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Best And Worst Q4’15: Large Cap Growth ETFs, Mutual Funds And Key Holdings

Summary The Large Cap Growth style ranks fifth in Q4’15. Based on an aggregation of ratings of 24 ETFs and 604 mutual funds. QUAL is our top-rated Large Cap Growth style ETF and MIGNX is our top-rated Large Cap Growth style mutual fund. The Large Cap Growth style ranks fifth out of the twelve fund styles as detailed in our Q4’15 Style Ratings for ETFs and Mutual Funds report. Last quarter , the Large Cap Growth style ranked fourth. It gets our Neutral rating, which is based on an aggregation of ratings of 24 ETFs and 604 mutual funds in the Large Cap Growth style. See a recap of our Q3’15 Style Ratings here. Figures 1 and 2 show the five best and worst-rated ETFs and mutual funds in the style. Not all Large Cap Growth style ETFs and mutual funds are created the same. The number of holdings varies widely (from 20 to 647). This variation creates drastically different investment implications and, therefore, ratings. Investors seeking exposure to the Large Cap Growth style should buy one of the Attractive-or-better rated ETFs or mutual funds from Figures 1 and 2. Figure 1: ETFs with the Best & Worst Ratings – Top 5 (click to enlarge) * Best ETFs exclude ETFs with TNAs less than $100 million for inadequate liquidity. Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings Figure 2: Mutual Funds with the Best & Worst Ratings – Top 5 (click to enlarge) * Best mutual funds exclude funds with TNAs less than $100 million for inadequate liquidity. Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings Destra Investment Trust II: Focused Equity Fund ( DFOIX , DFOCX ) is excluded from Figure 2 because its total net assets are below $100 million and do not meet our liquidity minimums. iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF (NYSEARCA: QUAL ) is the top-rated Large Cap Growth ETF and Massachusetts Investors Growth Stock Fund (MUTF: MIGNX ) is the top-rated Large Cap Growth mutual fund. Both earn a Very Attractive rating. Columbia RP Focused Large Cap Growth ETF (NYSEARCA: RWG ) is the worst-rated Large Cap Growth ETF and Quaker Strategic Growth Fund (MUTF: QUAGX ) is the worst-rated Large Cap Growth mutual fund. RWG earns our Neutral rating while QUAGX earns our Very Dangerous rating. The Travelers Companies (NYSE: TRV ) is one of our favorite stocks held by Large Cap Growth ETFs and mutual funds and earns our Very Attractive rating. Over the past decade, Travelers has grown after-tax profits ( NOPAT ) by 14% compounded annually while improving NOPAT margins from 4% to 14%. Travelers currently earns a return on invested capital ( ROIC ) of 12%, up from 4% in 2004. Despite the stock gaining 5% year-to-date, shares remain undervalued. At its current price of $112/share, TRV has a price to economic book value ( PEBV ) ratio of 0.7. This ratio implies that the market expects Travelers NOPAT to permanently decline by 30%. If Travelers can grow NOPAT by just 1% compounded annually for the next five years , the stock is worth $172/share today – a 53% upside. Palo Alto Networks (NYSE: PANW ) is one of our least favorite stocks held by Large Cap Growth ETFs and mutual funds and earns our Very Dangerous rating. Palo Alto Networks went public in 2012 and since then its NOPAT has fallen from $2 million to -$106 million in 2015. The company currently earns a bottom quintile ROIC of -51%. Despite the downward spiral in profits, PANW has risen on investor exuberance in the cyber security sector, and shares are now significantly overvalued. To justify the current share price of $157/share, Palo Alto Networks must immediately achieve 5% pre-tax margins (-13% in 2015) and grow revenues by 31% compounded annually for the next 16 years. These expectations seem unrealistic given Palo Alto’s inability to grow profits since 2012. Figures 3 and 4 show the rating landscape of all Large Cap Growth ETFs and mutual funds. Figure 3: Separating the Best ETFs From the Worst ETFs (click to enlarge) Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings Figure 4: Separating the Best Mutual Funds From the Worst Funds (click to enlarge) Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings D isclosure: David Trainer and Thaxston McKee receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, style, or theme.

