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Best And Worst August ETFs

August was the cruelest month for the U.S. stock market with volatility levels peaking and China roiling the markets. The worries intensified when China unexpectedly devalued its currency on August 11, triggering off a brutal sell-off across the globe and deepening fears of global growth. The slide in the stocks continued following the weak Chinese factory activity data and the dovish Fed minutes. All these market gyrations raised questions on the six-year bull market and pushed the major bourses into the correction territory, pushing them 10% down from their recent heights. However, the latest slew of better-than-expected economic data, fresh China stimulus, and bargain hunting helped stocks to recover from the correction territory. Still, the uncertainty over the interest rates hike is looming large as one of the Fed officials hinted at an unlikely September rise in interest rates while another sees the hike in the cards. Notably, Dow Jones tumbled 6.6% in August, indicating the largest monthly loss since May 2010 while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index dropped 6.3% and 6.9%, respectively, representing the biggest monthly loss since May 2012. Added to the woes are weakness in the emerging markets and the slump in commodities. Though oil prices continued their plunge in the month leading to a further slump in the broad commodities, most of the losses were erased in the final two days of last week. Notably, U.S. oil surged 17% in just two days, representing the biggest two-day rally in six years. On the other hand, the risk-off sentiments led to a flight-to-safety among investors, giving a boost to Treasuries and gold. That being said, we have highlighted the two best and worst ETF performers of last month. Best ETFs C-Tracks on Citi Volatility Index ETN (CVOL ) – Up 91.1% Volatility products gained the most in August, as these tend to outperform when markets are falling or fear levels over the future are high, both of which are happening lately. As such, CVOL linked to the Citi Volatility Index Total Return, jumped about 91% last month. The note provides investors with direct exposure to the implied volatility of large-cap U.S. stocks. The benchmark combines a daily rolling long exposure to the third and fourth month futures contracts on the VIX with short exposure to the S&P 500 Total Return Index. The product has amassed $5.7 million in its asset base while charging 1.15% in annual fees from investors. The note trades in good volume of more than 103,000 shares per day. Sprott Junior Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA: SGDJ ) – Up 5.9% Though the rising interest rates concern has dulled the appeal for gold over the past several months, the uncertainty in the timing of the rates hike and global concerns are compelling investors to turn their focus on gold as a store of value. Acting as leveraged plays, gold miners tend to experience more gains than the gold bullion. SGDJ targets the small cap segment of the gold mining industry by tracking the Sprott Zacks Junior Gold Miners Index. The benchmark utilizes the factor-based methodology that seeks to emphasize companies with the strongest relative revenue growth and price momentum. In total, the fund holds a small basket of 33 stocks with the highest allocation to the top firm – Centerra Gold (NASDAQ: CG ) – at 8.8%. Other firms hold less than 5.8% of assets. In terms of country exposure, Canada takes the largest share at 74% while the U.S. receives just 13% of SGDJ. The fund has accumulated $20.1 million in AUM since its debut in March and sees a paltry volume of about 17,000 shares. Expense ratio came in higher at 0.57%. The fund gained nearly 6% in August. Worst ETFs Market Vectors ChinaAMC SME-ChiNext ETF (NYSEARCA: CNXT ) – Down 23.9% Though the Chinese contagion spread globally, A-shares ETFs were the worst hit by the rout. As a result, CNXT, which had a torrid run in the first half of 2015, plunged 23.9% in August. This fund offers exposure to the largest and most-liquid China A-share stocks listed and trading on the Small and Medium Enterprise (SME) Board and the ChiNext Board of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange by tracking the SME-ChiNext 100 index. It holds 102 stocks in its basket with none accounting for more than 4.30% share. About one-third of the portfolio is allotted to information technology, while industrials, consumer discretionary and health care round off the next three spots with double-digit exposure each. The product is unpopular and illiquid with AUM of $33 million and average daily volume of more than 141,000 shares. It charges 66 bps in fees per year. Market Vectors Solar Energy ETF (NYSEARCA: KWT ) – Down 20.4% The solar industry is entangled in vicious oil trading given investors’ misconception that oil price and solar market fundamentals are directly related with each other. Given this, KWT tumbled over 20% last month. The fund manages $17.7 million in its asset base and provides global exposure to 33 solar stocks by tracking the Market Vectors Global Solar Energy Index. It is somewhat concentrated on the top 10 holdings with 57.3% of assets. In terms of country exposure, the U.S. and China account for the top two countries with 37.4% and 30.8% allocation, respectively, closely followed by Taiwan (15.5%). The product has an expense ratio of 0.65% and sees paltry volume of about 2,000 shares a day. Link to the original article on Zacks.com

