Tag Archives: seeking

Van Eck Partners With Merk On Deliverable Gold ETF

By DailyAlts Staff The Van Eck family of funds is well-known for its popular Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA: GDX ) and Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA: GDXJ ) exchange-traded funds. Its mutual fund, the Van Eck International Investors Gold Fund (MUTF: INIVX ), rounded out Van Eck’s precious-metals offerings – until recently. On October 26, the firm announced it had begun to act as the marketing agent for the Merk Gold Trust, now known as the Van Eck Merk Gold ETF (NYSEARCA: OUNZ ). Physical Delivery of Gold Despite the name-change, the fund is keeping its “OUNZ” ticker symbol, which is also how investors commonly refer to it. OUNZ was originally launched by Merk President and CIO Axel Merk and his team, who sought to give investors a liquid and cost-efficient way to buy and hold gold, while also giving them the option of taking physical delivery , if and when desired. To date, OUNZ is the only gold ETF that provides this option – and it’s patented. “Through OUNZ, investors may buy gold with the ease of an ETF, but also have the option to take delivery of their gold when they want, where they want, in the form they want,” said Van Eck CEO Jan van Eck, in a recent statement. “We’re pleased to be teaming up with Merk Investments to offer the fund to more investors.” Natural Partnership Van Eck has a long history of gold investing. GDX was the first gold-mining ETF on the market, and before that, the Van Eck International Investors Gold Fund was the first gold mutual fund. These distinctions made Van Eck a “natural partner” for Merk, according to Mr. Merk. “Van Eck’s long and storied history in gold investing makes them a natural partner for us as we continue to educate investors about OUNZ and the role that physical gold exposure can play in a portfolio,” he said. “Our unique approach to providing investors with the opportunity to redeem their shares for physical gold coupled with Van Eck’s deep knowledge base, marketing acumen and outstanding reputation make this a very exciting partnership.” OUNZ originally launched in May 2014 . Through October 27, 2015, the ETF had lost 10.4% since its inception. The SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSEARCA: GLD ) – which also tracks the price of physical gold – lost 10.3% over the same period. Past performance does not necessarily predict future results.

Illiquid Securities Could Bite Mutual Fund Shareholders In The Rear

Increasingly mutual funds are buying into startups before they are public. That sounds great as you read about the valuations afforded non-traded startups. But look at the 2000 tech stock bubble, startups don’t always work out as planned. There has been a series of articles lately spattered across The Wall Street Journal, the New York Times, and Forbes discussing the issue of mutual funds and illiquid securities. It isn’t that this is a huge problem, but it’s one that’s worth understanding because it could have a notable impact on you if you happen to own a fund like , say, the Fidelity Contrafund Fund (MUTF: FCNTX ). How much is Airbnb worth? Around the middle of 2015 , Airbnb raised $1.5 billion worth of money by selling non-public shares. That gave the company a valuation of roughly $25.5 billion. Just for reference, Marriott International’s market cap is around $20 billion. Airbnb is a hot tech startup that helps people rent out their guest rooms over the internet. (Marriott is just a lowly public company that’s been doing the whole hotel thing for decades.) Airbnb is such a hot investment because it’s part of the “sharing economy” theme that’s big right now, including names like Uber. Uber is pretty much an online taxi service that allows every day folks to hire themselves out for rides. These are exciting ideas, to be sure, though I’m not a big fan myself. The idea of having strangers stay in my home or of staying in a stranger’s home doesn’t appeal to me. I’ll just pay for a room at a hotel, thanks. But the sharing society theme is really changing the world as we know it. Uber, for example, has prompted taxi drivers around the world to revolt . (And why not, taxi drivers generally have to go through hoops to get their hack licenses, anyone with a car and an Internet connection could potentially become an Uber driver.) But here’s the thing, Uber and Airbnb are private companies. Mom and pop investors can’t buy into them. But as the Airbnb example above shows, sophisticated and wealthy investors can and do. The list of well-heeled investors looking to get in on the next big thing before it goes public, however, is increasingly including mutual funds. The kind of funds that mom and pop investors actually own. That’s some list Take, for example, the Fidelity Contrafund. A quick look at the fund’s June 2015 semi-annual report shows that it’s invested in Airbnb and Uber. But that’s not the end of the