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How Regeneron’s Eylea Growth, Amgen, Sanofi Deal Figure In Stock

Biotech Regeneron Pharmaceuticals ’ ( REGN ) core ophthalmology business still has huge upside as its Eylea sales grow in treating a variety of eye diseases, says RBC Capital. RBC also says that a legal settlement with Amgen ( AMGN ) over Praluent, a drug intended to lower bad LDL cholesterol, would be a positive. Most of Regeneron’s sales come from Eylea, launched in 2011 to treat age-related vision loss in the elderly. Regeneron aims to build sales of Eylea in the market for treating diabetic macular edema (DME), a cause of blindness in working-age people, as well as a related eye disease affecting older people. “Turning DME into a $2 billion to $3 billion market opportunity is important and likely,” Adnan Butt, an RBC Capital analyst, said in a research report Tuesday. In DME, Eylea competes with Roche Holding ’s ( RHHBY ) Lucentis. Regeneron typically reports earnings in early May. Roche, Novartis ( NVS ) and Bayer ( BAYRY ) report earnings on April 19, 21 and 26, respectively, and their commentary could provide insights into Eylea’s growth, says RBC’s Butt. He says that consensus expectations for the recently launched cholesterol drug Praluent, which had only $7 million in December-quarter sales, still need to come down. Amgen makes a rival drug called Repatha. In March, a federal jury upheld the validity of two Amgen patents related to the cholesterol drug, dealing a blow to Regeneron and partner Sanofi ( SNY ). “A settlement with Amgen could be a positive,” Butt said in the report. He rates Regeneron stock outperform, with a price target of 668. Regeneron stock was up more than 1.5% in early afternoon trading in the stock market today , near 402.50. Amgen reports earnings on April 28, followed by Sanofi on April 29. Their earnings calls could provide reads on the status of Praluent litigation, says Butt. Regeneron stock has plunged 26% in 2016 amid a broad sell-off in biotech stocks, including Celgene ( CELG ) and Gilead Sciences ( GILD ). Regeneron shares touched a six-month low below 349 last month but jumped on April 1 after the company announced strong phase three clinical results for dupilumab, a drug for eczema, an itchy skin condition. Regeneron is developing that drug with Sanofi. “The landmark deal with Sanofi provides $160 million per year to fund antibody discovery for eight years, gives Regeneron 50% of the profit and defers all development costs until the partnership is profitable,” added Butts. Startup Intellia Therapeutics late Monday announced a licensing deal with Regeneron. Cambridge, Mass.-based Intellia has developed “gene editing” technology to treat liver and blood diseases. It plans to go public. Regeneron has an IBD composite rating of 58 out of a possible 99, lower than both Celgene and Gilead. IBD’s Medical-Biomed/Biotech group ranks just No. 108 out of 197 industry groups. That’s down from No. 39 six months ago.  But it’s up 9.8% the past four weeks, 10th best in that span. Anika Therapeutics ( ANIK ), Supernus Pharmaceuticals ( SUPN ) and Ligand Pharmaceuticals ( LGND ) have the highest IBD Composite Ratings within the biotech group.

China’s Alibaba Makes $1 Billion Bet On Southeast Asia

China e-commerce titan Alibaba Group ( BABA ) announced Tuesday that it’s spending $1 billion for a controlling stake in Singapore-based, privately held e-com company Lazada. Lazada operates retail websites in Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam, Alibaba said in its news release . It’s Alibaba’s largest acquisition to date. The company aims to diversify its revenue, with the vast majority now coming from China, according to  news reports . With this and other investments, Alibaba is establishing a beachhead in emerging e-commerce markets such as India and Indonesia. The markets are growing quickly, but e-commerce still has relatively low penetration rates. Alibaba stock was down a fraction, near 77.50, in afternoon trading on the stock market today . The company has a strong IBD Composite Rating of 96, where 99 is the highest. CR measures key metrics such as earnings and revenue growth. Re/code reported that Lazada executives are expected to remain on the job after the acquisition closes. The deal values Lazada at $1.5 billion, according to a statement from Rocket Internet, a German firm that founded Lazada. The move is likely to intensify Alibaba’s competition with regional rivals such as JD.com ( JD ).

Apple Watch Sales Could Tank This Year With No Big Redesign

Apple Watch sales are likely to tumble this year as the company prepares a second-generation smartwatch that is only a modest upgrade over the original version, respected Apple ( AAPL ) analyst Ming-Chi Kuo of KGI Securities said in a note Monday. Kuo predicts that Apple Watch sales will fall by more than 25% this year, according to 9to5Mac . He estimates that Apple will sell fewer than 7.5 million watches for the full year, compared with 10.6 million units last year when the watch was only available for eight months. Kuo argues that the Apple Watch lacks killer applications, and the hardware has room for improvement. Limited battery life and reliance on the iPhone for functionality are two knocks on the Apple Watch, he said. The next version of the Apple Watch is likely to be an “S model” refresh, with only incremental changes to the device, which will look basically the same, he said. It is seen launching this fall along with the iPhone 7. Kuo doesn’t expect a major redesign of the Apple Watch until 2017. But Drexel Hamilton analyst Brian White disagrees. In a note Friday, he said Apple Watch 2 could be 20% to 40% thinner than the current model and might be launched in June at the Apple Worldwide Developers Conference. Last month, market research firm IDC predicted that Apple would ship 14 million units of its smartwatch this year, compared with an estimated 11.6 million units in 2015. Apple’s biggest competition in smartwatches comes from manufacturers using Alphabet ’s ( GOOGL ) Android Wear operating system, IDC said. Image provided by Shutterstock .