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U.S. Weekly Fund Flows – Investors Shrug Off The Market Rally, Are Net Redeemers Of Fund Assets For The Week

By Tim Roseen The markets rallied during the fund-flows week ended April 20, despite major oil producers’ failure to agree on a production freeze over the weekend. The major U.S. indices hit new 2016 highs during the week as investors cheered a drop in unemployment claims (the lowest since 1973), and banks rallied after oil strengthened and the dollar continued to weaken against its major trading partners. The rally was supported by companies broadly beating lower expectations at the beginning of this quarter’s earnings reporting season and on news that China’s first-quarter GDP growth of 6.7% was in line with expectations. While U.S. industrial output for March declined for the sixth month in seven – supporting fears of weakness in the manufacturing sector, the Empire State Index for April jumped to its highest level in over a year – showing signs of improving business activity in the New York Federal Reserve district. Modest declines in U.S. oil rig counts during the week and a reported labor strike in Kuwait helped prop up crude oil prices, despite a failed freeze agreement during the Doha, Qatar talks over the weekend. During the week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above the 18,000 mark for the first time in nine months as investors kept their attention on better-than-expected earnings reports, despite the oil price dropping once again below $40/barrel. Investors appeared to be willing to take on more risk, bidding up emerging markets and out-of-favor sectors, with energy, materials, and industrials chalking up strong returns for the year to date. While IBM (NYSE: IBM ), Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX ), and other tech firms’ earnings disappointed the markets at the end of the flows week, weighing on tech issues, a sixth straight week of declines in domestic oil supplies and a strong rebound in March existing home sales helped push U.S. stocks to 2016 closing highs and oil to a $42.63/barrel close. Nonetheless, for the week, fund investors were net redeemers of fund assets (including those of conventional funds and exchange-traded funds [ETFs]), pulling out a net $32.4 billion for the fund-flows week ended Wednesday, April 20. The headline number, however, was slightly misleading. Investors padded the coffers of taxable bond funds (+$3.5 billion) and municipal bond funds (+$0.6 billion) while being net redeemers of money market funds (-$32.0 billion) and equity funds (-$4.5 billion). For the second week in a row, equity ETFs witnessed net outflows, handing back $1.6 billion. Despite the equity rally during the week, authorized participants (APs) were net redeemers of domestic equity ETFs (-$1.2 billion), withdrawing money from the group for the first week in eight. As a result of the impasse between oil-producing nations for an output freeze, APs – for a second consecutive week – were also net redeemers of non-domestic equity ETFs (-$0.4 billion). The Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA: XLI ) (+$401 million), SPDR S&P Retail ETF (NYSEARCA: XRT ) (+$400 million), and SPDR MidCap 400 ETF (+$322 million) attracted the largest amounts of net new money of all individual equity ETFs. At the other end of the spectrum, SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA: SPY ) (-$2.9 billion) experienced the largest net redemptions, while PowerShares QQQ Trust 1 (NASDAQ: QQQ ) (-$641 million) suffered the second largest redemptions for the week. For the sixth week running, conventional fund (ex-ETF) investors were net redeemers of equity funds, redeeming $2.9 billion from the group. Domestic equity funds, handing back $2.6 billion, witnessed their eleventh consecutive week of net outflows, while posting a weekly gain of 1.04%. Meanwhile, their non-domestic equity fund counterparts, posting a 1.33% return for the week, also witnessed net outflows (-$290 million) for a third week in four. On the domestic side, investors lightened up on large-cap funds and small-cap funds, redeeming a net $2.0 billion and $440 million, respectively. On the non-domestic side, international equity funds witnessed $264 million of net outflows. For the third week in a row, taxable bond funds (ex-ETFs) witnessed net inflows, taking in a little over $1.7 billion. Corporate investment-grade bond funds witnessed the largest net inflows, taking in $0.7 billion (for their third week in a row of net inflows), while government Treasury and mortgage funds witnessed the second largest net inflows (+$0.4 billion) of the macro-group. Flexible portfolio funds witnessed the only net redemptions of the group, handing back $211 million for the week. For the twenty-ninth week in a row, municipal bond funds (ex-ETFs) witnessed net inflows, taking in $425 million this past week.

