Tag Archives: etfs

China Investing: Should You Buy These New ETFs?

China investing is back in focus, thanks to some solid trading out of that country and more hopes for stimulus measures. ETFs tracking the nation have actually been pretty good performers to kick off Q4, and there is hope that they can regain some of their lost momentum. It also appears that ETF issuers are starting to grow more confident in the China ETF space, and have begun to once again launch new products in the segment. While it is nothing like what we saw at the height of the boom, there are now close to three dozen China funds trading on the marketing, including several that launched just in October. New China ETFs But while these China ETFs might be brand new, are they better options for investors? After all, these fresh China ETFs go beyond the plain vanilla indexes and seek to offer investors slightly different options in the space. So let’s take a closer look at some of these new choices for investors: SPDR MSCI China A Shares IMI ETF (NYSEARCA: XINA ) This ETF from SPDR looks to give investors exposure to the China A-shares market, charging just 65 basis points a year in fees. While it is similar to other ETFs, SPDR does use its own SSGA division to manage the fund instead of a third party, and some believe this could be a safer way to play the space. Deutsche X-trackers CSI 300 China A-Shares Hedged Equity ETF (NYSEARCA: ASHX ) / CSOP MSCI China A International Hedged ETF (NYSEARCA: CNHX ) Thanks to recent China currency devaluations, ETF issuers are hoping to strike gold by offering up A-shares hedged ETFs. These funds look to benefit if China continues to devalue the yuan, but let’s remember that only a tiny devaluation has taken place, and it has been nothing like what we have seen in the case of Japan or even Europe. CSOP China CSI 300 A-H Dynamic ETF (NYSEARCA: HAHA ) While the ticker might be a joke, the strategy behind this ETF is nothing to laugh at, as it is pretty innovative. The fund will look at both A-shares and H-shares investments and choose the version which is the most undervalued in an intriguing way to deliver outperformance. More Information For extra information on the China ETF flurry and if these new funds are right for you (as well as my favorites from these newcomers), make sure to watch our short video on the topic below: Original Post

ETFs: Before You Buy, Read The Warning Label

By Peter S. Kraus We don’t hate ETFs . In fact, we use them ourselves and are considering managing client assets in the active ETF space. When used properly, these instruments can be a useful component in a well-diversified portfolio. But ETFs aren’t perfect, and relying heavily on them without understanding their imperfections is risky. ETFs have structural limitations that need to be addressed. We worry that the vast amount of money invested in these instruments – close to $3 trillion globally – may have created risks that investors don’t appreciate. The asset management industry has an obligation to educate investors about these risks. We don’t think it has done that job well enough. ETFs were created as a tool for sophisticated institutional investors and traders to use to get short-term tactical exposure to a given market. They were well-suited for this purpose because they could be bought and sold at any time, just like individual stocks. We still think using ETFs for short-term, tactical purposes makes sense. More recently, however, ETFs have become popular with smaller, less experienced investors. In many cases, they have become the mainstay of these investors’ portfolios. This concerns us, because certain ETFs can damage investors’ portfolios – particularly when investors don’t fully understand how they work. Market liquidity has changed significantly since the 2008 financial crisis. ETFs – both active and passive – are not immune to the dangers this new liquidity environment poses. However, we worry that many investors have embraced ETFs because of their perceived liquidity – which in some cases can be an illusion. The plunge in global equity markets on August 24 was a case in point, when US exchanges halted trading in certain stocks that morning. But many ETFs continued to trade, and without good pricing information, 10 of the largest equity ETFs traded at a steep discount to their underlying value. In other words, the ETFs’ prices collapsed far more than the prices of their underlying securities. If you had tried to sell during that period, you could have experienced a significant loss. Sophisticated institutional investors would probably have known to use a “limit order” when selling in those conditions. It’s unfair to expect the average retail investor to have the same level of understanding. In fact, if a product requires limit orders, should it even be marketed to smaller investors in the first place? At the very least, we think these events should make investors question just how deep the ETF liquidity pool really is. And we’re not the only ones voicing these concerns. SEC Commissioner Luis Aguilar said the August events mean “it may be time to re-examine the entire ETF ecosystem.” Others, including Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer, have raised similar issues. Liquidity Concerns In High Yield, Emerging Markets In other markets, ETFs are even less efficient – and less liquid. Yet, we worry that investors continue to pour money into them without a full understanding of the risks. Think about it this way: More and more investors are turning to ETFs in relatively less liquid markets like high-yield bonds and emerging markets. To meet that demand, these funds must hold an ever larger share of less liquid assets. If the underlying asset prices were to fall sharply, finding buyers might be a challenge, and investors who have to sell may take a sizable loss. Not Always As Cheap As They Look Then there’s the issue of cost. Passive ETFs passively track an index. This style of ETF investing should keep a lid on costs. Financial advisors who use ETFs as core holdings in their clients’ portfolios often tell us this low fee is why they do so. It’s true that some ETFs that invest in the most liquid assets, such as large-cap equities or government bonds, carry much lower management fees than mutual funds. But some other types of ETFs really aren’t that cheap. Take high-yield bonds, where ETF expense ratios can be as high as 0.5%. For emerging market stocks, they can be close to 0.7%. That’s not far from the average active mutual fund fee. Here’s what is different: performance. Since 2008, the biggest high-yield ETFs have underperformed the average active manager and the broad high yield market, not to mention their own benchmarks. Hidden Costs, Less Flexibility ETF costs can be high for many reasons that investors don’t see. For example, in less liquid markets, bid-ask spreads – the difference between the highest price buyers are willing to offer and the lowest that sellers are willing to accept – widen sharply when trading gets volatile. High-yield ETF managers can rack up high trading costs because bonds go into and out of high-yield benchmarks often – certainly more often than stocks enter and exit the S&P 500. Here’s something else to consider: the high opportunity cost of not using active management. ETF returns often suffer because these instruments passively track an inefficient index. That means they can’t pick and choose their exposures based on a security’s individual risk and return characteristics, the way active managers can. Investors learned this the hard way when oil prices plunged and took high-yield energy bonds – a large component in high-yield indices – and many emerging-market stocks and bonds down with them. Active managers who saw the warning signs of rapidly growing debt and leverage in this sector could have strategically reduced exposure and exploited these inefficiencies at the time. Look Before You Leap So what’s best for investors? Should they ditch ETFs altogether? Of course not. Certain ETFs have a place in a well-diversified portfolio – but they’re no panacea. It’s critically important that investors know what they’re signing up for when they buy them. And it’s time for asset managers to step up and explain the fine print. The views expressed herein do not constitute research, investment advice or trade recommendations and do not necessarily represent the views of all AB portfolio-management teams.

