Tag Archives: seeking-alpha

Dividend Growth Stock Overview: MGE Energy Inc.

Summary MGE Energy provides electric and natural gas service to 300,000 customers in Wisconsin. The company has paid dividends for over a century and increased them since 1977. Since 2010, MGE Energy has compounded dividends at about 3%. The stock currently yields 3.2%. About MGE Energy MGE Energy (NASDAQ: MGEE ) is a utility company providing electric and natural gas service to nearly 300,000 customers across parts of Wisconsin, including the capital of Madison. MGE Energy’s assets include 885 miles of overhead electric distribution lines and over 2,600 miles of gas distribution mains. The company conducts much of its operations through multiple subsidiaries, including MGE (Madison Gas and Electric), MGE Power Elm Road, and MGE Transco Investment LLC. The company has its headquarters in Madison and employs nearly 700 people. (Note: For purposes of this article, when referring to the publicly traded company, I will use the term MGE Energy. Where I use the term “MGE”, I’m referring to the subsidiary.) MGE Energy reports its results in five distinct business segments: Regulated Electric Utility Operations, Regulated Gas Utility Operations, Non-regulated Energy Operations, Transmission Investments, and “Other”. The Regulated Electric Utility Operations segment is responsible for generating, purchasing and distributing electricity through MGE Energy’s wholly owned subsidiary MGE. The segment serves over 140,000 customers, 86% of whom are residential customers; the remainder are commercial or industrial customers. The segment generated slightly more than half of MGE Energy’s total net income in 2014. The Regulated Gas Utility Operations segment purchases, transports and distributes natural gas to nearly 150,000 customers in 7 Wisconsin counties. Like the Electric Utility Operations segment, the ratio of residential to commercial/industrial customers is 8:1. The segment generated about 20% of MGE Energy’s 2014 net income. The Non-regulated Energy Operations segment controls two MGE Energy subsidiaries: MGE Power Elm Road, LLC and MGE Power West Campus, LLC. MGE Power Elm Road owns an 8.33% interest in two coal-fired generating units and MGE Power West Campus owns a controlling interest in a cogeneration facility on the campus of the University of Wisconsin. Both subsidiaries lease their shares of the assets to MGE for its electricity supply needs. 24% of MGE Energy’s 2014 net income was generated by this segment. The Transmission Investments segment controls MGE Energy’s investment in American Transmission Company LLC. MGE Transco Investment LLC (a subsidiary of MGE Energy) owns 3.6% of American Transmission. Earnings generated by this segment reflect MGE Energy’s share of American Transmission’s earnings. Finally, the “Other” segment includes subsidiaries that are responsible for investing in companies and property that support the regulated operations of the other segments, and that assist businesses expand within central Wisconsin. In 2014, MGE Energy earned $80.3 million on revenues of $619.9 million. These figures were up 7.2% and 4.9%, respectively. The bulk of the income growth came from a decrease in Electric Utility segment expenses. Net income from the Gas Utility segment was up 4.8% due to a colder winter as compared to 2013. Earnings per share were up 7.4% to $2.32, giving MGE Energy a payout ratio of 50.9% based on the annualized dividend of $1.18 per share. The long-term debt-to-equity ratio decreased in 2014 to 37.5% from 39.5% in 2013 due to a nearly 7% increase in shareholders’ equity. The company’s earnings are driven heavily by seasonal weather. With a return to more normal temperatures in 2015 (the winter of 2014 was unusually cold in MGE Energy’s operating area), the company’s earnings were down 34% in the 1st quarter and flat in the 2nd quarter. Combined earnings in the 1st half of 2015 were 92 cents a share, down 24% from $1.21 in the 1st half of 2014. The company has a share repurchase program to support the direct share and dividend reinvestment programs, but not to specifically reduce the number of outstanding shares. The company is a member of the Russell 2000 index and trades under the ticker symbol MGEE. MGE Energy’s Dividend and Stock Split History MGEE has compounded its dividend at about 3% since 2010. MGE Energy began increasing dividends in 1977. The company announces dividend increases in mid-August and the stock goes ex-dividend at the end of August. In August 2015, MGE Energy announced a 4.4% increase to an annualized rate of $1.18. I expect MGE Energy to announce its 40th year of dividend increases in August 2016. Like most utilities, MGE Energy increases its dividends very slowly, with annual increases in the low-to-mid single digit percentages. Over the last 5 years, the company has compounded its dividend at a rate of 3.1%. The dividend growth is slower over the long term, with 20-year and 25-year annual compound rates of roughly 1.6%. MGE Energy has split its stock 3 times in the last quarter century, each time 3-for-2. The stock split in January 1992, February 1996 