Tag Archives: nflx

Facebook’s Dominance In App Ecosystem Is Striking, Above Alphabet

Facebook ( FB ) completely dominates the app field, taking a 60% market share in February, led by its WhatsApp and Messenger properties. Alphabet ( GOOGL ) followed Facebook in app downloads, with YouTube being the most popular, according to an analysis by Nomura. Netflix ( NFLX ) also showed impressive strength, while Spotify outpaced Pandora Media ( P ). “With apps representing about 80% of total time spent on mobile, the importance of app trends is difficult to understate,” wrote Nomura analyst Anthony DiClemente in a research report. “App user trends have major implications for industry and company-specific shifts in consumer behavior, and ultimately advertising spend trend.” User engagement trends are leading indicators of mobile ad spending. DiClemente estimates mobile ad spend should reach $75 billion globally in 2016, growing 44% year over year. Alphabet and Facebook scored big in a recent survey of advertisers, receiving the highest budget allocations and the best return on investment of digital media properties. DiClemente examined 14 of the most prominent social apps on both the Apple ( AAPL ) and Alphabet Android operating systems. The apps covered were downloaded a total of 217 million times in February. In the analysis, using data from SensorTower , DiClemente said Facebook properties held the top four spots in the global app download ranking and comprised a full 60% of the 217 million downloads. WhatsApp and Messenger held the top two spots, with nearly 40 million downloads each. For comparison, the Facebook flagship app was downloaded 30 million times in February, while Instagram posted 22 million downloads. Messenger is generally stronger in the U.S., while WhatsApp remains the preferred messaging service internationally, DiClemente said. “The strength of Facebook’s app portfolio reinforces our view that Facebook maintains a user growth and monetization runway,” DiClemente wrote. YouTube was by far the most popular suit of apps by Alphabet. It was downloaded 12.5 million times, far outpacing Google Gmail. But many Google apps come preloaded on Android phones and likely understates Google’s prominence, DiClemente wrote. Following YouTube, music sharing site Spotify tied with Netflix, with both showing 7.9 million downloads. Spotify competitor Pandora had 5.3 million downloads. Pandora still leads in the U.S., but Spotify is beating Pandora by 75% in global downloads. At Netflix, international downloads surpassed domestic totals following January’s expansion into 130 countries. Alphabet and IBD 50 company Facebook carry best-possible IBD Composite Ratings of 99. Both were up more than 1% in midday trading in the stock market today , with major stock indexes up. Image provided by Shutterstock .