list, it’s also invested in 23andme, Blue Apron, Dropbox, and Pinterest, among others. If you’ve never heard of some of these companies don’t feel bad, they are private placement darlings. But if you own Contrafund, you own a tiny slice of these startups. To be fair, they are just a small portion of Contrafund’s portfolio, but I’m not sure that these are the types of companies investors were thinking about when they gave Fidelity Contrafund their hard-earned money to invest. Contrafund, by the way, is hardly alone. For example, the T. Rowe Price Media & Telecommunications Fund (MUTF: PRMTX ) also owned Uber, Dropbox, and Airbnb, among many other private placements at the mid-point of the year . (Just to be clear, I’m not sure Uber or Airbnb count as media or telecom, and I’ll give a leery pass on Dropbox.) Forbes , meanwhile, recently highlighted the Hartford Growth Opportunities Fund (MUTF: HGOIX ) as having as much as 6% of assets in such investments with the Davis Global Fund (MUTF: DGFYX ) at 4%, those are getting to notable numbers percentage wise. And, obviously, This isn’t unique to one fund sponsor or one fund. So my first big concern is really about fund companies living up to their fiduciary duty. Are these the types of investments that should be in a portfolio meant for small investors? You could argue that the funds are providing access to an area from which investors would be otherwise excluded. Moreover, compared to the total portfolio, these investments are relatively small and could have a big payoff. These are true statements and I can see the validity of the arguments. But I remember how shocking it was to watch the tech bubble implode. It was exactly these types of companies that did the imploding once they came public. Is that risk reward tradeoff a good one for a retiree? I’m not sure it is. And if the excitement fades before these private placements list on a public exchange, these investments could turn sour and leave the funds that own them with no way out. Is that a real number? So the appropriateness of private placements in mutual funds is my first concern. But that leads to other issues. For example, it can be hard, if not contractually impossible, to sell private placements since there’s no public market. That means these are illiquid securities that could weigh down the fund in a bear market. The manager will have no choice but to sell more liquid, and potentially better, companies to meet redemptions if investors start pulling money out of the fund. That’s true even if the private companies are still doing OK operationally. And valuations are tricky, too. To give you an example, in PRMTX’s June semi-annual report it’s investment in Airbnb is listed as worth twice what it was purchased for in April of 2014. But there’s no public market so it basically had to make that number up. That’s why there’s a little number 3 footnote next to the position. That footnote tells you that its a level 3 security for valuation purposes. Note 2 to the semi-annual report explains that level 3 prices are based on “unobservable inputs.” (If that wording isn’t ominous, I don’t know what is.) In other words, T. Rowe Price didn’t have a whole lot to go on when assigning Airbnb and its other private placements a valuation. I’m going to believe that they did the best they could to come up with a reasonable valuation, but there’s a problem here. A recent Wall Street Journal article listed the per share price that was used for Uber at four different mutual funds. The difference between the highest and lowest valuations varied by nearly $7 a share. The low end was Contrafund at $33.32 a share. The high end was the BlackRock Global Allocation Fund (MUTF: MDLOX ) at $40.02 a share. On an absolute dollar basis that doesn’t seem so bad, but it’s a strikingly large 20% difference. Interestingly, the Vanguard U.S. Growth Fund (MUTF: VWUSX ) was toward the high-end at $39.64. (Yes, even Vanguard is doing it!) Now here’s an awkward questions that you can’t help but ask: Are some fund families inflating the valuation of private placement investments to boost performance? I don’t want to believe that’s true, but a 20% difference is pretty large. How could these supposedly smart people be so far apart? You have to admit that there’s a lot of temptation there, even if it turns out that everything is on the up and up. Knowing is half the battle This isn’t a reason to sell all your mutual funds. But it is a warning that you should take a moment to review the list of securities that your mutual funds own. You might be surprised at what you find. And while the exposure to these securities might seem small today, don’t underestimate the risk this could pose to the fund and your wealth. That’s particularly true if the impressive valuations that private placements are being afforded today turn out to be nothing more than wishful thinking-just like the Internet darlings that fell of a cliff in the tech crash.

