Tag Archives: energy

Top-Performing Energy Mutual Funds In Q1 2016

After bleeding heavily from the beginning of 2016 through early February, the energy sector made an impressive comeback to end the first quarter on a positive note, all thanks to a strong spike in oil prices. The sector’s rebound also helped energy mutual funds to end the quarter with moderate gains. According to Morningstar, the mutual fund category – Energy Equity – returned 2.2% during the first quarter, after losing nearly 10.5% in its first two months. Meanwhile, the WTI and Brent crude, which slumped 28.7% and 19.2%, respectively, since the start of 2016 to reach multi-year low levels on February 11, gained 4.3% and 6.4% during the first quarter. This was the best quarterly performance of crude since the second quarter of 2015 that came on the back of a strong rebound from February 11 through the end of the quarter, when WTI and Brent crude surged 46.3% and 31.7%, respectively. Against this backdrop, it will be worth watching the top performers from the energy equity mutual fund category in the first quarter. But before going into the discussion about the mutual funds, let’s find out the factors that impacted the movement of oil prices during the quarter. Behind the Early Slump Oil prices witnessed a massive slump since the start of 2016, following concerns including China-led global growth worries and the unwillingness of major oil producers to reduce production despite the persistent fall in oil prices. A flurry of disappointing economic data out of China – one of the major importers of oil – raised concerns that an already weak demand environment may deteriorate further following the weakness in the Chinese economy. Dismal economic data out of the major economic regions, such as the U.S., the eurozone and Japan, intensified worries regarding weak global demand. Meanwhile, the major oil producers continued to produce at high levels without considering weak global demand and an already oversupplied market. Continued increase in crude inventories also played a major role in the oil slump during the first half of the quarter. Separately, Iran, which witnessed a lift-off in sanctions on its oil export, continued to raise its production, adding to the supply glut. These were the reasons why crude prices touched 12-year low levels in early February, which in turn, dragged the major benchmarks to multi-year lows. A Remarkable Recovery Strong intentions of major oil producers to control the supply glut played a catalyst for the rebound. Ministers and officials of both OPEC and non-OPEC countries said that they will be meeting on April 17 to discuss an oil production freeze in order to boost prices. Continued decline in oil rig counts and a lower-than-expected rise in crude inventories also gave a boost to oil prices during the latter half of the first quarter. Meanwhile, improvements witnessed in the economic environment of the U.S. and China also eased concerns over weak global demand to some extent. Separately, a weaker U.S. dollar also played a significant role in increasing oil prices, as it made crude more attractive for investors trading in currencies other than the U.S. dollar. 3 Top Energy Mutual Funds In this section, we have highlighted three fundamentally strong energy mutual funds that gained the most during the first quarter, banking on a strong rebound in oil prices and the energy sector. These funds either have a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or #2 (Buy). We expect these funds to outperform their peers in the future. Remember, the goal of the Zacks Mutual Fund Rank is to guide investors to identify potential winners and losers. Unlike most of the fund-rating systems, the Zacks Mutual Fund Rank is not just focused on past performance, but also on the likely future success of the fund. Besides having impressive first quarter return, these funds also have strong three-month returns. The minimum initial investment is within $5000. Also, these funds also have low expense ratios. Vanguard Energy Fund Inv (MUTF: VGENX ) seeks growth of capital over the long run. It invests the lion’s share of its assets in securities of companies engaged in operations related to the energy sector. The fund primarily invests in common stocks of companies. Currently, VGENX carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1. The product has first-quarter and three-month returns of 7.8% and 20.3%, respectively. Its annual expense ratio of 0.37% is lower than the category average of 1.51%. BlackRock Natural Resources Trust Fund A (MUTF: MDGRX ) invests the majority of its assets in equity securities of companies having a significant portion of their assets in natural resources. It invests in securities of companies having operations related to sectors including energy, oil and gas. Currently, MDGRX carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #2. The product has first-quarter and three-month returns of 3.9% and 17.7%, respectively. Its annual expense ratio of 1.10% is lower than the category average of 1.51%. Fidelity Select Energy Portfolio No Load (MUTF: FSENX ) seeks capital growth. It invests a large chunk of its assets in common stocks of companies involved in the energy sector, including oil, gas, electricity and solar power. The fund invests in securities of companies throughout the globe. Currently, FSENX carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1. The product has first-quarter and three-month returns of 3.3% and 15.8%, respectively. Its annual expense ratio of 0.79% is lower than the category average of 1.51%. Original Post

Pain Or Gain Ahead For Bank ETFs?

