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The Complete Guide To Retail ETFs

As a pioneer in retail business, the United States provides ample growth opportunities for all types of retail companies. From growth perspective, retail ranks among the dominant U.S. industries and employs an enormous workforce. Retail sales represent approximately 30% of consumer spending, which itself accounts for more than two-thirds of the economy. The U.S. economy is sending out signals of growth, driven by lower oil prices and an improved job market. In July, 215,000 people were hired, reflecting improved employment prospects. According to the recent data from Bureau of Labor Statistics, the unemployment rate for July was constant at 5.3% reached in the previous month, its lowest level since Sept. 2008. This improvement in the job scenario is likely to boost consumer confidence and provide them with a sense of security when it comes to purchasing power, thereby increasing consumer spending. According to a recent Conference Board data, the Consumer Confidence Index rebound in August increased to 101.5 from July’s reading of 91.0. Moreover, consumer spending increased 3.1% in the second quarter from the initial estimate of 2.9%, and also improved considerably from the first quarter’s spending rate of 1.8%. July retail sales growth of 0.6% also validates the pickup in consumer activity. Additionally, real GDP expanded at a 3.7% seasonally-adjusted annual rate in the second quarter of 2015, according to the “second” estimate released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. This fared way better than the “advance” estimate of a 2.3% increase and 0.6% growth recorded in the first quarter. The positive revision in GDP numbers reflects a rise in consumer spending, higher business spending, increased investment in intellectual property products and larger inventory levels at businesses. An expected rebound in the economy, combined with declining unemployment rate, cheap gasoline prices, higher consumer confidence and improving consumer spending, the retail space is bubbling with optimism. ETFs present a low cost and convenient way to get a diversified exposure to this sector. Below we have highlighted a few ETFs tracking the industry: SPDR S&P Retail (NYSEARCA: XRT ): Launched in June 2006, SPDR S&P Retail is an ETF that seeks investment results corresponding to the S&P Retail Select Industry Index. This fund consists of 103 stocks, the top holdings being Netflix Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX ), Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN ) and Casey’s General Stores Inc. (NASDAQ: CASY ), representing asset allocation of 1.33%, 1.29% and 1.22%, respectively, as of Aug. 28, 2015. The fund’s gross expense ratio is 0.35%, while its dividend yield is 1.04%. XRT has $1,118 million of assets under management (AUM) as of Aug. 31, 2015. Market Vectors Retail ETF (NYSEARCA: RTH ): Initiated in Dec. 2011, Market Vectors Retail ETF tracks the performance of Market Vectors US Listed Retail 25 Index. The fund comprises 26 stocks, the top holdings being Amazon.com Inc. ( AMZN ), Home Depot Inc. (NYSE: HD ) and Wal-Mart Stores Inc. (NYSE: WMT ), representing asset allocation of 12.78%, 8.66% and 7.75%, respectively, as of Aug. 31, 2015. The fund’s net expense ratio is 0.35% and dividend yield is 0.39%. RTH has managed to attract $216.9 million in AUM till Aug. 31, 2015. PowerShares Dynamic Retail (NYSEARCA: PMR ): PowerShares Dynamic Retail, launched in Oct. 2005, follows the Dynamic Retail Intellidex Index and is made up of 30 stocks that are primarily engaged in operating general merchandise stores such as department stores, discount stores, warehouse clubs and superstores. The fund’s top holdings are O’Reilly Automotive Inc. (NASDAQ: ORLY ), The Home Depot Inc. ( HD ) and CVS Health Corp. (NYSE: CVS ), reflecting asset allocation of 5.66%, 5.34% and 5.24%, respectively, as of Sept. 1, 2015. The fund’s net expense ratio is 0.63%, while its dividend yield is 0.61%. PMR has managed to attract $24.7 million in AUM as of Aug. 31, 2015. Original Post

5 Worst Performing Mutual Funds In August

