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Chip Game On: AMD May Undercut Nvidia With Intel Deal; Who’s In VR?
Advanced Micro Devices ( AMD ) might score an Intel ( INTC ) license deal. It would scoop Tesla Motors ( TSLA ) partner Nvidia ( NVDA ), which receives $66 million in quarterly royalties from the No. 1 chipmaker, a Needham analyst says. But Argus analyst Jim Kelleher says that Nvidia has distanced itself from the PC market, instead focusing on niche growth areas like virtual reality (VR), autonomous vehicles, artificial intelligence, the Internet of Things and robotics. In VR, Facebook ( FB )-owned Oculus recommends Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices graphics cards for its Rift series. This week, Oculus announced 30 new titles and demoed the tech at the Game Developers Conference in San Francisco, Calif. Graphics cards are outfitted with GPUs, or graphics processing units. Advanced ones are needed for many of today’s richly visual computing experiences that are computationally intensive — everything from the movement in gameplay to VR and many other kinds of applications. Nvidia’s Intel Royalty To Expire On Friday, Kelleher initiated coverage on Nvidia stock with a buy rating and a 39 price target, a day after Needham analyst Rajvindra Gill reiterated a hold rating on Nvidia stock following the Intel-Advanced Micro Devices rumor. Nvidia is on the IBD 50 list of leading growth stocks. In early trading on the stock market today , Nvidia stock surged 3.9%, trading near 34.10 and in buy range from a 33.16 cup-with-handle buy point. Advanced Micro Devices stock flew higher, up 4.3%, but usually trades considerably lower, near 3. Nvidia’s royalty deal with Intel is set to expire in 2017, and the GPU leader failed in December to defend its patents in a lawsuit against Samsung and Apple ( AAPL ) supplier Qualcomm ( QCOM ). “We don’t litigate for our business model,” CEO Jen-Hsun Huang told investors in November. “We don’t depend on licensing for our business model.” To offset the loss of Intel’s royalty stream — which will impact 2017 earnings per share by 25-30 cents — Nvidia needs to add $470 million in annual revenue, Gill wrote in a research report. He noted that Intel can continue using Nvidia patents filed before March 31, 2017. “While Nvidia has expressed interest in monetizing its GPU patent assets, we have seen little evidence to date that this will materialize,” he wrote. Nvidia controls 75%-80% of the GPU market, having long ago ceded the gaming console market to Advanced Micro Devices, which provides its RADEON semi-customized chips to Sony ( SNE ) and Microsoft ( MSFT ). Nvidia Shifts To Gaming In 2013, PC sales accounted for 42% of total Nvidia revenue. In 2016, gaming, enterprise graphics, data center and automotive brought in 85% of total revenue, dropping PC sales down to 9%. IP brought in 6%. Gaming represents a $20 billion market opportunity for Nvidia, leading $8 billion, $6.5 billion and $5 billion opportunities in the artificial intelligence, enterprise graphics and data center markets, respectively, Kelleher wrote. In fiscal 2016, gaming (largely PC) generated $2.8 billion of Nvidia’s total $5.01 billion in sales, up 30% year over year. Nvidia targets 5%-10% annual growth “based on gamers’ insatiable desire for improved graphics in games,” he wrote. Nvidia also pulled in $750 million in enterprise graphics, $340 million in data center and $320 million in automotive. In fiscal 2016, Nvidia’s automotive segment grew 80% year over year and includes Nvidia-Tesla-partnered GPUs. The U.S. Department of Energy selected Nvidia’s NVLink interconnected technology coupled with IBM ( IBM ) processors to power its next-generation supercomputers, 10 times faster than current supercomputers. Kelleher recognized that 2018 earnings might flatten as Nvidia makes further investments in “growth niches.” “We regard this as an acceptable trade-off for building share in markets that could drive significant growth in years to come,” he wrote.
Miles Capital Launches Fund Of Alternative Funds
The recently launched Miles Capital Alternatives Advantage Fund has an interesting approach to multialternative investing: it gains its exposures by bundling other alternative mutual funds and ETFs. The fund, which launched on March 14, is available in N (MUTF: MILNX ) and I (MUTF: MILIX ) share classes, with respective net-expense ratios of 3.24% and 2.99% (this includes 1.24% of acquired fund fees from the underlying funds), and initial investment minimums of $2,500 and $50,000. Allocation Across Multiple Strategies The Miles Capital Alternative Advantage Fund’s investment objective is to provide long-term capital returns with less volatility than U.S. equity markets. It pursues this end by means of investing in mutual funds and ETFs employing the following strategies: Long/short equity Long/short credit Market neutral Arbitrage Global macro Moreover, the fund may invest in mutual funds and ETFs that bundle alternative assets, in addition to strategies. These assets may include commodities and commodity-linked instruments, currencies, real estate and other real assets, and illiquid private placements and distressed assets. For more information, read the fund’s prospectus . Fund of Funds Approach Although the “fund of funds” approach is common among hedge funds, “funds of alternative mutual funds and ETFs” are less so. Still, the Miles Capital Alternatives Advantage Fund isn’t the first. Three of the best performing funds from the group that came before it include: Of the three, CAALX is the largest in terms of assets under management (“AUM”), at $460 million. LPTAX was second, at $227 million AUM; while GASAX was the smallest, at $90 million AUM. How have these “funds of alternative funds” performed? In terms of their 3-year returns through February 29, CAALX was tops at +3.76%, which was good enough to rank in the top 7% of Morningstar’s Multialternative category. LPTAX’s 3-year returns stood at 2.73%, which put it in the top 15%. And GASAX returned 2.05% for the 3-year period ending Leap Day 2016, putting it in the top 23% of its peers. Past performance does not necessarily predict future results. Jason Seagraves contributed to this article.