Reasons To Bet On Gold Mining ETFs Now

Gold Mining ETFs have been firing on all cylinders lately thanks to the dual favor by a dovish Fed and an aggressive China. The Fed seems to be in no hurry to hike interest rates this year and has hinted at just two hikes this year dampening the greenback and propelling the broader commodities including gold. In fact, a volatile market outlook, which is making places for safe-haven assets like gold and a sagging dollar, led the gold bullion to rally hard this year. Gold bullion ETF SPDR Gold Shares (NYSEARCA: GLD ) has surged 18.3% so far this year (as of April 11, 2016), enjoying the largest first-quarter gain in three decades. Along with the underlying metal gold, gold mining ETFs also put up great gains as these often trade as leveraged plays on gold. Plus, Chinese gold miners are hunting for lucrative foreign acquisitions thanks to lower gold prices so that they can acquire assets at a bargain, as per Wall Street Journal. Wall Street Journal also reported that “if cash-rich Chinese gold miners embark on an asset-buying spree, China could reduce its dependency on other international producers for supplies and increase its heft in global gold markets. Since many global gold mining companies are facing hard times due to years of low gold prices, these are appearing as lucrative acquisition targets of Chinese buyers. China is the world’s top gold consumer, accounting for about one-third of the global demand. So, its interest in gold acquisition is self-explanatory. In 2015, Barrick Gold Corporation (NYSE: ABX ) offloaded a 50% interest in Barrick (Niugini) Limited (BNL) to Chinese mining company Zijin Mining Group Co. Ltd. ( OTCPK:ZIJMF ) for a total cash consideration of $298 million. Apart from Zijin, another company Zhaojin Mining Industry Co. Ltd. ( OTCPK:ZHAOF ) is mulling over the idea of an overseas gold mining acquisition, as per Wall Street Journal. Several gold mining ETFs hit a 52-week high on April 11. Among them, we highlight five ETFs below that exhibited strong pricing gains. The Weighted Alpha of most of these ETFs hovered around positive 50 , indicating the possibility of further gains. Global X Gold Explorers ETF (NYSEARCA: GLDX ) The fund seeks to match the performance and yield of the Solactive Global Gold Explorers Index. The $39.2-million ETF charges 65 bps in annual fees and has a dividend yield of 7.58% (as of April 11, 2016). First Mining Finance ( OTCQB:FFMGF ), Seabridge Gold (NYSE: SA ), and Oceanagold Corp. ( OTCPK:OCANF ) command the top three positions in the basket. Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA: GDXJ ) This one tracks the Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners Index, which provides exposure to small- and medium-capitalization companies that generate at least 50% of their revenues from gold and/or silver mining. The $1.97-billion product charges 55 basis points in annual fees with a paltry annual dividend yield of 0.46%. B2Gold Corp. (NYSEMKT: BTG ), Alamos Gold Inc. (NYSE: AGI ) and Centamin PLC ( OTCPK:CELTF ) occupy the top three positions in the 49-stock fund. ALPS Sprott Junior Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA: SGDJ ) SGDJ seeks to deliver exposure to the Sprott Zacks Junior Gold Miners Index. Each stock’s weighting in the index is based on two factors, namely revenue growth and price momentum. The $34.3-million ETF charges investors 57 basis points on an annual basis. Among individual holdings, Sibanye Gold Ltd. (NYSE: SBGL ), Detour Gold ( OTCPK:DRGDF ) and Tahoe Resources (NYSE: TAHO ) occupy top three spots in the fund. iShares MSCI Global Gold Miners (NYSEARCA: RING ) The fund seeks the MSCI ACWI Select Gold Miners Investable Market Index. The $103-million ETF charges 39 basis points a year. The fund currently has 29 companies in its basket, with the top stocks being Barrick Gold Corp. ( ABX ), Newmont Mining Corp. (NYSE: NEM ) and Goldcorp Inc. (NYSE: GG ). Sprott Gold Miners ETF (NYSEARCA: SGDM ) SGDM tracks the Sprott Zacks Gold Miners Index, which is a rules-based index that assigns weighting to a stock on the basis of fundamental factors like revenue growth and balance sheet strength. This $173-million ETF charges 57 bps in fees. The fund currently holds 25 stocks. Among individual holdings, Franco-Nevada Corporation (NYSE: FNV ), Goldcorp Inc. ( GG ) and Agnico Eagle (NYSE: AEM ) comprise 40% of the portfolio. Original Post

The Purpose-Driven Portfolio: Evaluating The SRI Opportunity

