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3 ETF Winners Post Fed Rate Hike

For the first time in nearly a decade, the Fed opted for a lift-off last week indicating that the economy has gained enough strength to bear future increases in borrowing costs. Significant improvements in the key sections of the economy including that in the labor market were the main reasons behind the hike. Expressing confidence in the U.S. economy, Fed Chair Janet Yellen announced the beginning of a slow-but-steady series of rate increases. The Fed increased its short-term borrowing rate to a range of 0.25% to 0.50% as policy makers unanimously voted in favor of a hike. The long wait for the hike was what Janet Yellen labelled an “extraordinary period.” During this period, ultra-low interest rates aided economic recovery, lending a bull run to the markets. Following the lift-off decision, Yellen stated that the decision “reflects our confidence in the U.S. economy.” The Fed also indicated that “solid” consumer spending, a rebound in the housing market and strong business fixed investment played an important role in the decision. How the Markets Moved Post Hike? Though the highly anticipated hike helped the broader benchmarks to move northward, markets failed to extend the gains due to concerns including the slump in oil prices. Despite yesterday’s gains, the Dow, S&P 500 and Nasdaq lost 2.4%, 1.8% and 1.3%, respectively. Oil was the main reason behind the benchmarks slipping into negative territory following the rate-hike decision. Concerns regarding weak global demand, absence of production cuts from OPEC and North American shale suppliers, and a stronger dollar continued to weigh on oil prices, which in turn affected energy shares during the period. The broader energy index – Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA: XLE ) – declined nearly 5.4% in this time frame. However, the alternative energy sector moved in the opposite direction thanks to some important developments. The historic Paris Climate Deal and news on tax credit extension boosted the sector during this period. The Paris deal, in which about 195 countries agreed to a landmark treaty to curb global warming to a significant extent, will invariably motivate renewable energy companies to step up their investments in new technologies, boosting the industry’s growth prospects. Meanwhile, the unexpected approval of a five-year extension to the Investment Tax Credit (ITC) and Production Tax Credit (PTC) for solar and wind companies by the U.S. government also boosted the stocks. 3 ETF Winners In this scenario, we have highlighted three ETFs that registered healthy gains in the post rate-hike period. Guggenheim Solar ETF (NYSEARCA: TAN ) This ETF follows the MAC Global Solar Energy Index, holding 31 stocks in the basket. American firms dominate the fund’s portfolio with nearly 50.9% share, followed by Hong Kong (19.8%) and China (17.5%). The product has amassed $323.8 million in its asset base and trades in moderate volume of around 226,000 shares a day. It charges investors 70 bps in fees per year. The fund has returned 7.7% in the post rate-hike period. Market Vectors Mortgage REIT Income ETF (NYSEARCA: MORT ) The ETF tracks the Market Vectors Global Mortgage REITs Index, measuring the performance of companies primarily engaged in the purchase or service of commercial or residential mortgage loans. The fund consists of 24 stocks and charges 41 bps in investor fees per year. The fund is relatively less popular with an asset base of $102.2 million and average volume of roughly 31,000 shares per day. The commitment of a gradual increase in the key interest rate helped the fund to return 4.6% in the post rate-hike period. SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (NYSEARCA: XBI ) This ETF follows the S&P Biotechnology Select Industry Index, holding 105 stocks in the basket. The fund has a well-diversified portfolio as none of the firms has more than 1.7% of assets. The fund is quite popular with an asset base of $2.8 billion and strong average volume of more than 4 million shares per day. It charges investors 35 bps in fees per year. The fund has returned 4.7% in the post rate-hike period. Original Post

