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UIL Holdings’ (UIL) CEO Jim Torgerson on Q2 2015 Results – Earnings Call Transcript

UIL Holdings Corporation (NYSE: UIL ) Q2 2015 Earnings Conference Call August 06, 2015 10:00 AM ET Executives Susan Allen – Vice President, Investor Relations Jim Torgerson – President and Chief Executive Officer Rich Nicholas – Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer Analysts Andy Levy – Avon Capital Caroline Bone – Deutsche Bank Eric Guo – Gabelli & Company Andrew Weisel – Macquarie Capital Paul Patterson – Glenrock Associates Andy Levy – Avon Capital Operator Good morning. My name is Bobby Jane. I will be your conference operator for today’s call. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the UIL Holdings Second Quarter 2015 Earnings Conference Call. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers’ remarks, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] I will now turn the call over to Susan Allen. Susan Allen Thank you, Bobby Jane and good morning everyone. Thank you for joining us to discuss UIL Holdings second quarter 2015 earnings results. I’m Susan Allen, Vice President of Investor Relations. Participating on the call is Jim Torgerson, UIL’s President, Chief Executive Officer and Rich Nicholas, UIL’s Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. If you do not have a copy of our press release or presentation for today’s call, they are on our website at www.uil.com. During today’s call, we will make various forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Safe Harbor provisions of the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Significant factors that could cause results to differ from those anticipated are described in our earnings release and filings with the SEC. With that said, I’ll turn the call over to Jim Torgerson. Jim Torgerson Thanks Susan. Good morning everybody. Second quarter turned out to be pretty good for us as we have seen from our earnings release, the net income was 15.8 million or $0.28 per diluted share that was compared to the 9.3 or $0.16 diluted share in ’14. Year-to-date, for the first six months, we had net income of 73.4 million, which was $1.28 per diluted share and that was compare to the 64.8 million or $1.13 a share in the first half of ’14. There were a number of one-time or non-recurring items during both 2015 and 2014 merger-related expenses with our pending merger with you Iberdrola had an impact and slight impact in the first– in the quarter, but mainly more year-to-date. And then again in 2014, we have the now terminated proposed acquisition of the Philadelphia Gas Works, which have which had an impact in 2014. We also recognize the reserves related to the transmission, return equity related to the proceedings at FERC and we had booked some charges mainly in the first quarter of 2015, but also found in the 2014 and there was a minor adjustment in this most recent quarter. We also had which is not shown as a non-recurring item and we did have an IRS tax audit adjustments negative about $0.02 a share which Rich will explain, but with all that said after these non-recurring items, not including the tax adjustment, the quarter was actually up $0.03 or about 12% and year-to-date for the first six months were $0.05 a share about 4%. Turning to page six, I’m going to talk about the Iberdrola, USA and UIL merger here are the some of the timelines and what’s been happening. We received a Hart-Scott-Rodino process that was completed, pretty quickly after we filed back in the end of March and on that one. The Federal Communications Commission, we got approval there. FERC approved in early part of June. The Committee on Foreign Investments, the review was completed and early on, so those have all been completed. Connecticut Public Utility Regulatory Authority has aimed you all aware in their draft final order graph decision, denied the request. And so we actually hold the request and terminated that proceeding and then filed a new application on July 31. Now, that is still subjected to the 120-day time frame in order for the PURA to give us a decision. So we would expect a decision in late November. Massachusetts DPU, we filed in the end of March, the DPU really it’s kind of I say suspended the filing that we will be making supplemental testimony that will be filed very shortly that will reflect what we filed in Connecticut, but really on our prorated basis more or less with what we have in Connecticut, reflecting the size of our assets of Berkshire Gas, which is about 5% of total in Massachusetts. We also filed our EBITDA filed the S4 and then our preliminary proxy which is a combined document on July 17. We are waiting comments from the SEC on that pulmonary filing– pulmonary proxy. Once we get through the SEC filings and everything is approved and we can schedule the shareholder vote. I want to go over a few things about this but the new application entailed and some of it in the commitments we made. The start, we have a rate credit. We will be providing the customers that would be $20 million and we are putting three options for the surbs decide on because we didn’t get feedback of their living for long-term benefit. So one of the options is closure, just provider rate credit upfront for customers, second one was to do it all ten years which nominally would be $26 million but the present value is $20 million and also a third option which would be to mimic what would be a reduction in rates something they’ve talked about, amortize that over like a 30 year timeframe. It still comes back to a net present value of $19 million to $20 million. But the rate credit would be like $1.5 million a year over the 30-year time frame. Further value is still the same, but it allows for a little longer term look at and benefits that could be provided to customers. We also put in for suggested distribution base rate freeze be till January 1, 2018 and will be to go into effect for the two gas companies in Connecticut, Southern Connecticut Gas and Connecticut Natural Gas. And for United Illuminating, our electric distribution business, new rates couldn’t go into effect until January 1, 2017. We would make a contribution to the clean energy fund, that would be $2 million a year for over three years of $6 million, and then a contribution to disaster relief of $1 dollar. And we left that up to appear to decide what the entity or agency that could go to, but we did make some suggestions. We also would accelerate our investment in electric distribution system resiliency, and the plan there was to provide [indiscernible] within six months of our closing the transaction. The opportunities we have for investments in realized and resiliency, and these things such as rising of our [indiscernible] period on to flooding and walls are to again prevent flooding, also some things with microgrids, and some cabling that we could replace to help resiliency. What we would contemplate is the first $15 million of this distribution investments, we would not get the equity return on until the projects are complete, which is expected to be around 2019, and then the subsequent rate case would pick that up. In the meantime, we would request to get the debt recovery and the depreciation. We also suggested that we would accelerate the cast iron and bare steel replacement program for selling Southern Connecticut Gas, doubling it from $11 million to $22 million over the three-year subsequent to the closing. And this will provide a benefit to customers by accelerating that. We would then not get that in the rates until we actually filed that rate case that would be talking about, which would not have rates into effect until these January 1, 2018. Those would provide benefits just because of the present value of not recovering from the cost immediately of about $7 million to customers. Then we’re negotiating a consent order with DEEP to remediate English Station. Our English Station is a plant that we sold back in 2000. It’s in New Haven, and there are PCBs at the site or negotiating with DEEP on the consent order, and the Attorney General, the estimates from DEEP as far as the clean-up costs is about $30 million, we would then undertake that. But again, that’s subject to negotiating our consent order. We also agreed to maintain our high levels of safety and reliability, but also improved customer service metrics now for the customer service metrics. Those would be for the average speed of answer abandon calls and appointments captain the agreement would be that we’ve been approved by 5% over the next three years. Also then we wouldn’t want to maintain the safety leak response in the third party damage leak response third party obviously for gas, it’s the high level that we have today and maintain those levels. From a local management commitment and if you read the PURAs draft decision they want to make sure that there was going to be a focus on local management. We would appoint an individual as President of the Connecticut operations who would come from the existing management team of UIL or one of the UIL utilities and then that individual would be headquartered in Connecticut and at the UIL companies would be head quartered there for at