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401(k) Fund Spotlight: Loomis Sayles Small Cap Value

Summary LSSCX is really a small cap “core” or “blend” fund. LSSCX has consistently beaten the Russell 2000 Index by at least 2% over all relevant, historical periods. With almost 1/3 of the fund in financials and little exposure to utilities, consumer staples, and REITs, the fund is well positioned for a rising rate environment. Introduction I select funds on behalf of my investment advisory clients in many different defined contribution plans, namely 401(k)s and 403(b)s. I have looked at a lot of different funds over the years. 401(k) Fund Spotlight is an article series that focuses on one particular fund at a time that is widely offered to Americans in their 401(k) plans. 401(k)s are now the foundational retirement savings vehicle for many Americans. They should be maximized to the fullest extent. A detailed understanding of fund options is a worthwhile endeavor. To get the most out of this article, it is helpful to understand my approach to investing in 401(k)s . I strive to write these articles for the benefit of the novice and professional. Please comment if you have a question. I always try to give substantive responses. Loomis Sayles Small Cap Value Fund The Loomis Sayles Small Cap Value Fund has the following share classes: If the fund is an option in your 401(k), it will likely come in the form of the I (institutional) or R (retail) shares. These two share classes are also much older and hold most of the overall fund’s assets. The expense ratio for the I shares is 1.04% and for the R shares it is 1.29%. For the purposes of this article, I will assume the I shares are being discussed and name the fund by its ticker – LSSCX . The fund is closed to new investors. Most readers, if they have access to the fund, will have it only through their 401(k). LSSCX is best classified as a small capitalization (“cap”) core (or blend) fund. Small cap companies are loosely defined as having a market capitalization of less than $2 billion. The “core” or “blend” description means that the fund owns stocks described both as growth and value. Performance Evaluation Loomis Sayles is a mutual fund outfit best known for its prowess in the bond market and their flagship Bond Fund, the Loomis Sayles Bond Fund (MUTF: LSBDX ). The immediate question for us is, “Can they pick stocks?” and “Can they pick small cap stocks?” I’ll let the numbers do the talking. The following table compares the performance of LSSCX to its benchmark index, the Russell 2000: as of Sept 30, 2015 1 Year Return 3 Year Return 5 Year Return 10 Year Return Loomis Sayles Small Cap Value – Inst 1.2% 11.7% 12.3% 7.6% Russell 2000 Index -1.6% 9.2% 10.2% 5.4% Excess Return 2.8% 2.5% 2.1% 2.2% The fund has beaten the index by at least 2% over the last 1, 3, 5, and 10-year periods (as of September 30, 2015). This is a consistent record of excess returns which clearly makes the fund a better option than owning the index. The following table compares the performance of LSSCX to its peers, as represented by the Lipper Small Cap Core Index. This data was taken from Barrons . as of Oct 31, 2015 1 Year Return 3 Year Return 5 Year Return 10 Year Return Loomis Sayles Small Cap Value – Inst .7% 14.3% 13% 8.6% Lipper Small Cap Core Peer Index .7% 13.4% 11.7% 7.5% Excess Return 0% .9% 1.3% 1.1% Over the last year, the fund is even with its broader peer group, but has out performed the average over the last 3, 5, and 10-year periods (as of October 31, 2015). Over the last 5-year period the fund finished in the 22nd percentile of its peer group and over the last 10-year period it finished in the 15th percentile. This means that it outperformed 85% of all other small cap core oriented funds over the last 10 years. From a performance standpoint, LSSCX can best be described as a superior option to the index and an above average option when compared to its peers. Additional Performance Considerations It is important to realize that LSSCX is not going to give you any sort of exceptional performance (e.g., 5%+) over its Russell 2000 index benchmark over a longer period of time. This is because the fund typically holds 150 to 180 different stocks (152 right now), with no one stock comprising more than 1.5% of the fund. The fund is just too overly diversified to vastly outperform the index. That being said, I view the consistent 2% excess returns as very good. Loomis Sayles “rigorous fundamental, bottom-up