Fortinet Crushes Q1 Model; Faces Palo Alto, Cisco With Platform Bet

By | April 27, 2016

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Fortinet ( FTNT ) topped Wall Street’s Q1 views late Tuesday and threw down a platform gauntlet with a “Security Fabric” that could challenge Palo Alto Networks ( PANW ) and Cisco Systems ( CSCO ), a Dougherty analyst said Wednesday. In afternoon trading on the stock market today , Fortinet stock was up 7.5%, at a four-month high above 33. Shares of fellow cybersecurity firm Barracuda Networks ( CUDA ), meanwhile, were up 17%, at a three-month high near 18, after that company late Tuesday posted a fiscal Q4 and fiscal 2016 beat. But Summit Research analyst Srini Nandury says Barracuda has “too many moving parts” and won’t survive a mass small- and medium-business exodus to cloud products from the likes of Microsoft ( MSFT ) and Amazon.com ’s ( AMZN ) Amazon Web Services. Fortinet Tops On Service Revenue For Q1 ended March 31, Fortinet reported $284.6 million in sales and 12 cents earnings per share minus items, up a respective 34% and 50%, vs. the year-earlier quarter, and topping the consensus for $273.4 million and 9 cents. Billings flew 30% to $330.5 million, above Fortinet’s earlier guidance for $315 million to $322 million. Dougherty analyst Catharine Trebnick credited Fortinet’s sales beat to $160 million in service sales vs. expectations for $150.3 million. Billings from FortiSandbox, which offers advanced threat protection and virtual software, jumped 270% year over year. Bundling also helped drive outperformance, Trebnick wrote in a research report. Fortinet is pushing its “Security Fabric,” which attempts to holistically combine Fortinet’s products under “a single pane of glass.” “We believe this strategy could help incrementally improve margins and would generate more sticky revenue for the company from their SaaS components,” she wrote. “It remains to be seen whether they can outperform competitors such as Palo Alto Networks and Cisco Systems.” Trebnick boosted her price target on Fortinet stock to 40 from 38 and reiterated a buy rating. For Q2, Fortinet guided to sales of $301 million to $306 million, up 27% at the midpoint, and EPS ex items of 14 cents. Billings guidance for $365 million to $370 million would be up 24% at the midpoint. The consensus of 33 analysts polled by Thomson Reuters called for $300.8 million in sales and 15 cents EPS ex items. Barracuda SMB Customers ‘Hijacked’ Barracuda topped Wall Street’s billings and sales views for the first time in four quarters, William Blair analyst Jonathan Ho noted in a report. He reiterated his market perform rating on Barracuda stock, but questioned whether the company could survive the cloud transition. “The Barracuda story looks to have fundamentally changed, with the core value proposition of delivering IT solutions at low cost and complexity to SMB customers being hijacked by public cloud providers,” he wrote. For fiscal Q4 ended Feb. 29, Barracuda reported $83.7 million in sales and 15 cents EPS minus items, up a respective 16% and 114% vs. the year-earlier period, beating the consensus for $80.9 million and 8 cents. Billings were flat at $95.8 million. The company wrapped fiscal 2016 with $320.2 million in sales, 42 cents EPS minus items and $377.5 million in billings, up 15%, 50% and 4%, respectively. Sales and EPS flew past the consensus model of 16 analysts polled by Thomson Reuters for $317.3 million and 35 cents. But fiscal Q1 is expected to decelerate markedly on a year-over-year basis. For the current quarter, Barracuda guided to $83 million to $85 million in sales, 10-11 cents EPS minus items and $94 million to $96 million in billings, up 8%, 2% and 1%, respectively, at the midpoints. Scalper1 News

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