Yahoo Board Nominations Due Soon; Company Prepped For Fire Sale

Yahoo ‘s ( YHOO ) recent writedown of its Tumblr microblog is preparing the company’s core business for sale to private equity firms, possibly at a discount, Rosenblatt Securities said Wednesday. Tumblr revenue did not meet Yahoo’s internal projection for 2015, Rosenblatt analyst Martin Pyykkonen said in a research note. He pointed out that Yahoo’s 2016 guidance for its revenue minus traffic acquisition costs — commissions it pays publishers that run its ads — calls for a nearly 20% decline. “Buyers (with real bids) would have emerged by now if there was strong audience and usage growth to drive advertising demand,” said Pyykkonen, who maintains a sell rating and price target of 30 on Yahoo stock. He said that “Yahoo’s recent writedown of the part of the goodwill on Tumblr is one example of sprucing up the balance sheet for sale of the core business. But we still think it will likely fall short of a premium takeover valuation on Yahoo’s stock.” Yahoo stock was up 0.9% in midday trading in the stock market today , above 33. Yahoo stock has gained 29% since it skidded to a 31-month low of 26.15 last month. But Yahoo stock is down 22% the past 12 months. Yahoo CEO Marissa Mayer is under intensified pressure from major investor Starboard Value, which has urged the exit of Mayer and some directors, as well as the spinoff of Yahoo’s core search business. Yahoo directors are close to offering at least two board seats to the activist hedge fund in order to avert a proxy fight, according to a recent New York Post report. Board member nominations are due by March 26, said Pyykkonen. Dozens of groups are expressing interest in buying the struggling Web portal, say analysts, with Verizon ( VZ ) among those said to be the most likely acquirer. Aside from forming a committee of independent directors to explore possible transactions, Yahoo has announced that it will bring in Goldman Sachs ( GS ), JPMorgan ( JPM ) and PJT Partners ( PJT ) as financial advisors, along with law firm Cravath, Swaine & Moore. Yahoo Faced With Declining Fundamentals Pyykkonen’s report called out the Web company’s “declining fundamentals,” highlighted by drops in users and usage, as well as the Tumblr writedown. Greater revenue concentration from mobile advertising is “benefiting the likes of Facebook ( FB ) and Alphabet ( GOOGL )-owned Google” rather than Yahoo, he said, adding that Netflix ( NFLX ) is also siphoning traffic away from Yahoo. “The fundamental challenge in Yahoo’s core business is the fact that the platform is simply much less relevant to advertisers than it used to be, when it was labeled as a portal, and more recently aggregated content from multiple sources, while producing relatively little of its own unique content,” he said. Comcast ( CMCSA ) is another company rumored to be interested in Yahoo. Verizon has talked up its interest in buying some Yahoo assets “at the right price,” but also said it does not want to “catch a falling knife,” referring to the state of Yahoo’s business. Rumors re-emerged last week that e-commerce giant Alibaba Group ( BABA ) might buy back a 15%  stake that Yahoo now holds in the Chinese company. Yahoo’s Asian assets — comprised of its Alibaba holdings and a 35.5% stake in Yahoo Japan — represent the vast majority of Yahoo’s $31.4 billion market value as of Wednesday. But some observers say such a transaction is unlikely because of high tax implications.

Verizon Go90 Off To ‘Slow Start,’ Says UBS, Based On Apple Store

The Verizon Communications ( VZ ) Go90 mobile video service is off to a slow start, says a UBS report, based on a study of app downloads at the Apple ( AAPL ) iOS store. The Go90 mobile video service — ad-supported and free to users — launched in late September, targeting millennials (adults ages 18 to 34) and gen Zers (teens). “Go90 appears to be off to a slow start, with its best showing around No. 300 when ranked against all apps in the iTunes store and No. 20 when ranked against other entertainment apps,” said the UBS report. Verizon’s Go90 is usually lumped with emerging over-the-top (OTT) video services, such as Dish Networks ’ ( DISH ) Sling, but the mobile app also competes for millennial attention with the likes of YouTube, Facebook ( FB ), Instagram and Snapchat, says UBS. “We believe Go90 will be hard-pressed to mount a meaningful challenge to mobile video and social networking leaders YouTube, Facebook, Instagram, Snapchat, Netflix ( NFLX ) and Hulu,” wrote UBS analyst John Hodulik in the report. “That said, Verizon is pulling various levers to ramp up interest in and usage of Go90, including more live and exclusive content and free data for Verizon Wireless customers.” One Verizon challenge is that Facebook and  Alphabet ’s ( GOOGL ) YouTube garner the most mobile ad revenue. UBS studied downloads at Apple’s iOS store. “While downloads do not reflect app usage and engagement, we believe the two metrics are highly correlated in the medium to long term,” said the report. Verizon has not disclosed Go90 subscriber data. The service is not expected to be profitable for a few years. Go90 offers a mix of original Web TV series, live sports, concert streaming, prime-time TV and other short-form content. “Initial download trends suggest Go90 is doing better within the iPhone base relative to other entertainment applications, but appears to be lagging in the iPad market. This supports our view that the product is seen as a truly mobile service more geared to short-form content,” wrote Hodulik. Verizon stock was down a fraction in morning trading in the stock market today , above 52 and within range of a 51.30 buy point first touched Feb. 25. Verizon ranks No. 4 in the most recent IBD Big Cap 20. Image provided by Shutterstock .