least seven years. We said we would not change the day-to-day management operations of any of the Utilities in Connecticut and there we would had no involuntary terminations of employees except obviously for cause of performance for at least three years following closing. We also said we would hire 150 employees or contractors over three years in Connecticut. This will allow us to do a lot of projects that we have on our plate to begin with mainly transmission project that we’re going to need contractors for and we can fill some our existing positions and looking at those attrition occurs. So the 150 employees are contractors we think it’s good for the stay. Ring-fencing protections that we would implement mainly to of provisions to avoid bankruptcy or adverse conditions that could occur in any of the affiliates, other than the UIL companies that would have — could have an impact on the UIL Utilities and this would involve the creation of a special purpose entity with at least one independent director and implementation of an independent, non-economic interest and the special purpose entity they call it Golden Share. What it really allows is that that individual holding that share would have what amount to be if there was going to be a voluntary bankruptcy of any of the UIL Utilities. And then we also would committed to maintain separate corporate existence and the provision against forming with the funds and some dividend restrictions in the event that any of the utility of drop below investment grade which we don’t anticipate. So as you can see we’ve put forth a lot to the peer of and at big proportionate when we do actually filed within it’s our supplement to make sure that we’re addressing all of the concerns that they raised in the draft decision, which again was pulled. Now, moving on to things that are going on with the UIL, as many of you know, we did acquire 2.5% equity interest in the Kinder Morgan proposed Northeast Energy Direct gas pipeline project. This really commits us to an initial capital investment of up to 80 million and again, it depends on the final pipeline configuration and design. It also committed UIL to taking 70,000 dekatherms a day, which actually, we could reduce that under certain circumstances as others come in and want the capacity on the pipeline and we can release that directly to them and reduce our commitment. We also have an option to acquire an additional up to 12.5% of equity under some limited circumstances and the limited circumstances really relates, if we can’t reduce that 70,000 dekatherms by the time the pipeline goes into operation or even later than that, a couple years after that. Then also, if the electric distribution companies, there is a project that they would get capacity on the pipeline, which then they could release to electric generation projects that you’ve heard about the Nesco proposal that was done. These are things that are going on in New England, mainly in Massachusetts and Connecticut and Rhode Island. But as these projects can come on, we’re — the electric distribution companies get capacity, we can then increase our equity interest in the pipeline as the pipeline within the more capacity to serve these needs. The project, obviously, is going to supply the needs to growing residential, commercial and industrial demand for gas, but also for— it could be a very reliable supplier fuel for the power generation, and this would be again probably under that EDC proposal. And it does provide direct access to the Marcellus and the [Utica] shale. The pipeline will extend about 180 miles, which will be new pipeline from New York through Massachusetts and then into New Hampshire. They will be making a filing with FERC at some point and Kinder Morgan can probably give you a little more details on when that will be, but we understand it should be in late fall or maybe even at the fourth quarter of this year. And then commercial operation is expected by the fourth quarter of 2018. Getting to our gas heating customer additions [indiscernible] we had just under 3,900 through the end of June. We believe we’re still on track and to meet the 12,000, we said we’d get this year. Current home heating prices obviously lower than what they had been and the margin that we customers can get as it has often quite a bit but natural gas is still more cost effective and has more benefits, so we are still seeing a number of conversions and we are confident that we’ll have the 12,000 for the year. Turning to page 11 the transmission ROE proceeding is a lot on this chart. Basically you know that comments— the complaints have been ongoing. We have the three complaint periods with different time frames for a refund periods. We’ve been through this before, but basically the 10.57 base ROE is still being challenged in the subsequent complaints and the timing right now is the hearings were held, the end of June and early July. The Administrative Law Judge decision is expected by the end of 2015 so the FERC decision isn’t expected till end of 2016. The one point here in mid-July, the New England transmission are actually filed a petition with the U.S. Court of Appeals for review of the second and third complaint, challenging their first decisions allow hearings on the merits of the second and third compliance. So that will go along with the petition we had to challenge the first complaint. But there was lot of legal activity going on with ROE for FERC. I will turn it over to Rich Nicholas is going to run through the financial results. Rich Nicholas Thank you, Jim and good morning everyone, Thanks for joining us today. On slide 12, we have the tabular results by business segment break out the non-recurring merger and all we reserve it. Jim mentioned earlier and beginning on slide 13 then is the narrative that goes through the various business segments. So looking at Slide 13 and focusing first on the electric distribution, second quarter ’15 earnings kept as compared to the second quarter ’14, it were down about $700,000, but that does include the $1.1 million charge from the IRS audit. By the audit did cover four years from 2009 to 2012, it was a routine audit and those periods are now close and resolved, but it was a of a $0.02 charge in the second quarter as a result from looking year-to-date. Again on electric distribution, a decrease from $25.2 million in ’14 to $21.8 million in 2015 again, which includes the $1.1 million charge from the IRS audit. But higher employee-related expenses depreciation and amortization as a rate base grows and some other operating taxes for things like property taxes, it was offset in part by a rate increase that took place in August of last year was the second year of a two year rate plan for UIL and we so do see some benefit from that. GenConn was up slightly quarter-over-quarter primarily due to billing adjustment, so up above 400,000 quarter-over-quarter. The 12 months rolling at distribution return on equity came in at 9.09% and that compares to our allowed of 9.15%. Turning to the electric transmission segment, earnings there were down as well, both in the quarter and year-to-date. We did recorded additional reserves in the first quarter of this year. To reflect the order run we are hearing from FERC in the first complaint, clarified that the ROE cap was at the project level not at the company level. So on slide 14, you can see the results with or without the reserve adjustments that have been made that’s been the primary driver both in the quarter and year-to-date. Both the reserve and lower ROE now going forward, the 10.57% that came out of the first complete order. Overall excluding the reserves to transmission ROE came in at 11.35% and if you were to include the reserves into 10.98%. Now looking at our gas distribution business, earnings for the quarter $1.4 million compared to a loss of $2.2 million last year and the increase in earnings is primarily due to and we’ve seen lower uncollectible expenses slightly lower corporate charges last year. We had recorded earnings sharing at CNG and we’re not in that position at this point this year. It was offset somewhat by higher O&M expense in the second quarter that we saw, we benefited on the revenue side from the cold weather but as the ground began to thaw and [indiscernible] begin to move we did have additional O&M expense to address leaks in the second quarter and that cost was about to $0.025 a share for the higher O&M. Moving to slide 15, year-to-date for gas distribution increased in earnings certainly benefited by the cold weather in the first quarter. Year-to-date we are almost 13% colder than normal, and almost 3% colder than last year, it was warmer in the second quarter of this year compared to last year, but not big heating degree day loans in the second quarter. So it was actually 16% warmer than normal, didn’t feel like it, but that was the actual data. So the impact of weather, normalized use per customer, customer growth, you can see we’re still benefiting significantly from our customer growth almost $1 million in margin quarter-over-quarter, $3 million year-over-year. Normalized use per customer is pretty stable, actually, a positive 200,000 in the quarter. And you’ll note, particularly on