoretically if the funds were trading at a small discount or premium to NAV there could be a reason to take the two smaller funds. Returns I thought it would be interesting to run the returns on all 3 ETFs and see how similar or different the performance was across the ETFs. The results surprised me. Over the last 15 years or so the value side of the index performed dramatically better. Given the dot com crash early in the century, the results may be heavily biased. (click to enlarge) I entered the ETFs with the growth ETF first, the blended ETF second, and the value ETF third. It is interesting to note that the beta and annualized volatility moves down as we shift from growth towards value. That fits what I would expect, but it is interesting to see that the lower risk position (using beta) materially outperformed. However, when we restrict the performance to the last five years, the picture for returns changes: (click to enlarge) Despite the growth ETF offering superior returns over the last 5 years, it has still demonstrated a higher beta and higher volatility. Therefore, I would expect the higher level of volatility and beta on IWO to remain as a simple function of investing in small capitalization growth companies. Conclusion Over the last 15 years there was a strong outperformance by the value side of the index. Despite the strong performance of the value side through a period that saw two market crashes, the value side of the index does not look dramatically safer. The beta values indicate that the risk level on the growth side of the index is around 8% to 10% higher than the value side. In my opinion, the most attractive option for long term investments would be IWM for the lower expense ratio of IWN for the lower beta since I hold a substantial position in larger capitalization domestic equity.