Evolving demographics and performance factors are fueling the growth of sustainable investing. In 2010, retailing giant Target (NYSE: TGT ) set out to give away $1 billion for education by the end of 2015. The company zeroed in on education in part because research identified it as a top concern for its customers, many of whom are mothers of young children. In catering to the considerable synergies at play between its customer base and its philanthropy, Target became part of a new wave of corporate social responsibility that has companies large and small looking for ways to be seen as sustainable while also improving the bottom line. In addition to contributing to the greater good, these policies – whether directed externally through philanthropy or internally through environmental consciousness or generous employee benefits – are also table stakes in the game to win the loyalty of the all-important Millennial employee and consumer. For investors, this trend may spell opportunity. In recent years, socially responsive investing (SRI or sustainable investing) has enjoyed significant growth, both in assets under management and the number of products available to investors across the asset class spectrum. 1 A number of issues, from demographics to data supporting sustainability as a positive factor in investment performance, have contributed to this rise and are emblematic of a growing consciousness about the impact investors can have in the promotion of a better world. The Evolution of SRI and Emergence of ESG Factors SRI in its myriad forms has long occupied a position at the intersection of mission and investing. While its earliest incarnations in the U.S. date back to religious organizations such as the Quakers and Methodists, modern-day SRI has its roots in the social movements of the 1960s, and gained steam in subsequent decades, when it was employed for mainstream purposes as well as in service of political activism, for example to help drive change in apartheid-era South Africa and war-torn Sudan. During the last decade, the SRI mindset has evolved from a focus on the mechanics of industry avoidance (e.g., avoiding alcohol or tobacco companies) to a more formative, proactive approach that seeks to construct portfolios from the building blocks of companies with sustainable business practices. In 2007, the Rockefeller Foundation helped socialize this approach to SRI when it coined the term “impact investing” to refer to an investment program designed to produce measurable social or environmental outcomes alongside a financial return. Alongside this shift, a set of evaluation criteria, known as Environmental, Social and Governmental (ESG) factors, has gained prominence as a means of assessing a company’s sustainability alongside other key contributors to the bottom line. Environmental factors seek to assess a company’s impact on the environment, looking at a range of concerns, from its carbon footprint in light of climate change to pollution to the use of toxic chemicals, waste disposal and preservation of natural resources. An evaluation of a company’s environmental impact will include an analysis of its upstream supply chain as well as its products and services. Encompassing issues from a company’s workplace conditions to its supply chain integrity, social factors have gained heightened visibility in recent years, and may include an evaluation of workers’ rights, workplace safety and fair labor practices. In competitive industries, in particular, investors may be concerned about how a company can attract and incent a diverse workforce. This is particularly relevant for intellectual – capital-intensive industries like financial services, research and development and technology where employees drive revenue and attractive workplace policies can give companies a competitive advantage. In a publicly traded company, the role of corporate governance is to provide oversight to help ensure that management is focused and working on behalf of shareholders. Within the context of SRI, governance factors look at issues, including how boards provide oversight for sustainability initiatives and evaluate their impact on the bottom line, how companies incent and compensate management based on those factors, and how they disclose ESG performance metrics to investors and the public. To borrow an old cliché that “what gets measured, gets managed,” governance factors offer a means of validating company performance on sustainability issues. As part of their process, fundamental portfolio managers that consider ESG factors have a unique opportunity to engage with, and potentially influence, management teams and offer insight as they evaluate sustainability issues and their impact on shareholders. Other shareholder engagement tactics include shareholder resolutions and proxy voting. The Principles for Responsible Investment Initiative SRI’s move into the mainstream gained coordinated global support in 2006, when the United Nations, in partnership with a group of the world’s largest institutional investors, launched the Principles for Responsible Investment to promote a more sustainable global financial system. PRI signatories commit to invest their capital in accordance with six key principles. Today the PRI Initiative counts among its members nearly 1,400 firms, including Neuberger Berman, and accounts for approximately $60 trillion in assets under management. 