Tag Archives: zacks funds

Cold Snap Sparks Sudden Rally In Oil Price: ETFs Surge

After crashing to below the 12-year low in Wednesday’s trading session, oil price spiked nearly 21% over the past two days, representing the biggest two-day rally since September 2008. It has also extended its gains in the early trading session today with both U.S. crude and Brent trading above $32 per barrel (read: Oil Hits 12-Year Low: Short Energy Stocks with ETFs ). The steep increase came on the back of short covering, bargain hunting as well as freezing conditions and snowstorms in parts of the U.S. and Europe that boosted the short-term demand for heating oil. Notably, speculators’ short position in WTI dropped 8.4% for the week ended January 19, as per the data from U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission. In addition, weekly data from oil services firm Baker Hughes (NYSE: BHI ) showed that the number of rigs fell for the fifth consecutive week by 5 last week to 510, the lowest level since April 2010. Further, hopes of additional stimulus in Europe and Japan, and China comments on no plans to devalue the yuan boosted the confidence in the overall economy, thereby bolstering the case for global oil demand. ETF Impact The tremendous trading in oil sent the oil ETFs space into deep green in Friday’s trading session. In particular, the United States Diesel-Heating Oil ETF (NYSEARCA: UHN ) surged 10% followed by gains of 9.5% for the United States Brent Oil ETF (NYSEARCA: BNO ) , 8.6% for the PowerShares DB Oil ETF (NYSEARCA: DBO ) and 8.3% for the United States Oil ETF (NYSEARCA: USO ) . While the returns of these funds are tied to the oil price, they are different in some way or the other. This is especially true as UHN tracks the movement of oil prices while BNO provides direct exposure to the spot price of Brent crude oil on a daily basis through future contracts. DBO provides exposure to crude oil through WTI futures contracts and follows the DBIQ Optimum Yield Crude Oil Index Excess Return while USO seeks to match the performance of the spot price of light sweet crude oil WTI. Out of the four, USO is the most popular and liquid ETF in the oil space with AUM of $2.3 billion and average daily volume of 34 million. UHN is unpopular and illiquid with AUM of $2.5 million and average daily volume of just 3,000 shares. Further, USO is the least expensive, charging just 45 bps in fees per year from investors. Meanwhile, leveraged oil ETFs also shot up with the VelocityShares 3x Long Crude Oil ETN (NYSEARCA: UWTI ) and the ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil ETF (NYSEARCA: UCO ) surging 24.6% and 16.8%, respectively. The former seeks to deliver thrice the returns of the daily performance of WTI crude oil while the latter tracks the two times daily performance of futures contracts on WTI crude oil. What Lies Ahead? Despite the steep gains, oil price is down 13% so far this year and the long-term fundamentals remain bearish (read: If the Oil Crash Continues, Buy These 5 ETFs to Outperform ). This is because oil production has risen worldwide with the the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) continuing to pump near-record levels, and higher output from the U.S., Iran and Libya. The lift in oil sanctions in Iran would add a fresh stock of oil to the already oversupplied global market as the country is expected to increase its crude oil exports by half a million barrels a day immediately and a million barrels a day within a year of lifting the ban. On the other hand, demand for oil across the globe looks tepid given slower growth in most developed and developing economies. In particular, persistent weakness in the world’s biggest consumer of energy – China – will continue to weigh on the demand outlook. The negative demand/supply imbalance would push oil prices and the related ETFs further down at least in the short term. Link to the original post on Zacks.com

