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Strategic Asia Investment Approach: Market Vectors India Small-Cap Index ETF

Summary Investing in the Market Vectors India Small-Cap Index ETF is one of the most strategic means for investors to profit from India’s economic growth. The earnings of the fund’s top 10 holdings have increased substantially since 2012, yet this has not been reflected in the fund’s price. India’s macroeconomic outlook is extremely impressive, with a projected annual GDP growth of 7.5% for 2016. Consumption in India is rising substantially. This trend is relevant for the entire population, regardless of socioeconomic status. India’s economy is an excellent option for investment in Asia. Having spent a year there collectively studying and volunteering, I was able to witness firsthand the substantial economic growth in the country. India has the world’s largest youth population , a favorable demographic position given China’s again population. This strength in numbers is also edified by population that I would characterize as highly ambitious, and a key driver of the country’s future economic growth. I have determined that investing in the Market Vectors India Small-Cap Index ETF (NYSEARCA: SCIF ) is one of the most strategic means for investors to profit from India’s economic growth. This outlook stems from the collective benefits of low valuation and excellent financial performance. India is an economic gold mine, and the only challenge I foresee is discerning between a good ETF and an excellent ETF. SCIF data by YCharts. The majority of the fund’s top ten holdings have consistently increase their earnings since 2012, yet this has not been reflected in the fund’s price. Moreover, recent financial performance of the fund’s top holdings clearly displays that a reconciliation of the fund’s price is befitting. This fund is certainly undervalued. Valuation: Small-Cap Approach is Most Strategic The fund’s current valuation is extremely low when compared to the iShares MSCI India ETF (BATS: INDA ), thus verifying that the small cap approach is a more strategic means to gain exposure to India. This is verified not only by its valuation, but also an examination of the earnings of the fund’s holdings. The fund’s price has increased substantially since 2014, yet the valuation is still incredibly low. Top 10 Holdings Some highlights of the fund’s holdings, affirming the prestige and upside potential of this fund include the following: Consistent Financial Performance : 7 out of 10 of the fund’s top holdings were able to consistently increase in net income and net revenue since 2012. High Growth : The average increase in net revenue and net income, excluding NCC Ltd., was 33.3% and 44.6% respectively. Low Valuation : The average P/E for the fund’s top holdings, based on the valuation of the India listings, is 25. This displays that the fund’s has upside potential based on the reconciliation of its P/E. The higher valuation of other ETFs in India further verifies this. India’s Macroeconomic Outlook: A Bullish Sentiment is Befitting Annual GDP Growth : India’s annual GDP growth recently expanded to 7% during the 2nd quarter of 2015, and is projected to increase to 7.5% by the 2nd quarter of 2016. Marketing to the Bottom of the Pyramid : During my time in India, I lived in rural areas where houses did not have running water, and only had electricity for two hours every day. Consumption is still king in India, as these same households also had internet, cell phones, and TVs. This demographic, coupled with the affluent population of India, proves that the trends of consumption are relevant to the entire population. Consumption Growth : Consumption has clearly been on the rise in India since 2012, and Trading Economics has made the following projections regarding consumption growth during the next twelve months. Consumer Spending will increase by 6.7% Disposable personal income will increase by 20.2% Inflation will remain near 3.8% (click to enlarge) Source: Trading Economics . Small-Cap Approach : This approach seems to be the most strategic means to gain exposure to India’s economic growth, as I have witnessed the strength of SMEs in India, and particularly the benefits of microfinance. The financials and valuation previously presented further display the advantage of this approach. Exports : Exports are projected to increase by 12.4% during the next twelve months. Conclusion I recommend the Market Vectors India Small-Cap Index ETF as a strategic means for investors to gain exposure to India’s economic growth. I will be focusing on the EGShares India Small-Cap ETF (NYSEARCA: SCIN ) in another article, to determine the relative effectiveness of this fund as an appropriate vehicle to gain exposure to India. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, but may initiate a long position in SCIF over the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Warren Buffett’s Railroad Vs. The Other Monopoly Board Pieces