The going has been tough for bank ETFs for quite some time now mainly due to the twin attacks of a delay in further Fed rate hikes after a liftoff in December and the energy sector lull. Moreover, UBS Group AG’s (NYSE: UBS ) moderate earnings for the fourth quarter of 2015 triggered a sell-off in banking stocks because the bank pointed to several macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical issues that will bother its operations in the near term. Not only banking stocks, broad-based risk-on sentiments took a backseat in the first quarter of 2016. Now, with the earnings season impending and the broader markets rebounding, albeit slowly, let’s catch a glimpse of the looming headwinds and tailwinds to the banking sector. Headwinds Tightening Yields: The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note yield slipped to 1.76% on April 6, 2016 (down 48 since the start of the year) while the yield on the short-term Treasury note (one year of maturity) fell to 0.55% on the same day (down just 6 bps since the beginning of 2016). The narrowing gap between the short and long-term yields has been a cause of concern for the backing sector (read: Bank ETFs Hurt by the Dovish Fed ). In fact, in early March, the spread between the two-year and 10-year Treasury yields tapered the most since 2009. Narrowing spread between long- and short-term rates hurts net interest margin, which a key metric for the banking sector. Energy Sector Exposure: U.S. banks have significant exposure to the long-ailing energy sector where chances of credit default are higher. In February, the S&P cut its outlook on several regional banks with the highest energy sector exposure citing a likely increase in non-performing assets. Among the biggies, Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC ) reported around $42 billion oil and gas credit in February. The situation is the same for JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM ), the energy loan of which accounts for 57% of the investment-grade paper. JPMorgan has ‘ set aside $600 million’ for loan losses emanating from the energy, metals and mining sectors. Panama Papers Scandal: The leaked documents from Panama Law firm Mossack Fonseca & Co. revealing global business leaders and officials moving money to international tax havens may take a toll on bank stocks. Banks may now face more stringent scrutiny and litigation issues to arrest means of evading taxes. Tailwinds Increased Activity: Having described the stress situation, we would like to note that fears of a 2008-like recession or financial market crash are perhaps exaggerated. The lower interest rates should boost capital market activities and benefit banks in other ways. After all, bank stocks have gained their lost ground in the U.S. in a rock-bottom interest rate environment (see all Financials ETFs here). Compelling Valuation: The finance sector has a current-year P/E of 12.6 times, reflecting a 27.6% discount to the S&P while its next-year P/E stands at 11.5 times, reflecting a 25.3% discount to the S&P 500. Such an intriguing valuation might also help the sector to score gains as and when favorable industry dynamics hit the space. ETF Impact All in all, bank stocks are on the fence with pain and gain on either side, though downside risks look higher at the current level. So, investors seeking a financial sector exposure can have a look at the following ETFs: The PowerShares KBW Bank Portfolio ETF (NYSEARCA: KBWB ) , with considerable exposure to Wells Fargo, JPMorgan and US Bancorp (NYSE: USB ). The fund has a Zacks ETF Rank #3 (Hold) with a High risk outlook. SPDR S&P Bank ETF (NYSEARCA: KBE ) also has similar holdings; but it holds stocks in an equal-weighted manner. No stock accounts for more than 2.19% of the fund and diversifies stock-specific risks pretty well. KBE has a Zacks ETF Rank #3 with a High risk outlook. SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (NYSEARCA: KRE ) takes into account companies that do business as regional banks or thrifts. KRE also has a Zacks ETF Rank #3. iShares MSCI Europe Financials Sector Index ETF (NASDAQ: EUFN ) measures the combined equity market performance of the financial sector of developed market countries in Europe. The fund has a Zacks ETF Rank #3. Link to the original post on Zacks.com

