Category Archives: stocks

Gilead Sciences Takes Lumps From Wall Street After Q1 Miss

Big biotech Gilead Sciences ( GILD ) got a downgrade and several price-target cuts Friday after its Q1 report missed expectations , sending its stock tumbling. Maxim Group analyst Jason Kolbert downgraded Gilead to hold from buy, noting that the record-breaking launches of hepatitis C drugs Sovaldi and Harvoni were coming up against competition and tough year-over-year comparisons. “New patient numbers increased … but product margins per patient were lower as a result of: 1) increased HCV price competition ( Merck ‘s ( MRK ) Zepatier); 2) an increased discount rate; and 3) higher-than-expected rebate claims,” Kolbert wrote in his research note. “While management believes that HCV products have stabilized (the U.S. market share is at about 90%), we are not so sure.” Leerink analyst Geoffrey Porges lowered his price target on Gilead to 123 from 127 but maintained an outperform rating. He noted that the company still has a huge reserve of cash, and wrote that the HCV franchise was eroding earlier then expected but it was presumed to decline in a few years anyway. “As a result, our EPS estimates fall 8%-10% through 2017, but only 3% beyond,” he wrote in his research note. UBS analyst Marc Goodman also kept his buy rating while lowering his price target to 118 from 130, writing that he’s “willing to have a little patience.” “The (HCV) category still has years ahead of stable patients,” Goodman wrote. “The issue remains; what’s next? … At this valuation, we will try to remain patient.” Gilead stock was down 7.5% in afternoon trading on the stock market today , below 90. On the positive side for Gilead, the company said Friday that the EU’s Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use, which advises Europe’s equivalent of the FDA, had endorsed approving Odefsey, the company’s newest four-drug combo pill for HIV. The combo includes TAF, known on Wall Street as “son of Viread” as it represents an upgraded version of Gilead’s legacy blockbuster Viread, which is due to go off patent in the near future.

Baidu Zooms On ‘Solid’ Search Growth, ‘Very Strong’ Revenue Outlook

Baidu ( BIDU ) stock shot up Friday after China’s Internet search leader gave a Q2 outlook above consensus late Thursday while posting Q1 earnings and revenue that beat and met, respectively, Wall Street views. Baidu posted “solid results on core search” along with “very strong” revenue guidance for Q2, ITG Investment Research analyst Henry Guo told IBD via email Friday. China’s slowing economic growth “has no impact on advertisers spending,” Guo said. “Local merchants continue to embrace search advertising as mobile helps Baidu penetrate into local, expanding its advertiser base.” Brean Capital on Friday upgraded Baidu stock to buy from hold. Baidu, often referred to as China’s Google, is investing heavily in services ranging from online payments to online-to-offline transactions including food delivery. And, like Alphabet ( GOOGL )-owned Google, Baidu is spending on research and development of driverless cars. Baidu stock was up 6.5% in midday trading in the stock market today , near 198, its highest level since mid-December. Baidu stock has gained 96% since hitting a nearly three-year low of 100 in late August, but shares have fallen 10% over the past 12 months. Baidu revenue rose 31% year over year in local currency to RMB 15.821 billion ($2.454 billion). That’s above the $2.44 billion that Factset had expected and fell in line with the RMB 15.83 billion analysts polled by Thomson Reuters were looking for. Baidu said that its Q1 revenue excluded Chinese online travel agency Qunar Cayman Islands. In October, Baidu-backed Qunar announced a share swap with Ctrip.com ( CTRP ), another leading Chinese online travel agency. Baidu now owns 3% of Qunar. Baidu also owns 25% of Ctrip, which owns 45% of Qunar. Mobile revenue represented 60% of total revenue in Q1, up from 50% in Q1 2015, Baidu said. Baidu reported EPS ex items of RMB 6.80 ($1.05), down 12% year over year. Still, that’s above the RMB 5.96 analysts polled by Thomson Reuters had expected. For Q2, Baidu guided revenue ranging from RMB 20.110 billion ($3.12 billion) to RMB 20.580 billion ($3.19 billion), representing an increase of 21% to 24% year-over-year in local currency. On an apples-to-apples basis, excluding Qunar from Baidu’s financials, Baidu said that the guidance represents a 28%-31% year-over-year increase in RMB.

Remember When Tech Earnings Were Going To Be More Straightforward?

