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Merrill Lynch has a price target 17% above current price of $67.9. Analysts are getting generally more positive on utilities after a year of relative underperformance. The company is one of the safest investments in the market right now. In his now legendary book, The Intelligent Investor, Benjamin Graham writes that the goal of a conservative investor is to look for investments that are likely to provide safety of principle and an adequate return. His disciple, Warren Buffett has put it slightly differently saying, “The first rule of investing is don’t lose money. The second rule is don’t forget the first rule.” Utility companies in general are a good place to look for this type of conservative investment, and it doesn’t get any safer than Dominion Resources, Inc. (NYSE: D ). D is one of the nation’s largest utilities with a market cap of over $40 billion and rock solid fundamentals. In addition to the company’s great fundamentals is the fact that analysts are lining up with price targets higher than the current price across the board. Merrill Lynch recently set a price target of $80 a share. While this is one of the higher targets, the mean target among a relatively large sample of 17 brokers isn’t far off at $78. Both of these figures provide generous upside to the stock, especially for a utility company that usually trades within a tight range. Research firm Guggenhiem also rates the stock a “buy”. D recently posted quarterly YoY earnings growth of 12% with a profit margin of almost 15%. This is a much higher margin than the industry average of 8-10%. With a forward P/E of 17, the company looks fairly valued. While 17 is slightly higher than average for a utilities company, in this case the higher multiple reflects the high quality of the company. As mentioned above, there aren’t very many utility companies that have 12% margins are growing the bottom line by 15%. This helps to make the 3.7% dividend sustainable. The company’s ROE of 14.54% is also quite strong for a utilities company, so it appears as if D is outperforming the industry pretty much across the board. As if all of the above weren’t enough to convince the conservative investor in the value of D as a safe long term bet, the stock has been picked as a top dividend stock by the Dividend Channel’s “DividendRank” report . The lowest the stock has traded in the last 52 weeks is $64 a share, which is only $4 below the current price, which is a technical indicator that points to short term upside. So by almost any measurement the stock is either fairly valued or undervalued. I rank the stock a strong “buy” for the investor looking for long term safety of principle and an adequate return. And of course we can collect the nice dividend while we wait. Scalper1 News
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