Tag Archives: stocks

401(k) Fund Spotlight: Janus Triton

Summary Janus Triton is a small to mid capitalization growth stock fund. Triton has consistently beaten the Russell small capitalization growth indexes, but not the higher quality S&P 600 Small Cap indexes. Triton is overweight the technology sector, which comprises about 31% of the fund. A look at some of the fund’s largest technology holdings reveal the manager is true to the fund’s promise of investing in companies with “differentiated business models”. Introduction I select funds on behalf of my investment advisory clients in many different defined contribution plans, namely 401(k)s and 403(b)s. I have looked at a lot of different funds over the years. 401(k) Fund Spotlight is an article series that focuses on one particular fund at a time that is widely offered to Americans in their 401(k) plans. 401(k)s are now the foundational retirement savings vehicle for many Americans. They should be maximized to the fullest extent. A detailed understanding of fund options is a worthwhile endeavor. To get the most out of this article, it is helpful to understand my approach to investing in 401(k)s . I strive to write these articles for the benefit of the novice and professional. Please comment if you have a question. I always try to give substantive responses. Janus Triton Fund The Janus Triton Fund has the following share classes: I will assume the “T” shares for this article, since that is the share class that holds the most assets of the fund. It is also the primary share class used by Janus to evaluate historical calendar year returns. The net expense ratio for the T shares is .93. Evaluating Historical Performance Triton is a small/mid capitalization (“cap”) growth fund. Janus compares the fund’s historical performance to the Russell 2000® Growth Index and the Russell 2500™ Growth Index and it comes out favorably, as shown on the following table: as of September 30, 2015 1 Year 3 Year 5 Year 10 Year Janus Triton – T Shares 5.1% 14.2% 14.1% 11.4% Russell 2500™ Growth Index 3.4% 13.8% 13.9% 8.4% Triton Outperformance (Underperformance) 1.7% .4% .2% 3.0% Russell 2000® Growth Index 4.0% 12.9% 13.3% 7.7% Triton Outperformance (Underperformance) 1.1% 1.3% .8% 3.7% Triton has outperformed both growth benchmarks over all four of these time periods. Most notably, Triton’s outperformance in the important (for long term investors at least) 10-year category ranged from 3.0% to 3.7%. This particular 10-year period is also noteworthy, because it included one of the worst bear markets in U.S. stock market history. However, taking a step back, it is important to ask the question: “Are the Russell indexes the best for comparison?” Perhaps they are if your fund is always outperforming them. There are other widely used small cap indexes from S&P that have outperformed the Russell small cap indexes over time. (This article explains the difference between the two.) The S&P Small 600 Index tends to hold a bit higher quality stocks. For example, it requires index members to have at least four consecutive quarters of positive earnings. I drew up a chart of Triton versus the SPDR S&P Small Cap 600 Index ETF (NYSEARCA: SLY ) and the SPDR S&P Small Cap Growth Index ETF (NYSEARCA: SLYG ) since March 1, 2009 (arguably the approximate date of the current secular bull market). Here is what it looks like: JATTX Total Return Price data by YCharts A:JGMAX C:JGMCX I:JSMGX N:JGMNX S:JGMIX R:JGMRX T:JATTX Out of the three, the SPDR S&P Small Cap 600 Growth Index ETF was the winner, but only slightly. Overall, I think it could be said that all three have pretty much been running neck and neck throughout this bull market. According to Barrons , Triton has outperformed 89% of its peers, as measured by the Lipper Small Cap Growth Index, over the last five years. I think the fact that it beat such a large percentage of its peers, but still trailed the S&P Small Cap 600 Growth Index ETF during this bull market, really speaks to the quality of the S&P Small Cap 600 indexes. Overall, the fund has a solid performance track record. If available in a 401(k), I would likely choose either of the similar S&P Small Cap 600 Indexes though instead. The index gives you a lower expense ratio, so you have a slight advantage right out of the gate. Triton, like so many other mutual funds, is so widely diversified that it really cannot stray to far from the index as long as it remains fully invested. The problem is not so much that the fund holds 120 different stocks, it is that there are only four stocks that comprise more than 2% of the fund each. Other Noteworthy Tidbits Triton does have a substantially overweight position in information technology (31% of the fund as of October 31, 2015) compared to the Russell 2500 ™ Growth Index’s (21%). The fund may present a good angle for investors interested in having more exposure to the sector without going overboard. However, the overall fund has a forward Price to Earnings (“P/E”) multiple of 24, which is very high. I suspect that some of the information technology stocks it holds are widely overvalued. Let us dig a little deeper. The industries the fund has most exposure to are Software (12% of fund) and Information Technology Services (9%). The following table lists the fund’s largest holdings within these two sectors and their trailing twelve month (“TTM”) and forward looking P/E multiples (taken from Yahoo! Finance). Company P/E Multiple (Last 12 Months) Forward P/E Multiple SS&C Technologies Holdings ( SSNC ) 98 22 BlackBaud ( BLKB ) 121 36 Cadence Design Systems ( CDNS ) 30 19 Euronet Worldwide ( EEFT ) 44 22 Broadridge Financial Solutions ( BR ) 24 18 Jack Henry & Associates ( JKHY ) 30 26 I tend to focus on forward looking multiples and most of these are too high for my liking, although I was a bit off on my speculation of wild overvaluation. They are not in the extreme territory of some overplayed growth stocks. Janus states in the Triton fund description that: “The Fund invests in small-cap companies with differentiated business models and sustainable competitive advantages that are positioned to grow market share regardless of economic conditions.” Glancing at the business descriptions of just these six companies leads me to believe that Triton’s manager is following through on this promise. These companies strike me as those that are not going away anytime soon and could continue to experience solid growth in their niches (e.g., payment processing for small financial institutions and designing web solutions for non-profits). Conclusion The Janus Triton Fund is a solid option for 401(k) investors looking to get exposure to small/mid cap growth stocks. I would not choose the fund over the S&P Small Cap 600 Growth Index, but that is rarely a choice. Triton has consistently beaten the comparable Russell growth indexes and most of its peers. I would likely choose it, or at least give it a higher allocation, than other such available options. Investing Disclosure 401(k) Spotlight articles focus on the specific attributes of mutual funds that are widely available to Americans within employer provided defined contribution plans. Fund recommendations are general in nature and not geared towards any specific reader. Fund positioning should be considered as part of a comprehensive asset allocation strategy, based upon the financial situation, investment objectives, and particular needs of the investor. Readers are encouraged to obtain experienced, professional advice. Important Regulatory Disclosures I am a Registered Investment Advisor in the State of Pennsylvania. I screen electronic communications from prospective clients in other states to ensure that I do not communicate directly with any prospect in another state where I have not met the registration requirements or do not have an applicable exemption. Positive comments made regarding this article should not be construed by readers to be an endorsement of my abilities to act as an investment adviser.