A warning from the chair of the Securities and Exchange Commission is again raising questions about the use of non-GAAP accounting by tech and other publicly traded companies. Skeptics say non-GAAP, or irregular, metrics too often are cherry-picked to make companies look more successful than they are.   Worries about not using GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) seem to rise as more investors and stock pros feel like a bull market has peaked, which is the case now. Non-GAAP metrics were fiercely debated during the super-heated final quarters of the dot-com bubble in 1999 and 2000.   The great majority of publicly held tech firms use non-GAAP metrics, as well as SEC-mandated GAAP financials, which serve as a common language for recognizing revenue and expenses.   GAAP is supposed to present consistent and reliable financial data to investors, analysts and regulators. It originated in the aftermath of the 1929 market crash and has been updated over the decades, but it’s optimized for old-line industries, such as automobile manufacturing and airlines. It can be less suited for data-centric industries such as social-media and digital-content firms, and that is where non-GAAP has really taken hold. Tech executives like to publish non-GAAP statements because they feel they draw a fuller financial picture of their companies. Often non-GAAP/GAAP strategies are laid right at the start, when privately held companies register for initial public offerings, as executives and private backers strive to get the highest valuation for their business. Non-GAAP Perfectly Legal Under Guidelines Ever cautious about transparency in public financials, the SEC requires, first, that non-GAAP data be accurate. It prohibits executives from putting a greater emphasis on non-GAAP compared to traditional metrics. And regulators insist that non-GAAP guidance be reconciled with GAAP information. Companies often are quite thorough in their earnings releases in explaining what the non-GAAP numbers exclude. Regardless, investors and analysts often focus on the non-GAAP statements, which can be seen as more compelling, and that’s often by design. Executives say the use of non-GAAP accounting is perfectly legitimate. And while many observers agree, some warn that the practice can be abused and can undermine investor confidence. “Forget about the rules for a moment,” Richard Morris, a partner at the law firm Herrick Feinstein, told IBD. Non-GAAP is “telling someone in clear and plain English how you should look at their company,” and that is a valid service. But “without rigorous testing and audits, questionable things get through,” Morris said. “Of course, some of it’s going to be suspect.” CPA Stephen Mannhaupt, a partner-in-charge at accounting firm Grassi & Co., is another guarded proponent. “More clarity is needed,” Mannhaupt said. “The challenge is that unsophisticated investors could be reaching erroneous conclusions about a company’s performance” based on questionable non-GAAP statements. Both he and Morris advocate some extra attention from the SEC. Speaking to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce last month, SEC Chair Mary Jo White said, “we’ve got a lot of concern” about the undisciplined use of non-GAAP metrics. White said she is “really looking at” the matter, including the option of writing new regulation to bring more order to non-GAAP statements. White’s comments can be found at 32:50 in this video . She and the SEC declined to comment for this article. Mannhaupt says White’s goal is worthy. “Companies are really starting to push the envelope. Some (important) costs are not showing up in non-GAAP” guidance, he says, which makes it harder to reconcile GAAP and non-GAAP reporting. Citigroup Takes Aim At Stock Compensation Metric Citigroup surprised  many market observers recently, taking aim at a specific non-GAAP metric. Executives say they will not count stock-based compensation the same as a cash expense, a common tactic for sweetening the financials. As a result, Citigroup in early April cut its price targets for shares of some of the biggest Internet companies: LinkedIn.com ( LNKD ), Amazon.com ( AMZN ), Alphabet ( GOOGL ), Facebook ( FB ) and Netflix ( NFLX ). “We are adjusting our models and price targets to better reflect the impact of stock-based compensation (SBC),” Citigroup analyst Mark May said in the research report. “Some may say this is a bear market issue, but we believe it is a necessary change that is long overdue.” It is not hard to see how non-GAAP can obscure financials. There is no obligation for even directly competing businesses to use the same non-GAAP data points. Worse, a widely adopted non-GAAP metric can turn out to be nearly meaningless. One of the more infamous non-GAAP measurements used by Internet companies — which goes back to the dot-com bubble — is eyeballs. Internet entrepreneurs emphasized the number of times people viewed their sites, content and ads. Eyeballs quantified traffic, but traffic alone proved to be a poor indicator of earnings — future or otherwise. For this and many other reasons, dozens of dot-com bubble companies failed. More recently, in 2011, e-commerce marketplace Groupon ( GRPN ) chose not to include some substantial costs in its non-GAAP statements, including the recurring expense of recruiting new members. As a result, according to public-company intelligence firm Audit Analytics, Groupon looked profitable in non-GAAP metrics when it was recording GAAP operating losses. Groupon eventually acceded to the SEC’s demands for greater transparency. Some companies, though, continue their liberal use of non-GAAP accounting. An April 4 research report by investment bank UBS found large differences between GAAP and non-GAAP guidance by companies over the previous 12 months. The report, which sampled 3D printer, storage and computer-hardware firms, found that almost half of the list reported a difference of at least 30% between GAAP earnings per share and non-GAAP earnings per share. UBS declined further comment on its report, and no one contacted for this story would say what they consider to be an acceptable divergence between GAAP and non-GAAP numbers.