2 Interpreting the Language of SRI An explosion of SRI-related terminology has clouded the picture for many investors. What’s most notable, however, is that the myriad SRI strategies available today makes it increasingly possible for investors to address their specific needs, goals – and values – within the context of their portfolios. Sustainability: The ability to continue a particular behavior in perpetuity Triple-bottom-line: An accounting framework developed in 1994 to measure financial, social and environmental factors within a company Impact investing: A phrase coined in 2007 by the Rockefeller Foundation to refer to a targeted, typically private investment program designed to produce a measurable social or environmental impact alongside a financial return Community investing: A subcategory of impact investing in which capital is invested in low income or otherwise underserved communities Shareholder engagement: A means of influencing corporate behavior through active ownership Economically targeted investing: An approach designed to favor investments that can yield a market rate of return alongside a collateral social benefit Millennials and Women Leading the Charge Meaningful growth in SRI during the last two decades underscores investor interest in the category. Between 1995 and year-end 2013, SRI assets under management in the U.S. grew from $639 billion to more than $6.57 trillion, accounting for one out of every six dollars under professional management. 3 The same 2014 report identified 925 distinct funds that incorporate ESG criteria into the investment decision-making process, up from 55 in 1995. While SRI has been traditionally associated with mission-based organizations, growing interest in ESG issues by the investing public at large, particularly among Millennials and women, may account for some of the gains in assets under management. Millennials may have fewer investable assets today than their more mature counterparts, but that is changing as they accumulate wealth through their own efforts and may become the beneficiaries of a portion of an estimated $30 trillion in wealth from Baby Boomers. 4 Both as consumers and investors, Millennials show a greater interest than the general public in working for, buying from and investing in companies that score well on sustainability factors. A 2015 Morgan Stanley survey of 800 individual investors with an oversample of 200 between the ages of 18 and 32, also found that Millennials are almost twice as likely to invest in companies or funds that target social or environmental outcomes, and are more than twice as likely to exit an investment due to objectionable corporate behavior. 5 Women, meanwhile, are also demonstrating a strong interest in SRI strategies. In the 2013 edition of its annual Insights on Wealth and Worth Survey of 711 adults nationwide with investable assets of at least $3 million, U.S. Trust found that 65% of women feel it is important to consider the positive or negative social, political and/or environmental impact of the companies in which they invest, compared with 42% of men. In the same survey, 56% of women reported that they would be willing to trade some performance for investing in companies with a greater positive social impact, compared with 44% of men.6 With women often joint voices or sole decision-makers in the management of household finances, their interest in ESG issues is likely to continue to be a factor in the growth of SRI strategies. Performance Points the Way Forward While sustainability factors do not measure financial performance, there is a growing body of evidence that these less-tangible issues can positively impact a company’s profitability (see below). It follows that a company with engaged employees or one that manages resources efficiently may offer competitive advantages, with the potential to achieve better long-term financial performance, than a similar company that measures poorly on such sustainability issues. The evidence supports this theory. Over a 15-year period, in aggregate, actively managed SRI equity funds in the U.S. outperformed their peer group and the S&P 500 on an absolute and risk-adjusted basis (see chart). 7 Research conducted by MSCI on two higher tracking error global strategies constructed using ESG data over an eight-year period also concluded that it was possible to improve returns on both an absolute and risk-adjusted basis by incorporating ESG factors into the investment process. 