In 2010, Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway acquired railroad Burlington Northern Santa Fe. This article looks at how that business has performed as compared to its large rail peers. While BNSF has proven itself to be a solid business, this doesn’t take away from the publicly available alternatives. If you were completing a modern-day monopoly board, the four U.S. railroads included would likely be Union Pacific (NYSE: UNP ), CSX Corp. (NYSE: CSX ), Norfolk Southern (NYSE: NSC ) and Burlington Northern Santa Fe. The first three are independently traded, public companies that I have reviewed in the past . Their collective investment performance over the last decade or so has been quite exceptional. On February 12th of 2010 Burlington Northern became of subsidiary of Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A ) (NYSE: BRK.B ), hence why it escaped the previous examination. Yet the company still provides independent annual reports , giving us the opportunity to explore Buffett’s railroad against the others. Here’s a look at the revenue generated by each company over the past eight years: Revenue ($b) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 BNSF $15.61 $17.79 $13.85 $16.60 $19.23 $20.48 $21.55 $22.71 UNP $16.28 $17.97 $14.14 $16.97 $19.56 $20.93 $21.96 $23.99 CSX $10.03 $11.26 $9.04 $10.64 $11.74 $11.76 $12.03 $12.67 NSC $9.43 $10.61 $7.97 $9.52 $11.17 $11.04 $11.25 $11.62 Note that all numbers are in billions. From this view, you can see that all four companies are rather large and relatively comparable. Their respective footprints have been mapped out, and it’s a matter of working to improve each year. Union Pacific started the period as the largest company by revenue, followed by BNSF, CSX and Norfolk Southern. Incidentally, this is also how these four railroads ended the period. Here’s a look at the average compound growth of each company’s sales:   Revenue Growth BNSF 5.5% UNP 5.7% CSX 3.4% NSC 3.0% Thus far, in relation to past revenues and growth, Buffett’s BNSF most closely resembles Union Pacific. Next up we can look at operating income: Operating Income ($b) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 BNSF $3.51 $3.90 $3.21 $4.46 $5.27 $5.96 $6.67 $6.99 UNP $3.38 $4.08 $3.39 $4.98 $5.72 $6.75 $7.45 $8.75 CSX $3.16 $3.62 $3.07 $3.07 $3.42 $3.46 $3.47 $3.61 NSC $2.59 $3.08 $1.96 $2.68 $3.21 $3.12 $3.26 $3.58 This table tells a similar tale. BNSF started with a slightly higher amount of operating income than Union Pacific, but ended the period in the same order as above. Here’s a look at the growth characteristics of operating income for each company:   Op Inc Growth BNSF 10.4% UNP 14.6% CSX 1.9% NSC 4.7% Note that these growth rates differ materially from revenue growth. As such, we know that the companies’ margins either progressed or contracted during the period. Indeed, this is what we observe: Operating Margin 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 BNSF 22.5% 21.9% 23.2% 26.9% 27.4% 29.1% 30.9% 30.8% UNP 20.7% 22.7% 24.0% 29.4% 29.3% 32.2% 33.9% 36.5% CSX 31.5% 32.1% 33.9% 28.9% 29.1% 29.4% 28.9% 28.5% NSC 27.4% 29.1% 24.6% 28.1% 28.8% 28.3% 29.0% 30.8% In the case of BNSF and Union Pacific you see drastically improved operating margins, from around 20% in 2007 to over 30% by 2014. Norfolk Southern also showed improvement, albeit not to as large of an extent. As such, these companies had operating income that greatly outpaced overall revenue growth. CSX, on the other hand, saw its operating margin decrease during the period, resulting in operating income growth that trailed overall revenue growth. A CSX advocate might see the numbers above and note that the company has showed great consistency, and now with the lowest margin, has the best opportunity for future improvements. An impartial viewer might suggest that Union Pacific certainly showed the most improvement, but doing so again would be a more formidable task. Here’s a look at net income over the years: Net Income ($b) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 BNSF $2.20 $2.36 $2.01 $2.66 $3.27 $3.72 $4.27 $4.40 UNP $1.86 $2.34 $1.83 $2.78 $3.29 $3.94 $4.39 $5.18 CSX $1.34 $1.37 $1.15 $1.56 $1.82 $1.86 $1.86 $1.93 NSC $1.46 $1.72 $1.03 $1.50 $1.92 $1.74 $1.90 $1.99 This table should be especially appealing for those looking for conservative investments with staying power. During the throws of the recession, each company was still churning out over a billion dollars in profit on an annual basis. Naturally both revenues and income declined during this period – people tend to ship fewer things in lesser economic times – but not to a degree of high worry. If you can make billions of dollars in the worst of times, it follows that you’re setting yourself up well for the best of times. Here’s a look at each companies’ overall earnings growth:   Growth BNSF 10.4% UNP 15.8% CSX 5.4% NSC 4.5% Once more note that these numbers differ from overall revenue growth. In this case, each company showed earnings growth that outpaced total sales growth. As such, we know that the net profit margin improved during this time. Indeed, this is what we observe: Net Profit Margin 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 BNSF 14.1% 13.3% 14.5% 16.0% 17.0% 18.2% 19.8% 19.4% UNP 11.4% 13.0% 12.9% 16.4% 16.8% 18.8% 20.0% 21.6% CSX 13.3% 12.1% 12.7% 14.7% 15.5% 15.8% 15.5% 15.2% NSC 15.5% 16.2% 13.0% 15.7% 17.2% 15.8% 16.9% 17.2% BNSF, CSX and Norfolk Southern went from the low-to-mid tends to the upper-teens. Meanwhile, Union Pacific once more showed the greatest improvement: starting with the lowest margin and ending with the highest. In viewing the high level metrics and growth rates, Union Pacific showed its might throughout – even compared to Buffett’s BNSF. Which, incidentally, is likely a reasonable explanation as to why shares would have provided 20% annualized returns over the past decade. Yet that’s not to suggest that the other railroads haven’t been solid businesses and investments as well. Moderate revenue growth can turn into rather robust earnings-per-share growth due to the quality and nature of the business. Ideally you’d like to continue on to a per share analysis to get a better feel for shareholder growth and the underlying valuation – both of which can vary drastically from business performance. In the case of the publicly traded railroads, each has committed to reducing its share count and paying an increasing dividend. These items would enhance the results seen above, and allow shareholders to gain an even larger piece of the investment pie. But alas BNSF is now a subsidiary, which leaves our views at the business level. Naturally you don’t want to take your investment cues based solely on the actions of another person. Your goals and their goals could be vastly different. Just because Buffett likes a railroad doesn’t mean that you have to as well. Yet it can be instructive to think about the process. You can start to think about the industry, the consistent profits, the high barriers to entry, the monopoly-like enterprise, all of it. From there it can be useful to see if Buffett grabbed the best one. If so, you can still own a portion of it indirectly through Berkshire. If not, you can become a direct owner in another and start to build your own railroad empire. BNSF has indeed proven itself to be a profitable business with immense staying power. Yet this alone does not mean it’s the only or best choice. From a high level view, especially considering the shareholder rewards, the above publicly traded options appear to be just as compelling on a business level. The next step is determining a reasonable price to pay. Disclosure: I am/we are long BRK.B. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Bright Future Secured As PPL Corp. Set To Grow EPS Moving Forward

Summary PPL’s complete focus on regulated operations will augur well for performance and stock price. Company’s U.S. regulated utilities are expected to enjoy healthy EPS growth of 8%-10% in the next five years. EPS growth is backed by attractive capital investment plan. Stock valuation will expand given strong regulated operations. PPL Corporation (NYSE: PPL ) is a suitable investment prospect for income investors seeking modest capital appreciation. The stock has an impressive yield of 4.8% and earnings for the company are expected to grow in a range of 4%-6% in future years, which will augur well for the stock valuation. PPL has been undertaking correct strategic decisions and has correctly directed its focus on regulated utility operations, which will fuel its future EPS growth. Furthermore, I