Author Archives: Scalper1

How Much Allocation To CEFs Is Too Much For An Income Investor?

CEFs provide a great income source for retirees and income investors. A past performance screen with 10, 20 and 40% allocation of 4 CEFs in combination with VTI is presented. The portfolio with a 40% allocation to CEFs had the highest return for the given period. It has been become a ritual for me when rebalancing my portfolio to make sure that I am not over-allocated to high yield asset classes. However, I have been adding more Closed End Funds to the portfolio due to the attractive discounts especially last month. Adding high yield CEFs in a rising interest rate environment is generally not considered very safe. I therefore set out to see how three portfolios with 40%, 20% and 10% allocations to a set of 4 CEFs would have performed since January 2008. Investing in CEFs is certainly not appropriate for everybody, but it can be a great vehicle for investors in or near retirement who would like to have a higher income from dividends. It is important to keep a sizable portion of a portfolio in stocks or ETFs like the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (NYSEARCA: VTI ) for growth especially for long retirement time horizons. This analysis tried to shed light on the performance impact of a larger allocation to CEFs. There are certainly plenty of CEFs to choose from for this analysis and the selection chosen is solely based on the fact that I own each of them (with the exception of MGF) in my personal portfolio. I included MGF since it is a taxable bond CEFs with a long history of data available. I hold the PIMCO Dynamic Income Fund (NYSE: PDI ) in my personal portfolio for taxable bond CEF investment exposure. However, since the inception date for PDI was May 2012 vs May 1987 for MGF, I included MGF in the analysis. My aim was to get a representative set of CEFs with investments in preferred securities, equity and bonds. Overview of CEFs included: The Flaherty & Crumrine Preferred Securities Income Fund (NYSE: FFC ): Invests in preferred securities. At least 80% of the preferred securities are investment grade quality. Leverage ratio 34.6%. I consider this one of the best available Preferred CEF funds. It currently trades at a premium of 5%. The Nuveen Tax-Advantaged Dividend Growth Fund (NYSE: JTD ): Equity CEF using 31.6% leverage. This CEF has historic data going back to June 2007 and currently trades at a 11% discount The Eaton Vance Tax-Managed Global Diversified Equity Income Fund (NYSE: EXG ): International Equity CEF using an option income strategy. I included EXG for its international equity exposure. EXG currently trades at 7.9% discount. The MFS Government Markets Income Trust (NYSE: MGF ): A taxable Bond CEF that invests at least 65% of its assets in US Government securities and may invest up to 35% of its total assets in foreign government securities. MGF trades currently at 5.7% discount. Here are the hypothetical portfolio allocations: Portfolio 1 2 3 VTI 60% 80% 90% FFC 10% 5% 2.5% JTD 10% 5% 2.5% EXG 10% 5% 2.5% MGF 10% 5% 2.5% I used VTI as the non CEF part of the portfolio since it is a largely diversified ETF. So here are the results as analyzed using portfoliovisualizer.com . I included the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF ( SPY) for reference: # Initial Balance Final Balance CAGR Std.Dev. Best Year Worst Year Max. Drawdown 1 $100,000 $185,521 8.21% 15.45% 38.14% -31.16% -42.42% 2 $100,000 $178,894 7.71% 16.13% 33.52% -34.07% -45.19% 3 $100,000 $175,342 7.43% 16.66% 31.21% -35.52% -46.68% SPY $100,000 $167,266 6.79% 16.77% 32.31% -36.81% -48.23% The individual returns for the selected funds are listed below: Year VTI FFC JTD EXG MGF Total Return 2008 -36.98% -44.86% -40.22% -30.87% 26.22% -31.16% 2009 28.89% 108.42% 49.32% 49.11% 1.24% 38.14% 2010 17.42% 27.46% 22.61% -1.98% -2.05% 15.06% 2011 0.97% 18.52% 2.78% -11.59% 10.51% 2.60% 2012 16.45% 22.77% 27.14% 19.95% 5.76% 17.43% 2013 33.45% -2.21% 16.22% 25.60% -9.62% 23.07% 2014 12.54% 18.31% 11.37% 4.44% 6.95% 11.63% 2015 (until Oct) 1.90% 10.26% -3.66% 4.78% 1.45% 2.42% Conclusions: The allocation to a set of CEFs seems to have helped the portfolio return for the selected time period. FFC had the biggest positive impact on the portfolio performance. This is by no means a guarantee that the future results will be similar. However, I personally feel a bit more comfortable that a set of equity, preferred and bond CEFs can enhance the overall portfolio returns while providing nice income.

China EV Carmaker Kandi Stalls, Tesla Drives Mainland

Chinese electric car maker Kandi Technologies (KNDI) wiped out Monday, plunging after a steep October ascent in anticipation of its third-quarter earnings, reported before the open. Still-small Kandi makes budget and car-sharing electric vehicles but has a license in China to potentially enter the luxury market down the road. So it could eventually become a competitor to California carmaker Tesla Motors (TSLA) in what’s become that company’s

Apple 2016 predictions: Streaming TV service, car investments

With the new year approaching, Wall Street analysts are beginning to make predictions about what to expect from consumer electronics giant Apple (AAPL) in 2016. FBR analyst Daniel Ives on Monday came out with his “five key predictions for Apple in 2016.” Apple has a number of growth drivers that should propel it to a healthy fiscal 2016 and beyond, Ives said. Here are his five Apple predictions for next year: 1. iPhone Sales Will Surprise Apple’s