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Fed Rate Hike On The Table Again: 5 Finance Mutual Fund Picks

The Federal Reserve had raised interest rates for the first time in almost a decade in December and assured that it would hike rates four times this year, provided there are signs of a strengthening labor market, inflation rises to the target level of 2% and the financial markets remain strong. However, the continuous slump in oil prices, weak global economy and volatile financial markets since the beginning of the year raised doubts as to whether the Fed will be able to fulfill its commitment. Nevertheless, Friday’s upbeat jobs report reinforced the notion that the labor market is firming, which puts Fed rate hikes in play. An uptick in inflation data and rise in consumer spending levels also kept rate hikes in the cards. Additionally, the broader markets regained momentum in the last three weeks after a rebound in oil prices from its 12-year low ebbed deflationary concerns. China’s stimulus measures, on the other hand, raised hopes of a much stable global economy, which would, in turn, contain the volatility in the broader markets. While these encouraging facts aren’t probably enough to push the central bank to raise rates this month, it could bolster the case for a rate hike in the upcoming meetings this year. A large number of economists and some Fed officials also expect the central bank to continue hiking rates this year. Given these positive vibes, it is profitable to invest in financial mutual funds that are positioned to benefit from subsequent lift-offs. These funds also boast strong fundamentals and solid returns. Upbeat Jobs Data The jobs data painted a solid picture of the labor market. The U.S. economy added 242,000 jobs in February, handily beating the consensus estimate of 194,000, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The tally was also considerably higher than January’s upwardly revised job number of 172,000. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate in February remained unchanged at 4.9%. Further, the unsparing U-6 rate that includes the unemployed, the underemployed and the discouraged dipped to 9.7% in February from 9.9% in January, its lowest level since May 2008. The labor force participation rate also increased to 62.9% last month, the highest level in almost a year. Moreover, the report found that wages went up 2.2% in the past 12 months. Even though it increased at a slower pace compared to the previous month, it is still consistent with a tightening labor market that is viewed by the Fed as one of the major criteria for a rate hike. Underlying Inflation Picks Up, Spending Rises This surge in hiring followed the Commerce Department’s report that showed a rise in inflation. The Fed’s preferred gauge, the personal consumption expenditures index (PCE), increased 1.3% in January from year-ago levels. The so-called “core” inflation that excludes food and energy prices came in at a solid 1.7%, much closer to the Fed’s desired target. Moreover, consumer spending levels increased at the fastest pace in eight months this January. Retail sales are also off to a good start this year, indicating strength in consumer spending, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity. These reports increase the likelihood of a rate hike soon. Broader Markets Rally The markets have also showed signs of stability in recent times. Oil prices bounced back from their record low in mid-February, which eventually boosted the broader markets. Signs of decline in U.S. production and continuous talk about freezing output by the major oil producers were cited to be the reasons behind the oil price surge. Positive developments in China also fueled investor sentiment. The recent stimulus measures by the People’s Bank of China (“PBOC”) to address concerns over the country’s recent economic slowdown boosted investor sentiment. The PBOC reduced the reserve requirement ratio by 0.5% to 17%. 5 Finance Mutual Funds to Invest In If the broader markets continue their winning streak, the Fed will have to raise rates this year. Additionally, a pick-up in the inflation rate, rise in consumer spending levels and encouraging nonfarm payroll reports are also paving the way for a rate hike as early as possible. Fed Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer had already told the National Association for Business Economics on Monday that inflation may be “stirring,” which suggests that he might want rates to increase in the near future. Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker had also said that ongoing strength in the labor market warrants rate hikes this year. A survey by the National Association for Business Economics on Monday showed that almost 80% of economists expect a Fed rate hike this year at least once. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool expects that there is a solid 53% chance a hike could come as soon as November, while it projects that there is almost a 50% chance of a rate hike in September. Separately, the Bank of America Merrill Lynch Global Research stated last Friday that Americans can witness two interest rate hikes this year and three more next year. Given that there is a fair chance of a rate hike this year, it will be prudent to invest in finance mutual funds. Financial companies, including banks, insurers and brokerage firms, are likely to be among the biggest beneficiaries of the rate hike. Here, we have selected five such finance funds that boast a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or #2 (Buy), have positive 3-year and 5-year annualized returns, offer minimum initial investment within $5000 and carry a low expense ratio. John Hancock Regional Bank Fund A (MUTF: FRBAX ) invests a large portion of its assets in equity securities of regional banks. The fund’s 3-year and 5-year annualized returns are 12.1% and 10.1%, respectively. Its annual expense ratio of 1.26% is lower than the category average of 1.54%. FRBAX has a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1. Fidelity Select Banking Portfolio No Load (MUTF: FSRBX ) invests a major portion of its assets in securities of companies principally engaged in banking. Its 3-year and 5-year annualized returns are 8.7% and 7.9%, respectively. The annual expense ratio of 0.79% is lower than the category average of 1.54%. FSRBX has a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #2. Schwab Financial Services Fund No Load (MUTF: SWFFX ) invests the majority of its assets in equity securities issued by companies in the financial services sector, which includes commercial banks, insurance and brokerage companies. The fund’s 3-year and 5-year annualized returns are 7.8% and 7.1%, respectively. Its annual expense ratio of 0.9% is lower than the category average of 1.54%. SWFFX has a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1. Fidelity Select Insurance Portfolio No Load (MUTF: FSPCX ) invests a large portion of its assets in securities of companies principally engaged in property, life or health insurance. Its 3-year and 5-year annualized returns are 12.8% and 11.4%, respectively. The annual expense ratio of 0.81% is lower than the category average of 1.54%. FSPCX has a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1. Franklin Mutual Financial Services Fund A (MUTF: TFSIX ) invests a major portion of its assets in securities of financial services companies. The fund’s 3-year and 5-year annualized returns are 8.9% and 7.4%, respectively. Its annual expense ratio of 1.44% is lower than the category average of 1.54%. TFSIX has a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1. Original Post