It turned out to be quite a terrible August for US mutual funds. Except for the Precious Metals equity funds, none of the sector equity mutual funds finished in the green in August. Moreover, the Healthcare sector which had been a consistently strong performer since last year turned out to be the biggest loser among sector equity funds in August. Real Estate sector, which was July’s best gainer, suffered a 5.7% decline in August. The best gainer for August turned out to be Bear Market funds, gaining a robust 9.1%. This is particularly significant given the fact that the second and third placed Commodities Precious Metals and Equity Precious Metals had scored gains of 3.3% and 2.7%. Municipal Bond Funds were the only other gainers, but those gains were marginal with the best one being 0.3%. The success of Bear Market funds is not surprising though. It was a torrid August for markets, struggling hard to survive growth fears in China. For the month, the benchmarks dropped to their multi-month lows. The world’s second largest economy continued to be a cause for concern and led to a global market rout. A slump in oil prices also weighed on energy stocks before a rebound in prices late in the month. August’s Performance For the month, the S&P 500, the Dow and the Nasdaq plunged 6.3%, 6.6% and 6.9%, respectively. While the Dow notched up its biggest monthly decline in more than five years, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq registered their steepest monthly losses since May 2012. All the major indexes moved in and out of their correction territory to end a volatile month in the red. Benchmarks slumped for the month on concerns that a weak Chinese economy would result in a global slowdown. Benchmarks also closed in the red, following the yuan’s devaluation. Uncertainty about the timing of a Fed rate hike was another major cause for the losses. China Fears Spook Markets Several economic indicators from China signaled the slowdown may be deepening. Data on manufacturing was disappointing in nature, indicating underlying China’s economic weakness. Producer prices declined to the lowest level in six years in July. Additionally, exports recorded a greater than expected decline. Dismal data aggravated losses for China stocks, which weighed on investor sentiment in the U.S. On Aug. 21, the blue-chip index nosedived, declining 3.6% after a volatile trading session. This was a result of investors’ concerns about the adverse effects of a slowdown in China’s economy. The Shanghai Composite Index tanked 8.5% to close at 3,209.91 on the same day. China’s main stock index moved into the red for the year, while it plunged almost 38% from its peak in mid-June. In its latest move to prop up markets and the economy, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) decided to cut interest rates for the fifth time since November. The apex bank will cut one-year lending rate to 4.6% from 4.85%, while the one-year deposit rate will be lowered to 1.75% from 2%. The PBOC also decided to reduce reserve requirement ratio for all banks from 18.5% to 18%. This will pump around 678 billion yuan or about $105.9 billion into the Chinese economy. However, investors remained unconvinced about whether these measures would be able to prop up the economy. Market Rout & Rebound China’s concerns had triggered record losses for U.S. stocks as well as all other major markets across the world at the latter half of August. The S&P 500 and the Dow had entered correction territories. A drop of 10% or higher than the peak achieved that year, generally indicates a correction. The blue-chip index and the S&P 500 posted their biggest weekly declines for the week ending Aug. 21 since Sep. 2011. The Nasdaq recorded its steepest weekly drop since Aug. 2011. Losses spilled over into the following Monday, i.e. Aug. 24, with the Dow plunging by more than 1,000 points during the first six minutes of trading. The index finished in negative territory, losing 3.6% and settled at its lowest level since Feb. 2014. All 30 Dow components ended in the red. Meanwhile, the S&P 500 dropped more than 10% on Aug. 24 from its peak achieved on May 21, losing 3.9%. Moreover, the index ended at its lowest level on Monday since Oct. 2014. Almost all the 500 members of the index settled in negative territory. The S&P 500 along with the blue-chip index posted their biggest one-day percentage declines on Aug. 24 since Aug. 2011. Additionally, the Nasdaq declined heavily, by 3.8%. However, markets rebounded later on Aug. 27 and 28. On Aug. 27, the Dow and the S&P 500 registered their biggest one-day percentage gain since Nov. 2011. The Dow also posted its third largest gain in terms of points and the best since the crisis of 2008. The Nasdaq too notched up its biggest one-day gain since Aug. 2011. The indexes bounced back on Aug. 27 following a six-day rout, which wiped out around $2 trillion from the market. Upbeat GDP data and rebound in oil prices helped benchmarks notch up massive gains for the second consecutive day on Aug. 28. The blue-chip index increased 6.3% over two