Are Commission-Free Sector ETFs Really The Better Choice?

Summary Fidelity offers nine S&P Sector ETFs commission-free to its clients. The SPDR Select Sector funds have a long history and are widely used in various sector-switching strategies. How do the relative performances of these two sets of funds compare if we consider them for the short intervals that are typically used in such strategies? As I described previously ( here ), I maintain a dual-momentum S&P sector-switching portfolio which I rebalance every 30 days. To avoid commissions, I use Fidelity’s S&P Sector ETFs. The alternative, and the basis for most published sector-switching strategies would be SPDR’s long-established series of S&P Sector Select ETFs. The SPDR funds have been in existence since 1998; Fidelity’s offerings are just over two years old. Using the two-years data on the Fidelity funds I compared their performance with the SPDR funds. In doing so, I looked at intervals of 1, 3, 6, 12 and 24 months plus YTD. The results were informative but didn’t really give a satisfactory answer to my question, which was: Is the savings on commissions worthwhile, or might the SPDR funds performance be strong enough to wipe out the commission-free advantage of the Fidelity funds? The reason that exercise was inadequate to answer the question was that I used a single, fixed end-point. What is needed is the full history for the full period. If the funds are traded every 30 days (the minimum to qualify for the free trades), the funds’ relative performances to date is not the most relevant metric. Rather, it’s their performance over rolling 30-day periods for the entire history. I should note here that the actual intervals between trades vary from 30 to as many as 33 calendar days depending on when non-trading weekends and holidays relative to the 30-day minimum holding period. For the purposes of the strategy there’s a $48 fixed-cost for commissions on trading three funds every 30-days if using the SPDR funds. That’s $8/trade for each for three round trips. Funds that have commission costs associated with them would, therefore have to beat the commission-free funds by that $48 a month to justify foregoing the commission free funds. The $48 is a fixed cost regardless of the size of the trades, so the margin of outperformance required will depend on the size of the total portfolio. I’ll use three examples as I proceed. A $10,000 portfolio would need to beat by 0.48 percentage points on average to break even. For a $50K portfolio it would only need to beat by 0.096 points; for $100K, it is a near-trivial 0.048 points. The list of funds I examined is: Fidelity MSCI Consumer Discretionary Index ETF (NYSEARCA: FDIS ) Fidelity MSCI Consumer Staples Index ETF (NYSEARCA: FSTA ) Fidelity MSCI Energy Index ETF (NYSEARCA: FENY ) Fidelity MSCI Financials Index ETF (NYSEARCA: FNCL ) Fidelity MSCI Health Care Index ETF (NYSEARCA: FHLC ) Fidelity MSCI Industrials Index ETF (NYSEARCA: FIDU ) Fidelity MSCI Materials Index ETF (NYSEARCA: FMAT ) Fidelity MSCI Information Technology Index ETF (NYSEARCA: FTEC ) Fidelity MSCI Utilities Index ETF (NYSEARCA: FUTY ) Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA: XLY ) Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA: XLP ) Energy Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA: XLE ) Financials Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA: XLF ) Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA: XLV ) Industrials Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA: XLI ) Materials Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA: XLB ) Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA: XLK ) Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA: XLU ) It’s important to note that these are not strictly comparable in two cases. The Fidelity information technology ETF does not include telecoms; the SPDR information ETF does. SPDR also has a separate financial services fund which has no counterpart in Fidelity’s lineup, so the financial funds take somewhat differing approaches to the sector. My approach to this was to download the full data sets from Yahoo.finance for the Fidelity funds and for the SPDR funds for the same dates (for any interested readers, I use Samir Khan’s Multiple Stock Quote Downloader for Excel to do this efficiently, and highly recommend it.). I computed rolling 30-day returns using adjusted close data to account for dividends. I then plotted the differences between each SPDR fund