the year-to-date column, there the decoupling adjustment for C&G only with the cold weather in the first quarter, we do have a liability for a refund to customers resulting from that. So the results of all of that on slide 16. Our 12-month average return on equities at the gas companies, Southern Connecticut gas are about 97% to 98% as compared to the allowed 936, and at C&G 945 to 965 as compared to the allowed 918. On a weather adjusted basis, there is no weather adjustment at C&G since we have decoupling, but SCG, as you can see 8.86 to 9.06. The corporate segment where we retained certain corporate costs for interest on Holding company debt, as well as the merger related charges, both from Philadelphia, last year, and for Iberdrola this year are included in the corporate segment. If you were to exclude those merger related expenses, the quarter was essentially flat year-over-year, and year-to-date, we’re actually have $0.03 less of a loss at corporate, primarily due to increased returns on share to capitalize that are held at the Holding company for the benefit of all those subsidiaries. As we look forward now, to the rest of the year, on Slide 17, our earnings guidance, we did reduce the top end of the guidance by $0.05, effectively, reducing the midpoint then by 2.5, primarily result from the higher [indiscernible] then was expected as the gas companies, resulting from the leak repairs due to the cold weather in the first quarter. So if you exclude the non-recurring items, our current guidance is $2.30 to $2.45. And that compares to previously it was 2.30 to 2.50. We did reduce the gas guidance by $0.03 on the upper end. So that it’s now $0.95 to $1.02 versus previously it was $0.95 to $1.05. So with that, I will now hand it back to our operator Bobby Jane for the question-and-answer session. Question-and-Answer Session Operator Thank you very much, sir. [Operator Instructions] We do have one question coming to queue from Andy Levy, Avon Capital. Your line is live. Andy Levy Just a quick question on the merger on the S4, I noticed that you gave 16 guidance and you also gave 2019, I believe our record growth rate out to 19 but I remember if I’m not mistaken that on the original announcement of the merger, you also have 17 guidance as well, but I want to make sure that your reaffirming 17 as well as we did 16 on S4? Jim Torgerson Yes, there’s been no change there. Andy Levy Okay. So it’s 17 is still at 2.59-2.75? Jim Torgerson I don’t have the document from me, but there’s been no change. Andy Levy Okay and then why that was left out of the S4? Jim Torgerson We provided the information that demonstrates the growth rate through the planning period. Andy Levy Okay, thank you and then the other question I had was, just on the makeup of the Board, under the new company. How will that be? Jim Torgerson The event through USA Board there will be two people from the current UIL Board going onto that Board along with me as of CEO and they will retain the people that are there today on the EBITDA USA Board. Andy Levy Was there any change in that when you made your filing, your revised filing in Connecticut is up to same? Jim Torgerson That’s what still it had assets in the agreement. That’s still the same. Andy Levy Okay, got it. Thank you very much. Jim Torgerson Yes, the work Board is the one where we’re going to add one Connecticut person, that’s not the EBITDA US Board though. Andy Levy Okay, I understand. Thank you very much sir. Operator Okay and then our next question comes from line of Caroline Bone, Deutsche Bank. Your line is live. Caroline Bone It’s Deutsche bank but thank you. So I guess I’m wondering if you could talk to bit more about what makes you so confident that you’ll hit that 12,000 customer gas conversion target for the full year. It just seems like you guys are tracking pretty well behind right now. Jim Torgerson Yes, we were looks like July was doing a little bit— quite a bit better. We didn’t release that number yet, but it’s looking better. So think what if we have then we’re having a good enough number of leads going on and a lot of interest in the commercial and industrial, mainly commercial not that not much industrial. Commercial aspects then the main expansions we’ve been doing are moving into other towns that actually we hadn’t even served before like Essex and couple others that [would be] doing some extensive pipeline expansions main expansions that are going to pick up some new customers [indiscernible] one of them. These are all small towns. But we’re hitting some major loads that we can then pick up and pick up some more customers along the way. Mostly commercial, so we’re pretty confident about the 12,000 I mean it’s going to be high, but because of the prices heating on it but our folks seemed very confident right now and I do too. So we had a much better month in July and now we’re getting to the point in the season where people will be looking to convert when they start thinking about their heating for the next winter. Caroline Bone So didn’t have anything to do with that I guess guidance reduction at gas? Jim Torgerson No, the guidance reduction of gas was as Rick said we had to do some maintenance as a result, of the very cold winter. And things spot out we had a bunch, number of gas leaks obviously you have to fixed right away. And that was the charge the other part of the reduction in the guidance was not for gas, but was just really when we look at the $0.02 we had from the federal income tax adjustments. So the other two items. Caroline Bone And I guess just selling gas. I mean I know that utilities in New York City are seeing an uptick in volume of units, people reporting potential gas leak system just in the wake of the Harlem explosion, a year ago and the most recent East village incident and I’m just wondering if you guys are seeing similar trend in your territory? Jim Torgerson We’re not hearing of any more people reporting gas leaks. Obviously, we jump on those as soon as we hear or people call and say that they can smell gas, so that we send people out immediately and we are pretty happy with our results for that we get out there, 98% of the time. We’re there within. You know the minute’s requirement at least 45 minutes in the state. And so we get on that pretty quickly and then we fix all the Class 1 leaks those the ones we have to fix immediately and the Class 2 lakes were getting on those pretty quickly in out too. So we’re not hearing more people calling about it that not than more usual. Caroline Bone Okay that’s good to hear. And then just a minor one on the DC Circuit Court, with regards that they appeal there on the ROE case, when do you guys expect them to rule on that? Jim Torgerson Caroline, I really don’t know. Caroline Bone Okay. Jim Torgerson I wish I did. It still be a while. Caroline Bone Okay. All right, just curious. Well, thanks very much. Jim Torgerson Sure. Operator Our next question comes from the line of Eric Guo at Gabelli & Company. Go ahead. Eric Guo Hi guys, thanks for taking my call. Jim Torgerson Sure. Eric Guo Just trying to get a better idea of the decision process, regarding NED pipeline investment, was this made exclusively at the UIL level or was this decision made with some input from the [indiscernible] guys? Jim Torgerson Well, based on our merger agreement, we — if we’re going to do something that’s outside of what we gave them, the budget, our capital spending plan, we have to get their consent, which we did so we’ve talked to them about it. After our Board then agreed that it made sense, so we did as if we have the consent, but it wasn’t really done not so in concert with them, because as we can’t, I mean, we believe at the [indiscernible] circumstance for making investments that would be significant. Eric Guo Got you. Okay, thanks. And just a second quick question on, did you guys provide — Can you provide some color regarding the earnings sensitivity related to conversions and how much in incremental 100 conversions with [will metered] for earnings are, something along those lines? Rich Nicholas Unfortunately, the quick answer is, it depends, because of the way the regulators have implemented the comprehensive energy strategy. We actually earn our return on rate base on the conversion, so it depends, if you’re on main or off main, how much capital is invested prior to that, we did say on average $250 to $300 of net income per conversion. But again, it’s a broad average and it depends, in particular, how far the main extension has to be. Eric Guo Okay, got you. Thanks. Operator And our next question comes from the line of Paul Patterson, Glenrock Associates. Your line is live. Paul Patterson your line is live. I’m going to the next question. Next question comes from Andrew Weisel, Macquarie Capital. Your line is live. Andrew Weisel Jim, on this Connecticut application, first is the S4 is it fair for me to assume that the numbers in the S4 for future income reflect all of these concessions that you’ve made in the Connecticut application? Jim Torgerson Not really, because what will probably happened as many other concessions are the things that occur, some of them get booked in 2015. Assuming we get the approval before the end of the year