Tesla Partner Nvidia’s Q1 Sales Seen Speeding Faster Than Most

Wall Street expects Tesla Motors ( TSLA ) partner Nvidia ( NVDA ) to post double-digit sales growth for just the second time in the past six quarters, as well as its biggest earnings growth in five quarters, when the company reports Q1 earnings Thursday. Nvidia stock has zoomed since Feb. 12, up 40% since  Facebook ( FB )-owned Oculus Rift released its first virtual-reality headset. Nvidia and rival Advanced Micro Devices ( AMD ) are the recommended graphics-chip providers for laptops that work with the headsets. Nvidia stock rose a fraction Wednesday to 36.06 ahead of its Q1 report due after the close. For Q1, the consensus of 26 analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect Nvidia to report $1.26 billion in sales and 32 cents earnings per share ex items, up a respective 10% and 33% vs. the year-earlier quarter. Sales would decelerate from 12% growth in Q4 but top the four previous quarters. Earnings last climbed above the 30%-growth mark in March 2015. Nvidia’s Q1 report comes a week after the chipmaker and Samsung called for a truce  in their two-year licensing battle. It also follows Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s call for the automaker to manufacturer 1 million electric vehicles by 2020 — a boon to Nvidia, whose chips power digital instrument and infotainment displays in the Model S. Tesla’s yet-to-be-released  Model 3 was marked by “overwhelming demand” when it began taking preorders in April, Musk and Tesla CFO Jason Wheeler told shareholders this month.

Bucking Retail Trend: Ollie’s, Dollar General Show Chart Strength

Sellers battered retailers on Wednesday on a range of company and earnings news, but discount chains have held up better. In late trading, retail and apparel industry groups had 16 of the day’s 20 worst losses among the 197 groups tracked by IBD. That’s a tough day. The stock market has been hard in general on the retail sector, with retail groups holding four of the 10 worst industry rankings. One exception has been discount and variety stores, essentially the dollar-store chains. Those were in the top five rankings on Wednesday and have held top-20 rankings for nearly eight straight weeks. Dollar stores for the past several years have offered a combination of defensive and offensive plays. Like Wal-Mart ( WMT ) and Target ( TGT ), the stores tend to attract more customers when economic times turn tough, as consumers hold down spending. At the same time, they have provided a growth story as the once highly fragmented industry consolidates into a smaller numbers of larger players. But the group wasn’t immune to Wednesday’s selling pressure. Get a closer look at Macy’s fine points using IBD’s Stock Checkup feature. Five Below ( FIVE ), Big Lots ( BIG ), Dollar Tree ( DLTR ), Ollie’s Bargain Outlets ( OLLI ) and Dollar General ( DG )  slid. But none of that really caused any chart damage within the group, with one exception. Five Below pared its losses after diving almost 8% in opening trade. It had already tripped a sell signal last week, after falling more than 8% below a 42.36 buy point. Wednesday’s action showed the stock losing its grip on its 50-day moving average. It also sent shares more than 8% below a prior buy point of 41.57, triggering a sell rule for investors who bought at that level. Ollie’s has been the group’s barn-burner, ripping ahead 27% from a March 18 breakout to a peak on April 28. Anywhere above a 20% increase from the buy point would have been a good place for investors to book profits. Those who held on rode a pullback over the past three weeks. Shares are now testing support at the 10-week moving average and about 10% above the stock’s buy point. If the stock rises off its 10-week line in strong trade, it would present an add-on buying opportunity. If it cuts that line in heavy trade, it could mark a sell signal, depending on how severely the stock breaks support. Ollie’s sells name-brand goods — from clothing to sporting goods to flooring and food — at steep discounts. The bargain chain operates some 200 stores across the East. Dollar General took a light bounce off support at its 10-week moving average. It is working on the sixth week of a flat base with an 87.52 buy point. It is in a base-on-base pattern, with its low sitting around the high of a prior base. Dollar General broke out of that pattern after reporting its Q4 results on March 10. The company plans to report Q1 results on May 19. All the companies in the group operate on a January year-end calendar. Dollar Tree had outflanked Dollar General last year, spending $8.5 billion to win over Family Dollar and bump Dollar General out of a bid for market dominance. The deal left the dollar-store market with two peers of essentially equal size: Dollar Tree-Family Dollar with nearly 14,000 stores and Dollar General with just under 13,000. Dollar General’s revenue for fiscal 2015 was $20.4 billion. Dollar Tree-Family Dollar booked revenue of $15.5 billion. In terms of earnings, analysts’ consensus is for a 15% rise in Dollar General’s EPS this year in what would make a tenth straight advance. Dollar Tree’s outlook: a 55% jump in EPS and a 35% surge in revenue as the company fully digests Family Dollar. Next year estimates slow to a 23% earnings gain and a 6% sales rise. Despite the sharp upturn in financials, the jury is still out among investors with regard to the Dollar Tree-Family Dollar combo. Shares have traded sideways since January after recovering from an October low, but they remain about 6% below their March 2015 high. Big Lots is the group’s struggling turnaround story. Quarterly earnings and revenue have wobbled up and down. The stock continues to trade at about 14% below a November 2014 high. The stock is basing, but fundamentals continue to look weak. Earnings are forecast to grow 11% this year on a 1% revenue gain, rising to a 14% gain next year with revenue growth holding steady.

Closed-End Funds: Still A Bargain

In a world in which very little is cheap and most mainstream stocks and bonds offer little in the way of expected returns, closed-end funds have been a fantastic source of value. I’ve been writing about closed-end funds for the better part of a year (see Closed-End Bond Funds Near Their Deepest Discounts Since 2008 ) and I’ve been very pleased with their performance in an otherwise choppy, directionless market. Yet I’ve noticed that some of the fantastic bargains I saw a year ago are starting to dry up. Or at least they’re not quite as juicy as they were. The 15% discounts to net asset value are now closer to about 10%. Though it may simply be a case of me getting spoiled. By any historical standard, closed-end funds are still exceptionally well priced. Patrick Galley, manager of the Rivernorth DoubleLine Strategic Income Fund, gave his thoughts to Barron’s this past week. (See 4 Closed-End Funds Yielding Up to 9% ): Q: Closed-end fund discounts have come in a lot since the beginning of the year. Aren’t they getting less attractive in general? A: Actually, closed-end fund discounts are still pretty attractive overall. In January and February they got so wide it was reminiscent of 2008. Fear was high and investors were dumping assets. Discounts got to the 98th percentile of the widest levels they’ve reached going back to 1996. They narrowed in March and April. Now they are at the 76th percentile of the widest levels. The averages are very much skewed by the muni-bond sector. Munis have had a good run and everyone wants them. Investors are chasing those past returns. They aren’t even looking at discounts and premiums. Meanwhile, taxable fixed-income spreads are still wide. As the examples I gave you show, a lot of them are still double-digit discount opportunities. 76th percentile is nothing to complain about. Sure, it was a lot more fun buying them at 2008-caliber discounts. But that’s really not normal, and every buying opportunity can’t be that good. So for the time being, I’ll plan on maintaining a solid allocation to closed-end funds in my Dividend Growth portfolio. The portfolio is up 13.5% year to date , and closed-end funds have certainly played their part in achieving those returns. This article first appeared on Sizemore Insights as Closed-End Funds: Still a Bargain Disclaimer : This site is for informational purposes only and should not be considered specific investment advice or as a solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Sizemore Capital personnel and clients will often have an interest in the securities mentioned. There is risk in any investment in traded securities, and all Sizemore Capital investment strategies have the possibility of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.