Tag Archives: events

Top ETF Stories Of First Quarter 2016

The start to the first quarter of 2016 was a nightmare, given the twin attacks from oil price slide and China turmoil that intensified fears of a global slowdown. However, these concerns started to fade in the back half of the quarter on continued signs of improvement in the domestic and international markets, pushing global stocks higher. Given this, several events have impacted the ETF world in either a positive or a negative way. Below, we have discussed some of them that dominated headlines and are worth watching in the next quarter: Fed Turned Dovish Again After pulling the trigger for the first rate hike in almost a decade in mid-December, the Fed turned dovish again this year. The cautious approach came on the heels of increased market volatility, global growth concerns, and softness in exports and business investments. In the March meeting, the Fed kept the short-term interest rates steady in the 0.25-0.50% band and dialed back its projection for this year’s hikes. The central bank now expects the federal funds rate to rise to 0.875% by the end of the year, implying two lift-offs, compared with 1.375% that signaled four rate hikes. Expectations of longer-than-expected lower rates have given a boost to the rate-sensitive sectors such as utilities and real estate and high-yield securities. In fact, many of the utility and dividend ETFs like the Vanguard Utilities ETF (NYSEARCA: VPU ) , the Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA: XLU ) , the iShares U.S. Utilities ETF (NYSEARCA: IDU ) , the PowerShares S&P 500 High Dividend Portfolio ETF (NYSEARCA: SPHD ) , the First Trust Morningstar Dividend Leaders Index ETF (NYSEARCA: FDL ) and the ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NYSEARCA: NOBL ) have been hitting regular 52-week highs and are expected to move higher in the coming weeks (read: Dividend ETFs Hitting All-Time Highs Ahead of Fed Meet ). Though real estate ETFs have not made new highs, they are outperforming the broad market from a year-to-date look. Some of the top ranked funds are the Vanguard REIT Index ETF (NYSEARCA: VNQ ) , the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (NYSEARCA: IYR ) and the SPDR Dow Jones REIT ETF (NYSEARCA: RWR ) that are expected to continue their outperformance. Crazy Run of ‘The Oil’ Oil price has been seesawing between losses and gains touching 12-year lows in mid February and then spiraling back to the $40-per-barrel mark in mid March. This spectacular performance led to smooth trading in the overall energy space. In particular, stock-based energy ETFs like the PowerShares S&P SmallCap Energy Portfolio ETF (NASDAQ: PSCE ) , the SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (NYSEARCA: XOP ) and the First Trust ISE-Revere Natural Gas Index ETF (NYSEARCA: FCG ) surged at least 19% over the past one month. Futures-based energy ETFs like the United States Oil ETF (NYSEARCA: USO ) and the United States Brent Oil ETF (NYSEARCA: BNO ) gained 7% each (read: Crude Back to $40: Can Energy ETFs Sustain Their Rally? ). However, this impressive rally is too good to last as demand will not be enough to reduce the global supply glut. While U.S. producers have started to reduce output and OPEC is looking to freeze production at January levels, increased production from Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and Iran will continue to weigh on the price, thereby failing to rebalance the oil market at least in the short term. Further, PSCE and XOP have an unfavorable Zacks ETF Rank of 5 or ‘Strong Sell’ rating and 4 or ‘Sell’ rating, respectively, while FCG has a Zacks ETF Rank of 3. Japan Moves to Negative Rates In late January, Bank of Japan (BoJ) adopted measures similar to the European Central Bank (ECB) by pushing interest rates to the negative territory, minus 0.1%, for the first time. The aim is to revive growth in the world’s third-largest economy. The move sparked a rally in the Japanese ETFs while weakened the yen against the greenback. Some of the top ranked ETFs in this space are the WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity ETF (NYSEARCA: DXJ ) , the Deutsche X-trackers MSCI Japan Hedged Equity ETF (NYSEARCA: DBJP ) , the WisdomTree Japan Hedged SmallCap Equity ETF (NASDAQ: DXJS ) and the iShares Currency Hedged MSCI Japan ETF (NYSEARCA: HEWJ ) . Negative interest rates in Japan had also accelerated the selling wave in the global banking sector in early February, which was already bearing the brunt of the tumultuous ride in the market. Nevertheless, the banking sector has been emerging from the crisis in recent weeks on a rebound in oil prices and improving global sentiments. Gold and Gold Miners Rocking After posting the third annual loss in 2015, gold has been on a tear this year as increased market volatility has perked up demand for the yellow metal as a store of value and a hedge against market turmoil. Additionally, the expectation for longer-than-expected low rates will continue to raise the appeal for the gold bullion. Notably, the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSEARCA: GLD ) , the iShares Gold Trust ETF (NYSEARCA: IAU ) , the ETFS Physical Swiss Gold Trust ETF (NYSEARCA: SGOL ) and the Van Eck Merk Gold ETF (NYSEARCA: OUNZ ) are up about 17% each, from a year-to-date look. These funds have a Zacks ETF Rank of 3. Acting as a leveraged play on underlying metal prices, metal miners tend to experience more gains than their bullion cousins in a rising metal market. In particular, the iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA: RING ) stole the show in terms of performance, surging 59.3%. This was followed by gains of 52.8% for the ALPS Sprott Junior Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA: SGDJ ) , 50.5% for the PowerShares Global Gold and Precious Metals Portfolio ETF (NASDAQ: PSAU ) and 50.3% for the Sprott Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA: SGDM ). Bottom Line Investors should closely watch the developments in these spaces as we head into the next quarter and should tap opportunities as and when they come. Link to the original post on Zacks.com