and actually before even close. And some of them will be right at year-end. So I would expect that a lot of those will get booked and shouldn’t have a big impact on the future and if you look at even the stuff. Let’s say they do the credit over the 10 or 30 years. As long as we can estimate it and we know exactly what is going to be and we can book it right up front, which is where we want to do. Some of the other things really get to be smaller items that it just — we’re not really loses anything long-term like other than the contribution of book those right away too. So I don’t think you’ll see much impact on the financials under. Rich do want to? Rich Nicholas Fine, under the accounting guidelines, once it’s profitable and estimatable than we’ll book in our crew if you will, and immediately and even if things in great credit by years and we’ll just pump those up against the reserve as we go forward. Andrew Weisel Okay, that’s very helpful. And then in the S4, those net income number you gave, do that essentially reflects earning you’re allowed ROE for all of those years, have quick think better inverse allowed ROEs? Rich Nicholas We haven’t put some of those specific type of assumptions out there. But those are planning forecast of today. Andrew Weisel Okay, fair enough. Next is another question on the Northeast Energy Direct. Could you elaborate a bit more detail the option to acquire additional equity maybe just dig a little deeper into the circumstances and the timing of when we might know more about that? Rich Nicholas Yes. A lot of this is under our agreement with Kinder Morgan but in broad terms, the one area where yet— for example, because we are taking on an obligation for another 70,000 Dekatherms a day to the extent that doesn’t get really say we can’t. No one else signs off on the Kinder Morgan pipeline and it remains at its current level. Then we would have the ability, once the pipeline into operational to increase our equity percentage should our option, because we couldn’t release the 70,000 to any insure people who want to have capacity that’s one; another areas with the assuming is an EDC process for the electric distribution companies, then take on capacity which are allowed the pipeline to expand then in certain states in Connecticut, I think just about every states expect one we would then have the ability, electric distribution companies take on capacity to gain additional equity interest. Now we have to pay for two but that we’ve could have increased our equity interest based on how much is added in the New England state as a result of that and its there is formulas for each state as to what percentage we can add— of people of— that take on additional capacity. So it’s all formula driven and I don’t think much of that’s has been release on just going to— that’s how it works though. Rich Nicholas Andrew we are just to be fact of re-correct. The forecast are as of the date the [indiscernible] was filed July 17. Andrew Weisel Okay, thank you both for those points there. Then just one last one the increase in O&M at gas due to cold winter is there or would it be fair to think of that as pulling forward future expenses. In other words we might this help next year’s O&M or these kind of incremental cost and in next year’s O&M budget would be unlikely to change? Jim Torgerson Right, but you can view that more is incremental cost. Andrew Weisel Okay, thank you very much. Jim Torgerson Might want to say kind of one-time or two. Operator And your next question comes from Paul Patterson, Glenrock Associates. Your line is live. Paul Patterson Can you hear me? Jim Torgerson Yes. We can hear you Paul. Paul Patterson Okay I don’t what happened last time. But anyway, just really quickly and I apologize for this but kind of got slightly distracted when you guys were talking about the settlement process. You mentioned the England station or English station. And I’m just wondering so just to clarify, are you guys in the global settlement discussion right now with the parties in Connecticut and English stations part of that? If you just, if you could, if you don’t mind elaborate a little bit more on that again? Jim Torgerson It’s not really a global settlement discussion. It was, we were having discussions with the, as we said in the application with the Attorney General Department of Energy, Environment Protection in the governor’s office as to looking at things, we could do the application and English station was one area where the city and the state would like to have cleaned up. [indiscernible] we have owned in 15 years and so [indiscernible] said we’ll look at working to get a consent order that would allow the cleanup of that facility and that we were looking at a number of the deep and put out to say that it was that the cleanup was expected, about 30 million that’s really where it went. And then really right now, there are no— we’re not talking about a settlement this point. That was a discussion that we had with the parties before we made the application filing and its really getting some of theirs to what would help gets processed using and get an application that’s hopefully PURA can accept— will accept and [indiscernible]. Paul Patterson And just to sort of understand the new application procedure, you guys have major filing, do we go through the same again or could it be abbreviated, that you can enter into a settlement negotiations, if that’s what you guys intend to do. Sooner than how the normal course of– in other words, there’s a lot of ground you guys have already covered. I would assume that perhaps. And perhaps, inaccurately assumed that maybe you guys could did act faster in terms of working with the other parties in the Connecticut case. This is– how should we think about that? Jim Torgerson Right now, I would assume that it will take the full 120 days that the peer has not decided the case. I think right now, there is no anticipation that it would be accelerated, would hope it would be, because we found a lot of ground already, but– and those parties– and those who have to– they have the right to exercise those and do their investigation and ask questions, and follow their briefs and get their interrogatories in, so I would expect that particularly, the OCC and the consumer council is going to want to go through all that. Paul Patterson Okay, but it means, so I guess, a settlement process if that were to take place, when might that happen? Jim Torgerson Yes, I guess the parties wanted to discuss settlement, and that could happen anytime, but I think in the past, what we’ve seen from the consumer councils, they want to go to all the hearing process and then do their briefs and then talk about it. So it’s not going to– short it, if the units that were to occur, I don’t think it would shorten things very much. [indiscernible] history, Paul. Paul Patterson Well, I appreciate the clarity. Like I said, that’s why I asked the question [indiscernible I was assuming too much that they might — that maybe some of the previous work that’s been done so far might somehow be helpful in making a little bit quicker, but apparently, I’m wrong. Jim Torgerson It might, but I don’t expect that the — even if it’s shortens it, you may be talk in a week or so. So I don’t think, we could count on anything less than 120 days right now. But it will still allow us to have it done before the end of the year. Paul Patterson I got you. And then the supplemental testimony in Massachusetts, that’s going to be filed against relatively soon, and then, after that we’ll get — how much, how long should we expect for interveners respond to them? Jim Torgerson They haven’t put off its full schedule or revised schedule, and so then, really the intervening party is the Attorney General. And there may be a couple of others, but those truly the Attorney but in general in Massachusetts as you know, I would expect that they’ve already given us interrogatories will probably give us more on our supplemental filings. So then the hearing schedule will hearing we were supposed to have hearings this month now is that we pushed off because we are following the supplement. I would guess it’s probably going to be September, October, hopefully we can get an answer shortly after — practically speaking there at all see what happens in Connecticut. And so I would expect to be shortly after that. Paul Patterson Thanks so much. Appreciate the clarity Operator Our next question comes from the line of Andy Levy, Avon Capital. Your line is live. Andy Levy The some fact S4 page 93 of the S4 talks about in preparing the EBITDA U.S.A projections considered by UIL’s management modified the financial forecast by the EBITDA USA management and new kind of know what it does that’s based on like weighted adjustments certain forecast. Could you just describe more the methodology that we use and how that played into coming up with the CapEx numbers that you put out there, particularly main. Jim Torgerson Sure, Andy, this is Rich. Getting forecast on before the long time, food grade agrees of uncertainty that are rounded and so working with our financial advisors. We did make some adjustments to what we thought would be good view of what the future looks like. Andy Levy Okay and have no one have asked about this before but has any of the — I guess it’s really a question for EBITDA, I’m not going to ask you but I guess or just on what’s been identified up with name that’s really question for EBITDA. Jim Torgerson I think that you probably right about that. Andy Levy Thank you. Operator And that was the last question in queue [Operator Instructions]. At this time, there is no further question in queue. Jim Torgerson Okay, well thank you all for participating today. If you do have further questions, please don’t hesitate to contact our Investor Relations people [indiscernible] and thank you all for participating today and have a great day. Good Bye. Operator And this concludes our afternoon teleconference. You may disconnect your line.

