Author Archives: Scalper1

How You Can Beat The Market With Dividend Aristocrat ETFs

With stocks down across the board to start the year, many investors are scrambling to find better selections for today’s more uncertain market environment. While utilities and consumer staples are becoming more popular thanks to this sentiment, there are also non sector-specific ways to improve performance relative to the market. One outperforming strategy has been to focus on higher quality dividend-paying companies. Stocks in this area haven’t seen incredible returns, but they have done far better than the broad market over the past few months. But not just any dividend-paying stock will do, as a focus on the so-called ‘dividend aristocrats’ should be a go-to strategy for investors in this market environment. What is a Dividend Aristocrat? A dividend aristocrat stock is a company that has a long track record of increasing dividend payments year after year. The number of years required varies depending on who you ask, but at least ten consecutive years of dividend increases is usually required to get into this select bunch. A company that fits this bill is a rare breed since it has been able to boost payments no matter what is happening in the broader economy. This shows an impressive ability to manage capital effectively, while also taking care of shareholders too. How to Invest While you can find a few specific stocks that are in the dividend aristocracy, an easier way to play this trend might be with ETFs. There are actually a few funds tracking this corner of the market, and all have been outperforming the broad S&P 500 in this recent rough patch. That’s right, the SPDR S&P Dividend ETF (NYSEARCA: SDY ) , the ProShares S&P 500 Aristocrats (NYSEARCA: NOBL ) , and the Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (NYSEARCA: VIG ) have all easily outperformed the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSEARCA: SPY ) over the past three months, while the trio are also outperforming from a one-year outlook as well. Clearly, a focus on quality has been the way to go in this uncertain market environment. What’s The Difference? While all three have managed to beat out broad markets, investors have to be wondering what are the key differences between the three main dividend aristocrat ETFs? Well, for the most part, the key difference is how exclusive of a club the funds make the aristocrats. VIG is the least exclusive, as it allows companies to join its benchmark after raising dividends each year for at least one decade. SDY is the next in line with a similar policy, but for two decades, while NOBL is the most exclusive, only holding companies that have raised dividends every year for at least a quarter century. As you might be able to guess, the higher the barrier to entry, the fewer the companies that pass the screen. As such, NOBL has the fewest number of securities at 50, followed by about 100 for SDY and roughly 175 for VIG. All three do a pretty good job of spreading out assets, but actually VIG is the most concentrated thanks to its cap-weighted focus. Meanwhile, NOBL is the least concentrated thanks to its equal weighted focus, which puts the same amount in each stock, while SDY takes a different approach, weighting by dividend yield. Either way, consumer and industrial stocks are top holdings in each of the three, while all of them have little in the energy sector, largely thanks to the recent sector downturn. And while all three are extremely tradable, there are some expense differences to note as well. VIG is the cheapest – as is usually the case with Vanguard products – and comes in at 10 basis points a year compared to 35 for the other two. While none are really that expensive, it is certainly a big difference on a relative basis, and something to consider for cost-focused investors out there. Key Caveat While all three might have a dividend focus, it is important to remember that they zero in on companies that are growing dividends at a constant rate, not necessarily those that are paying out the most in terms of yield. In fact, while all three beat out the broad market in terms of their 30-Day SEC yield, none top three percent either. So while they are modest income destinations, investors who are just seeking yield will likely be disappointed by the dividend aristocrat family. Bottom Line The dividend aristocrat space is often overlooked by investors in favor of ‘sexier’ or more enticing market segments. However, over the past few months, stability and rock solid companies have been in vogue instead. This trend has allowed the dividend aristocrat ETFs of VIG, SDY, and NOBL to beat out the market and provide investors with a bit more stability in this uncertain time too. Just remember, none of these aristocrat funds are going to pay you a huge yield, but in turbulent economic times their outperformance makes the aristocrat funds the nobility of the investing world, and definitely worth consideration for your portfolio. Original Post

Will Tesla Suffer Same Fate As Other Citron Shorts GPRO, AMBA, MBLY?