days, its largest two-day increase since 2008. Why Bear Market Funds Won? The gains, or the rebound, after the market rout failed to help benchmarks finish in the green for the month. Oil prices had shown a reversal in fortunes at the end of August, but those gains were insufficient compared to the month-long decline oil prices suffered. During August, price of WTI crude oil had finished below $39 a barrel for the first time since Feb. 2009. Additionally, price of Brent crude oil fell below the $43 mark for the first time since March 2009. Moreover, certain dismal earnings numbers and rate hike uncertainty also kept the benchmarks in the red. The losses for the broader markets helped funds that employ a short strategy. The Long/Short mutual funds generally profit from both bull and bear markets. These funds utilize conventional methods to identify stocks which are either under or overvalued, aiming to profit from shorting the overvalued stocks. These funds invest in short positions and profit from declines in share prices. The returns thus move in the opposite direction of the markets. These funds use leverage, derivatives, and short positions in order to maximize total returns, irrespective of market conditions. Biggest Losers in August As mentioned earlier, there was hardly any category of funds outperforming. The monthly performance list is all about decliners this time. Below we present 10 fund categories with the biggest losses in August: Source: Morningstar To have China Region as the biggest loser among all categories was no surprise. The rout in Chinese markets was sure to keep the funds under pressure. Pacific Asia, Diversified Emerging Markets and India also had to deal with China concerns and ended in the red. The emerging markets are also having to put up with recent market turmoil and wild currency swings. Now let’s look at funds that had suffered largest declines in August. We have narrowed our search based on Zacks Mutual Fund Rank. The following funds carry either a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #4 (Sell) or Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #5 (Strong Sell) as we expect the funds to underperform its peers in the future. Remember, the goal of the Zacks Mutual Fund Rank is to guide investors to identify potential winners and losers. Unlike most of the fund-rating systems, the Zacks Mutual Fund Rank is not just focused on past performance, but the likely future success of the fund. The minimum initial investment for these funds is within $5000. Turner Small Cap Growth (MUTF: TSCEX ) invests a minimum of 80% of its assets in small-cap US firms’ equity securities. These firms are believed to have strong earnings growth prospects. The firms are diversified across economic sectors but sector concentration may be on ones that approximate those in the 2000 Growth Index. TSCEX currently carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #4 and lost 9.6% in August. Alger Health Sciences A (MUTF: AHSAX ) seeks capital growth over the long term. AHSAX invests most of its assets in equity securities of companies related to the health sciences sector. These companies may be of any size. AHSAX may also invest in derivative instruments. AHSAX currently carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #5 and lost 8.9% in August. AllianzGI Health Sciences A (MUTF: RAGHX ) invests a lion’s share of its assets in health-science related companies including those that design, manufacture or sell products associated with healthcare, medicine or life sciences. It invests mostly in common stocks and other equity securities. RAGHX currently carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #4 and lost 7.6% in August. BlackRock Health Sciences Opportunities Portfolio Investor A (MUTF: SHSAX ) seeks capital appreciation over the long run. It invests a major portion of its assets in healthcare and related companies. These firms include health care equipment and suppliers, health care providers and services, biotechnology companies and also pharmaceuticals. SHSAX currently carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #4 and lost 7.5% in August. Gabelli Utilities A (MUTF: GAUAX ) seeks to provide high return through current income and capital growth. The fund invests a large portion of its assets in readily marketable US and non-US utility companies that pay dividends. These companies are believed to have the potential to offer current income or capital growth. GAUAX currently carries a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #4 and lost 5.1% in August. Original Post

Time For Semiconductor ETFs?

