Gilead Sciences Takes Lumps From Wall Street After Q1 Miss

By | April 29, 2016

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Big biotech Gilead Sciences ( GILD ) got a downgrade and several price-target cuts Friday after its Q1 report missed expectations , sending its stock tumbling. Maxim Group analyst Jason Kolbert downgraded Gilead to hold from buy, noting that the record-breaking launches of hepatitis C drugs Sovaldi and Harvoni were coming up against competition and tough year-over-year comparisons. “New patient numbers increased … but product margins per patient were lower as a result of: 1) increased HCV price competition ( Merck ‘s ( MRK ) Zepatier); 2) an increased discount rate; and 3) higher-than-expected rebate claims,” Kolbert wrote in his research note. “While management believes that HCV products have stabilized (the U.S. market share is at about 90%), we are not so sure.” Leerink analyst Geoffrey Porges lowered his price target on Gilead to 123 from 127 but maintained an outperform rating. He noted that the company still has a huge reserve of cash, and wrote that the HCV franchise was eroding earlier then expected but it was presumed to decline in a few years anyway. “As a result, our EPS estimates fall 8%-10% through 2017, but only 3% beyond,” he wrote in his research note. UBS analyst Marc Goodman also kept his buy rating while lowering his price target to 118 from 130, writing that he’s “willing to have a little patience.” “The (HCV) category still has years ahead of stable patients,” Goodman wrote. “The issue remains; what’s next? … At this valuation, we will try to remain patient.” Gilead stock was down 7.5% in afternoon trading on the stock market today , below 90. On the positive side for Gilead, the company said Friday that the EU’s Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use, which advises Europe’s equivalent of the FDA, had endorsed approving Odefsey, the company’s newest four-drug combo pill for HIV. The combo includes TAF, known on Wall Street as “son of Viread” as it represents an upgraded version of Gilead’s legacy blockbuster Viread, which is due to go off patent in the near future. Scalper1 News

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