PPL Maintains Attractive Fundamental Outlook

Summary PPL’s transformation into a regulated electric utility and constant investments are key positives of the stock. PPL will have a better rate base growth in the years ahead. The company’s shareholders will continue to enjoy healthy dividend growth in the years ahead. I reaffirm my bullish stance on PPL Corporation (NYSE: PPL ); the company has been executing correct growth efforts and its financial performance remains satisfactory. PPL’s initiative of investing heavily in energy infrastructure development projects is well in-line with its long-term growth generating strategy. Moving ahead, the company’s growth investments will serve as an important source of generating healthy sales and cash flows with rate base growth in the long run. Moreover, PPL has transformed itself into a 100% regulated utility with the spin-off of its competitive energy operations, which will provide stability to its future cash flow base and highlights the security of its consistent dividend growth. Furthermore, the stock offers a potential upside of approximately 18%, based on my price target, as shown below. PPL Is an Attractive Buy In the past few years, U.S. utility companies have been investing heavily in infrastructure growth and development projects. Given the fact that the U.S. electricity demand graph is expected to grow consistently, as shown in the graph below, I believe that ongoing hefty infrastructural development and growth-related investments by U.S. utility companies will serve as an important driver of their future earnings and cash flow growth. (click to enlarge) Source: bv.com As far as PPL is concerned, the company has been spending aggressively on infrastructural growth projects, most importantly to develop its transmission business. During 2Q’15, PPL has completed one of its major transmission business-related investment projects, the 500-KV Susquehanna-Roseland transmission project. This upgraded Susquehanna-Roseland transmission line will act as a model for its future transmission projects, which are lined up to improve the company’s transmission operations. Also, it will make PPL’s electric services more reliable in the long run. Moreover, the company’s 640-MW Cane Run unit 7, the first combined cycle gas plant in Kentucky, is also operational now. The unit has replaced PPL’s 800MW coal-fired generation as part of its plan to reduce its reliance on coal and move to energy efficient gas-powered units. Moving ahead, as the company continues to invest in its infrastructural development-related projects, I believe PPL’s rate base will decently grow in the years ahead, which will ultimately better its top-line, cash flows and earnings base. In its efforts to gain regulated rate base growth, the company filed a rate increase request to Pennsylvania Utility Commission (PUC) in which it is seeking an increase of $167.5 million in annual base distribution revenue on 10.95% ROE and 51.6% equity ratio on a rate base of $3.2 billion. This rate case hike request is backed by the company’s ongoing investments in renewing, strengthening and modernization of its distribution network. If approved, the proposed rate hike will add to PPL’s future top-line, earnings and cash flow base growth. Meanwhile, the company’s recently approved rate case increase of $125 million for KU and $7 million for LG&E will positively affect its top-line numbers. In addition, PPL’s effective transformation into 100% regulated utility after the spin-off of its competitive business operations has improved its risk profile. During the 2Q’15 earnings conference call, while talking about the strong growth prospects of its company, PPL’s CEO s aid : “…all of our utilities are investing heavily in infrastructure, producing robust rate base growth for PPL. In fact, organic growth in our domestic utilities is among the strongest in the U.S. utility sector with 8% to 10% earnings growth expected through 2017. We expect our combined rate base in the U.S. alone to grow by 47% over the next five years. That’s the equivalent of adding another major utility to our portfolio.” Given PPL’s transformation into a 100% regulated utility and also due to constant growth investments made by the company, I believe that its management’s anticipation of attaining an annual earnings growth rate of 4% to 6% through 2017 is achievable. Investors Remain rewarded at PPL The company has been sharing its success with shareholders through dividends. PPL had recently announced quarterly dividend payments of $0.3375, increasing the annualized dividend by 1.3% to $1.51/share . The company offers a dividend yield of 4.82% and has a low payout ratio of 56.40% . Owing to the company’s transformation into a regulated utility, which will provide stability to its top-line numbers and cash flows, I believe dividends offered by the company will grow consistently in future, which will portend well for its stock price. Analysts are also expecting a consistent increase in the company’s book value and cash flows per share, as shown in the chart below. (click to enlarge) Source: 4-Traders.com Price Target I have calculated a price target of $37 for PPL, using a dividend discounting method. In my price target calculations, I used cost of equity of 8% and nominal growth rate of 3%. The stock offers a potential upside of approximately 18%, as per my calculated price target, as shown below. 2015 2016 2017 Terminal value DPS (In-$) 1.47 1.53 2 41 Present Value of DPS (In-$) 1.36 1.31 1.59 33 Source: Equity Watch Calculations & Estimates Total Present Value of DPS = Price Target = $1.36 + $1.31 + $1.59 + $33 = $37/share Risks Given the fact that the U.S. government has become more concerned about limiting the effect of carbon dioxide emissions from electricity generation plants of utilities, the company continues to face increased risk of regulatory restrictions in the form of taxes and fines. Furthermore, unexpected political and environmental changes, irregular weather patterns and higher fuel costs are key risks that might hamper PPL’s future stock price performance. Also, I believe that any laxness exhibited by the management during the execution of its planned strategic growth plans, mentioned above, will result in the company’s failure to produce financial results, per the management’s estimates. Conclusion PPL has an attractive fundamental outlook. The company’s transformation into a 100% regulated electric utility and its constant investments to expand and improve the transmission business are key positives of this stock, which indicate that PPL will have a better rate base growth in the years ahead, which will portend well for its top-line and earnings base. Also, it will strengthen the company’s future cash flow trajectory. Owing to the improved outlook of PPL’s future cash flow base, I believe its shareholders will continue to enjoy healthy dividend growth in the years ahead. Moreover, based on my price target, the stock offers potential price appreciation of 18%. Due to the aforementioned factors, I am bullish on PPL. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

August Asset Class Performance

These numbers are set to be a lot different at the open this morning given that Dow futures are down 400 points, but below is a snapshot of asset class performance since the 8/25 low, for the full month of August, and year-to-date through August. As shown, U.S. equity ETFs were down 5-7% across the board in August, even after bouncing 5-6% since August 25th. Country ETFs like Australia (NYSEARCA: EWA ), Brazil (NYSEARCA: EWZ ), China (NYSEARCA: FXI ), Hong Kong (NYSEARCA: EWH ) and India (NYSEARCA: INP ) were down 10%+ in August, while Russia (NYSEARCA: RSX ) was surprisingly the best performer with a decline of just 88 basis points. Commodity ETFs had a better August than stocks after the huge rally in crude oil that we saw over the final three trading days of the month. Treasury ETFs all finished modestly lower. Share this article with a colleague