Middle East Stocks Crash On Iran Sanctions: ETFs To Watch

After China and oil issues, developments in the Middle East are posing further hindrance to the stock market that may worsen the global rout this week. This is especially true following the historic deal between Iran and the world major powers that lifted oil sanctions imposed on the former in late 2000. The relaxation would add a fresh stock of oil to the already oversupplied global market as Iran is expected to increase its crude oil exports by half a million barrels a day immediately and a million barrels a day within a year of lifting the ban. Notably, Iran is the world’s fourth-largest reserve holder of oil with 158 billion barrels of crude oil, according to the Oil & Gas Journal . The country also accounts for almost 10% of the world’s crude oil reserves and 13% of reserves held by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). The liftoff spread panic in the Middle East and crashed all the seven Gulf stock markets. In fact, the stocks saw a bloodbath wiping out more than £27 billion from the Middle East markets in Sunday’s trading session (read: Guide to Middle East ETF Investing ). The Bloomberg GCC 200 Index, which tracks 200 of the six-nation Gulf Cooperation Council’s biggest companies, plunged to the lowest level in almost seven years. Saudi Arabian stocks fell 5.4%, Kuwait and Qatar stock exchanges experienced 3.1% and 4.6% drop, respectively, while stocks in Qatar saw an enormous 7% decline on the day. ETFs to Watch The terrible trading in the Gulf stocks will have a big impact in the ETF world as well. In particular, the Market Vectors Gulf States Index ETF (NYSEARCA: MES ) , the WisdomTree Middle East Dividend Fund (NASDAQ: GULF ) , the iShares MSCI Qatar Capped ETF (NASDAQ: QAT ) and the iShares MSCI UAE Capped ETF (NASDAQ: UAE ) should be on investor’s watch list of the funds that are likely to be badly hurt by the Iran sanctions liftoff. From a year-to-date look, these funds shed 13.7%, 10.2%, 13.4% and 9.2%, respectively. MES: The fund provides exposure to 60 stocks that generate at least 50% of their revenues in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region by tracking the Market Vectors GDP GCC Index. About one-third portfolio is allotted to firms in United Arab Emirates, followed by Qatar (25.9%) and Kuwait (19.3%). The product is often overlooked by investors as depicted by its AUM of $8 million and average daily volume of about 3,000 shares. The fund charges a higher annual fee of 99 bps from investors. GULF: This ETF follows the WisdomTree Middle East Dividend Index, which measures the performance of dividend-paying companies in the Middle East. It holds a basket of 70 stocks with the largest exposure of at least 23% to firms in Qatar, Kuwait and United Arab Emirates. The fund has amassed $22.8 million in its asset base while trades in paltry volume of 9,000 shares a day. Expense ratio comes in at 0.88% (see: all the Africa-Middle East Equity ETFs ). QAT: This fund provides exposure to 29 Qatari stocks by tracking the MSCI All Qatar Capped Index. It has accumulated $40.5 million in its asset base while see volume of 7,000 shares a day on average. QAT charges 64 bps in fees per year. UAE: This ETF targets the United Arab Emirates stock market and follows the MSCI All UAE Capped Index. Holding 33 stocks in its basket, it has been able to manage $23.6 million in AUM so far and charges 64 bps in annual fees. Volume is light at around 10,000 shares a day on average. What Lies Ahead? Oil price, which contributes more than 80% of the Middle East revenues, has fallen 20% this year and over 70% since late 2014. This trend will likely persist in the months ahead given unfavorable demand/supply dynamics. In fact, a number of investment banks are projecting oil price to drop as low as $10 per barrel, the lowest since 1998. This is because oil production has risen worldwide with OPEC continuing to pump near-record levels, and higher output from the likes of U.S., Iran and Libya. Additionally, a strengthening U.S. dollar backed by a rate hike is making dollar-denominated assets more expensive for foreign investors and thus dampening the appeal for oil. On the other hand, demand for oil across the globe looks tepid given slower growth in most developed and developing economies. In particular, persistent weakness in the world’s biggest consumer of energy – China – will continue to weigh on the demand outlook. Further, the four products detailed above have a bottom Zacks Rank of ‘4’ (Sell) or ‘5’ (Strong Sell), suggesting that these will continue to underperform in the months ahead. All these suggest that investors should avoid investing in the Middle East until and unless oil prices stabilize or rebound. Link to the original post on Zacks.com