Innergex Renewable Energy’s (INGXF) CEO Michel Letellier on Q2 2015 Results – Earnings Call Transcript

Executives Marie-Josée Privyk – Director Communications and Sustainable Development Michel Letellier – President and CEO Jean Perron – Chief Financial Officer Jean Trudel – Chief Investment Officer Analysts Rupert Merer – National Bank Nelson Ng – RBC Capital Markets Ben Pham – BMO Capital Markets Innergex Renewable Energy Inc. ( OTC:INGXF ) Q2 2015 Results Earnings Conference Call August 6, 2015 10:00 AM ET Operator Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to Innergex Renewable Energy’s Conference Call and Webcast for the Second Quarter 2015 Results. [Foreign Language] [Operator Instructions]. I would like to remind everyone that this conference call and webcast is being recorded today, Thursday, August 6, 2015, at 10 a.m. ET. I will now turn the conference over to Marie-Josée Privyk, Director Communications and Sustainable Development. Please go ahead. Marie-Josée Privyk Thank you.[Foreign Language] Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. I’m here today with Mr. Michel Letellier, President and CEO of Innergex, and Mr. Jean Perron, Chief Financial Officer. Also joining us is Mr. Jean Trudel, Chief Investment Officer. Please note that the presentations will be in English. However, you are welcome to address your questions either in French or English.[Foreign Language] I’d also like to point out that journalists are invited to call us afterwards if they wish to address any question. In a minute, Mr. Perron will provide some details on our financial results for the second quarter, ended June 30th, 2015. Mr. Letellier will then provide an immediate review of our operating activities and outlook, and Mr. Trudel will present our financing activity. We will then open the Q&A session will all three senior executives. The financial statements and the MD&A have been filed on SEDAR and are readily accessible via the Internet. You may also access the press release, financial statements and the MD&A on the Internet website in the Investor’s section. During this presentation, we will refer to financial measures such as adjusted EBITDA, free cash flow and payout ratios that are not recognized measures according to International Financial Reporting Standards, as they do not have a standardized meaning. Please be advised that this conference call and webcast will contain forward-looking information that reflects the Corporation’s expectations with respect to future results or developments. For explanations concerning the principal assumptions used by the Corporation to derive this forward-looking information and of principal risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated, I invite you to consult the first pages of the Company’s MD&A, as well as its Annual Information Form. I now turn the conference to Mr. Perron. Jean Perron Thank you, Marie-Josée. Good morning. The quarterly results for Q2 2015 are showing production that was at 93% of the long-term average of 931 gigawatt-hours, due mainly to below-average water flows at the six 50%-owned facilities of the Harrison Hydro Limited Partnership in British Columbia. This translates into 904 gigawatt-hours of production, compared with production of 899 gigawatt-hours in Q2 2014. Production of the first six months of 2015 stands at 103% of long-term average. Revenues for the quarter were 70.2 million, compared with 69.6 million in 2014. Revenues for the first six months were 127.9 million compared to 107.2 million last year. The increase is due to above-average water flows in BC and higher wind regimes and to [indiscernible] of SM-1 in June 2014. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter stood at 53.4 million, compared to 53.8 million in Q2 2014. Adjusted EBITDA for year to date stood at 96.4 million, compared to 79.1 million in 2014. The increase is mainly due to the higher production since the beginning of the year. Finance costs of 24.5 million for the quarter were similar to Q2 2014, while they stood at 41 million since the beginning of the year, down 3.2 million compared to last year due to the lower inflation compensation interest. During the quarter, a 24.7 million loss was realized on derivative financial instruments resulting from the settlement of the Big Silver Creek bond forward contract upon closing of the 197.2 million financing of the project. A similar 68 million loss was incurred in the previous quarter for the Boulder Creek and Upper Lillooet River upon closing of the 491.6 million financing of the projects. The realized losses are a result of decreases in benchmark interest rates since the date the bond forwards were entered into in late 2013, and the settlement date. It will be compensated by lower respective weighted average interest rates of 4.71% and 4.36% for the 25 to 40 years term loans, compared to higher interest rates set at the time of the issues. These losses were funded with proceeds from the project financing. For the same reasons, further losses could be recognized on closing the MU project financing in the coming months. The Corporation recognized unrealized gains on derivative financial instruments of 43.1 million, due mainly to the reversal of the unrealized loss accrued upon settlement of bond forward contacts of Big Silver Creek. Together with the settlements of the Boulder Creek and Upper Lillooet River bond forwards in Q1 2015, this resulted in a 55.1 million unrealized gain since the beginning of the year. Excluding the realized loss and unrealized gains on loss on derivatives and the related income taxes, net earnings would have reached 7.4 million for the quarter, compared with 8.5 million for Q2 2014, while it would have reached 13.6 million for the first six months, compared to a loss of 2.8 million in 2014. Overall, slightly below average second quarter, combined quarter, allowed us to achieve positive results since the beginning of the year. As a result, and combined with a very good fourth quarter 2014, our trailing 12 months free cash flow ending on June 30, 2015, reached 85.7 million, compared to 48.2 million for the same period ending in Q2 2014, and our payout ratio improved to 72% from 118%. Since the beginning of Q3 2015, power production has been somewhat above the long-term average at most facilities, at the exception of BC. We remain confident in our ability to reach our long-term average production, year over year. This concludes my review of the results. I’ll be happy to answer any questions later on during the call. I’ll now turn it back to Michel. Michel Letellier Thank you, Jean, and good morning, everybody. Just a little bit of, for people that can follow on the webcast, we are going to follow the presentation available on the website. The agenda is that we are going to recap the objectives that we had put forward at the beginning of the year, operating performance, project development; financing activities will be covered by Jean Trudel. I’ll then come back with an outlook on our 2017 run rate, and progress on the international expansion of the Company, and then we’ll follow it with period question. So, objective of performance, we had said that we would increase by 3% to 5% the revenue during 2015, compared to 2014. We will have a full contribution of SM-1 hydro facility, the acquisition last year, and we will increase the adjusted EBITDA by 1%. What we did up to date is that we have, actually, had a 19% increase on the year-to-date production, and 22% increase in EBITDA. That is basically the contribution of SM-1 for the six months that we didn’t have in 2014. Production year to date four to six months stands at 103% of the long-term average. As Jean mentioned, all our facilities across Canada is doing great, except for the Harrison LP, the six facilities that are southeast of BC that doesn’t have any glacier have had lower than long-term average. But the other ones has been very good performance up to now. So, we think we’re still on track to achieve the full year. If you remember, last year BC had been slow during summer time, but then the fall was very, very wet and we did catch up all of the power for the lack of production during early summer. So, for us, a quarter, two quarters, it’s difficult to call, but we’re still very confident on the long-term average for the corporation. Objective for the development, we said that we would advance the four projects under construction Tretheway, Upper