8 Further, a 2012 study by a trio of Harvard Business School professors using a matched sample of 180 U.S. companies found that high-sustainability companies-those that adopt rigorous sustainability policies such as giving the board of directors responsibility for sustainability, tying executive compensation to ESG metrics and auditing and disclosing this non-financial data-outperformed low-sustainability companies on measures of stock market and accounting performance. 9 A 2011 article in the Journal of Financial Economics found that companies with higher levels of employee satisfaction outperformed the market by 2% to 3% annually. 10 ESG factors cover myriad issues-e.g., pollution, waste disposal, human rights, pay equity, quality of materials – that can impact a company’s reputation and may affect the likelihood that it will face litigation. As a result, ESG factors are becoming a more integral component of the conversation about a company’s quality. In determining its annual list of top-performing CEOs, Harvard Business Review validated this viewpoint in 2015 when it began evaluating ESG criteria alongside company performance metrics. Its methodology now weights ESG factors at 25% of a CEO’s total performance score. 11 Sustainability: A Positive Factor in Long-Term Returns 1 Growth of $10K of All U.S. Actively Managed Socially Responsible Equity Funds versus S&P 500 Index and Peer Average Source: Morningstar, Neuberger Berman, Forum for Sustainable and Responsible Investment. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Please see disclosures at the end of this publication. Data Time Period: 7/1/2001-12/31/2015. Measuring the Sustainability Contribution The growth of SRI appears on track to continue, particularly as Millennials gather and invest their assets, and institutional defined contribution and defined benefit plans further emphasize ESG factors following a favorable Department of Labor ruling in 2015 stating that ESG integration does not violate fiduciary duty. 12 As the category continues to evolve, the number of strategies available across asset classes-both actively and passively managed-is also likely to increase. While methods for companies to report on their sustainability efforts exist, however, they can be challenging to verify. We believe passion should not be passive, and that SRI is likely to be a category where active managers can distinguish themselves by employing fundamental research as they seek to identify companies that are differentiated on ESG and other factors that may be critical to performance. Q&A with Ingrid S. Dyott, Portfolio Manager, SRI Core Equity Team What explains the rapid growth in SRI assets? From a wider industry perspective, the 2014 SIF Trends survey indicates that managers who incorporate ESG factors into their investment process cited client demand for fulfilling values and mission as the greatest motivator, followed by the desire to generate social benefits, minimize risks and seek financial returns. From my perspective, there are three drivers. First, more mission-related investors have seen SRI strategies succeed and are investing in the space with history on their side. Second, with wider acceptance of ESG factors as material to performance, the category is attracting a broader investor base. Last but not least, long-term investors like foundations, endowments and pension funds are seeking ways to ensure the long-term financial health of their portfolios and increasingly are interested in sustainability issues. How do you explain the appeal of SRI among women and Millennials? Millennials witnessed the corporate scandals of the early 2000s and the 2008 financial crisis as young adults. As a result, they place a high value on ethics and responsibility. Meanwhile women, especially those in caregiving roles, are placing a higher priority on values and key sustainability criteria, recognizing that these characteristics can be drivers of good businesses over the long-term. What kinds of questions do you get from investors and how have they evolved in recent years? We have seen SRI move from being defined by “what not to own” to being defined by “know what you own.” While the NB SRI Core Equity team has always incorporated “leadership” criteria, we are enthused to see more investors interested in sustainability strategies as awareness has grown that ESG factors can be relevant to a company’s business. Questions we get typically reflect ongoing environmental, employee and governance practices. They are also influenced by societal events like violence in schools, environmental disasters and human rights issues, typically in the supply chain. 