How Are Major Car Stocks Looking Vs. Tesla Motors?

Going into Wednesday trading,  Tesla Motors ( TSLA ) stock is up for the week, despite giving back 1.3% Tuesday while the S&P 500 index slumped 1.1%. Electric car maker Tesla and other automakers have been chugging back from February lows, with none highly rated by IBD and only Tesla, Ford ( F ) and Nissan ( NSANY ) much at all above their key 50-day moving averages, among major names. IBD’s Auto Manufacturers industry group fell 1.6% on the stock market Tuesday but it’s up 37% over the last month to around where it was two months ago. Ferrari ( RACE ) raced above its 50-day line Tuesday, with the October IPO gaining 1.5% after a 2.2% lift Monday. It was the only one of 15 automakers tracked by IBD to advance Tuesday — the others fell between about 1% and 5%.  General Motors ( GM ) remains above the line but close to it after its 2.9% drop Tuesday. Ferrari is still far down from its IPO price of 52, closing Tuesday at 41.22. Fiat Chrysler ( FCAU ) and Ford have the best IBD Composite Ratings among auto manufacturers now, but they’re not hot — just in the low 50s out of a possible 99. Those two car manufacturers reported surging sales for February while the broader car industry’s unit sales eased to an annualized rate of 17.54 million, below forecasts and under January’s annual pace of 17.58 million, according to Autodata. Geneva International Motor Show-Offs At home in the U.S., this is what’s going on with Tesla now : It’s counting down to its late-March Model 3 reveal. Its stock is being targeted by a short-seller. A rumored new Model S version might go 300 miles between charges Meanwhile over in Switzerland, Tesla took its Model X to the Geneva International Motor Show that runs March 3-13. Wingmen @gims_live #GenevaMotorShow pic.twitter.com/SPMcXz1Qyo — Tesla Motors (@TeslaMotors) March 3, 2016 Ferrari introduced its GTC4Lusso, among other debuts. Volkswagen ( VLKAY )-made supercars by the Bugatti and Lamborghini nameplates absorbed some of the limelight. Take a look at #Ferrari 's show-stealing stars at the #GIMS . #GTC4Lusso #CaliforniaT #TailorMade #HS #488GTB https://t.co/HRvEnsk6WL — Ferrari (@Ferrari) March 3, 2016  

