Tag Archives: stocks

ExOne Drops, But Q4 Earnings Add More Hope To 3D Printer Turnaround

ExOne ( XONE ) late Tuesday became the third 3D printer maker to report better-than-expected earnings for its most recent quarter, adding more hope for a turnaround in the beleaguered industry, even though 3D printer stocks fell Wednesday. After the market close Tuesday, ExOne reported Q4 revenue of $16.2 million, topping expectations of $14.7 million. Revenue rose 2.5% year over year, reversing three straight quarters of revenue deceleration. The company lost eight cents per share minus items, but that was seven cents better than the consensus estimate of analysts polled by Thomson Reuters. 3D Systems ( DDD ) and Stratasys ( SSYS ), the two largest providers of 3D printers, both also  beat expectations  with their Q4 earnings reports. ExOne stock initially rose as much as 7.5% in the stock market today , hitting an 11-month high near 14, but it closed Wednesday down 6.3%, at 12.12. That’s up from an all-time low of 6.61, touched on Jan. 20. Stratasys stock fell 8.6% Wednesday to 23.25, while 3D Systems fell 5.1% to 14.44. 3D Systems and Stratasys had soared over a two-year period that ended as 2013 came to a close. ExOne went public in February 2013 with shares priced at 18. The stock had traded above 70 in early January 2014, then headed downhill. All three gave back their gains starting in 2014 as the promise of 3D printing seemed to fade with disappointing quarterly earnings reports. 3D Systems stock hit its record low of 6 set on Jan. 20. Stratasys touched a record low of 14.88 set on Jan. 26. Some analysts continue to hold a cautious tone on 3D printing stocks. After Stratasys reported its Q4 earnings, Cowen analyst Robert Stone said that its visibility was still limited, though he raised his price target on the company to 23 from 19. 3D Systems, in its Q4 earnings release, said that industry conditions remain challenging. But Terry Wohlers, president of Wohlers Associates, which provides technical, market and strategic analysis on the 3D printer market, is upbeat. He says that corporations, governments and universities have embraced 3D printing technology. “If you look at the industry through the lens of investors and share price, that will give you a distorted view of what’s happening in the 3D printer market,” Wohlers told IBD.

Why Now May Be The Moment To Get In On Value

The market’s almost immediate plunge to start 2016 cast a pall over what might have been shiny prospects for a new year, just two weeks from the Fed’s “balanced” assessment of U.S. economic conditions and the first rate hike in nearly nine years. Often forgotten in the doom and gloom is that volatility means down… and up. What intrigues me as a 30+-year value investor is that value stocks have been among the most volatile. And that seemingly has sent investors packing. At the end of 2015, there was $2.7 trillion in growth mutual funds, almost double the $1.5 trillion invested in value mutual funds. This underallocation to value stocks could mean missed opportunity. Let’s look at a hypothetical $10,000 investment in growth, core and value segments over the last decade. We can see where an investor might have missed out in this case. Click to enlarge Opportunity in the making We believe the recent overallocation to and performance strength in momentum and growth sets the stage for investor rebalancing. While the long-term path to value outperformance is not a straight line, and may be marked by alternating spates of value and growth leadership, we fully expect that investors are going to want and need to re-allocate back to value in their portfolios. As shown below, some of the periods of greatest value underperformance are followed by some of the most significant periods of outperformance. While the timing is impossible to predict, it’s not too great a leap to suggest we may be setting up for a rotation in favor of value stocks. Click to enlarge Actively seeking value Beginning in August of last year, the market began to price in weakening global economic conditions. The bearishness tightened its grip in the fourth quarter and early 2016, and as a result, we saw defensive stocks bid up to very full prices as value stocks got cheaper. It seems clear to me that the heightened volatility over this period has created attractive valuations in certain areas of the market. Indeed, by producing dislocations in the market, volatility effectively separates the potential stock winners of the future from underperformers. As the chart below shows, the valuation spreads within sectors are wider than their long-term historic average in many areas of the market. The greater the controversy in the investment case, the greater the dispersion in valuation. That means some stocks are priced low and others high. We are seeing that most acutely in the energy sector. Click to enlarge But buyer beware: Determining which of those low-priced names are true bargains and which are priced low for good reason requires deep understanding of each industry and company. While we approach the market stock by stock, certain areas seem riper for the picking now: Banks. We see banks as less volatile than they have been in the not-too-distant past, characterized by stronger balance sheets and less volatile results. Yet, they are trading at lower valuations. Energy. The key questions here are: 1) when will oil prices bottom and 2) how high will oil prices go in a recovery? We lean to the optimistic side on both. We think oil prices could bottom in the second quarter and head up in the second half of 2016. And while the consensus sees oil recovering to $50-$60 a barrel, our year-end estimate is above $75. But selectivity is important. An investor grab for high-quality, low-risk stocks without regard for valuation or risk/reward has created some attractive long-term opportunities elsewhere in the sector, but a number of stocks in this sector will continue to underperform. Technology. By our analysis, large-cap tech stocks with high return on invested capital are trading at cheap valuations relative to both their history and the broader market, while also generating solid cash. The significant cash balances allow flexibility, and the recent price declines of fast-growing companies may create attractive merger and acquisition opportunities. Healthcare. Despite current market fears, we’ve found a number of interesting stocks that are attractively priced relative to history and compared to the broader market. Healthcare also exhibits better growth and is cheaper than other defensive sectors, such as consumer staples and utilities. The sector benefits from favorable demographic tailwinds (namely, the aging of the population) and continued innovation. Of course, this only scratches the surface. My colleagues and I are excited about the opportunity ahead. Our objective is to work from the bottom up (starting with the individual stocks) to find compelling investment opportunities that are mispriced by the market over a two- to three-year time horizon. We believe the current environment is wildly conducive to that. While we acknowledge China’s overcapacity and economic weakness, we believe the market was overzealous in pricing in the probability of a U.S. recession. In fact, February and early March have shown a reversal in pessimism… and in markets. This has created some attractive investment opportunities. In our assessment, the period of underperformance has produced some bargains and sets the stage for a rebalancing in favor of value. This post originally appeared on the BlackRock Blog.

Amazon’s Irony: Stock Shows Bullish And Bearish Traits At Same Time

Loading the player… Amazon ( AMZN ) is currently trading about 18% off of its high, reached at the end of last year; a weak Q4 earnings report in late January dragged it down. And now reports say that a rival, Alphabet ( GOOGL )-owned Google, is winning some big cloud service clients, including Disney ( DIS ), Home Depot ( HD ), Apple ( AAPL ) and Spotify. The Google platform competes against the e-commerce giant’s Amazon Web Services cloud service. Amazon shares are finding support at a key area today, but the technicals are also flashing a potentially bearish sign. The stock rose 1.6% in light trade Wednesday, finding support at its 50-day and 200-day lines as it works on a consolidation pattern. But those lines could soon cross, an action that’s bearish and signals short-term underperformance. Meanwhile, Alphabet is working on a cup base with an 810.45 buy point. Alphabet shares are currently trading 6% below that pivot point and fell 0.3% Wednesday. And speaking of widely held tech stocks, Facebook ( FB ) is working on a cup base with a 118.69 buy point. The stock is trading 4% below its buy zone. Facebook shares edged up 0.3% Wednesday. Microsoft ( MSFT ) is shaping a consolidation base with a 56.85 buy point and is trading 5% below the pivot. Microsoft shares dipped 0.2% Wednesday. And Apple has been in a consolidation pattern since last April. It’s trading 21% below its high, reached about 11 months ago. Apple shares lost 0.6%.