Tag Archives: market lab report

MLR – PMP 2/3/15

Major averages rose yesterday on lower volume. The S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Averages bounced off their respective 200-day moving averages while the NASDAQ Composite tested lows for the third time since mid-December. In the last 5 trading days, major averages have had two high volume reversals and a gap down. They have also tried to bounce on unimpressive volume. Overall, the price/volume action has been decidedly negative. Thus today’s bounce may have “dead cat” written all over it. But QE tends to make things muddy so the bounce could continue longer than expected perhaps in lackluster fashion as it did in late December. Medical systems company Zeltiq Aesthetics (ZLTQ) had a pocket pivot off its 10-day moving average. Earnings went strongly positive last two quarters, sales are strongly accelerating, institutional sponsorship grew last 5 quarters, group rank 6.

MLR – PMP 2/2/15

Major averages fell on higher volume, marking another distribution day. As stated in prior PMP’s, this is the third time since December the major averages have tested their mid-December lows. Oil prices jumped 7% as a U.S. rig count. Interest rates continue to fall to levels that hardly suggest the Fed will be hiking rates anytime soon despite the hawkish tone in the statement they made this past week. But recent volatility in the U.S. markets suggest loss of confidence that QE can help global economic conditions despite central banks around the world accelerating the pace of their respective QE programs over the last several months. While the markets have been quite directionless and volatile for several weeks making it tough to time the markets, such periods always come to an end. In the meantime, there are actionable stocks on the long or short side that can be playable if one remains nimble, takes profits when one has them, and keeps stops tight.

MLR – PMP 1/30/15

Major averages rose yesterday on near breakeven volume after being in the red early in the trading day. This action is particularly frustrating after a high volume reversal day just the prior day where leading stocks continued to falter. Nevertheless, one must always remain sufficiently nimble in such rip-tide, indecisive environments. While the market’s volatility remains elevated, it may be best to move to the sidelines once again in terms of timing the market as dead cat bounces or otherwise can move higher and faster than expected in this choppy environment. At the time of this writing, futures are trading lower by about -0.5% on the NASDAQ and almost -1.0% on the S&P 500. The U.S. economy grew by a 2.6% annual pace in the fourth quarter, slowing from a 5.0% pace in the third quarter,and below expectations of 3.2%. Consumer spending rose 4.3% which is the biggest gain since the first quarter of 2006. The PCE index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, fell at a 0.5% annual rate in the October-to-December period which is the biggest drop since the first quarter of 2009, which gives the Fed more room to keep interest rates low. Pocket pivots: Pharmaceutical Alexion Pharmaceuticals (ALXN ) had a pocket pivot on a big outside reversal to the upside after a strong earnings report. ALXN is just closing above its 50-day moving average. Robust earnings, group rank 1. Semiconductor system-on-a-chip Cavium (CAVM) had a pocket pivot on a big outside reversal to the upside – ROE 28%, institutional sponsorship grew last 4 quarters, group rank 13. Airline JetBlue Airways (JBLU) had a pocket pivot on a big outside reversal to the upside. JBLU is benefiting from low oil prices, accelerating earnings, group rank 2. Network security infrastructure company Palo Alto Networks (PANW). The stock has obeyed its 50-day moving average for many months, has strongly accelerating earnings and sales, institutional sponsorship grew last 6 quarters, group rank 7.