Tag Archives: nasdaq

Market Lab Report – Premarket Pulse 4/13/16

Major averages rose on higher volume closing near the top of their trading ranges. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ Composite both bounced off their respective 20-day moving averages. The NASDAQ’s upside reversal on higher volume sent it back above its 200-day moving average once again. We also noticed a number of leading stocks bounce off of key moving averages, including names like AVGO, SIMO, NVDA, and FB. Helping the rally was oil which topped $42/barrel as Saudi Arabia and Russia will freeze oil production at current levels even if Iran does not take part. Futures are up over half a percent as global markets rally despite lower global growth expectations issued by the IMF, and Germany’s leading economic institutes lowering its 2016 GDP forecast to 1.6% from 1.8%. Further, China’s March trade surplus came in slightly under expectations, but both exports and imports surprised to the upside.

Q1 Earnings Trend Spells Trouble For Bank ETFs

The financial sector has been on a rough ride since the start of the year even though the broader market sentiments have shown recovery. Most of the pain came from the banking sector, which had a worst start to the year since the financial crisis in 2007-2008, as lower interest rates continued to restrict profitability by shrinking the interest rate spread. This is because banks seek to borrow money at short-term rates and lend at long-term rates. Now, if short-term rates do not rise and long-term rates fall, banks will earn less on lending and pay more on deposits, thereby leading to a tighter spread. Additionally, concerns about slow growth in China and the impact of persistently low oil prices on the energy sector have put pressure on investment banking and trading activities as well as loan growth. According to Dealogic, global investment banking revenues (fees paid for advice on mergers and acquisitions, debt and equity underwriting and syndicated loans) plunged 36% year over year in the first quarter to $12.8 billion. This represents the lowest quarterly number since the height of the financial crisis. The continued market turmoil has pushed down trading activities across the globe with banks witnessing a drop of as much as 56% in their trading businesses. Further, banks that are highly exposed to the energy sector have increased their loan reserves due to a prolonged decline in crude oil prices. The higher provisioning to cover the bad loans of the energy companies are weighing on the overall banking earnings picture and could result in deteriorating credit quality. Given the spiral of woes, analysts expect an average decline of 20% in earnings from the six largest U.S. banks, according to Reuters . In particular, Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS ) is expected to post the largest decline of 54.2% when it releases its results before the market opens on April 19, as per the Zacks Estimate. This is followed by expected earnings decline of 41.68% for Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS ), 31.43% for Citigroup (NYSE: C ), 18.52% for Bank of America (NYSE: BAC ), 13.29% for JPMorgan (NYSE: JPM ) and 5.45% for Wells Fargo (NYSE: WFC ) when they report in the coming days. Further, these banks have an unfavorable Zacks Rank of #4 (Sell) or #5 (Strong Sell) with VGM Score of D or F, suggesting that they will underperform the market when the results are released. Moreover, the downside in this corner can be confirmed by the Zacks Industry Rank, as five out of seven banking industries actually have a negative rank in the bottom 40% at the time of writing. All these indicate significant weakness in the broad financial sector given that the banks are the major contributors to its growth (see: all the Financial ETFs here ). As a result, investors should avoid bank ETFs heading into the earnings season. Below, we take a closer look at four bank ETFs that have lost in double digits so far this year. Though these funds might have a Zacks ETF Rank of 3 or ‘Hold’ rating, the weakness is expected to continue given the bearish earnings outlook. PowerShares KBW Bank Fund (NYSEARCA: KBWB ) This fund provides exposure to 24 stocks by tracking the KBW Nasdaq Bank Index. It is moderately concentrated across various components with each holding no more than 8.05% share. Though banks account for 84% share, consumer finance and investment companies also take minor allocations in the basket. The fund has amassed $297 million and trades in solid volumes of 387,000 shares per day on average. Expense ratio came in at 0.35%. The ETF has shed 13.6% in the year-to-date time frame. SPDR S&P Bank ETF (NYSEARCA: KBE ) This fund tracks the S&P Banks Select Industry Index and has an AUM of $2.2 billion. Volume is heavy as it exchanges nearly 3 million shares a day while the expense ratio is 0.35%. The product holds a diversified basket of 64 stocks with none holding more than 2.18% of total assets. From a sector look, about three-fourths of the portfolio is allotted to regional banks while diversified banks, thrifts & mortgage finance, asset management & custody banks and other diversified financial services take the remainder. The fund has lost about 12% so far this year. SPDR S&P Regional Banking ETF (NYSEARCA: KRE ) With AUM of nearly $1.7 billion and average daily volume of around 6.3 million shares, this product follows the S&P Regional Banks Select Industry Index, charging investors 35 bps a year in fees. Holding 100 securities in its basket, the fund is widely spread out across each security, with none holding more than 2.77% of assets. The fund is down 11.6% in the year-to-date time frame. iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF (NYSEARCA: IAT ) This ETF offers exposure to 54 regional bank stocks by tracking the Dow Jones U.S. Select Regional Banks Index. The top two firms – U.S. Bancorp (NYSE: USB ) and PNC Financial Services (NYSE: PNC ) – dominate the fund’s return with a combined 29.5% of assets. Other firms hold less than 7.4% share. The fund has amassed $390.5 million in its asset base while sees good volume of 308,000 shares a day. It charges 44 bps in annual fees and has shed 10.7% so far this year. Original Post

3 Best-Rated Diversified Bond Mutual Funds To Keep An Eye On

Diversified bond mutual funds provide excellent opportunities to investors looking for steady returns with a relatively low level of risk. These funds provide exposure to a wide range of market sectors, thus reducing sector-specific risks. A relatively higher level of liquidity also makes diversified bond funds more attractive. Meanwhile, investing in diversified bond funds is preferred to investing in individual bonds, as building a portfolio of the second type may prove more expensive than the former. Below, we share with you three best-ranked diversified bond mutual funds. Each has earned a Zacks Mutual Fund Rank #1 (Strong Buy) and is expected to outperform its peers in the future. To view the Zacks Rank and past performance of all diversified bond mutual funds, investors can click here . PIMCO Income Fund A (MUTF: PONAX ) seeks maximum current income. The fund invests a minimum of 65% of its assets in fixed-income securities from a wide range of sectors. These securities may include options, futures contracts and swap agreements. PONAX may invest not more than half of its assets in securities that are rated below investment grade. It has a three-year annualized return of almost 4%. As of December 2015, the fund held 4022 issues, with 7.76% of its total assets invested in Irs Usd 2.75000 06/17/15-10y Cme. Nuveen Preferred Securities Fund A (MUTF: NPSAX ) invests a major portion of its assets in preferred securities. The advisor invests a minimum 25% of its assets in the preferred securities of companies primarily involved in financial services. NPSAX invests a minimum of half of its assets in securities rated investment grade. It is a non-diversified fund and has a three-year annualized return of 4.3%. The fund has an expense ratio of 1.06%, as compared to the category average of 1.37%. PIMCO Fixed Income Shares C (MUTF: FXICX ) seeks to maximize total return with preservation of capital. It invests the majority of its assets in fixed-income securities, including corporate debt obligations, inflation-indexed securities of corporate bodies and structured notes. The fund allocates its assets throughout the globe. It has a three-year annualized return of 0.9%. Curtis A. Mewbourne has been the fund manager of FXICX since 2009. Original Post