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How To Avoid The Worst Sector ETFs: Q1’16

Question: Why are there so many ETFs? Answer: ETF providers tend to make lots of money on each ETF so they create more products to sell. The large number of ETFs has little to do with serving your best interests. Below are three red flags you can use to avoid the worst ETFs: Inadequate Liquidity This issue is the easiest to avoid, and our advice is simple. Avoid all ETFs with less than $100 million in assets. Low levels of liquidity can lead to a discrepancy between the price of the ETF and the underlying value of the securities it holds. Plus, low asset levels tend to mean lower volume in the ETF and larger bid-ask spreads. High Fees ETFs should be cheap, but not all of them are. The first step here is to know what is cheap and expensive. To ensure you are paying at or below average fees, invest only in ETFs with total annual costs below 0.49%, which is the average total annual costs of the 182 U.S. equity Sector ETFs we cover. The weighted average is slightly lower at 0.28%, which highlights how investors tend to put their money in ETFs with low fees . Figure 1 shows that the PowerShares KBW High Dividend Yield (NYSEARCA: KBWD ) is the most expensive sector ETF and the Schwab U.S. REIT ETF (NYSEARCA: SCHH ) is the least expensive. The ARK ETF Trust ((NYSEARCA: ARKQ ) and (NYSEARCA: ARKW )) provides two of the most expensive ETFs while Vanguard ETFs ( VIS , VDC , VGT , and VHT ) are among the cheapest. Figure 1: 5 Least and Most Expensive Sector ETFs Click to enlarge Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings Investors need not pay high fees for quality holdings. The Market Vectors Semiconductor ETF (NYSEARCA: SMH ) earns our Very Attractive rating and has low total annual costs of only 0.39%. On the other hand, Schwab U.S. REIT ETF holds poor stocks. No matter how cheap an ETF, if it holds bad stocks, its performance will be bad. The quality of an ETFs holdings matters more than its price. Poor Holdings Avoiding poor holdings is by far the hardest part of avoiding bad ETFs, but it is also the most important because an ETF’s performance is determined more by its holdings than its costs. Figure 2 shows the ETFs within each sector with the worst holdings or portfolio management ratings . Figure 2: Sector ETFs with the Worst Holdings Click to enlarge Sources: New Constructs, LLC and company filings PowerShares ( PSCC , PTH , and PSCU ) appear more often than any other providers in Figure 2, which means that they offer the most ETFs with the worst holdings. The U.S. Telecommunications ETF (NYSEARCA: IYZ ) is the worst rated ETF in Figure 2. The PowerShares DWA Healthcare Momentum Portfolio (NYSEARCA: PTH ), the PowerShares S&P Small Cap Consumer Staples ((NASDAQ: PSCC )), the ARK Innovation ETF (NYSEARCA: ARKK ), and the Fidelity MSCI Real Estate Index Fund (NYSEARCA: FREL ) also earn a Very Dangerous predictive overall rating, which means not only do they hold poor stocks, they charge high total annual costs. Our overall ratings on ETFs are based primarily on our stock ratings of their holdings. The Danger Within Buying an ETF without analyzing its holdings is like buying a stock without analyzing its business and finances. Put another way, research on ETF holdings is necessary due diligence because an ETF’s performance is only as good as its holdings’ performance. PERFORMANCE OF ETFs HOLDINGs = PERFORMANCE OF ETF Disclosure: David Trainer and Kyle Guske II receive no compensation to write about any specific stock, sector, or theme. Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

GDX: Gold’s Resurgence Can Keep Rising

By Brenton Garen and Tom Lydon An obvious though still impressive beneficiary of gold’s resurgence this year is the gold mining industry and its corresponding exchange traded funds. That includes the Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEArca: GDX ) , the largest and most heavily traded gold miners ETF. GDX is up 50% year-to-date. Not only is that good for one of the best performances among non-leveraged ETFs, it also puts GDX up nearly three times as much as ETFs that hold physical gold. That does not mean GDX and rival gold miners ETFs are perfect investments, not when the industry still faces headwinds. Strategists point out that costs keep rising, which has narrowed profit margins among gold miners. Recent mine closures have not improved margins. Current mining operations are also facing deteriorating ore grades. The recent decline in energy prices and depreciating currencies where local miners operate have also had minimal beneficial impact on cash costs. Gold is seeing greater support from safe-haven demand after currency devaluations across Asia added to investment demand for a better store of value than paper currencies or stocks and bonds. Gold assets look more attractive in a low interest rate environment as the precious metal is more competitive against assets that pay low interest, like bonds. Additionally, if the Fed holds off on further rate hikes, it would suggests the economy is not as strong, which would also help gold attract safe-haven demand. “I believe this could be due to the fact that the cash cost of mining the yellow metal has not only been constantly below the gold price, but also falling. For miners, any increase in the price of gold can push the income as well as profit margins even higher,” according to a Seeking Alpha analysis of GDX. Supporting miners and GDX is the dollar, which has quickly weakened. The greenback is being weighed down on speculation that ongoing uncertainty may force the Federal Reserve to refrain from hiking interest rates in the near future. Consequently, a weaker USD makes alternative assets like metals more attractive . Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF Click to enlarge Disclosure: I/we have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Will Consumer Staples ETFs Continue To Shine In 2016?