Lillooet, Boulder, Big Silver, and start the construction on the wind farm in Quebec, Mesgi’g Ugju’s’n soon. We’re renewal of the Saint-Paulin, Windsor PPA, and we would begin commercial operation of Tretheway. I’m glad to report that the constructions are advancing very well. We’ll talk a little about the Upper Lillooet and Boulder fire. It’s unfortunate, but as we describe it, we’re very well covered with the insurance. We were also lucky to have most of our equipment and assets to be minor — well, they have minor. There’s no major losses on those assets, so, we’re still working on the insurance company, and with the firefighters to come back on site. The firefighters are basically fighting. The fire is still active. It’s about 45% contained. So, there’s still a lot of smoke in the valley. So, it’s not yet safe for our people to come back to work, but things are improving. There’s a little bit of rain in BC yesterday and tonight. So, things are cooling down a little bit, but it’s a little bit too early to call for the start of the construction onsite. Very happy, also, to have started construction on Mesgi’g Ugju’s’n in May. Things are going very well. We’re very accustomed to build wind firms in Quebec, so, don’t see an issue of going forward and make these units here. Contractual renewal process is pending with Hydro Quebec. Hydro Quebec is right now under an arbitrages system with three other smaller producers, independent producers in Quebec, so, they’re working the result to reinitiate the discussion with the other [IPB]. And we’re on track to the commissioning of Tretheway in Q4. We have received– all the equipment are installed in the power plant. Water division into the waterway has been initiated. So, things are going very well in Tretheway. So, if you flip the projects under development, I just gave quite a bit of development on Tretheway, Boulder Creek, and Upper Lillooet. Big Silver is going very well, as well. We have finished the tunnel in the last quarter. So, that is a big milestone in Big Silver. The water intake is almost finished, the diversion work very well. So, Big Silver is doing, I guess, very well in terms of civil work, and there’s no issue in the timing. Mesgi’g Ugju’s’n I just mentioned. Just a reminder, this COD date is with Hydro Quebec is the first of December. That’s a firm date in Hydro Quebec. Again, the impact of the forest fire on Upper Lillooet and Boulder I think it’s important to reiterate that we have all the coverage and insurance to have late start, so, if we’re late, the insurance would cover the interest costs or the lost revenue and, obviously, all the assets are protected, as well. So, on that note, I’ll let Jean update you on all of our financing. Jean Trudel All right. Thank you, Michel. So, the next page, that would be page 9 on the presentation, what we had mentioned early in the year is to pursue financing activities. So, therefore, close the financing of Upper Lillooet, Boulder, and Big Silver, and the MU project, and also refinance the Umbata Falls project finance that we have. So, I’m glad to report that we– well, as you’ve seen, on March 17 we closed the Upper Lillooet and Boulder Creek financing. Then the Big Silver financing was closed just late, June 22nd and we are now proceeding with the financing of the MU project. So, we have signed an engagement letter and a term sheet, and we’re in the process of putting the documentation in place to close this financing during the month of September. And, as for Umbata, we refinanced Umbata Falls on March 30th, earlier this year. So, everything is going according to plan. We actually were successful in putting financing that attractive condition that were actually a bit more attractive than what we anticipated. The market was quite receptive to our financings, and so, it provides us with additional flexibility in the future with these financings that are at the lower cost. On the next page, you see the amounts and the financing. It was a pretty significant program and so, we’re close to ending that leg of the work that we had to do. It’s very important to note that with all these projects that we are building, there is actually no additional equity component that is required to complete all these projects. So, the financing that we are putting in place will be sufficient, coupled with the use of the revolving facility and the cash flow that we generate to complete all these projects. On the next page, just an update on the corporate finance activities, we issued, as you’ve seen, I suppose, $100 million convertible debenture. Basically, the market was very favorable, a very attractive coupon at 4.25%. We took the opportunity to issue this convert, taking the advantage, of course, of the low rates, but also having in mind to potentially affect the redemption of the existing convert and, therefore, to reduce, potentially, the dilution to our shareholders. So, if we are not successful at redeeming the existing debenture in cash, well, it will provide us, actually, greater flexibility to conduct our development activities and/or potential acquisitions. So, Michel will talk about our international activities later on and I think that would provide us with great flexibility to do this. And also, the excess cash can also be used to buy back our shares and, coupled with that, I guess, we also eliminated the discount on the DRIP program today. That’s what we announced. I think we don’t– management doesn’t feel that the share price actually should offer an additional discount under the DRIP, so, it was a good thing to do to cancel the discount and also to potentially buy back shares if the situation remains. So, on this, I guess I’ll turn back to Michel. Michel Letellier Thank you, Jean. So, all good news on the terms of financing. So, 2017 run rate, I like that slide very much. Just to remind that this has been built and updated for taking into consideration the better financing that we had anticipated. Important to remember that this slide takes into consideration only the projects that the Company has existing PPA and has under developed, as I mentioned, the four hydro facilities in BC and the one wind facility in Quebec. So, we reiterate the EBITDA target rate for 2017, without having into consideration any other future project in mind, or future acquisition, only the existing projects that we have. The EBITDA takes into consideration about $8 million of prospective expenses. We always forecast those amounts. So, the EBITDA is net of those expenses. We have showed or reported $180 million of EBITDA last year. We’re forecasting for 2017, based on the long-term average $295 million of EBITDA. So, that’s an increase of about 63% from 2014 up to 2017, and the good news is that we had given the guidelines of $95 million of free cash flow for 2017. Based on the good financing and better financing than we had anticipated, we have now a conservative forecast of $105 million for 2017, so that’s 10 million more cash flow available in 2017. When we say “free cash flow,” our definition of free cash flow for us is important to remember that we take into the calculation the full reimbursement of our project finance. It’s after the dividend, and after $8 million of prospective projects. So good news for us in terms of the availability of internal cash flow. The growth opportunity after 2017, or even earlier, obviously we said that we would pursue Greenfield unlocking activities. We’re getting prepared to submit projects in the Ontario RFP. We have advanced, also, the Nulki Hills wind of BC. We have an agreement now with the Saik’uz First Nation on a fifty-fifty partnership program joint venture. And the RFP in Ontario is for the first of September. So, we’re getting very close to the date for submitting projects. We intend to have at least two very good projects. Ontario it’s very competitive, as you know, so we’re confident, but we’re cautious into the optimism of winning projects from Ontario, very busy, and it’s not a big RFP, if you remember. It’s about 300 megawatt of wind, and 150 megawatt of solar. But there’s another RFP in 2016 for roughly the same amount of power. Also, we said that we would go with the external growth opportunity. We would pursue partnership, acquisition, development opportunity in Europe and Latin America, and may be looking for acquisitions. We are focusing our international activity. We have been a little bit more focused on Europe, mainly France, for wind and solar. Latin America is big, but we’re now focusing more on Mexico than a couple of times in Mexico, meeting with very promising future partners. The market in Mexico is very dynamic. It’s in right now a little bit, I guess, in waiting for the new rules to free up the market, but the potential is great. So, we like what we have been seeing, and have been meeting with very interesting folks in Mexico. And, obviously, we’re looking into North America, as you know. Saskatchewan has said that they might come up with a new RFP for wind in the future. Alberta, with the new government, is talking about renewable energy, as well. So, still very open with Canada and the U.S. Obviously, it’s very active, but it’s very competitive, as you know. So, in summary, I just wanted to make