Loading the player… Tesla Motors ( TSLA ) took a hit after short seller Citron Research sent out a tweet Tuesday that it’s shorting the stock. And with other notable Citron shorts trading well off of their highs, including GoPro ( GPRO ), Ambarella ( AMBA ) and Mobileye ( MBLY ), the call could potentially be a bad sign for the electric-car maker. Citron said on Twitter ( TWTR ) that Tesla has “supply AND demand problems” and that the “news flow all around does not look good” for the stock. The short seller sees the stock hitting as low as 100 by the end of the year. It’s currently trading around 185. Tesla stock reversed lower Tuesday on the news, falling 2.9% after hitting resistance at its downward-sloping 50-day line for a second straight session. Tesla dipped 0.3% on the stock market today  in quick turnover. The stock is trading 35% below its July high, reached in a now-failed breakout attempt from a cup-with-handle base. The stock has trended lower since then as analysts have voiced concerns about the production of Tesla’s new models and their demand. Meanwhile, GoPro is trading 79% below its 52-week high. Shares were briefly able to hold above their 50-day and 200-day moving averages last summer, but the stock entered a steep decline soon after. GoPro shot up 11% Wednesday after announcing it’s buying two video editing mobile apps. GoPro chip supplier Ambarella has moved somewhat in tandem with the action camera maker. It’s trading 65% below its all-time high, which it reached last July after initial commentary from Citron hit the stock about a month earlier. Shares are currently trying to find support at their 50-day line as they fell 2.4% Wednesday. And Mobileye, a Tesla partner, is also trying to hold above its downward-sloping 50-day line, trading down a fraction after losing as much as 4% intraday. It’s trading about 48% below its August high. In December, Citron called Mobileye its 2016 short of the year.

Will Stratasys Q4 Earnings Justify Rebound in 3D Printer Stocks?

The health of the battered 3D printer industry will come into focus when Stratasys ( SSYS ) reports fourth-quarter earnings Thursday morning. Shares of Stratasys and 3D Systems ( DDD ) have been crushed since mid-2014, as both have posted disappointing quarterly earnings reports going back more than a year. But both stocks have rebounded in the past month or more. Stratasys stock is up 43% since hitting an all-time low of 14.88 on Jan. 26. 3D Systems stock has nearly doubled since hitting an all-time low of 6 on Jan. 20. ExOne ( XONE ) is up more than 60% from its low of 6.61 on Jan. 20. Voxeljet ( VJET ) is up nearly 35% from its all-time low of 3.50, also on Jan. 20. Stratasys stock was up 5%, above 21, in midday trading in the stock market today , while 3D Systems stock was up 3%, near 12. “There are no signs of a broad-based recovery yet, in our view, so demand commentary from Stratasys will be important,” wrote Weston Twigg, an analyst at Pacific Crest Securities, in a research note. Stratasys is expected to report Q4 revenue of $168.3 million, down 22% from Q4 2014, to mark its second quarter in a row of declining sales. The consensus on earnings per share minus items, according to a Thomson Reuters survey, calls for the company to swing to a 12-cent per-share loss from a 48-cent profit in the year-earlier quarter. Cowen analyst Robert Stone on Tuesday cut his price target on Stratasys stock to 19 from 25, as he lowered revenue expectations. “An industry rebound is not yet visible amid weak global capital spending trends,” Stone wrote in a research note. Meanwhile, 3D Systems last week delayed its Q4 earnings report for reasons “related to the completion of work related to the goodwill and intangible asset impairment charge.” It preannounced Q4 revenue expectations of approximately $183 million, down 2% and the second quarter in a row of falling sales but above the consensus estimate of $161 million. In December, 3D Systems announced it would discontinue its consumer 3D printer line. “While the better-than-expected revenue (of 3D Systems) is encouraging, we would caution not to read too much into Q4 in terms of any normalizing revenue run rate,” wrote Canaccord Genuity analyst Bobby Burleson in a research note.