Why Long-Term Investors Need To Be Looking Overseas…

Summary Value opportunity in foreign markets. Developed markets facing multiple headwinds. Investors looking to go international face many obstacles. Over long-term investment horizons, valuations can be a valuable guide for portfolio allocation. Most recently, we here at AlphaClone have been struck by the current valuation divergence across global equity markets. We believe long-term investors should be looking to increase their allocations to international equities in their portfolios. Why? In a word, price. The case for favoring international equities over U.S. domestic equities all comes down to price. This table sums up the current situation. (click to enlarge) (Table Source ) Whether it is developed market central banking policies, or other economic factors that have led to developed markets being richly valued, the bottom line is that equity markets in the U.S. and other western markets are historically expensive. As you can see in the table above, United States equities trade for 24x their cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio or CAPE ratio. The historic average for U.S. equities has been a CAPE of around 16x. If U.S. equities regress all the way back to their historic average of 16x CAPE over the next 10 years, then investors would be looking at a -4% per year headwind. As price multiples contract, earnings have to grow that much faster to maintain the same price growth levels. Even if we only go only half way back to a 20x CAPE ratio, that would represent a -2% per year headwind for U.S. investors. All of these headwinds would predict anywhere from a positive 1% to potentially negative -2% real return for U.S. equities over the next 10 years. That is a lot of headwind for the investor who invests solely in the U.S.! Meanwhile… In the international markets and emerging markets, in particular, their average CAPE is just 13x. What’s more, if you focus in on just value stocks within emerging markets, you can find an average CAPE of 8.5x for those stocks. These markets have been hammered over the last three years but now they may offer compelling value to the patient long-term investor. This opportunity means investors can get almost 2-3x times as much value for their invested dollar through investing in stocks internationally as they can from buying the U.S. broad market indices. If you’ve invested Internationally, you’ve lived this growing valuation divergence. Through November 4, 2015, Morningstar’s Foreign Large Blend equity fund category is -4.8% in the past three months compared with their U.S. Large Blend equity fund category -0.6%. This foreign category is dominated mostly by actively managed funds. Annualized returns for longer periods can be seen below. (click to enlarge) Is the time right for foreign equities to start outperforming U.S. domestic equities? Timing is always difficult, but we believe that this is the area where patient long-term investors should be looking for value to increase their international equity portfolio allocations and take advantage of the discount they represent. How should you do it? Even if you are convinced of the opportunity that exists internationally, how should an investor best do it? International investing brings with it a host of additional challenges for investors including: Which countries to choose Which sectors to pick Which securities to select Foreign currencies issues When to enter/exit trades Tax implications What visibility do you have But probably the most important question is which managers should you trust to help you navigate the above obstacles over the long term. If the table above shows you anything, it shows you how difficult it’s been historically for active managers to beat the broader, cap-weighted market benchmarks. Despite the under performance recently of active management in the international arena, active management is still probably the best choice for long-term investors who would like a solution that can adapt to the changing market environments we are likely to face, and who would like to add a value tilt in their foreign investing.