sure that people remember that we have a sustainable dividend. I think that, given the profile of the portfolio that we have, just remember that we have one of the longest durations on the existing PPA. We have more than 70% of our revenue coming from hydro, fairly new asset, visible cash flow expansion with existing projects with PPA. As we mentioned, a internal growth with organic assets that we already have for EBITDA about 63% and for the cash flow, 54% from 2014 up to 2017. We have also, obviously, the payout ratio, given the cash flow that we’ll have, will go down. We have said that we have a target payout ratio of roughly 80%. Given the cash flow that we have announced, the $105 million of free cash flow, and given the amount of shares outstanding, you can make the calculation that this target is easily reachable for us and something else we have room there, as well. So, we will concentrate on capital deployment. We will have internal cash flow. For us, that’s something that’s a new era for Innergex. As you know, since the merger in 2010 with the income trust, the payout ratio has been always an issue but, given the advancement of our projects, this is behind us, so we can now focus a little bit more on the growth. So, on that note, we’ll be happy to answer the questions. Thank you. Marie-Josée Privyk This completes our presentation. Thank you, Michel and Jean. We now invite you to ask your questions. [Foreign Language]. Question-and-Answer Session Operator Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Rupert Merer with National Bank. Your line is open. Rupert Merer Good morning, everyone. Michel Letellier Good morning, Rupert. Rupert Merer I wanted to follow up with a few questions on your development plans, your growth plans. You mentioned the Nulki Hills project in BC. Can you talk a little about how that project might develop? Do you expect to enter direct negotiations with BC Hydro, for example? And how much longer do you think this project would be in development if it was to move successfully to construction? Michel Letellier Well, this a big question mark. It’s a good question, Rupert. We don’t know exactly how fast BC could come up with an RFP or to start direction negotiations with the First Nation joint venture project in the northwest of BC but it’s definitely a region where it’s very sensitive in terms of, I guess, being positive towards bringing renewable energy to offset a little bit of the future CO2 emission from the LNG, if LNG’s getting built, so, it’s very linked with the development of the LNG. So far, in that area there’s Petronas and Shell that have proposed and be, I guess, aggressively pursuing the development of a LNG project. So, I guess it’s a little bit of a Catch-22 there. If the LNG goes forward, I think that demand in that area will increase and, hence, maybe more possibility will be done. We also have some good prospects in Port Nelson area where a lot of the extractions are going to be happening. We’ve been monitoring wind for the last eight or nine years in that area, so there potential, as well, in that area. But BC is, I guess, a little bit on a standby to see how much LNG projects will be developed. And, as you know, Site C is being built, and I think that more and more people are thinking that Site C is going to be a reality, even though there were a lot of pushback from First Nation and local community. I think that BC Hydro has succeeded in signing some of the First Nation that [were] against the project. So, the odds of seeing Site C being built are greater now. Rupert Merer Great. And then, on Ontario, what do you think it’s going to take to win in this RFP? Do you think the prices will be comparable to what we saw in the last Quebec RFP? And do you have any particular strengths in your bid that will make it competitive? Michel Letellier I hate to talk about active bids, as you know, Rupert. But it will be competitive, but contrary to Quebec, Ontario has a system of points where, depending on how much points you get, and those points are basically given if you have support of the population, if you have support of the land involvement around your project, both on wind and solar. So, we’ve been concentrating on obtaining the maximum of points in the project that we’d like to submit. So, these points is giving you a discount when you compare your price to the others. So, prices are obviously sensitive, but if one has all the social acceptability points, then the project can be– even if the price submitted is a little big higher, you can win the project if the project gets all the points. Obviously, most of the developers are focused that aspect of the bid, as well. But we intend to have 100% of the points, so, maybe those will help. In terms of competitive price, Quebec is a little bit different. If you remember, Quebec is paying the interconnection. So, the price is net of the interconnection, where in Ontario, the IPB has to pay for the interconnection. So, when the prices of a win might be a little bit higher than in Quebec, and the win in Ontario is a little bit less variable than in Quebec. But, in general, the prices will be competitive, and certainly below what we have seen in the FIT in the past. Solar will also be I think in Ontario they’ll be certainly below $0.20, so, a fair discount compared to the $0.42, $0.44 the FIT program was giving in the past. Rupert Merer Great. Well, thanks for the color. Operator Your next question comes from the line of Nelson Ng with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open. Nelson Ng Thanks and good morning, everyone. Michel Letellier Good morning to you, Nelson. Nelson Ng Just a quick question on the generation this quarter. Have you seen continued weakness in the hydrology in BC? And what about wind? Have you seen continued strength into the second quarter — sorry, third quarter? Michel Letellier Yes. We’ll start with the positive, Quebec and Ontario are doing great, and they are — for July they have been over the budget. BC, it’s not a secret. BC is dry. Like Jean was mentioning, the worst effected plants are the plant that doesn’t have glacier or very little glacier component into the hydrology, and that are the six Harrison Hydro facilities that we own 50%. The rest Ashlu, Miller Creek, Fitzsimmons, Rutherford have been doing fairly good so far. But, obviously, August is also a little bit dry. So, eventually it will rain in BC and the Harrison Hydro facilities, just like last fall, were over-producing. We had a tremendous quarter with those plants last fall with the rainy season. But, again, quarter-to-quarter for us I think that, again, the diversification across Canada, both in wind and hydro has shown a great flexibility to be able to face specific dry conditions in one part of the country. Nelson Ng Okay, thanks for that. Just a clarification. Did you say Ontario and Quebec both wind and hydro were above budget in July? Michel Letellier Yes, they were even over budget. Nelson Ng Okay, got it. And then my next question relates to, you mentioned the forest fire in Upper Lillooet. When do you think you’ll be able to have a like finish, or have a detailed assessment of what the total impact would be and how much of that would be offset by insurance? And then, just more on the construction schedule. How much flexibility was kind of built into the original construction schedule? Michel Letellier That’s a couple of components. We’ve been on site. The assets, apart from two or three kilometers of transmission line, have not been touched. It’s really funny. We’ve been looking at the aerial photo and stuff like that. You can see the power houses, the [indiscernible], the intake, even the big crane at the intake of Boulder, the fire went all over or around, but didn’t touch the big crane. So, material is very limited. The camp has been also saved. The camp now is hosting about 85 firefighters. We’re glad to see these guys occupying the camp. I think it’s a mutual win/win because they have better access to both the Boulder Creek fire and the Elaho fire from this camp. It’s saving them about an hour and a half of travel morning and night. So, the firefighters are on site and, obviously, protecting the camp if they’re living in them. So, that’s a good news. They’re very dedicated fellows. It’s a hard job. They’re working hard. We were supposed to have some of our people being reintroduced this week on the construction, but we had a little bit of a drawback because of this weekend was very dry and warm. But with the rain that we had yesterday and today, conditions are a little bit improving. So, slowly, we’re getting back into the camp. To answer your question how much — when are we going to be able to fully assess the timing, it’s a little bit difficult to say. We definitely have insurance coverage on everything from delay start, delay construction, to all our assets the same thing with the contractor. The deductible for assets is about $150,000, so it’s very– it’s not material compared to the size of the construction budget there. We have two deductibles possible in terms of construction delay or startup delay. One, if we trigger from the first measure is only two days of delayed construction. If we go with natural