4 Energy ETFs Outperforming On Oil Rebound

Energy investors have long been waiting for oil prices to soar and energy stocks and ETFs to join the party. Though the start of 2016 was not at all joyous for oil, the commodity finally bucked the trend as evident by the 17% one-month gain and an 11.3% five-day uptick in the WTI crude ETF, the United States Oil ETF (NYSEARCA: USO ) . The picture is equally rosy for Brent crude with the United States Brent Oil (NYSEARCA: BNO ) rising 11.1% in the last five days and adding 21.1% in the last one month. Brent crude is hovering around $40 while WTI crude is around $37 at the time of writing. Though the commodity was stressed lately by soft Chinese data , the underlying momentum remained strong. Several investors turned bullish on the product. Also, the number of rigs fell to the lowest level since December 2009 (as per Baker Hughes (NYSE: BHI )) pointing to a likely fall in U.S. output. The U.S. rig count slipped to below 500 for the week ending March 4. Of these, there were 392 active oil rigs and the rest were drilling natural gas. If this was not enough, the biggest oil producing countries – Saudi Arabia and Russia – along with Qatar and Venezuela had agreed to freeze oil output at the January level. Needless to say, the move brought a fresh lease of life in the energy sector. In short, efforts from both U.S. and OPEC to shore up the oil market signal that producers are now really serious about reining in the oil rout. As far as demand is concerned, China’s crude imports surged 19.1% between January and February despite a soft economy, per Reuters. Speculation is rife that oil can reach the $50 level by the end of this year. While buoyancy was noticed in the entire energy sector, below, we highlight four energy ETFs that cashed in the most on the recent rally. First Trust ISE-Revere Natural Gas Index ETF (NYSEARCA: FCG ) This product offers exposure to the U.S. stocks that derive a substantial portion of their revenues from the exploration and production of natural gas. It follows ISE-REVERE Natural Gas Index and holds 30 stocks in its basket that are well spread out across components. The product has amassed $186.9 million in its asset base while it sees solid volume of nearly 896,000 shares per day. It charges 60 bps in annual fees from investors. The fund added 27.8% in the last one month (as of March 7, 2016). It has a Zacks ETF Rank of 3 or ‘Hold’ with ‘High’ risk outlook. PowerShares S&P SmallCap Energy Portfolio ETF (NASDAQ: PSCE ) This fund provides exposure to 33 firms by tracking the S&P SmallCap 600 Capped Energy Index. The fund has garnered about $30.9 million in its asset base while it sees a moderate volume of around 21,000 shares a day. The product is largely concentrated on the top 10 firms that collectively make up for about 60% share of the basket. About 58% of its assets is allocated to energy, equipment and services while oil, gas and consumable fuels account for the remainder. The ETF charges a fee of 29 bps annually and added 25.3% in the last one month (as of March 7, 2016). The fund has a Zacks ETF Rank #5 (Strong Sell) with a ‘High’ risk outlook. SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ETF (NYSEARCA: XES ) This fund provides equal weight exposure across 42 securities by tracking the S&P Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Select Industry Index. None of the firms account for more than 3.95% of total assets. The fund has amassed $189.1 million in its asset base. The ETF has an expense ratio of 0.35% and gained 26.9% in the last one month. XES has a Zacks ETF Rank #5 with a ‘High’ risk outlook. SPDR S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production ETF (NYSEARCA: XOP ) This fund follows the S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select Industry Index, holding 63 stocks in its portfolio. It is well diversified across its holdings with none of the companies accounting for more than 2.96% of total assets. The ETF has been able to manage $2.01 billion in its asset base. It charges 35 bps in annual fees and expenses. The product gained 17.5% in the last one month and has a Zacks ETF Rank #4 (Sell) with a ‘High’ risk outlook. Original Post