5 Market-Beating Broad International ETFs Of 2015

This has been a pretty rough year for the global stock market. Several China-driven offhand events causing global market rout in mid-year, growth worries in global superpowers like the Eurozone, Japan and Canada, Greek debt deal drama, the vicious cycle of oil price declines, commodity market upheaval, and finally the Fed rate hike in almost a decade kept the global markets edgy throughout the year. The impact of these events was harsh on the bourses. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA: SPY ) has lost about 1% so far this year (as of December 22, 2015), Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF (NYSEARCA: VGK ) has shed about 5.1% during the same timeframe, iShares MSCI Emerging Markets (NYSEARCA: EEM ) has retreated as much as 16.9%, iShares MSCI All Country Asia ex Japan (NASDAQ: AAXJ ) has plummeted 11.5% and all-world ETF iShares MSCI ACWI (NASDAQ: ACWI ) has gone down over 4.7%. The price performance of these region-based ETFs was enough to tag 2015 as a down year for global stocks, on an average. In fact, as China devalued its currency yuan in a historic move in mid-August, there was a bloodbath in global equities. The U.S. and Asian stocks experienced a three -year low monthly performance in August. Europe saw the most horrible month since the 2011 debt debacle. Commodities crumbled to multi-year lows on demand issues and hit hard all commodity-rich nations. Still, the global market recouped some of its losses as the ECB extended its QE policy, BoJ made pro-growth changes in its accommodative policies and the Fed enacted a lift-off citing steady U.S. economic growth in the latter part of the year. These may give enough reasons to investors to look for international ETF survivors this year. For them, we have highlighted five ETFs that have gained at least 6% so far this year (as of December 22, 2015) defying the broad-based gloom. WisdomTree Intl Hedged Quality Div Growth ETF (NYSEARCA: IHDG ) While the Fed had been preparing for policy tightening the entire year and finally hiked rates, other developed economies of the world and a few emerging economies are going the opposite direction. Due to growth issues, global superpowers like Europe, Japan and Australia are presently pursuing easy money policies. As a result, stocks of these developed nations got an extra boost. Also, a currency-hedged approach was essential to set off the effect of a surging greenback. IHDG serves both aspects. Moreover, IHDG takes care of investors’ income too as the fund selects dividend-paying companies with growth features in the developed world ex U.S. and Canada. This Zacks ETF Rank #3 (Hold) ETF was up over 10% so far in 2015. SPDR SP International Consumer Staples Sector ETF (NYSEARCA: IPS ) This international consumer staples ETF has double-digit exposure in U.K., Japan and Switzerland. Other nations like France, Netherlands, Belgium also get weight in the range of 6-8%. Nestle ( OTCPK:NSRGY ) (13.58%) takes the top spot in the fund followed by Anheuser-Busch InBev (NYSE: BUD ) (5.9%) and British American Tobacco (NYSEMKT: BTI ) (5.85%). Ongoing easy policy measures and non-cyclical nature of the consumer staples sector helped the fund to endure global market shocks. IPS is up 8.8% so far this year (as of December 22, 2015). iShares MSCI EAFE Small-Cap ETF (NYSEARCA: SCZ ) This ETF targets the small cap segment of the developed market space. Small caps are considered the measure of domestic economy. These are less ruffled by global economic concerns and most importantly the surging U.S. dollar. Since cheap money available in Japan, Germany and U.K. resulted in improving consumer sentiment in those regions, this small-cap ETF emerged as a winner. SCZ is up over 7.7%. SPDR S&P International Health Care Sector ETF (NYSEARCA: IRY ) Health care is another recession-proof sector and thus remained less ruffled in the down year of 2015. The fund puts double-digit weight in Switzerland (25.44%), Japan (17.15%) and U.K. (14.30%) and Germany (10.23%). The fund is heavy on pharmaceuticals sector (74.27%) followed by Health Care Equipment & Supplies (9.45%). IRY has advanced over 7% so far this year (as of December 22, 2015). iShares MSCI EAFE Minimum Volatility (NYSEARCA: EFAV ) This fund targets the low volatility stocks of the developed equity markets, excluding the U.S. and Canada. In terms of country profile, Japan and United Kingdom take the top two spots at 28.5% and 24.2%, respectively, followed by Switzerland (10.43%). It is slightly tilted toward financials at 21.7%, closely followed by consumer staples (16.8%), health care (15.9%), industrials (11.1%) and consumer discretionary (10.6%). The fund is up 6.5% so far this year (as of December 22, 2015). The fund has a Zacks ETF Rank #3 (Hold) with a low risk outlook. Original Post

