Tag Archives: market lab report

MLR –

​Major averages fell again yesterday on mixed volume, but once again closed in the upper half of their intraday trading range, a sign of support. As well, the S&P 500 found support at the top of its prior two-month range, a logical pullback point, while the NASDAQ holds up much better along its 10-day moving average. Leading stocks continued to hold up well, and so the pullback looks normal within the context of the prior, steep upside run-up off of the early February lows. Futures are slightly higher in pre-open trade at the time of this writing. The NASDAQ Composite may today make another run at 5000 which is just 0.66% away from yesterday’s close. Semiconductor Ambarella (AMBA) had a buyable gap up on a strong earnings report in the face of a market that is pulling back. Earnings and sales are skyrocketing, pretax margin 31%, ROE 32.7%, institutional sponsorship has grown last 3 quarters, group rank 16.

MLR – PMP 3-4-15

Major averages sold off yesterday on mixed volume but managed to recover about half their losses to close roughly in the mid-point of their daily trading ranges. However, the NASDAQ logged a distribution day in the process. After Monday’s heady gains, a breather is not unexpected as it gives the 10-day moving average a chance to catch up to the index’ current price levels. The number of actionable stocks has grown so constructive market pullbacks such as the one we saw yesterday can be an opportunity to pick up shares in stocks you may have missed, assuming they pull back constructively into logical areas of support. In cases where they do not it is imperative that investors have a clear stop-out level in mind. This morning futures are down as the NASDAQ 5,000 level may serve as a near-term area of psychological resistance. Camera chip-maker Ambarella (AMBA) is gapping up and out of a base this morning after announcing positive earnings yesterday after the close. This may develop into a buyable gap-up, and we will be monitoring the stock’s action closely once the market opens. Palo Alto Networks (PANW) came out with earnings on Monday after the close and sold off yesterday at the open before finding support at its 10-day moving average and trading back to the upside, flashing a continuation pocket pivot on very heavy volume in the process. Zeltiq Aesthetics (ZTQ) came out with earnings last night after the close, and is set to gap up slightly based on pre-open trade at the time of this writing.

MLR – PMP 3-3-15

Major averages rose yesterday on lower volume, continuing their uptrend. The NASDAQ Composite hit 5000 for the first time since the year 2000 when it peaked at 5132. Given today’s close of 5008, this puts it just 2.5% from all-time highs. We observed a good number of quality pocket pivots in yesterday’s trade: Paint store retailer SHW had a pocket pivot. It has obeyed its 20dma since October 2014. Earnings are accelerating, group rank 32. Human resources outsourcing company TNET – earnings are accelerating, institutional sales have increased since the company went public 3 quarters ago, group rank 11. Drive-in fast food restaurant franchiser SONC – earnings and sales are accelerating, ROE 67.7%, group rank 2. Semiconductor IDTI – sales are accelerating, group rank 17. IDTI had big volume up days on strong earnings reports over the last six such reports, meaning it has had favorable earnings reports six quarters in a row. Psychiatric service provider ACHC – earnings are accelerating, group rank 35. LCI – we originally reported on LCI on Feb 5 when it had a buyable gap up on a strong earnings report. JAZZ had another pocket pivot though closed midbar, not the strongest of closes especially given how the major averages closed near their intraday peaks. We reported on JAZZ three trading days ago after it had a pocket pivot on a strong earnings report. It then retraced for two days on lower volume. If one reduced or sold their position, Monday offered a second chance. Network security company PANW – earnings are accelerating, group rank 4. Medical device maker ABMD – earnings are skyrocketing, sales are accelerating, group rank 15. Internet network solutions company AKAM – earnings have been very stable and reaccelerating, pretax margin 33.3%, group rank 35. Consumer high fidelity electronics maker HAR – earnings are accelerating, group rank 59. Automotive parts retailer ORLY – earnings are accelerating, ROE 39.1%, group rank 44. ORLY gapped up on its last earnings report. ORLY trades very tightly with small drawdowns which mitigates risk. Semiconductor TSRA – earnings are accelerating, pretax margin 67%, ROE 27%, group rank 16. TSRA had a big volume down day on an earnings report that was perceived to be weak, but redeemed itself in Monday’s trading. Notice how each stock has its own specific risk/reward attributes in terms of price movement. Each investor must decide which stocks best fit their risk tolerance profiles then position size according to what suits them best. If one takes on too big a position, one is liable to mishandle the trade by selling too soon or selling too late.