Despite a moderate recovery in the U.S. economy, investors are skeptical about the global issues that have been haunting the markets lately. The global economic slowdown and financial mayhem in China are the main reasons behind the stock market volatility and the decline in the global commodity complex. Also, stronger U.S. dollar, lower traffic and weakness in oil and other commodity sectors are adding to the woes. In fact, consumer confidence – a key determinant of the economy’s health – declined drastically in February, marking the lowest in seven months, signaling that the overseas turmoil is taking a toll on the U.S. economy. According to recent Conference Board data , the Consumer Confidence Index dipped to 92.2 in February from January’s revised reading of 97.8. This indicates the lowest level since July 2015. A slump in consumer confidence would definitely impact consumer spending, which accounts for over two-thirds of U.S. economic activity. The overall tone of the global market remains soft, as we can estimate from the GDP figures, according to the advance estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis . GDP struggled at 1%, after advancing 1.9% and 3.8% in the third and second quarter of 2015, respectively. Nevertheless, market experts anticipate GDP growth of 2% for the January-March quarter on the back of an improving job scenario – with the unemployment rate hovering around 4.9% – and low gas prices that will help increase household wealth and eventually boost consumer spending. In addition to this, improving home sales, higher business and government spending and a buildup in inventories are some favorable economic indicators that play a key role in raising buyers’ confidence. We expect this positive sentiment to translate into higher consumer spending in 2016. Needless to say, the equity markets have become extremely volatile and the overall economic picture is quite bleak. However, we expect to witness a slow but steady recovery in the consumer staples industry, owing to the gradual improvement in consumer spending. Playing the Sector through ETFs Owing to its defensive nature, this sector is likely to outperform when equity markets are bearish and underperform when bullish. The instability in the sector due to factors like U.S. and global exposure can be countered with a wide array of ETFs. The ETFs can act as an excellent investment medium for those who are interested in a long-term exposure within the consumer staples sector. For those interested in taking a look at consumer staples, we have highlighted a few ETFs tracking the industry, any of which could be an attractive pick: Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA: XLP ): Launched on Dec. 16, 1998, XLP is an ETF that seeks investment results corresponding to the S&P Consumer Staples Select Sector Index. This fund consists of 40 stocks of companies that manufacture and sell a range of branded consumer packaged goods. The top holdings include The Procter & Gamble Co. (NYSE: PG ), The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE: KO ) and Philip Morris International, Inc. (NYSE: PM ). The fund’s expense ratio is 0.14% and it pays out a dividend yield of 2.50%. XLP had about $9.345 billion in assets under management as of March 1, 2016. Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF (NYSEARCA: VDC ): Initiated on Jan. 26, 2004, VDC is an ETF that tracks the performance of the MSCI US Investable Market Consumer Staples 25/50 Index. It measures the investment return of large, mid, and small-cap U.S. stocks in the consumer staples sector. The fund has a total of 100 stocks, with the top three holdings being Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola and PepsiCo, Inc. (NYSE: PEP ). It charges 0.12% in expense ratio, while the yield is 2.53% as of now. VDC managed to attract $3.1 billion in assets under management till Jan. 31, 2016. First Trust Consumer Staples AlphaDEX (NYSEARCA: FXG ): FXG, launched on May 8, 2007, follows the equity index called StrataQuant Consumer Staples Index. FXG is made up of 41 consumer staples securities, with the top holdings being Tyson Foods, Inc. (NYSE: TSN ), Hormel Foods Corp. (NYSE: HRL ) and Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE: STZ ). The fund’s expense ratio is 0.62% and the dividend yield is 1.67%. It had $2.44 billion in assets under management as of March 1, 2016. Guggenheim S&P 500 Equal Weight Consumer Staples (NYSEARCA: RHS ): Launched on Nov. 1, 2006, RHS is an ETF that seeks investment results corresponding to the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index Consumer Staples. This is an equal-weighted fund and constitutes 38 stocks, with the top holdings being Tyson Foods, Campbell Soup Company (NYSE: CPB ) and Reynolds American, Inc. (NYSE: RAI ). The fund’s expense ratio is 0.40% and dividend payout 1.75%. RHS had about $622.9 million in assets under management as of March 2, 2016. Fidelity MSCI Consumer Staples ETF (NYSEARCA: FSTA ): FSTA, launched on Oct. 21, 2013, is an ETF that seeks investment results corresponding to MSCI USA IMI Consumer Staples Index. This is a cap-weighted fund and constitutes 102 stocks, with the top holdings being Procter & Gamble, Coca-Cola and PepsiCo. The fund’s expense ratio is 0.12% and the dividend yield is 2.84%. FSTA had about $257.6 million in assets under management as of Jan. 31, 2016. Original Post