Playing The Santa Rally With ETFs And Stocks

After a spectacular six-year bull run, the U.S. stock market got caught up in a nasty web of never-ending worries. It all started with the collapse in oil prices. Then came the instability in Greece, global growth concerns and the uncertainty of the Fed rate hike. Persistent weakness in China and the slump in commodities aggravated the woes. As a result, the S&P 500 and Dow Jones indices are trading in the red in the year-to-date frame, losing 1% and 2.3%, respectively. But the trend might reverse heading into the winter holidays if Santa pays a call. A Santa rally has gained coinage in the investment world, referring to the increase in stock prices in the final week of the calendar year (i.e. between Christmas and New Year’s Day) and extending into the first two days of the New Year. According to the 2016 Stock Trader’s Almanac , the Santa Claus rally has yielded average positive returns of 1.4% in 34 of the past 45 holiday seasons since 1969. Other research also confirmed this trend. If we dig into historical data dating back to 1896, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has a track record of gaining an average of 1.7% during this seven-day trading period. And this has happened 77% of the time. Santa on The Way! The Fed has raised interest rates for the first time in nearly a decade with a dovish view for future hikes. It is a clear signal that the U.S. economy has largely emerged from the impact of a financial crisis supported by solid labor market fundamentals and a gradually increasing inflation rate. This in turn has lifted consumer confidence, providing a boost to the stock market, setting the tune for a Santa rally. This is especially true as the stock market gained momentum at the start of this week with both the S&P 500 and Dow Jones gaining 1.7% each. Further, year-end seasonal factors such as holiday optimism, tax-related affairs, people investing their Christmas bonuses, short sellers going on vacation, and the “January effect” added to the strength. As such, Santa seems to be just round the corner but the rout in commodities and the resultant stress in the junk bond space could block its way. Nevertheless, the oil price has rebounded slightly from their 11-year low, bolstering hopes of a bullish market. As hopes start building for a Santa rally, we have highlighted a trio of ETFs and stocks that could provide investors with happy returns in the coming days and weeks. ETFs to Buy While there are a number of ETFs that are expected to benefit from the Santa Claus rally, we have highlighted three growth funds that have a higher potential to move upward when the markets go up. These products have been leading the broad market by a wide margin and have a top Zacks ETF Rank of 1 or ‘Strong Buy’. Further, these provide a broad play across various sectors rather than specific ones. PowerShares Dynamic Large Cap Growth Portfolio (NYSEARCA: PWB ) This ETF provides a pure exposure to the large cap growth segment of the broad U.S. equity market by tracking the Dynamic Large Cap Growth Intellidex Index. The fund is widely diversified across 50 securities with each holding less than 3.5% of total assets. From a sector look, consumer discretionary takes the top spot at 32% while information technology, healthcare and consumer staples round off the next three spots. The product has accumulated around $415.3 million in its asset base and charges 58 bps in fees per year. It gained 6.4% so far this year. iShares Russell Top 200 Growth ETF (NYSEARCA: IWY ) This fund offers exposure to 139 large U.S. companies whose earnings are expected to grow at an above-average rate relative to the market. It is concentrated in the technology sector and the top firm – Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL ) – occupies 8.2% of the basket while the other firms hold no more than 3.4% share. Consumer discretionary, healthcare and consumer staples also receive double-digit allocation each. The fund has amassed $559.3 million in AUM and has an expense ratio of 0.20%. IWY is up 5.6% in 2015. First Trust Large Cap Growth AlphaDEX Fund (NYSEARCA: FTC ) This fund provides a slightly active choice as it uses the AlphaDEX methodology to select the stock. The methodology seeks to narrow the large cap space to only the best positioned growth companies, eliminating the bottom ranked 25% of the stocks. This approach results in a basket of 177 stocks, which are widely spread across various securities with none holding more than 1.21% share. More than one-fourth of the portfolio is skewed toward consumer discretionary, followed by information technology (19.5%), healthcare (13.5%), consumer staples (13.0%) and industrials (12.8%). The product has $714.8 million in AUM and charges 63 bps in annual fees. It added 3.2% in the year-to-date time frame. Stocks to Buy For stocks, we have chosen three top picks using the Zacks Screener that fits our six criteria: a Zacks Rank #1, a Growth Style Score of ‘A’, Zacks Industry Rank within the top 15%, positive estimate revision for the current year, market cap of over 1 billion and year-to-date price performance in excess of the broad market returns. Here are the three chosen stocks. American Woodmark Corp. (NASDAQ: AMWD ) Based in Winchester, VA, American Woodmark is a major manufacturer and distributor of kitchen cabinets and vanities for the remodeling and home construction markets in the United States. The company has seen solid earnings estimate revisions of 8 cents for the current quarter over the past 30 days and delivered positive earnings surprises in the last four quarters, with an average beat of 35.40%. The stock has a solid Zacks Industry Rank in the top 5% and has doubled its returns in the year-to-date time frame. Integrated Device Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: IDTI ) Based in San Jose, CA, Integrated Device is engaged in designing, developing, manufacturing, and marketing a wide range of high-performance semiconductor products and modules for the communications, computing, and consumer industries worldwide. The company has seen earnings estimates rising by a penny for the current quarter over the past 30 days and delivered average positive earnings surprises of 10.04% in the last four quarters. Further, Integrated Device has an Industry Zacks Rank in the top 15% and gained over 37% this year. Leidos Holdings Inc. (NYSE: LDOS ) Based in Reston, VA, Leidos Holdings delivers solutions and services in the national security, health, and engineering markets in the United States and internationally. It has seen earnings estimate revision of 3 cents for the current quarter over the past 30 days and generated an average earnings surprise of 22.44% in the last four quarters. The stock is up 27.3% this year and has an Industry Zacks Rank in the top 15%. Bottom Line As the positive momentum starts to build in the market this week, Santa might definitely be on the way to give bountiful gifts to investors and set the tone for the New Year. Original Post