analysis” (as they describe it) adds value and makes the fund a better option than an index fund. It would be interesting to see Loomis Sayles launch a more concentrated small cap fund that owns what they think are their very best ideas. I am thinking of the Invesco Select Companies Fund (MUTF: ATIAX ), which I recently wrote about, which invests in the managers best 25 small cap ideas. Well Positioned for Rising Rates Here is how LSSCX’s assets were distributed across sectors, as of September 30, 2015: Financials – 31.5% Industrials – 18.4% Consumer Discretionary – 18.3% Information Technology – 14.8% Healthcare – 4.2% Consumer Staples – 3.5% Materials – 2.9% Utilities – 2.6% Energy – 2.3% Telecom – 0% Almost one third of the fund is invested in the financial sector. In fact, the fund’s 2 largest holdings are Signature Bank (NASDAQ: SBNY ) and Cathay General Bancorp (NASDAQ: CATY ). These small banks would benefit from a rising rate environment as their net interest margin expands. By this I mean they could continue to pay depositors 0% to .25% while at the same time increasing their rates on auto loans, mortgages, and commercial loans, netting more profit. The fund has little exposure to utilities and consumer staples stocks that could suffer as their high dividends become less appealing in an environment of higher bond yields. Furthermore, digging through the holdings I can see that the fund also has minimal exposure to real estate investment trusts (“REITs”), which could also suffer for the same reason. I am not expecting substantially higher rates for several more years, but wanted to point this out for some investors who may have a more immediate concern. Rising rates in the U.S. would also imply a strengthening U.S. economy which would benefit U.S. small cap stocks. Valuation If LSSCX has a weakness in the current environment it is the low dividend yield, which currently only runs about .6%. However, the fund is attractive from a valuation standpoint. As of September 30, 2015, it had a forward price to earnings multiple (“P/E”) of 15.96. This is slightly below the index and gives credence to the fund’s “value” slant. (It does call itself small Cap Value, even though it is really a small cap core or blend fund.) I have no problem sacrificing dividend yield for lower valuations. Strategic Positioning I have really warmed to U.S. small cap stocks over the last few months in the 401(k) plans I manage for clients. It seems little noticed, but valuations have come down substantially to the point that they are now broadly inline with U.S. large cap stocks. Furthermore, the 2-year chart of the Russell 2000 Index looks compelling: ^RUT data by YCharts The index put in a higher low in 2015 than it did in 2014 and appears ready to break out to new highs. Am I predicting this? No. I am just considering a scenario where the U.S. dollar continues to rise, putting pressure on the earnings of U.S. multinationals but buoying the attractiveness of U.S. small cap companies with little international exposure. In such a scenario, I could see the S&P 500 index treading water while the Russell 2000 index logs some high, single-digit gains. Conclusion The Loomis Sayles Small Cap Value Fund is a good option in the current global macroeconomic environment. 401(k) investors may want to consider giving it the nod, or at least a higher weighting, over comparable small cap fund options and especially over small cap index funds. Investing Disclosure 401(k) Spotlight articles focus on the specific attributes of mutual funds that are widely available to Americans within employer provided defined contribution plans. Fund recommendations are general in nature and not geared towards any specific reader. Fund positioning should be considered as part of a comprehensive asset allocation strategy, based upon the financial situation, investment objectives, and particular needs of the investor. Readers are encouraged to obtain experienced, professional advice. Important Regulatory Disclosures I am a Registered Investment Advisor in the State of Pennsylvania. I screen electronic communications from prospective clients in other states to ensure that I do not communicate directly with any prospect in another state where I have not met the registration requirements or do not have an applicable exemption. Positive comments made regarding this article should not be construed by readers to be an endorsement of my abilities to act as an investment adviser.