think PPL’s transformation into a complete rate regulated electric utility company is favorable. The company plans to repatriate cash from U.K. operations, which will strengthen its cash flows and support growth investment and dividend growth. Moreover, the company has further de-risked the U.K. segment’s operations by reducing currency exposure through currency hedging. Moreover, the stock’s current valuation stays compelling in comparison to its industry. Correct Strategic Measures and Strong Growth Prospects Utility companies in the U.S. have been aggressively working to reduce their competitive business operations and increase regulated operations, as forward power prices have been volatile and weak. Increasing regulated operations will augur well for U.S. utility companies’ future performance as their revenues and cash flows will become more certain, which will lower business risk and result in stock valuation expansion. PPL has also recently completed the spinoff of its competitive operations, and the remaining business operations at the company make up a quality U.S. regulated growth story. In future, I think the stock valuation will expand because of the company’s improved risk profile. After the spinoff of the competitive operations and transition into a fully regulated utility, S&P upgraded the company’s credit rating to ‘A-‘ from ‘BBB’. Moving ahead, the company will continue to focus on its U.S. regulated operations, which will fuel its earnings growth. I think the company’s U.S. regulated utilities will enjoy EPS growth of almost 10% in the next five years, increasing to $1.34 in 2019 up from $0.90 in 2015, mainly driven by its attractive growth investments; PPL has a plan to make total capital investments of $18 billion in the next five years. The company expects its U.S. utilities to grow its earnings in a range of 8%-10% in the next five years. However, the company’s U.K.’s segment growth is expected to stay flat in the next five years, which will dampen the impressive U.S. growth; total EPS growth for the company is expected to be in a range of 4%-6% in future. Consistent with its initiatives to strengthen its consolidated growth, I think the company has rightly planned to repatriate $290 million of cash from the U.K. in 2015 and $300-$500 million in 2016-2017. The planned cash repatriation will allow the company to support its capital investments in future years and increase dividends. Moreover, in my opinion, the company has further de-risked the U.K. segment by lowering currency exposure through hedges. The company is now 100% hedged against the pound for 2015, 90% and 40% hedged for 2016 and 2017, respectively. Moreover, in order to meet carbon emission requirements, the company might opt to revive its shelved plan to construct a $900 million 700MW CCGT expansion at its Green River site. If the company decides to construct the plant, it could provide incremental EPS of $0.05-$0.07 annually, and will help PPL reduce carbon emissions and help meet 150-300MW of shortfall anticipated for the near future. As the company continues to make progress with its plans to focus on regulated operations, its performance has been improving. Given the company’s strong performance in the first two quarters of 2015, PPL has increased its EPS guidance from $2.05-$2.25 to $2.15-2.25 . In addition, given the increase in revenues and cash flows certainty because of complete focus on regulated operations, I think dividend growth for the company will stay strong, which will bode well for the stock price. PPL offers a yield of 4.7%. Separately, the stock’s current valuation stays compelling, as it is trading at a forward P/E of 13x, versus the industry forward P/E of 16x. Given the increased focus on regulated operations and strong earnings growth prospects, I think the stock valuation multiple will expand. Summation The company’s future growth prospects stay strong and it is on track to delivering a healthy performance in future years. The company’s complete focus on regulated operations will augur well for its performance and the stock price. Also, the company’s U.S. regulated utilities are expected to enjoy healthy EPS growth of 8%-10% in the next five years, backed by its attractive capital investment plan. Moreover, the stock valuations stay attractive, as it is trading at a forward P/E of 13x , in comparison to the industry forward P/E of 16x . Moving ahead, given the strong regulated operations, the stock valuation will expand. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.