and its Fidelity counterpart. Results The charts of the difference between the Sector Select SPDR ETF and the Fidelity MSCI Sector Index ETF follow. (click to enlarge) (click to enlarge) (click to enlarge) (click to enlarge) For these charts, positions above the zero line represent outperformance by the SPDR fund and those below the zero line show outperformance by the Fidelity fund for each of the rolling 30-day period from 11 Dec 2013 through 9 Nov 2015(n=482). The +0.5ppts line is a relevant marker because it’s the break-even point for commission costs on the $10K portfolio. In the next chart we can see that with two exceptions — health care and the poorly matched technology funds — the SPDR funds consistently have greater numbers of higher performing 30-day intervals. (click to enlarge) On a level playing field the choice would seem to favor the SPDR ETFs. But what about the original question? Now that we know the SPDR funds outperform in seven of the nine cases, we need to know if they outperform by sufficient margins and with sufficient frequency to overcome their commission costs. In this table, I list the percent of 30-day rolling returns where the SPDR ETFs met the minimum difference excess return required for break-even for each of three portfolio sizes, $10K, $50K and $100K. For the $10,000 portfolio it’s not even close. The commission costs would have been covered by superior returns from the SPDRs only 15.6% of the time on average. For much larger portfolios, $50 or $100K, it’s a near-wash, but even there the SPDRs fall short of clearing the break-even bar, albeit by a trivial amount. Summary S&P sector funds fill a niche in the market for a diverse range of switching strategies. Many of these involve short-term hold times and thirty days is not an uncommon choice. For traders who seek to save the commission costs associated with those frequent trades, the Fidelity offerings may be the only game in town. (Merrill Edge does offer 30 to 100 free trades a month for stocks or ETFs but requires a minimum of $25,000 in a cash account at either Merrill or Bank of America. For some, this can be an ideal choice.) I wanted to know if the Fidelity alternatives performed as well as the SPDRs or if the commissions (which are, after all, modest) might be a small price for getting better performance. I felt it was useful to put the results here because I’m sure I’m not alone in looking to the Fidelity sector funds as the cheaper alternative to the SPDR Select Sector ETFs. Results are interesting. The SPDR funds do outperform the Fidelity funds in all but two cases. One of these, Technology, is not a fully parallel comparison, so we can discount it. The other, Health Care, is a clear win for Fidelity unless I’ve missed nuances in the way the funds are structured. However, the differences are small enough to not justify moving to the SPDR funds. And, even if they were enough to push the over the break-even point, for my purposes I would opt for the Fidelity Health Care and InfoTech funds anyway. Indeed, I may change my pool to include the SPDR funds in the Consumer Discretionary, Energy and Industrial sectors where they are providing stronger returns. Realize, too, that I’ve treated the returns as a binary condition; they either make a cut or don’t. I’ve not considered the extent of outperformance, which can, of course, make a bit difference. A strictly qualitative look seems to indicate that the results are close enough that the analysis may not be worth the effort it will take, but I will spend some time thinking about how to go about doing it. Brokers are competing for our investing dollars. One front on these competitive battles is offering commission-free ETFs. These can be a boon to many of us who regularly invest modest amounts. I am much more willing to attempt to implement momentum strategies having a range of commission-free options available. At this time I have active three such strategies, all based on 30-day intervals using Fidelity’s cost-free ETFs (and all in IRA accounts, so there are no tax-consequences from the frequent trading). I’ve been wondering for some time if the commission-free funds were truly competitive. Superficial looks led me to the conclusion that they may not be my first choice for a buy and hold position, but for frequent trading commission-free, they are more than adequate. I’m satisfied that this casually validated finding is borne out by this more detailed look in the case of the sector funds.