Tag Archives: market lab report

MLR – PMP 12/29/14;

​Major averages closed higher Friday on light holiday volume trading that barely exceeded Wednesday’s levels despite it being a full trading day. Biotechs got hammered this past week as Express Scripts (ESRX) preferred a less expensive drug offering from established maker Abbvie (ABBV) over heavyweight Gilead (GILD). Oil prices look to continue their downtrend as they fell to $55/barrel. Leading stocks continue to lag as feeble breakouts have been the siren song. Nevertheless, quantitative easing has been a formidable opponent as the major averages push reluctantly higher. Also, we are going into the third year of a president’s term. Going back nearly a century, only one such year showed a loss in the major averages. That said, markets can do much in a year’s time, so be prepared for plenty of opportunities on both the short and long side of the market. Futures are down this morning after Greek markets plunged -10% overnight after Greek politicians were unable to elect a president in a key vote this morning. The vote could bring the left-wing Syriza party to power, jeopardizing an international bailout. Virgin America (VA) gave members a nice Christmas present last week by launching over 26% from its prior pocket pivot at around the 35 price level and the 10-day moving average in four days. We reported on VA when it issued its pocket pivot at that price level, and it demonstrates the clear advantage one has buying pocket pivots in this market rather than waiting for standard base breakouts once the general market turns. While others engage in the issuance of meaningless labels regarding the general market trend, focusing on the concrete and actionable evidence provided by individual stocks in real-time is the hallmark of our approach in this market and one that has proven effective.

MLR – PMP 12/22/14

​Major averages rose Friday on substantially higher volume due to quadruple witching day. Oil rose significantly and may have found a floor after a massive correction, though its downtrend, should it continue, is glaringly steep. Barring a continuation of oil’s downtrend and any surprisingly negative news, odds favor quiet markets that have a slow rise into the end of the year in this interest rate friendly environment. Airline Virgin America (VA) had a pocket pivot on Friday coming up through its 10-day moving average – Strong earnings, group rank 4. Airlines are benefiting from the low cost of oil. Gilead Sciences (GILD) had a pocket pivot on Friday coming up through its 50-day moving average but this morning is down around 10% pre-open on news that Express Scripts (ESRX) agreed to make AbbVie’s (ABBV) Hep C drug (Viekira Pak, approved on Friday) the exclusive treatment for most patients. The bio-tech group has been benefitting from positive news in a number of stocks recently, but GILD shows that news in the bio-tech arena can cut both ways.

MLR – PMP 12/19/14

Major averages gapped higher yesterday on lower volume. The steep gains over the last two days off lows is similar to prior major lows over the last 2 years where the major markets continued into new high ground. The 421 point gain in the Dow is the largest gain the average has had in 3 years, and the 48 point gain in the S&P 500 is the largest gain in 2 years. The Russell 2000 is showing relative strength vs. its larger-cap brethren as it attempts to break out. Stock futures are up around 0.5% at the time of this writing as the rally continues. Social networking company Facebook (FB) had a pocket pivot yesterday- Robust earnings and sales, institutional sponsorship has increased all 11 quarters since the company went public, pretax margin 48.2%, group rank 68. Network security infrastructure company Palo Alto Networks (PANW) posted a buyable gap-up move yesterday using the intraday low of 122.11 as your guide for a downside stop- Robust earnings and sales, group rank 1.