How These 4 ETFs Will Benefit From A Rate Hike

With excellent October jobs data, the interest rates hike for December is back on the table. The U.S. economy added 271,000 jobs in October, much above the market expectation of 180,000 and representing the strongest pace of a one-month jobs gain in 2015. The Fed in its latest FOMC meeting also hinted at a December lift-off if the U.S. economy remains on track. In a recent Wall Street Journal poll, about 92% of the economists believe that the first interest rate hike in almost a decade will come at the December 15-16 policy meeting, while 5% expect the Fed to wait until March. The rest expect the Fed to keep cheap money flowing for longer. This is especially true as recent headwinds have faded with substantial positive developments seen in the global economy and financial market lately. In particular, the Chinese economy is showing signs of stabilization on the back of better-than-expected GDP growth data and another rate cut while the Japanese and European central banks are seeking additional stimulus measures to revive their economies (read: China Investing: Should You Buy These New ETFs? ). Further, the U.S. economy is showing an impressive rebound after a lazy summer and is continuing to outpace the other economies. Though the manufacturing sector expanded at its slowest pace in more than two years in October on a weak global economy and strong dollar, rise in new orders spread some hopes in the sector. Consumer confidence picked up in October, as measured by the Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan index, which rose to 90 after dropping to 87.2 in September from 91.9 in August. Unemployment dropped to a new seven-year low to 5% in October from 5.1% in September and average hourly wages accelerated by 9 cents to $25.20 bringing the year-over-year increase to 2.5%, the sharpest growth since July 2009. The solid pay gains will increase consumer spending in the crucial holiday season, which will translate into stepped-up economic activities. Given the recently improving fundamentals, an increase in rates seems justified. As a result, investor should focus on the areas/sectors that will benefit the most in the rising rate environment. Here, we have detailed four of these and their best ETFs below: Financials A rising interest rate scenario would be highly profitable for the financial sector. This is because the steepening yield curve would bolster profits for banks, insurance companies and discount brokerage firms. A broad way to play this trend is with the Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSEARCA: XLF ) , which has a Zacks ETF Rank of 2 or a ‘Buy’ rating with a Medium risk outlook (read: Rate Hike Coming in December? Financial ETFs & Stocks to Buy ). This is by far the most popular financial ETF in the space with AUM of $18.8 billion and an average daily volume of over 37.2 million shares. The fund follows the Financial Select Sector Index, holding 89 stocks in its basket. It is heavily concentrated on the top three firms – Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC ), Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.B ) and JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM ) – with over 8% share each while other firms hold less than 6.2% share. In terms of industrial exposure, banks take the top spot at 37.2% while insurance, REITs, capital markets and diversified financial services make up for double-digit exposure each. The fund charges 14 bps in annual fees and has lost 1.2% in the year-to-date timeframe. Consumer Discretionary Consumer discretionary stocks also seem a good bet in the rising rate scenario. This is because these typically perform well in an improving economy justified by the healing job market, recovering housing market, surging stock market and expanding economic activities. Further cheap fuel is an added advantage for this sector. One exciting pick in this space can be the Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (NYSEARCA: VCR ) , which has a Zacks ETF Rank of 1 or a ‘Strong Buy’ rating with a Medium risk outlook. This fund follows the MSCI U.S. Investable Market Consumer Discretionary 25/50 Index and holds 384 stocks in its basket. This is the low choice in the space, charging investors just 12 bps in annual fees while volume is also solid at nearly 153,000 shares a day. The product has managed over $2 billion in its asset base so far. It is pretty spread out across sectors and securities with a slight tilt toward Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN ) at 7%, while other firms hold no more than 5.7% share. Internet retail, restaurants, movies and entertainment, and cable & satellite are the top four sectors accounting for over 10% of total assets. VCR has gained 8% so far this year. Short-Term Treasury Though the fixed income world is the worst hit by the rising rates scenario, a number of ETFs that employ some niche strategies like the iPath U.S. Treasury Steepener ETN (NASDAQ: STPP ) could lead to huge gains. This product directly capitalizes on rising interest rates and performs better when the yield curve is rising. The ETN looks to follow the Barclays U.S. Treasury 2Y/10Y Yield Curve Index, which delivers returns from the steepening of the yield curve through a notional rolling investment in U.S. Treasury note futures contracts. The fund takes a weighted long position in 2-year Treasury futures contracts and a weighted short position in 10-year Treasury futures contracts. STPP charges 0.75% in fees and expenses while volume is light at around 1,000 shares a day. Additionally, it is an unpopular bond ETF with AUM of just $2.5 million. The note has surged 4.6% in the year-to-date timeframe. Negative Duration Bond Negative duration bond ETFs offer exposure to traditional bonds while at the same time short Treasury bonds using derivatives such as interest-rate swaps, interest-rate options and Treasury futures. The short position will diminish the fund’s actual long duration, resulting in a negative duration. As a result, these bonds could act as a powerful hedge and a money enhancer in a rising rate environment. Currently, there are a couple of negative duration bond ETFs, out of which the WisdomTree Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Negative Duration ETF (NASDAQ: AGND ) has AUM of $17.9 million and average daily volume of 13,000 shares. This ETF tracks the Barclays Rate Hedged U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, Negative Five Duration. The benchmark provides long positions in the Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index, which consists of Treasuries, government bonds, corporate bonds, mortgage-backed pass-through securities, commercial MBS & ABS, and short positions in U.S. Treasuries corresponding to a duration exceeding the long portfolio, with duration of approximately negative 5 years. Expense ratio came in at 28 bps. The product has gained 0.3% so far this year. Link to the original post on Zacks.com