The semiconductor space was a hot spot and one of the best-performing sectors in 2014, courtesy of encouraging industry fundamentals. But its fundamentals have slackened of late, with the struggling PC market. The second quarter of 2015 witnessed PC shipments falling 9.5% year over year, marking the steepest decline since third-quarter 2013, per Gartner. A strong greenback, higher inventories in the semiconductor and electronics supply chain and the launch of Windows 10 were held responsible for this decline, per the research agency. This, coupled with semiconductor giant Intel Corporation’s (NASDAQ: INTC ) underperformance wreaked havoc in the space. Notably, the INTC stock is down over 23% this year (as of September 1, 2015). Compelling Valuation Semiconductor stocks and the related ETFs have seen a considerable slide this year that erased its prior year’s gains and slipped into the negative territory in the one-year frame. Now, semiconductor analysts believe that most of the downside is reflected in the current level. Chip stocks have declined 25% and are now due for their way up as per analysts . Semiconductor ETF Market Vectors Semiconductor ETF (NYSEARCA: SMH ) presently trades at a P/E (TTM) of 17 times against the broader technology ETF Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF ‘s (NYSEARCA: XLK ) P/E (TTM) of 18 times and high-flying Internet ETF First Trust Dow Jones Internet ETF’s (NYSEARCA: FDN ) P/E of 41 times. Moreover, the space might witness a surge in sales in the latter part of 2015 as it includes the all-important shopping season and is likely to see a significant increase in the purchase of smartphones. In fact, World Semiconductor Trade Statistics (WSTS) also approves of this pattern as the agency forecast that the semiconductor market will be mainly propelled by smartphones and automotive this year. Moreover, some analysts opine that the PC market is set for a rebound helping the companies like Intel. All semi ETFs including SMH, iShares PHLX Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ: SOXX ) , SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (NYSEARCA: XSD ) and PowerShares Dynamic Semiconductors Fund (NYSEARCA: PSI ) gained about 2.3%, 2.4%, 4.7% and 2.7%, respectively, in the last five trading sessions. Caution Having said this, we would like to note that the fundamentals are yet to improve for the semiconductor sector. The sector is still hovering in the bottom 18% region of the Zacks Industry Rank. The world semi market is expected to grow 3.4% year over year this year (per WSTS), while growth for 2016 and 2017 will likely be 3.4% and 3%, respectively. Also, not all semiconductor ETFs are as cheap as SMH, as other ETFs including XSD and PSI presently have a P/E (TTM) of 27 times and 23 times. All of the above-mentioned ETFs have weighted alpha of negative 9.34, 10.68, 4.84 and 3.51 respectively hinting at further bearishness. Still, investors eyeing this apparently rebounding space might watch these semiconductor ETFs closely. SOXX in Focus This ETF follows the PHLX Semiconductor Sector Index and offers exposure to 30 domestic firms. It is highly concentrated on the top 10 firms with about 60% of total assets. Two-thirds of the portfolio is dominated by large-cap stocks while mid-caps take the remainder, with just 3% going to small caps. The fund has amassed $331 million in its asset base and trades in average volume of roughly 600,000 shares a day. The product charges 47 bps in fees a year from investors. SOXX has a Zacks ETF Rank #3 (Hold). SMH in Focus This fund provides exposure to 26 securities by tracking the Market Vectors US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index. Of these, two firms – Intel and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing dominate the fund’s return with a combined 35% of total assets while other firms hold no more than 6.06% share each. From a market cap look, the product focuses on large cap stocks, as together these account for about 81% of the portfolio. The product has managed assets worth $354 million and charges 35 bps in annual fees and expenses. It is heavily traded with volume of more than 4.3 million shares per day. This fund has a Zacks ETF Rank #3. XSD in Focus This fund tracks the S&P Semiconductor Select Industry Index, holding 47 stocks in its portfolio. It is widely spread across each security as none of these allocates more than 3.09% of the assets. The product has a definite tilt toward small-cap stocks at 54%, followed by 28% in mid-caps and 18% in large caps. The fund is less popular and illiquid with AUM of $108.1 million and average daily volume of under 100,000 shares. It charges 35 bps in fees per year. The fund has a Zacks ETF Rank #3. PSI in Focus This Zacks ETF Rank #3 fund tracks the Dynamic Semiconductor Intellidex Index, holding 30 securities in the basket with none holding more than 5.93% of assets. Here again, the ETF is skewed toward small caps at 46% while large caps and mid-caps account for 36% and 18%, respectively. The product, with AUM of $62 million is often overlooked by investors and hence sees a lower average daily volume of 45,000 shares. Expense ratio came in at 0.63%. Original Post