1 US SIF Foundation, “Report on Sustainable and Responsible Investing Trends in the United States,”2014, link . 2 Source: Principles for Responsible Investment Initiative, as of April 2015. 3 US SIF Foundation, “Report on Sustainable and Responsible Investing Trends in the United States,”2014, link . 4 Accenture, “The ‘Greater’ wealth transfer: Capitalizing on the intergenerational shift in wealth,” 2012, link . 5 Morgan Stanley Institute for Sustainable Investing, “Sustainable Signals: The Individual Investor Perspective,” February 2015. 6 US Trust, “Insights on Wealth and Worth,” 2013. 7 Source: Morningstar, Neuberger Berman, Forum for Sustainable and Responsible Investment. 8 MSCI Research, “Can ESG Add Alpha,” June 2015, link . 9 Robet Eccles, Ionannis Ioannou, George Sefaphim, Harvard Business School, “The Impact of Corporate Sustainability on Organizational Processes and Performance,” 2012, link . 10 Alex Edmans, The Journal of Financial Economics, “Does the stock market fully value intangibles? Employee satisfaction and equity prices,” 2011, vol. 101, issue 3, pages 621-640. 11 Harvard Business Review, “The Best-Performing CEOs in the World,” November 2015, link . 12 U.S. Department of Labor, “Economically Targeted Investments (ETIs) and Investment Strategies that Consider Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) Factors,” October 22, 2015, link . This material is presented solely for informational purposes and nothing herein constitutes investment, legal, accounting or tax advice, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold a security. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment or strategy is suitable for a particular investor. It should not be assumed that any investments in securities, companies, sectors or markets identified and described were or will be profitable. Information is obtained from sources deemed reliable, but there is no representation or warranty as to its accuracy, completeness or reliability. All information is current as of the date of this material and is subject to change without notice. Any views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of the firm as a whole. Third-party economic or market estimates discussed herein may or may not be realized and no opinion or representation is being given regarding such estimates. This material may include estimates, outlooks, projections and other “forward-looking statements.” Due to a variety of factors, actual events may differ significantly from those presented. Certain products and services may not be available in all jurisdictions or to all client types. Unless otherwise indicated, returns shown reflect reinvestment of dividends and distributions. Indexes are unmanaged and are not available for direct investment. The use of tools cannot guarantee performance. Diversification does not guarantee profit or protect against loss in declining markets. Investing entails risks, including possible loss of principal. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. SRI Equal Weighted Average: Consists of all U.S. actively managed socially responsible equity funds, as identified by Morningstar and the Forum for Sustainable and Responsible Investment, with a track record dating back to 2001. Morningstar Large Blend Average: Morningstar Average is the average of all the funds in the Morningstar category. The Morningstar category identifies funds based on their actual investment style as measured by their underlying portfolio holdings (portfolio statistics and compositions over the last 3 years). This category was chosen for comparison purposes because the portfolio compositions of the funds in this category are similar to the composition of the fund over this period. S&P 500: Consists of 500 stocks chosen for market size, liquidity, and industry group representation. It is a market value weighted index (stock price times number of shares outstanding), with each stock’s weight in the Index proportionate to its market value. The “500” is one of the most widely used benchmarks of U.S. equity performance. As of September 16, 2005, S&P switched to a float-adjusted format, which weights only those shares that are available to investors, not all of a company’s outstanding shares. The value of the index now reflects the value available in the public markets. This material is being issued on a limited basis through various global subsidiaries and affiliates of Neuberger Berman Group LLC. Please visit www.nb.com/disclosure-global-communications for the specific entities and jurisdictional limitations and restrictions. The “Neuberger Berman” name and logo are registered service marks of Neuberger Berman Group LLC. © 2009-2016 Neuberger Berman LLC. | All rights reserved