The Trans-Pacific Partnership – Biggest Winners

By Carl Delfeld On Friday, I gave an overview of the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) deals and how the proposed changes will affect the United States. I also revealed one American company poised to benefit from those changes: Hormel (NYSE: HRL ). Today, I’m back to finish this thread by identifying two Pacific Rim countries that are poised to be the biggest winners. In trade pacts, it’s not difficult to figure out who the big winners will be. They’re usually the least-developed countries in the grouping because they have less to lose and the most to gain. For certain sectors, however, more-developed countries can hold a winning hand. Ahead of the Pack New Zealand, for example, is poised to come out ahead. New Zealand represents 35% of world dairy exports, so it’s basically the “Saudi Arabia of dairy.” Fully 37% of its land mass is devoted to agriculture with 48% contributing to total exports. Ninety percent of farm production is exported. Clearly, I’m not the only one who thinks New Zealand is an exceptional place from a risk-reward perspective. Many of the wealthiest people in the world, who have the resources to go anywhere and buy anything, have been quietly establishing escape hatches there. Two of the TPPs others winners hail from Southeast Asia – Malaysia and Vietnam, which still lack bilateral trade agreements with four countries in the pact, including the United States. Both count on TPP members for roughly one-third of their trade, and Bank of America Merrill Lynch estimates that the TPP would push Malaysia’s exports up roughly 10% and Vietnam’s up 30%. And the Winner Is… While Japan and America will get a modest boost of economic growth as this agreement takes effect, the big winner will be Vietnam. According to UBS report, the TPP could potentially boost Vietnam’s economy by 14% over the next five years. This country of 93 million is bursting with youthful energy, with 50% of its tech-savvy citizens under the age of 30. Its manufacturing wages are 60% of China’s, which is why Samsung ( OTC:SSNLF ) makes half of its cell phones here. About 20% of Vietnam’s GDP is attributed to foreign investment, and that will likely surge even higher. So far in 2015, foreign direct investment is up a stunning 53%; most of it headed to the manufacturing sector. A consumer boom is already underway. To put the potential in perspective, right now only 1.7% of Vietnamese own a car; in Thailand, that figure is 40%. Vietnam also has the lowest GDP per capita among TPP member states: $1,900. Peru is the next lowest at $6,800. Vietnam will become a manufacturing destination for industries that require low-wage labor to remain competitive. Sectors that need cheap wages, such as apparel, footwear, and textiles, should greatly benefit. Eurasia Group estimates that footwear and apparel exports will see a 50% boost over the next 10 years due to the trade pact. “Vietnam has already made huge gains in garment and footwear production, and these deals will help boost its comparative advantage as factories look to relocate from China, promoting more job creation and technology transfer,” said Johanna Chua, an economist at Citigroup. This explains why Vietnam’s exports have tripled in U.S. dollar terms since 2007 and its exports to North American markets are up an amazing 30-fold since 2000. The TPP should lessen the country’s reliance on the Chinese market and widen its appeal to markets such as Canada and Mexico. Meanwhile, the country’s macro situation has markedly improved. A few years ago, inflation was running at 20%, but it’s now down to 2%. Interest rates have fallen from 15% to 6%, property markets have stabilized, and credit growth is up. Despite this progress, Vietnam’s stock market is still well off its high and trading at just eight times earnings. In addition, the current market value of all publicly traded companies in Vietnam is 30% of its GDP, while Thailand and the Philippines are trading at 95% and 115%, respectively. These gaps won’t last forever, so I encourage you to take action by blending the Market Vectors Vietnam ETF (NYSEARCA: VNM ) into your global portfolio. The ETF is a bit top heavy with its top 10 holdings representing 60% of total holdings. Don’t wait too long. This ETF has surged in the wake of the TPP negotiations, but has plenty of room to grow. Original Post