disaster, fire and what-have-you, it’s then 30 days waiting time, so the maximum impact to the Company could be 30 days of delay start. And when we say that coverage, that means they would cover all the interest costs, all the acceleration costs related to try to catch up on the construction. It’s the equivalent of protecting your future revenue, so it’s a very comprehensive insurance package– expensive, but when you need it, it’s very handy to have that. And the other component of your question was, do we have a little bit of a buffer? Well, we had– we always had the winter of 2016 as a buffer, so it’s two, three months. We didn’t have the plan to work during winter, because it’s a little bit more expensive to clear out the road and what have you. But we had that as a buffer, so, we had three to four months as a buffer. So, we’re just hoping that that buffer would be enough to catch up and still meet COD date in 2016, might be late in 2016, but we’re still confident that we can reach the COD about that time. Given the fact that insurance might cover the acceleration cost to work during winter 2016. Does that cover your question? Nelson Ng Yes. No, that was a lot of detail. That’s good color. My next question relates to the four prospective projects with the First Nation groups. I guess, from your perspective, is there any– is there like one project that is kind of ahead of the other projects, or more advanced in terms of having a process and a more visible timeline? Michel Letellier We have an ongoing discussion with the Inshaka [ph] First Nation and their government. The issue with this government, they’re very focused on not having any impact on the cost, on the electricity for the rate payers. So, it’s– we’re very, I guess, sympathetic to that. So, we’re trying to work the prices. We’re trying to work the schedule with them to try to meet their targets with BC Hydro as well, so it’s an ongoing discussion. It’s positive. We’re talking. We’re still talking. That’s positive. But we have a little bit of a challenge trying to make sure that we get to a point where everybody’s satisfied, First Nations are very supportive, and government BC Hydro, are still engaged, so still positive but a little bit of challenge to get into the schedule and prices. Nelson Ng I see. Okay and then a quick question on the MU wind project financing. I guess that’s for Jean, but are you looking to also have an interest-only period, similar to some of your hydro facilities, or is that option limited due to the shorter PPA period relative to hydros. Jean Trudel Yes, of course, it’s limited because of the shorter period. And when you analyzes the financing, and we received, actually, a tremendous– tremendously great amount of offers, so we [indiscernible] many institutions, and we received very good term sheets. So, when we analyze the terms and conditions, that’s one of the aspects to analyze to see if it’s a better or not a better transaction for us, and we look at the IRR of the project, the NPV, the cash-on-cash profile to determine which is the best term sheet that we should finance, so, the one that we are working with is using a structure similar to the structure we’ve put in place with Upper Lillooet and Big Silver. So, there’s a dual-tranche, if you want, in it, and it’s going to be– we’re implementing it now, so you’ll see all the details if it gets announced. But it’s going to be a very favorable financing again. Right now, the market is very hot from our standpoint. There’s a lot of demand for our product, I guess, from the financial institutions. And so — Michel Letellier And I think– it goes, also, to the credit of the project. We’ve been fortunate to have had the ability to renegotiate the prices and the model of the turbine, with the same deal so, the profile of the cash flow of this project is very robust. So, it helps, also, to have very good financing conditions. Jean Trudel That’s totally right, Michel. So, the debt service coverage ratio profile of the Mi’kmaq project is very high. So, it provides a very good credit rating. So, institutions are very– can be more aggressive when that’s the case, so, we’re benefiting from that, for sure. Nelson Ng Okay, got it. And then, just one last question. You mentioned that the free cash flow guidance for 2017 is 105 million, and the increase was, I think, mainly due to have an interest-only period, I presume. I was just wondering, given that the free cash flow benefit was from having an interest-only period, like, can you comment in terms of targeting the 80% payout ratio profile, whether you’ll be targeting that 2017 80% payout, or are you thinking about longer-term normalized full debt amortization 80% payout profile? Michel Letellier Well, that’s very deep [indiscernible]. I don’t want people thinking that post-2017 only 80% payout is sustainable. I think that 80% payout means that we would have a lot of room to increase the dividend. On that basis, I think that if we don’t increase dividend, the payout ratio will be much lower than 80%, and it’s not only because we interest-only period, I think that given the fact that we have also indexation in our PPA and when I view that $105 million is sustainable going forward. It’s not just a few years and there’s a drop. Whenever we’re getting engaged in long-term forecasts and sustainability, I think, hopefully, by the time you have been following Innergex, we’ve been quite consistent in our longer view. So, if we’re giving guidance of $105 million, it’s because it’s sustainable. Jean Trudel And to add on this one, when we establish a program of debt financing, we rarely put in consideration the possibility of having a delay in capital payment. So, when it occurs, when it happens, it’s just additional cash, which is a bonus. I think our target payout ratio is 80%. It has been like this for a while now, even before what were the terms and conditions of our financing, I mean, [indiscernible]. Michel Letellier And we have a little bit of a corporate finance, as Jean has mentioned, but we have 13, 14 power assets to support that debt, and all the rest we are fully amortizing, except for a $50 million balloon payment for [upward-lowered] in 40 years. So, contrary to maybe some other player that does a little bit more project finance or bond, that we are capital — we are reimbursing the capital of those project finance in our long-term forecast for EBITDA cash. Nelson Ng Great. Thanks for that clarification. Those are my questions. Operator Your next question comes from the line of Ben Pham with BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open. Ben Pham Okay. Thank you and good morning, everybody. Michel Letellier Good morning. Ben Pham Many of my questions have been asked, and so, I just had one follow up on the fire situation in BC. You mentioned that there’s a bit of rain over the last few days, which is contained it, and I’m just wondering, just because you have a pretty big portfolio in BC, is there any potential risk that that fire could expand to some of your other facilities, or is it pretty much all contained at the moment? Michel Letellier The problem in BC is that it’s dry all over the place. There’s another fire that has started up south of Tretheway. It’s about 40 kilometers from Tretheway. For the time being, it’s not a threat for that particular asset, and Elaho fire, right now, is north of Ashlu, but quite far north, and there’s a glacier in between. So, there’s no big danger there. But obviously it’s, BC is in a situation where there’s a lot of potential fire, and people have to be very careful. The last fire that was lighting up not so far from Tretheway was a human error. I don’t know if it was a fire camp or a cigarette butt that was thrown, but I think that BC government is doing a great job in trying to educate people that the fire danger is extreme. So, who knows? There’s many places where fire can be started again in BC. Hopefully, we’re getting towards September and rainy season should start, and that should be behind us, but for the time being, the fire danger is extreme. Jean Perron And just to be clear, we have the same insurance package everywhere, if it ever happens, we’re well covered everywhere. Michel Letellier Yes, it’s in place, not only on construction site. We have the insurance coverage, which is roughly the same package that I’ve described for all our operating assets. Ben Pham Okay, great. Thanks for the update, everybody. Michel Letellier Thank you. Operator [Operator Instructions] Ms. Privyk, there are no further questions at this time. Marie-Josée Privyk Thank you, and thank you, everyone. We appreciate this opportunity to provide an update on our Company and please don’t hesitate to contact us if you have any other questions. [Foreign Language]. Michel Letellier Thank you very much. Operator Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes our conference call and webcast. Please note that a replay of the conference call and webcast will be available on the Innergex website. The press release, financial statements and the management’s discussion and analysis are also available on the Innergex website at www.innergex.com in the Investors section. Thank you. You may now disconnect at this time.