PPL Corporation – Ready To Go Strong Starting 2016

By | December 25, 2015

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Summary Stock is compelling investment prospect for income-hunting investors. Strategic investments in utility infrastructure development and extension-related projects are in-line with long-term growth generating strategy. Strategy of sharing cash flow base strength with shareholders through dividend payments will continue to positively affect stock price. PPL Corporation (NYSE: PPL )’s strong business fundamentals and its important infrastructural growth-related investments cast an impressive outlook for the stock. I believe the company’s regular efforts to augment the growth capabilities of its regulated business’ infrastructure with regular infrastructural improvement and enhancement-related investments will bode well for its future EPS growth. These healthy growth prospects of PPL will ultimately better its future cash flow productivity level and this will in turn help the company maintain its practice of paying increasingly healthy dividends in the years ahead. Moreover, PPL’s current valuations are more attractive than its peers and the industry average. Nevertheless, un-foreseen adverse weather conditions, volatility in fuel prices and strict regulatory restrictions are key threats that will keep on hovering over the company’s future financial performance. Over the last few years, the U.S. utility industry has faced challenges such as a decline in energy demand by industries amid the recession. Furthermore, the regulatory uncertainties and restrictions imposed by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) caused industry disruptions. However, the EIA has projected that energy demand in the U.S. will increase by 2.1% in residential space in the second of 2015 and will grow by 0.7% in industrial space in 2015, which indicates that the overall utility industry’s outlook is attractive. To combat the industrial headwinds and to meet the expected rise in energy demand, the U.S. utility industry players have accelerated their growth investments in order to get a broader regulated infrastructure. Like all of the other utility industry players, PPL is also making hefty infrastructural investments; around $10 billion is projected to be spent by the company on infrastructure improvement by the end of 2017, which will help it apply for regular rate base hikes and will ultimately drive its future earnings and revenues. I continue to believe that this utility company’s attractive growth investments will help it enjoy EPS growth in future, which will support its cash flows and dividend growth. PPL, however, is confident of achieving a 6% compounded annual earnings growth rate through 2017. And for its U.K. operations, the company now expects EPS growth of 1% to 2%, in contrast to its previous expectation of flat earnings growth. I think that these strong earnings growth potentials will augur well for the stock valuation. To recover the capital investments made previously, the company has applied for a 5.1% rate case hike. Although the case is still waiting for regulatory approval, if approved, it will add around $124 million per year towards PPL’s revenues. The company has plans to use the proceeds of its rate cases in technological upgradation and improvement-related projects. In this regard, recently, PPL asked for the Pennsylvania Public Utility Commission’s approval to make an investment of $450 million in the technology upgradation process of meters in order to resolve their problems associated with old meters. This investment will not only improve the company’s image as a quality regulated utility but will also benefit its EPS growth, because the cost of investment will be recovered through a special rate rider; as per the management’s estimates, this investment will increase rate base by $330 million . Moreover, two of PPL’s subsidiaries, namely Louisiana Gas And Electric Company and Kentucky Utilities Company, have recently signed a $220 million agreement with Paringa Resources Limited for the purchase of coal from Buck Creek No.1 mine, with the completion of certain construction-related work, coal purchase under this agreement will begin in 2018. The coal purchase agreement will extend PPL’s energy generation resources, thereby improving its load capacity and will help it apply for rate case, which in turn will help it in reporting incremental EPS growth. Furthermore, the company has maintained an impressive record of sharing its cash flows with shareholders through healthy dividend payments. Owing to consistent dividend growth, currently, PPL offers an attractive yield of 4.44% . Moreover, the commitment to keep its dividends growing has been affirmed by the company’s chairman in the 3Q2015 earnings conference call; he said : “Regarding the dividend, we expect minimal dividend growth again for 2016 as we strive to get the payout ratio down into the mid-60% range, at which time we will target a 4% to 6% dividend growth rate, more in line with our earnings growth expectations. We currently expect to be in the targeted payout range by the end of 2016. So our current expectation is that we will grow the dividend more meaningfully starting in 2017, but our current expectation for 2017 is at the low end of the 4 to 6% relative to the dividend.” Due to the abovementioned strong strategic growth prospects, I think the chairman’s dividend growth expectation is realistic and achievable. Moreover, PPL’s strong balance sheet position, as reflected in the chart below, makes me believe in the company’s ability to continue sharing a decent portion of its future cash flows with shareholders in the years ahead. Source: 4-traders.com Final Words PPL is a compelling investment prospect for income-hunting investors. The company’s strategic investments in utility infrastructure development and extension-related projects and its strong balance sheet position are in-line with its long-term growth generating strategy. Moreover, PPL’s strategy of sharing its cash flow base strength with shareholders through dividend payments will continue to positively affect its stock price. Also, earnings for PPL are expected to grow at a growth rate of 4.86% , better than Southern Company (NYSE: SO )’s earnings growth expectations of 3.88% . Also, PPL has attractive stock valuations in comparison to SO and the industry average, as displayed below. Source: Yahoo Finance & NYU.edu Scalper1 News

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