3 High Yield ETFs That Must Be On Your Radar

The high yield landscape has been a difficult one to navigate over the last year. The pernicious selling in commodities combined with a rocky road for stocks has led to sliding prices in junk bonds, master limited partnerships, and mortgage REITs. These asset classes have been pilloried for luring in yield-seeking investors, only to have the rug pulled out from under them as credit conditions deteriorated. Hopefully an important lesson has been learned – the higher the yield, the higher the risk of capital invested. Those that were burned the worst may be taking the tact of avoiding these sectors altogether . However, monitoring exchange-traded funds that track high yield indexes can be a useful endeavor. They can often provide insight into underlying stock market or debt dynamics as well as serve up trading opportunities showing relative value characteristics. Let’s delve into some of the most important high yield ETFs that should be on your radar. iShares iBoxx High Yield Corporate Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: HYG ) HYG is the largest high yield bond ETF with $16.7 billion in total assets. This passively managed index fund owns nearly 1,000 corporate bonds of companies with below-investment grade credit ratings. These types of fixed-income instruments are often referred to as “junk bonds” because of their lower quality credit fundamentals. Investors who own a basket of junk bonds like HYG are nominally compensated for the higher risk by receiving a much higher yield than Treasuries or investment-grade corporate bonds. HYG currently has a 30-day SEC yield of 6.96% and income is paid monthly to shareholders. A peek at the chart below shows how HYG broke below its 200-day moving average nearly nine months ago and has been in a persistent down-trend ever since. This ETF was down over 20% from high to low, but managed to claw its way back from the abyss during the February and March rally in risk assets. The important question now is whether HYG is consolidating for another push higher or is it getting ready to rollover once again? The most bullish scenario would be a tight range of consolidation followed by a confirmed breakout to new recovery highs above the downward sloping 200-day moving average. This would likely need to coincide with further strength in broad stock market indices such as the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA: SPY ). If we start to see SPY and other stock market bellwethers roll over again, then it could easily lead to a retest of the February lows for HYG. Many investors believe in the adage that “credit leads equities”. As a result, these two asset classes will likely experience a similar fate through the remainder of 2016. Alerian MLP ETF (NYSEARCA: AMLP ) Another well-known proxy of income and credit risk that is closely tied to the commodity markets are master limited partnerships (MLPs). AMLP tracks an index of the 25 largest and most liquid MLPs. These companies provide infrastructure, storage, and pipeline use for large oil and gas companies in the energy sector. The unique tax structure of MLPs allows them to pass on a large percentage of their profits to shareholders in the form of dividends. Thus, these stocks are often prized for their above-average yields. AMLP sports a yield of 11.28% based on its most recent quarterly dividend and current share price. This ETF has experienced a decline similar to junk-bond related indexes, which has been exacerbated by the downtrend in oil and natural gas prices. Similar to oil, this fund is off its lows for the year, but has been unable to regain positive territory for 2016. I believe that this index will continue to demonstrate a high correlation with the energy markets over the next several years. Another factor to the MLP story will be credit conditions , as many of these companies rely heavily on access to debt markets and other funding sources. Keep these factors in mind if you are considering investing in this ETF. It may be a long road ahead to regain sustainable momentum and volatility will likely be a key risk. iShares Mortgage Real Estate Capped ETF (NYSEARCA: REM ) If you are aggressive enough to seek out funds offering a double digit yield, then you have likely heard of REM. This ETF tracks an index of 38 mortgage REITs in the residential and commercial lending sectors. Mortgage REITs are characterized by their lofty dividends as a result of embedded leverage and low borrowing costs. REM is a very focused strategy that is arranged in a market-cap weighted methodology. As a result, the top holdings make up a significant portion of the underlying asset base. This includes significant exposure to Annaly Capital Management (NYSE: NLY ) and American Capital Agency REIT (NASDAQ: AGNC ). REM currently has a 30-day SEC yield of 12.30% and income is paid quarterly to shareholders. It’s easy to see how investors can be lured into mortgage REITs by the tremendous yields. However, the volatility and risk that is associated with maintaining that dividend is often overshadowed. This ETF has also traced a path similar to high yield bonds over the last 12 months and has just recently experienced a sharp rebound. Future price action in this ETF is likely going to be governed by a combination of factors including real estate fundamentals, credit trends, and overall appetite for risk in aggressive income assets. Keep in mind that ETFs with high sensitivity to credit risk are best purchased during periods of duress in order to capitalize on their relative value to high quality fixed-income. Furthermore, these tools will require heightened vigilance in order to take advantage of their volatile nature. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Additional disclosure: David Fabian, FMD Capital Management, and/or clients may hold positions in the ETFs and mutual funds mentioned above. The commentary does not constitute individualized investment advice. The opinions offered herein are not personalized recommendations to buy, sell, or hold securities.