Cleco: The Closing Of A Stable Growth Story

Cleco Corporation has had a good run, generating investors substantial returns in the form of dividends and capital appreciation. But now, the story is closing, with a potential acquisition granting investors an automatic 10% upside. Invest in Cleco now for the high probability of receiving this upside. Even if the deal falls through, this well-run company can still deliver more upside over a longer time frame. As investors know, small cap companies provide investors with overall better-than-expected returns than mid caps or large caps, and as a whole, they definitely provide a better return than the S&P 500. Small caps are an excellent way for investors to add some more growth potential to their portfolios if they are willing to also pump in more risk as well. However, most investors who are looking for stable returns are unwilling to pump in more risk-these investors like the idea of the company handing them a steady quarterly paycheck, and they are willing to sacrifice the potential large capital gains in exchange for peace of mind and a good night’s sleep. But what if investors want the best of both worlds? Is it possible to get both growth and stability in one investment? Some industries with highly inelastic consumer demands such as the utilities industry or large diversified business segments such as the industrials industry can provide investors with stability, but not growth. But what if investors combined the small cap size of a company with industry stability? That would lead to the small cap utilities company. Enter Cleco Corp. (NYSE: CNL ), a small cap utilities company that serves customers in Louisiana. Cleco is a holding company composed of both Cleco Power, which is the actual regulated electric utilities firm that serves customers in Louisiana, and Cleco Midstream Resources, which is an energy services company. The two different functions that Cleco’s business segments have enable Cleco to vertically diversify some of its operations and offer investors greater stability in the form of supply chain protection and/or stabilization. While the Company has done an excellent job serving its customers over the years and would be an excellent investment in and of itself, there is something going on with the Company that would enable investors to profit without staying invested for too long, as we’ll see later. As investors can clearly see, just from the stock chart, the Company has done investors well over the past five years. Capital invested at the onset of calendar year 2011 would have generated a total return on investment of about 100%, which is excellent given the fact that this is a utilities company we are talking about. In the recent year, the stock price has been stagnating; volatility from normal market fluctuations is clearly visible in the years leading up to 2015, but since then, the stock price has barely budged at all from about $54. Only recently has the stock dipped to about $50.50. This drastic drop in volatility is due to an event we will go more into later on. From a technical perspective, the 50-day moving average has been dancing above the 200-day moving average for quite some time, with occasional dips back down but never staying below the 200-day moving average for long. Recently, the two indicators have converged on each other due to the decreased volatility in share price. (click to enlarge) Source: Stockcharts.com In terms of fundamentals, the Company’s two business segments, Cleco Power and Cleco Midstream Resources, generate a substantial amount of free cash flow for investors to feast on. While free cash flow was mostly negative in prior years, for the past five years, the Company has generated positive free cash flow, which signals a better handling on the businesses’ operations. Dividends have seen increases in the past five years from a constant $0.90 per share up to $1.60 per share TTM; these dividends have been increasing on a non-stop basis since the 2008 financial crisis. Margins have also seen improvement through the Company’s earlier 2005-06 years, and liquidity ratios have mostly held steady. But what’s more important to investors is the potential deal to acquire the Company that could close very soon . This deal would essentially allow Cleco’s shares to be acquired for $55.37 per share, which represents about a 9.3% premium over the current market price within this week. This deal was announced last year and is expected to close in the 2nd half of 2015, although investors are waiting to see whether this deal will get approved by regulators. The most important regulator in this deal is the Louisiana Public Service Commission, and without the approval of this regulatory body, this deal will fall through. Some members of the commission are leaning against the passing of the deal , but members are keeping an open mind. Should the deal close, an automatic almost 10% return on investment would be cherry on top of an already great investment that has generated investors substantial capital appreciation and dividends. While the latter has passed already, an investment in Cleco now will yield a good chance of a 10% return given the high probability of the deal passing through.