and, most recently, in February 2014. A single share purchased prior to the first stock split would now be 3.375 shares. Over the 5 years ending on December 31, 2014, MGE Energy Inc.’s stock appreciated at an annualized rate of 17.72%, from a split-adjusted $19.90 to $44.99. This outperformed both the 13.0% compounded return of the S&P 500 index and the 14.0% compounded return of the Russell 2000 Small Cap index over the same period. MGE Energy’s Direct Purchase and Dividend Reinvestment Plans MGE Energy Inc. has both direct purchase and dividend reinvestment plans. You do not need to already be an investor in MGE Energy to participate in the plans. For new investors, the minimum initial investment is $250, or $25 if you sign up for 12 months of automatic investments. Follow on direct investments have a minimum of $25. The dividend reinvestment plan allows full or partial reinvestment of dividends. The plans’ fee structures are somewhat favorable for investors – the company picks up the transaction fee for purchases, but you’ll be assessed brokerage commissions on shares purchased on the open market. (There is no brokerage commission for shares purchased directly from the company.) When you go to sell your shares, you’ll pay a transaction fee of $15 plus the applicable brokerage commission. All fees will be deducted from the sales proceeds. Helpful Links MGE Energy’s Investor Relations Website Current quote and financial summary for MGE Energy (finviz.com) Information on the direct purchase and dividend reinvestment plans for MGE Energy Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

ETF Deathwatch For August 2015: 330 And Climbing

Eleven ETFs and ETNs came off of ETF Deathwatch this month because they are no longer with us. Five more escaped because they were able to show a sustained improvement in their health, although the two iShares ETFs in this category are scheduled to close in August. Even with these sixteen departures, the overall list has four more members than last month. The reason for this growth is the twenty new names being added. The ETF Deathwatch for August consists of 330 products (240 ETFs and 90 ETNs). Historically, the number of ETFs and ETNs on Deathwatch have shown strong correlation to new ETF launch activity. The theory behind this is simple: a large number of new ETFs coming to market must compete against the other new products as well as the established base. Even the above-average performers may fail to attract attention, as investors find it more and more difficult to stay abreast of current offerings. As launch activity dwindles and overall ETF assets grow, many of the better products begin to take hold and weaker ones close, forcing the quantity of products on Deathwatch to decrease. As with many economic realities, it comes down to supply and demand. If this historical relationship holds, then I expect the size of the ETF Deathwatch list to continue growing in 2015 since launch activity is on pace to be the third strongest year ever. Meanwhile, closure activity is on pace to set a new record, and hundreds more are not profitable for their sponsors and should be closed. I expect the next large wave of additions to ETF Deathwatch will be many of the recently hatched currency-hedged ETFs. As detailed in ETF Stats for July 2015 – Currency Hedging Jumps The Shark , the quantity of currency-hedged ETFs surged from 16 to 57 since the beginning of 2014. By the time August comes to a close, the number will be even higher. I suspect many of these funds will find their way to Deathwatch due to either lack of investor awareness or lagging performance when the dollar rally fades. The average asset level of products on ETF Deathwatch decreased from $6.9 million to $6.8 million, but the quantity of products with less than $2 million in assets rose from 57 to 62. The average age fell from 50.3 months to 49.7 months, although the number of products more than five years old increased from 105 to 110. Here is the Complete List of 330 Products on ETF Deathwatch for August 2015 compiled using the objective ETF Deathwatch Criteria . The 20 ETPs added to ETF Deathwatch for August: ALPS Emerging Sector Dividend Dogs ETF (NYSEARCA: EDOG ) Arrow DWA Tactical ETF (NASDAQ: DWAT ) Deutsche X-trackers Muni Infrastructure Revenue Bond ETF (NYSEARCA: RVNU ) Direxion Daily FTSE Developed Markets Bull 1.25x (NYSEARCA: LLDM ) Direxion Daily FTSE Emerging Markets Bull 1.25x (NYSEARCA: LLEM ) Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 1.25x (NYSEARCA: LLSP ) Direxion Daily Small Cap Bull 1.25x (NYSEARCA: LLSC ) ETFS Diversified-Factor Developed Europe (NYSEARCA: SBEU ) ETFS Diversified-Factor U.S. Large Cap (NYSEARCA: SBUS ) ETFS Zacks Earnings Large-Cap U.S. (NYSEARCA: ZLRG ) ETFS Zacks Earnings Small-Cap U.S. (NYSEARCA: ZSML ) ETRACS Wells Fargo MLP Ex-Energy ETN (NYSEARCA: FMLP ) iPath US Treasury 2-year Bear ETN (NASDAQ: DTUS ) iShares Global Inflation-Linked Bond (NYSEARCA: GTIP ) iShares MSCI International Developed Momentum Factor (NYSEARCA: IMTM ) iShares MSCI International Developed Quality Factor (NYSEARCA: IQLT ) Master Income ETF (NYSEARCA: HIPS ) ProShares Managed Futures Strategy (NYSEARCA: FUTS ) QuantShares Hedged Dividend Income (NYSEARCA: DIVA ) SPDR Barclays International High Yield Bond (NYSEARCA: IJNK ) The 5 ETPs removed from ETF Deathwatch due to improved health: UBS ETRACS Monthly Pay 2x Leveraged S&P Dividend ETN (NYSEARCA: SDYL ) Guggenheim BulletShares 2022 HY Corp Bond (NYSEARCA: BSJM ) iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Value Index ETF (NASDAQ: EVAL ) iShares MSCI Hong Kong Small-Cap (NYSEARCA: EWHS ) PowerShares KBW Property & Casualty Insurance (PBWP) The 11 ETPs removed from ETF Deathwatch due to delisting: CS X-Links 2x Monthly Merger Arbitrage ETN (NYSEARCA: CSMB ) CS X-Links HOLT Market Neutral Global Equity ETN (NYSEARCA: CSMN ) RBS China Trendpilot ETN (NYSEARCA: TCHI ) RBS Global Big Pharma ETN (NYSEARCA: DRGS ) RBS Oil Trendpilot ETN (NYSEARCA: TWTI ) RBS Rogers Enhanced Agriculture ETN (NYSEARCA: RGRA ) RBS Rogers Enhanced Commodity Index ETN (NYSEARCA: RGRC ) RBS Rogers Enhanced Energy ETN (NYSEARCA: RGRE ) RBS Rogers Enhanced Industrial Metals ETN (NYSEARCA: RGRI ) RBS Rogers Enhanced Precious Metals ETN (NYSEARCA: RGRP ) RBS US Large Cap Alternator ETN (NYSEARCA: ALTL ) Disclosure: No positions in any of the securities mentioned. No positions in any of the companies or ETF sponsors mentioned. No income, revenue, or other compensation (either directly or indirectly) received from, or on behalf of, any of the companies or ETF sponsors mentioned. Share this article with a colleague

Vietnam’s Transition From A Frontier Market To An Emerging Market

Summary Vietnam is on track to become an emerging country, with rapid economic growth ahead, and the removal of the FOL in some industries beginning next month. VinaCapital’s Vietnam Opportunity Fund and Vietnam Holdings are attractive options for investors due to their low valuation, and access to shares of companies fully held by foreign investors. Investors should avoid the Market Vectors Vietnam ETF, and consider closed-end funds as the most appropriate means to gain exposure to Vietnam. The recent devaluation has created low valuation in listed equity in Vietnam; this has created a buy opportunity. Vietnam is poised to be a dominant player in Asia, as China’s economy begins to slow down, and Vietnam continues to take key steps towards being an emerging country. The further devaluation of the dong this month has negatively affected listed equities in Vietnam, although it can consequently be viewed as a buy opportunity, given that it has created substantially low valuation for a large portion of listed equities in Vietnam. Issues with the Market Vectors Vietnam ETF VNM data by YCharts The Market Vectors Vietnam ETF (NYSEARCA: VNM ) has been substantially declining due to the dong’s devaluation, although the downward trend in stock price and poor performance is not a new phenomenon for this fund. Although the fund invests more than 70% of its assets in listed equities in Vietnam, its portfolio’s performance has been a poor reflection of Vietnam, as a value based/high dividend yield approach has been extremely successful for other investment funds. Moreover, the fund also suffers due to its inability to access shares of companies fully held by foreign investors. The FOL will be removed in some industries next month , serving as a major catalyst for the financial performance of funds in Vietnam that already have a large portfolio of companies fully held by foreign investors; this benefit will not transfer to the Market Vectors Vietnam ETF. Two closed-end funds, the Vinacapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund ( OTCPK:VCVOF ) and Vietnam Holdings ( OTC:VNMHF ), have substantially lower valuation, and also have shares of companies fully held by foreign investors, most notably Vinamilk. Therefore, the best means for U.S. investors to gain access to the growth that is ahead for Vietnam is through either one of these closed-end funds. Now is a very strategic moment to invest in Vietnam due to the recent decline in stock prices, the upcoming removal of the FOL, and Vietnam’s high economic growth and successful steps taken towards becoming an emerging market. Vietnam’s Macroeconomic Outlook Vietnam has an overall substantially positive macroeconomic outlook: Annual GDP growth was most recently 6.44%, and is projected to increase to 7% by the end of this year. High level of exports , due to the relative advantage of cheap labor, although Vietnam has most recently had a trade deficit of $329 million; exports in Vietnam have, however, doubled in the past five years. Consumer spending has nearly doubled since 2010, and is projected to increase by 26.8% YoY during the 2nd quarter of 2016; this growth trend is clearly not over. Retail sales are projected to increase by 19.6% YoY during the second quarter of 2016; retail sales most recently increased by 26.7% The Vietnamese dong has been a relatively stable currency in Asia, and the FX risk is well worth taking, considering the collective low valuation and high dividend yield of listed equity in Vietnam. Removal of FOL I previously interviewed Vietnam Holdings regarding the removal