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Cogent Communications Group ( CCOI ) might bring back a stock buyback program later this year, analysts say, and regulatory developments could also work in its favor. Cogent late Thursday reported Q1 earnings and revenue that modestly beat views. Cogent stock was up nearly 3% in late-afternoon trading in the stock market today , above 39. The provider of Internet communications services to small and midsize businesses has an IBD Composite Rating of 91 out of a possible 99, and it broke out of a cup-with-handle base at a 36.85 buy point on Feb. 26. Cogent stock has climbed 13% in 2016. Cogent told analysts on its earnings call after the close Thursday that it could bring back a share repurchase program if its debt-to-EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization) ratio improves. “As EBITDA should trend higher in the subsequent quarters, Cogent management intimated that it will re-implement a capital return program to complement the regular dividend,” Jim Breen, an analyst at William Blair, said in a research report. At Cowen & Co., analyst Colby Synesael wrote that “we have updated our model to reflect what we think will be a stock buyback of equal size to its current recurring dividend, starting in Q3.” There might be upside for Cogent from Internet video, also called over-the-top (OTT) services, some analysts say. On the regulatory front, the Federal Communications Commission has proposed to regulate prices in the $20 billion market for business data services , drawing criticism from AT&T ( T ) and cable TV rivals. The proposal could help companies such as Level 3 Communications ( LVLT ) and Cogent, which sometimes lease lines from bigger telecom firms to serve their own customers. Cogent reported Q1 profit of 8 cents per share, swinging from a 4-cent per-share loss in the year-earlier period. Revenue rose 11% to $108.3 million. Analysts had modeled profit of 7 cents and revenue of $107.6 million. Scalper1 News
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