Bet On European Economic Recovery With This New ETF

Ongoing policy easing and hopes for further stimulus (if need be) have put the spotlight on the Euro zone stocks and related ETFs. Since available funds are tacking on gains and assets on a potential economic recovery, issuers are putting out all the stops in rolling out more and more innovative Europe-based funds. Most recently, WishdomTree launched the WisdomTree Europe Local Recovery Fund (BATS: EZR ) , which better reflects the European growth prospects on corporate profile. Let’s dig a little deeper and find how one can wager on the potential bounce in the European economy by this ETF (read: ETF Strategies for 2H ). EZR in Focus The fund seeks to provide exposure to the European companies susceptible to economic growth prospects in the Euro zone and that generate over 50% of their revenues from Europe. Thus the fund may benefit from the ongoing economic recovery and rising purchasing power in the Euro zone. By tracking the WisdomTree Europe Local Recovery Index, the fund fulfills its objective. This strategy results in the fund holding 212 stocks in its basket, which are quite well diversified across the portfolio. The top 10 names form roughly 15% of total assets, with just 2.22% allocated to the top fund holding – Total SA. (NYSE: TOT ), BASF SE ( OTCQX:BASFY ), Allianz SE ( OTCQX:AZSEY ) and BNP Paribas ( OTCQX:BNPQY ) are some of the other top holdings of the fund. However, there seems to be some sector concentration in the fund as the top three sectors – Financials, Industrials and Consumer Discretionary- alone occupy four-fifth of total fund assets. Energy and Information Technology have the lowest allocations in the fund. Capitalization-wise, the fund has a mixed approach with about 35% of weight invested in small and mid caps each, while the remaining 30% goes to large-cap stocks. While France and Germany have roughly 25% allocation each in the fund, Italy occupies about 16% and Spain has 9.42%. The fund charges 48 basis points as fees making it a relatively middle-of-the-road product in terms of costs in the European ETFs space. How Does It Fit in the Portfolio? The newly launched ETF can be a good choice for investors looking to gain exposure to the pure possibilities of the Euro zone. This is especially true given that these companies are closely tied to the European economy and generate a huge bulk of their revenues from the domestic market and thus remain less susceptible to euro depreciation (read: 3 European ETFs Rebounding Sharply ). Notably, Euro zone is presently undergoing a QE stimulus and the European central bank has recently hinted at the beefing up of the ongoing monetary policy, if growth slackens further. These measures are expected to spur bank lending, boost activities and battle low inflation within the Euro zone. ETF Competition The broad European equities fund space is teeming with a number of ETFs such as the Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF (NYSEARCA: VGK ) , the SPDR Euro Stoxx 50 ETF (NYSEARCA: FEZ ) , the iShares MSCI EMU ETF (NYSEARCA: EZU ) and the iShares Europe ETF (NYSEARCA: IEV ) . However, aforementioned ETFs are mostly large-cap in nature and thus can’t be direct competitors to this newbie ETF EZR. Since large-caps only take about one-third of its portfolio, small-cap Europe ETFs including the SPDR STOXX Small Cap ETF (NYSEARCA: SMEZ ) and the WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend Fund (NYSEARCA: DFE ) are likely to pose as threats. In fact, country and sector specification-wise, EZR and SMEZ share many similarities. The newly launched fund is cheaper than DFE – which charges 58 basis points as fees but it is slightly costlier than SMEZ which charges 45 bps in fees. Also, given the greenback strength in the wake of looming policy tightening and euro depreciation, this un-hedged ETF might see tough times ahead. Otherwise, we expect EZR to be successful among risk-averse investors as capitalization-wise, its spectrum is diversified. So, several risk-fearing investors who seek to gain true exposure to the Euro zone but dread the volatile nature of the smaller-capitalization might find EZR’s midway approach lucrative. Link to the original post on Zacks.com