Category Archives: stocks

Apple, Alphabet May Gain If Self-Driving Cars Are 4th Video Screen

Apple ( AAPL ) and Alphabet’s Google helped turn mobile phones into the “third screen” for video consumption, joining the living-room TV and personal computers. Self-driving cars could emerge as the fourth video screen, says Morgan Stanley. And if that happens, Alphabet ( GOOGL ) and Apple loom as Silicon Valley companies that could gain. A new Morgan Stanley research report explores the potential impact of autonomous (self-driving) cars along with the emergence of shared, on-demand Uber-type services on a wide range of industries. If consumers don’t need to watch the road while motoring, they’ll have more time to eyeball Internet content or mobile video. “The car is effectively the 4th screen for media content consumption after PCs, phones and TVs. In our view, this is what the Silicon Valley will be targeting by leveraging the (autonomous) utility,” said the report. “Silicon Valley is interested not only in the utility aspect but more importantly in the potential multitrillion-dollar opportunity selling data, content and experiences unfamiliar to today’s auto firms.” Tech companies loom as partners for new entrants or for traditional automakers. If the fourth-screen model proves accurate, Google could expand its advertising business to a new market. Apple’s services business stands to gain as well. “The automobile is being increasingly viewed as a potential smartphone on wheels,” said the Morgan Stanley analyst team. Apple reportedly is developing an electric car, with a target date of 2019. Google is testing autonomous vehicles in two cities. Competition is growing fast in the autonomous-car market. Tesla is pushing into autonomous vehicles, with Mobileye ’s ( MBLY ) help. Also in the self-driving car race are General Motors ( GM ), Ford ( F ) and other carmakers. GM is partnering with ride-sharing service Lyft. “Driving has long been seen as synonymous with personal freedom. But among the costs of this freedom is what we estimate to be approximately 400 billion hours of non-productive time gripping a steering wheel and trying to concentrate on the road ahead,” said the Morgan Stanley report. “What if the future of automotive transportation afforded consumers with all of the traditional benefits of personal freedom of mobility while using that precious hour per day for other activities?”

‘Elephant’ Intel Dances, But 12,000 Layoffs Could Signal Recession

No. 1 chipmaker Intel ( INTC ) will cut 12,000 jobs by mid-2017, and that will help kick off a “recession” with nearly 400,000 tech positions to be cut this year, a Global Equities Research analyst predicted Tuesday. Late Tuesday, Intel added another domino to the layoff train, joining  VMware ( VMW ), Yahoo ( YHOO ), BlackBerry ( BBRY ), Autodesk ( ADSK ) and NetApp ( NTAP ), which recently announced plans to collectively lay off 5,125 employees. Intel’s 12,000-cut represents 11% of its global workforce. Global Equities Research analyst Trip Chowdhry says it’s just a drop in a 369,000 bucket (his prediction for tech layoffs that will be announced this year) and argued against a Federal Reserve rate increase amid what he calls a likely oncoming recession. PC Transition Will Be ‘Messy’ On Wednesday, Wall Street was largely split on Intel’s mixed Q1 , with at least five analysts still rating Intel stock a buy. At least two analysts cut their price targets, however, and another downgraded Intel stock. In early afternoon trading on the stock market today , Intel stock was up 1.5%, near 32. But shares are down 8% for the year vs. a 3% decline in IBD’s 39-company Electronic-Semiconductor Manufacturing industry group. For Q1 ended April 2, Intel reported $13.7 billion in sales and 54 cents earnings per share, up a respective 7% and 20% year over year. The consensus of 45 analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expected $13.8 billion and 48 cents. PC chip sales rose 2%, but that trailed stronger growth in data center, Internet of Things and security — up a respective 9%, 22% and 12%. Nonvolatile memory chip sales fell 6%. Current-quarter sales guidance for $13.5 billion, plus or minus $500 million, lagged the consensus for $14.2 billion. Intel’s April quarter benefited from an extra week. Intel’s transition from a PC-oriented company will be “messy,” Credit Suisse analyst John Pitzer wrote in a research report. Late Tuesday, CEO Brian Krzanich said the layoffs would allow Intel to save $750 million in the first year and $1.4 billion per year starting by mid-2017, so that the company can “intensify” investments in key growth areas. Pitzer reiterated an outperform rating and a 40 price target on Intel stock. ‘Trying To Be More Nimble’ PCs represented 55% of Intel’s Q1 sales vs. 58% a year earlier. In 2011, the client computing group accounted for 65% of Intel’s revenue. The company is aiming to trim that to 50%, which Semiconductors Advisers President Robert Maire calls a “milestone.” “Intel is certainly trying, perhaps with varying degrees of success, to get revenue from many other markets,” Maire wrote in a research report. “While individually, none hold a candle to the PC market, collectively they have been a great offset.” Unlike other companies, Intel isn’t in the red while transitioning, Maire noted. He likened the restructuring — which includes transitioning CFO Stacy Smith into a role leading sales, manufacturing and operations — to teaching an elephant to dance. The elephant theme was popular Wednesday. “Who says elephants can’t dance?” Summit Research analyst Srini Sundararajan queried in a report. Sundararajan reiterated his buy rating and 37 price target on Intel stock. “Keeping (2016) capital expenditures the same ($9.5 billion at the midpoint) while proceeding with a layoff confirms that Intel is trying to be more nimble and refocusing itself away from the PC,” he wrote in a report. During Q2, Intel will recognize a $1.2 billion restructuring charge. But the second half of 2016 looks promising, Sundararajan said. Intel dropped full-year guidance to mid-single-digit growth vs. earlier views for mid- to high-single-digit growth. Sundararajan says this suggests a big second-half-year recovery, with revenue up 13%.