of the FOL in Vietnam in some industries next month. The process is still very unclear, but this decision made for September certainly serves as a crucial step for increased FDI in Vietnam. The removal of the FOL will be company and industry specific, and based on the following factors: Some industries, such as the banking industry, will choose not to remove the FOL, keeping foreign ownership at 10-30%. The decision to increase the FOL also requires approval from the company. Companies with large SCIC stakes will also be less likely to increase the FOL. Despite the lack of clarity and full initiation next month, this serves as a major catalyst for Vietnam’s stock market. Investment funds that have prepositioned themselves by building up a strong portfolio of companies fully held by foreign investors, even at the painful expense of a 20% premium, are sure to be rewarded in the future. Strength over China As China experiences slowed growth in GDP and exports, Vietnam continues to emerge as a superior alternative for manufacturing, due to its relatively lower wages. A report from Standard Chartered Bank recently stated that relocating to Vietnam could reduce operating costs by 19%; wages in China are expected to continue to rise by 8.4% in 2016. Vietnam can also further benefit from the soon to be initiation of the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement. Vietnam also has the relative advantage of lower corporate taxes , which should be lowered from 22% to 20% in 2016, representing a 5% reduction to China’s corporate taxes. Vinacapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund Vietnam Opportunity Fund is a closed-end investment company that invests its assets in listed and unlisted equity in Vietnam and surrounding countries in Asia. Some of these factors make it a strategic pick for the growth that is ahead for Vietnam: High discount : Its London listing trades at an 18.35% discount. Low valuation: The fund has a P/E 10.54, and is trading substantially below its book value, with a P/B of 0.68. The fund invests 15.1% of its assets in Vinamilk and DHG Pharmaceutical, two companies fully held by foreign investors. The 52-week change of -16.6% should be seen as a buy opportunity, as it has created substantially lower valuation. The fund has previously had a higher P/E, and its valuation is lower than the average valuation in Vietnam. High upside potential and low valuation of other listed equity, including Hoa Phat Group (8%) and Petrovietnam Drilling and Well Services (3.8%). Acceptable liquidity: The fund has an average 3-month trading volume of 13,650. Vietnam Holdings Vietnam Holdings is a closed-end investment company that invests its assets exclusively in Vietnam, with a value-based investment approach that incorporates social, environmental, and corporate governance standards. The fund is extremely undervalued, although the liquidity risk should be noted, as its average 3-month trading volume has recently increased to 859; its listing on the London Stock Exchange has substantially higher valuation . The following factors make this fund stand out, and an appropriate means to leverage from Vietnam’s future economic growth: Extremely low valuation : The fund has a P/E of 6.03, and is trading below its book value with a P/B of 0.92. The fund invests approximately 20% of its assets in companies fully held by foreign investors, including Vinamilk, DHG Pharmaceutical, FPT Corporation, and Viconship. The fund has had an impressive 52-week change of 16.92%, yet the valuation is still extremely low. In addition to strategically investing in companies fully held by foreign investors, the fund also has a very successful portfolio of companies with low valuation, including Hoa Phat Group, Petrovietnam Drilling and Well Services, and Binh Minh Plastic. Conclusion Now is a strategic time for investors to turn their attention to Vietnam, due to the strong benefits ahead, and the decline in the price of many funds due to the devaluation of the dong. The upcoming removal of the FOL in September will further serve as a catalyst for increased FDI and economic growth in Vietnam; this is also a crucial step towards Vietnam becoming an emerging market. Vietnam has a very favorable economic outlook, with a projected increase in annual GDP growth, consumer spending, and retail sales. Listed equity in Vietnam has the key advantages of having low valuation and high dividend yields, which can prove to be a valuable endeavor for value investors. Unfortunately, gaining access to this growth in not simple for U.S. investors, as the Market Vectors Vietnam ETF has historically been a poor reflection of Vietnam’s potential. Therefore, U.S. investors should turn their attention towards closed-end funds, which include Vietnam Holdings and VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunities Fund. Editor’s Note: This article discusses one or more securities that do not trade on a major U.S. exchange. Please be aware of the risks associated with these stocks. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. (More…) I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.