Finding Value In The Small-Cap Space

Meson Capital is a small-cap activist investor. They share our appreciation for the small-cap industry, where small-caps tend to outperform large-caps over time. But in truth, Meson is more like an micro-cap activist investors, taking a 1-3 year time horizon on their holdings. They operate on the long and short side, with a notable short in FreshPet (NASDAQ: FRPT ). They see the current market as indicative of the market behavior from the 2000 tech bubble. Still, we think there’s value to be had in the traditional value space. With that in mind, Meson’s long portfolio is what’s most interesting right now. One of its top holdings, Heska (NASDAQ: HSKA ) is down 30% this year. The fall comes after a weak earnings report, despite executing a solid turnaround. Still, 2015 fiscal year revenues were up 22% year-over-year and operating profit has doubled. Heska is a maker of veterinary products, namely in the canine and feline markets. The company has been a turnaround story since 2014. It decided to change its business model from primarily selling equipment to generating recurring revenues via rental and other sources. Heska should continue to see the benefits of past investments in 2016 finally paying off. As Meson notes, they focus on a private equity style, where they invest in companies that stick to their long-term strategy despite having to sacrifice short-term profits.. Its core customer is veterinary clinics, which it’s managing to win over with its blood analyzer product, despite the competitive market. Now Heska is expanding beyond the blood analyzer business, buying up the digital radiography and imaging tech company Cuattro Veterinary last year. Then there’s international opportunities, where it’s expanding into Mexico, Europe, Latin America and Canada. Also in Meson’s portfolio is Capital Southwest (NASDAQ: CSWC ), which is a $220 million market cap investment company. Shares are flat for the year. The company is a focuses on acquisitions and investments across industries. It invests in various private companies, namely debt, in companies that generate $5 million to $20 million in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. Its goal is to assist management. Despite the lackluster stock performance the company has brought in new management in hopes of breaking up the investment holding and operating companies following the founder’s passing. Disclosure: None

Hungary Too In The Rate-Cut Club: ETFs In Focus

Hungary slashed its benchmark three-month deposit rate to a new low of 1.20% from 1.35%. It also lowered the overnight lending rate to 1.45% from 2.1%. The overnight deposit rate is now in negative territory from 0.1%.to -0.05%. The central bank took the step citing low imported inflation, European Central Bank (ECB) easing measures and continued slump in oil prices. Meanwhile, the bank also lowered its forecast for inflation this year. The bank now expects inflation to be around 0.3% as compared to the previous expectation of 1.7% announced in December. The target inflation the bank seeks to achieve is 3%. Thus, it plans to set a benchmark rate at such levels, which can be maintained for an extended period to reach its inflation target. Earlier this month, the ECB came up with a more intensified economic stimulus and opted for multiple rate cuts and the expansion of its quantitative easing program to boost the economy. Meanwhile, several other countries are undertaking easing measures and cutting rates. Last week, Norway indicated that it could join other European countries Sweden, Denmark and Switzerland in sub-zero levels of interest rate. On the other side of the pond, the Fed kept a dovish stance and dialed back its number of rate hikes to two instead of four as was projected last December. The rate cut measures by the Hungarian central bank, which was undertaking initiatives like cheap lending to small firms, subsidized funds to retail banks and buying government bonds, represent a huge shift in policy. Although the possibility of further rate cuts can’t be excluded, the central bank warned that too low rates may be counterproductive, forcing the banks to tighten lending conditions. Keeping these points in mind, we highlight four ETFs – RevenueShares Global Growth ETF (NYSEARCA: RGRO ), Cambria Global Value ETF (NYSEARCA: GVAL ), Guggenheim MSCI Emerging Markets Equal Weight ETF (NYSEARCA: EWEM ) and EGShares Low Volatility Emerging Markets Dividend ETF (NYSEARCA: HILO ) – that have high exposure of 11.7%, 7.7%, 5% and 4.8%, respectively, to Hungary. RGRO This ETF looks to track the RevenueShares Global Growth Index comprising the top five developed and top five emerging countries in the Standard & Poor’s Global Broad Market Index based on year-over-year GDP growth from the prior two quarters. The fund charges 70 basis points a year and has 95 stocks in its basket. Energy takes 21% of the fund’s exposure followed by basic materials and financials. As much as 74% stocks in the fund are large caps. The fund has total assets of $2.1 million with paltry volumes of less than 1,000 shares. It has gained 6% so far this year (as of March 23, 2016). GVAL GVAL seeks to match the performance of the Cambria Global Value Index. With 126 stocks in its basket, the fund is well diversified with none of the stocks holding more than 3% weight while financials has the highest exposure at 23%. With total assets of $65.7 million, the fund has average volume of 17,000 shares and an expense ratio of 69 basis points. It has returned 3.3% so far this year. EWEM EWEM is based on the MSCI Emerging Markets Equal Country Weighted Index and has 346 stocks in its basket with none holding more than 4% of total assets. The fund has an AUM of $11 million and trades in average volumes of 5,000. Financials dominates in terms of sector exposure, accounting for an almost 39% of total assets. The fund charges an expense ratio of 76 basis points. It has gained 7.1% in the year-to-date period. HILO HILO is based on the EGAI Emerging Markets Quality Dividend Index and has 49 stocks in its basket with none holding more than 2.3% of total assets. The fund has an AUM of $17.3 million and trades in average volumes of 6,000. Financials dominates in terms of sector exposure with telecommunication services and materials rounding off the top three. The fund charges an expense ratio of 85 basis points. It is up 9.8% in the year-to-date period. Original post