MLP ETFs Trading At A Huge Discount To NAV

The collapse in oil price has battered the energy sector as a whole, not sparing the master limited partnerships (MLPs) either. In fact, some MLP ETFs have fallen faster than the value of their underlying securities, creating a huge discount to their net asset value or NAV. This suggests an attractive entry point for long-term investors. This is especially true as the authorized participants (NYSE: AP ) of a discounted ETF steps in and redeems the underlying shares to remove the discount and restore the fund’s value back to its NAV. This process results in profits for the ETF holder when the market price rises relative to NAV (read: Is This the Worst Time For MLP ETF Investing? ). MLP: Is A Good Bet Right Now? Trading at deep discounts, the outlook for MLPs is bright amid the oil price rout. This is because most MLPs, which are engaged in the processing and transportation of energy commodities such as natural gas, crude oil, and refined products, are best positioned to withstand the decline in oil prices and be the major beneficiaries of an oil boom in the long term. Acting as toll-takers, these MLPs earn revenues on the volumes flowing through pipes and not on the commodity price. This nature of business will definitely give a boost to these stocks given that worldwide oil production is on the rise. Unlike exploration and production companies whose profits are directly correlated with commodity prices, MLPs have relatively consistent and predictable cash flows, making them safer and less risky than other plays in the broader energy space (read: Oil Hits 12-Year Low: Short Energy Stocks with ETFs ). Beyond the stability, yields are also pretty high thanks to some favorable tax rules – like we see in the REIT space – that push firms in the MLP space to pay out substantially all of their income to investors on a regular basis. Further, MLPs represent a great way of tapping the growing revolutionary developments in the field of unconventional energy. As a result, the steep decline in MLP stocks and ETFs provides an attractive investment opportunity to long-term investors, looking for growth and income. Below, we highlight some products that were trading at a steep discount to NAV as of January 15 (as per Fidelity ): UBS ETRACS Alerian MLP Infrastructure Index ETN (NYSEARCA: MLPI ) : Discount – 5.32% This product tracks the Alerian MLP Infrastructure Index, which comprises 25 mid-stream energy infrastructure MLPs. It has attracted $1.5 billion in AUM and trades in solid volume of 967,000 shares per day. The note charges 85 bps a year in fees and pays out a hefty yield of 8.04%. Credit Suisse Equal Weight MLP Index ETN (NYSEARCA: MLPN ) : Discount – 5.13% This ETN follows the 30 MLP Index, an equally weighted index that uses a formulaic, proprietary valuation methodology and comprises of 30 midstream MLPs. It has attracted $365.5 million in its assets base so far and sees good average daily volume of more than 325,000 shares. Expense ratio came in at 0.85%. The note pays out 7.53% in annual yield. UBS ETRACS Wells Fargo MLP Index ETN (NYSEARCA: MLPW ) : Discount – 4.69% This note tracks the Wells Fargo Master Limited Partnership Index, which provides exposure to all energy MLPs listed on the New York Stock Exchange or NASDAQ with market cap of at least $200 million. It failed to garner enough investor interest with AUM of just $7 million and sees paltry volume of about 13,000 shares. MLPW charges 85 bps in annual fees and expenses, and pays a solid yield of 9.82%. UBS ETRACS Alerian MLP Index ETN (NYSEARCA: AMU ) : Discount – 4.68% This product tracks the performance of the Alerian MLP Index, which provides exposure to 50 publicly traded energy MLPs. It has amassed $351.4 million in its asset base and trades in solid volume of nearly 468,000 shares. It charges 80 bps in annual fees and sports a dividend yield of 7.16%. RBC Yorkville MLP ETN (NYSEARCA: YGRO ) : Discount – 4.57% This note seeks to offer return of the Yorkville MLP Distribution Growth Leaders Liquid Index, which offers access to 25 MLPs exhibiting the highest distribution growth and superior liquidity profiles. It is also unpopular with AUM of $14.5 million and average daily volume of around 15,000 shares. Expense ratio came in at 0.90% and dividend yield stands at 8.54%. MLP ETNs vs MLP ETFs Unfortunately, there are some tax headaches when using the MLP structure, namely the possible need of a K-1 form at tax time. But this issue can be avoided by looking at MLPs that use an exchange-traded structure. This is because ETNs do not actually hold the securities of an underlying index. Instead, an ETN is an unsubordinated debt security that promises to pay out a return that is equal to an index. This is completely unlike an ETF that buys and sells the securities making up a particular benchmark. Due to this advantage, investors can buy MLP ETNs without the hassle of K-1 at tax time, making the above-products excellent choices for those seeking high yield without the taxation headache. Link to the original post on Zacks.com